I've created a prediction market about when Solar Radiation Management will first be "seriously" deployed (for a definition of "seriously", see the question). It's just on Manifold, so it's not using real money, but Manifold players take the game pretty seriously, so I expect it to still produce a somewhat meaningful probability distribution over possible dates. In the very least, members of the list may find it fun to bet on.
The prediction market: https://manifold.markets/makoyass/when-will-serious-deployment-of-sol ad astra. system designer mako yass <https://aboutmako.makopool.com/> -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/geoengineering/b3d9a53f-2a84-4980-9420-290268ee2bb9n%40googlegroups.com.
