Why 30%? What if it's only 1% and deployment is measurable, recorded, and verified?
On Sat, Jul 8, 2023 at 4:19 AM mako yass <[email protected]> wrote: > I've created a prediction market about when Solar Radiation Management > will first be "seriously" deployed (for a definition of "seriously", see > the question). It's just on Manifold, so it's not using real money, but > Manifold players take the game pretty seriously, so I expect it to still > produce a somewhat meaningful probability distribution over possible dates. > In the very least, members of the list may find it fun to bet on. > > The prediction market: > https://manifold.markets/makoyass/when-will-serious-deployment-of-sol > > ad astra. > system designer mako yass <https://aboutmako.makopool.com/> > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "geoengineering" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/geoengineering/b3d9a53f-2a84-4980-9420-290268ee2bb9n%40googlegroups.com > <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/geoengineering/b3d9a53f-2a84-4980-9420-290268ee2bb9n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> > . > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/geoengineering/CANjZVEOmUWDiBWVMBwEv4%2BKKrUJ%3DoB6yPbgrqofb0cUDRWQMHg%40mail.gmail.com.
