Eric Swanson wrote:
> Robert A. Rohde wrote:
> > Eric Swanson wrote:
> > > As a matter of curiosity, would you identify the "paleoclimate
> > > researcher" you mentioned in your post??
> >
> > Sorry, no.  He's a closet skeptic that I've closely interacted with in
> > the past, but not someone that is publicly known for a skeptical view.
> > Out of respect for his privacy, I am not going to identify him here.
>
> Sorry, but most scientists are skeptics by nature.  A good scientist
> must ALWAYS be ready to question the accepted explanations, else how
> could he/she ever come up with new and different ideas and theories?
> Since you won't give a name, would  you give a summary of his
> reasoning?

There is a difference between being sensibly skeptical about new
research and unexpected claims and stubbornly disputing
well-established research and broady accepted claims.  There are
situations where the second kind of skepticism can be useful to science
too (e.g. Einstein, Pasteur), but more often than not such attitudes
are unproductive for the researcher who holds them.

The individual who I am talking about basically believes a) that
climate modelling is too simplified and tuned to be useful, b) that
most of what gets published in the climate literature is dodgy and
shouldn't stand up to scrutiny, and c) the climate is basically too
complicated for us to predict.

Obviously if one is going to take those positions, it is not hard to
see that such a person might say that anthropogenic global warming
hasn't been established and even if it does exist we don't know what it
means for the future.

Incidentally, I agree with him that there is a lot of garbage in the
climate science literature, but that doesn't stop climate models from
being useful, or negate basic points like increasing greenhouse gases
can be expected to lead to more warming.

-Robert
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/


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