James:
> evidence is pretty much limited to model forecasts.
No.
There are apparently strong theoretical reasons to expect that total
precipitation will increase only a little while extreme precipitation
will increase a lot. There are some global constraints in play.
I more or less understood the argument for this when Ray Pierrehumbert
explained it, and a speaker at the U of Chicago weekly seminar series
made the same claim. Unfortunately, my grasp of dynamics is too
muddled to pull it together for you but I will go so far as to allege
that it exists and is probably in print somewhere by now.
I'll try to dig something up.
mt
--~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated
venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of
global environmental change.
Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the
submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not
gratuitously rude.
To post to this group, send email to [email protected]
To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED]
For more options, visit this group at
http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange
-~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
