Michael Tobis wrote:
> James:
>
>> evidence is pretty much limited to model forecasts.
>
> No.
>
> There are apparently strong theoretical reasons to expect that total
> precipitation will increase only a little while extreme precipitation
> will increase a lot. There are some global constraints in play.
I didn't mean to imply that expectation of future changes was not
well-founded, merely that the current observational record doesn't have
much to say about it. (Personally, I think the strong focus on D&A in
climate science is badly misplaced and even misleading, but the punters
seem to like it.)
James
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