> I suspect the temperature effect will be more like moving latitude > closer to the equator - more warm days, longer summers, less frost, > etc, which means that extreme heat records for any given place are > likely to be increased as warming continues. Storms are something else > again: storm tracks could change, and intensities increase with SSTs. > That's my reading of it, anyway...
Yes, that's my reading as well (except for the "more", I think the heavy precipitation part is expected from moving latitude). A while back on real climate I commented and the subject of the 2003 heat wave came up. Stefan Rahmstorf talked about it being http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=181 "5 standard deviations" and a "surprise". Basically, the implication was that climate change would do more than just move annual mean summer temperature by 2-3C and therefore the exteme summer temperature by 2-3C, but that climate would also become more variable, ie there'd be more summer extreme temperatures and these would be say 5-10C above what they'd otherwise be. And my understanding was, and is, that that is wrong, the summer extreme are in fact expected to move a little bit less than the winter extremes. --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
