On Tue, 19 Jan 2010 08:49:54 +0100, [email protected] <[email protected]> wrote:

So why might the model and reality diverge at exactly the current
date? Because the model can be made to agree with reality up to
exactly the current date by fiddling with the assumed forcing input.

Are you sure what you're speculating about? The distributed computing client receives seed data and runs a model based on starting parameters. It is not modified with additional data while it runs. So I don't believe I'm convinced that such a model would likely diverge at the current date.


Besides, this thread is about runaway warming and therefore about
conditions far removed from the calibration period.

True. As you move further away from the starting point, divergences reinforce each other.

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