I suspect that "modernization" means using what is in style and that the 100%
is because of a tailored audience. The "fear of change" survey seems to be more
about perceptions than objective reality. Then there':s this:
"The survey found that organizations are running an average of four
mainframes with an average age of 17 years. Sixty-four percent are
running mainframes between 10 and 20 years old, with 28% running
machines that are 20 to 30 years old."
I don't find that plausible.
--
Shmuel (Seymour J.) Metz
http://mason.gmu.edu/~smetz3
________________________________________
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [[email protected]] on behalf of Bob
Bridges [[email protected]]
Sent: Tuesday, June 9, 2020 8:02 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: "Everyone wants to retire mainframes"
A coworker just sent me this brief article.
https://secure-web.cisco.com/14-WFIR1qBZCPuzn3LqYDmZXYM30fIjsT2MnewE60Th_hg2gOvsS42TRp3CAdodmUvSgJD1oBg83FNFvZHHMQKwFU3OGy_6c0F8mcjbiPnV_WIXOEY91LV0fEy2WxY8iEa6lxD7Vvv0V4nEoaOJsYkk4hMUnnm2pe4Qm-_Y4qRk32esZBtNHCv9c4ZOCQspwZ1QTj9fvWTglYYj2jEl1v4iTFerOlmT2tMCbrMfC_ojW1YvFd-0XN4vzfFFwI2zb50IItjW4-vzfJroGRDGu8x43dFNqzn9onwZdAgRzHD3BJKs4CNY5LOSmS67YM22wAb2QRKB3nB9RIUAbuKOByzJatYZofnptjQxip-LBfe9ZwmeOyyKZzQj0-gARidYzdIM7iPWmZVve0e3COSbrAfDgHb8ONMMdQjCWtcPnnlzM22I8hMeFyJF18vJg_rVDC/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.techrepublic.com%2Farticle%2Feveryone-wants-to-retire-mainframes-but-74-of-modernization-efforts-fail%2F
I'm interested in two aspects of this:
1) The writer uses the word "modernization" quite a bit, and as far as I can
tell she uses it, without explanation, to mean "switching from mainframes to
more recently invented platforms". This is the old assumption we've talked
about recently.
2) There's a really surprising number in there:
"...almost 100% of survey respondents plan to move legacy applications to the
cloud this year and the motivation to move is clear:
- 60% strongly agree they will be left behind competitively if they fail to
modernize
- 33% say modernizing has allowed the company to be more reactive to market
changes
- 34% say legacy modernization has accelerated digital transformation projects
About three-quarters of leaders said they have started a modernization program
but failed to complete it...."
Can that "almost 100%" claim be true? I confess that three out of my last
three clients are talking about eliminating the mainframe, but I supposed it to
be an anomaly. Maybe the survey used the word "modernize" and the author
~assumed~ this must mean dropping the mainframe.
The article also says "Mainframes are still critical to business operations
with 71% of the Fortune 500 depending on these machines, including 92 of the
world's 100 largest banks". Come on - she's telling us that almost ~all~ of
those companies intend to switch legacy applications to the cloud? I just
can't buy that. ~My~ bank had certainly better not be planning such a move.
---
Bob Bridges, [email protected], cell 336 382-7313
/* If a problem has a single neck, it has a simple solution. */
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