Everyone,
I can tell you as a fact that there are a number of things are true.  Many 
"modernization" projects do end up not being completed, no big mainframe shop 
is looking to get off the mainframe, there are a large number of projects 
underway where the client is "modernizing" on the mainframe (language, file 
conversion, DBMS conversion, etc) and lastly (not a lot, but some) there are 
mainframe shops that are going to the zCloud which is essentially moving from 
one data center to another, keeping the mainframe.
Anyone who tells you most (100%?, really?) mainframe users are going to 
distributed or distributed platform cloud are exaggerating the truth.  I know 
this because mainframe modernization is what I do for a living.
Mitch
 
 
-----Original Message-----
From: Bob Bridges <[email protected]>
To: [email protected]
Sent: Tue, Jun 9, 2020 7:02 am
Subject: "Everyone wants to retire mainframes"

A coworker just sent me this brief article.

https://www.techrepublic.com/article/everyone-wants-to-retire-mainframes-but-74-of-modernization-efforts-fail/

I'm interested in two aspects of this:

1) The writer uses the word "modernization" quite a bit, and as far as I can 
tell she uses it, without explanation, to mean "switching from mainframes to 
more recently invented platforms".  This is the old assumption we've talked 
about recently.

2) There's a really surprising number in there:

"...almost 100% of survey respondents plan to move legacy applications to the 
cloud this year and the motivation to move is clear:

- 60% strongly agree they will be left behind competitively if they fail to 
modernize
- 33% say modernizing has allowed the company to be more reactive to market 
changes
- 34% say legacy modernization has accelerated digital transformation projects 

About three-quarters of leaders said they have started a modernization program 
but failed to complete it...."

Can that "almost 100%" claim be true?  I confess that three out of my last 
three clients are talking about eliminating the mainframe, but I supposed it to 
be an anomaly.  Maybe the survey used the word "modernize" and the author 
~assumed~ this must mean dropping the mainframe.

The article also says "Mainframes are still critical to business operations 
with 71% of the Fortune 500 depending on these machines, including 92 of the 
world's 100 largest banks".  Come on - she's telling us that almost ~all~ of 
those companies intend to switch legacy applications to the cloud?  I just 
can't buy that.  ~My~ bank had certainly better not be planning such a move.

---
Bob Bridges, [email protected], cell 336 382-7313

/* If a problem has a single neck, it has a simple solution. */

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