Louis Proyect said (replying to John Reimann):

The implicit meaning of your attack on Maduro is that there is some escape from 
the contradictions of world capitalism. Any nation that attempts to break free 
of imperialism is always thwarted by forces beyond its control, just as when 
trade unions are defeated in a major struggle such as Little Steel in the 30s 
or P9 in 1985. In the class struggle, the relationship of class forces is the 
determining factor going back to the Paris Commune.

It is relatively easy to imagine an aroused working class in Venezuela taking 
on Maduro and the "bolibourgeoisie" and creating "socialism from below". People 
like Sam Farber and Dan La Botz have made a hobby out of it, just like stamp 
collecting and folk dancing. I was the president of the board of Tecnica that 
had close ties to the Nicaraguan government in the 80s. We got regular reports 
on the economic crisis that compounded with the war made life intolerable. I 
read articles in the cult Militant newspaper about the need for the FSLN to 
"follow the Cuban road" as if the USSR was ready to throw its weight behind a 
country with fewer people than Brooklyn and a GDP less than what Americans 
spend on blue jeans per year. A socialist revolution would have alienated the 
European social democracies that Nicaragua relied on and brought the country to 
total ruin.

In the current epoch, it has become much clearer that socialism can only 
succeed if it takes root in a country that has the technical, economic and 
military prowess to stand on its own. Unfortunately, Venezuela was not one of 
those countries.



Ken Hiebert replies:
Louis says, "In the class struggle, the relationship of class forces is the 
determining factor going back to the Paris Commune."
I would like to argue that the relationship of class forces is a determining 
factor, but not the only factor.  I believe that levels of consciousness, 
self-organization, and leadership can play a determining role in some instances.

Starting with Louis’ example of the Paris Commune, I think that Marx and Engels 
did not limit themselves to noting the unfavourable relationship of forces, but 
offered a critique of the way the struggle was conducted.  Others who are 
scholars on this topic can tell us if I am right.

Following the 1973 coup in Chile, the Communist Party of Italy drew the 
conclusion that the Chilean left should have been more cautious.  No doubt, 
that is one conclusion you could draw, but I think not the only one.  Was it 
not possible for an organized working class, with a clear-sighted leadership, 
to defeat the coup?

If those in smaller, weaker countries must wait for the growth of working class 
struggles in larger, more powerful countries, what impact will this have on the 
development of consciousness in the more powerful countries?  Surely the 
struggle in Cuba, and even more so in Vietnam, has had an impact on 
consciousness in the US.  I expect that others will come up with examples that 
have slipped my mind.

If the relationship of forces is the determining factor, why are we spending 
our time discussing politics and trying to hammer out a correct understanding 
of the struggle?  Are we just trainspotters exchanging information?  Or do we 
believe that this discussion will better prepare us to participate in the 
struggle, and to contribute to its success?  If not, perhaps our time would be 
better spent with stamp collecting and folk dancing.  Or, in my case, community 
theatre and Spanish conversation.





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