There's a book out that addresses the issue of conclusions based on limited
observations, both good and bad.  The name of the book is "Blink"...I don't
remember the author.  I'm listening to it on cd from Audible.com.  Anyway,
it gives lots of examples of good and bad decisions that were made based on
seeing only part of the data sample.  I don't think any of us has enough
facts to fully comprehend the cause and effect.

Oh, well.

Royce

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Christopher McCann
Sent: Friday, July 08, 2005 3:25 PM
To: Mercedes mailing list
Subject: RE: [MBZ] OT price of corn flakes...interesting theory...


Royce,

I agree with your example entirely...the speculation
(pure speculation) is that there might be a reason
that the end product producers (in this case oil
companies/refineries) are charging more for diesel
(corn flakes) so that people won't buy diesel vehicles
(corn flaskes) and will by gas (rice krispie) vehicles
BECAUSE once BioD hits critical mass, we can all pour
milk made from soybeans on our corn rather than milk
pumped from Saudi Arabia by Texaco.

OK, the analogy is getting crazy...but that's my
point. Once 20 million Americans own diesel cars
(remember the $4000 tax credit), if those 20 million
cars go to BioD in the future (when the price comes
down to due increased production economy of scale),
then no more money to the oil companies.

I'm just speculating on a possible MOTIVE for higher
diesel prices in realation to gas. BUT you may be
right in that simply there is more demand for diesel
right now compared to supply...but it seems ODDLY
coincidental with the rapid rise in popularity of BioD
and the new diesel models and now the Federal tax
break. I think big oil is afraid of diesel becuase of
the "spectre" of BioD.

Just a theory. Can't prove it, but I think it is
logical.

Christopher

Christopher McCann, Raytown, Missouri
-1985 300SD, 207K miles, "Wulf" http://don.homelinux.net/mbz/Chris
-1976 240D, ManyK miles,  "AKP-Wagen" (Alternativen Kraftstoffs
Prüfenlastwagen = Alternative Fuel Test Vehicle)
-1998 Toyota Sienna CE, 99K miles, "The Van"



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