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Phil and Claude,
So far, the responses to this idea both public and private are heavily in
favor of the idea -- we did consider the issues the you of two raise, but
ultimately came to the conclusion that extending the end time by a minute or two
doesn't really prevent anyone from continuing to bid the way you do now
-- i.e, you can still use a sniper program and don't have to stay up to any
particular hour watching the auction close if you don't want to. So, you
can continue to bid as you always have. Everything will work for you just as it
has in the past. The only thing that would be different would be for someone who
did want to actually follow the end of the auction live and bid or
not according to the real, true last bid.
It seems to me this is better for the seller (who gets more money for the
poster than he would have otherwise) and overall better for buyers too, I
think, as it does give anyone who wants to actually watch the close a shot at
getting the item --to see what the true "last bid" was and trump it if they
want. You can't do this with the current ebay-style sniper situation. Often, on
a desirable item, the final bid shown at the second the auction closes is
NOT the winning bid -- I personally feel this is bad for business and
psychologically bad for the bidding environment overall, creating a sense of
futility among many bidders who either aren't as good at guessing what
their final snipe bid should have been (or perhaps don't have the deep pockets
to just bid "whatever", knowing that such an absurdly high sum will
win out when all the snipes are in, no matter what).
See, with the sniping programs determining the winner behind the
scenes as it is now, even if you really, really want the item, you can
still only guess at what the amount of your final bid should be -- whether
you use a sniper program or not -- you just have no way of knowing if it
will be good enough. But with extended end-times, if you want to, you can
actually see what your competition has bid at the end and then make a real-time
decision to continue bidding or not based on you having ALL the
information, not just guesses.
Also, since on MPB the bid history will always be public, you have some
information that might help you determine if those last micro-second bids
are genuine or if you are just being shilled up. A small thing, perhaps, but
important to some and, once again, helps create a better psychological
bidding environment, I think.
So, I can see some upside potential to implementing extended end times of a
minute or two, but no real downside.
-- JR
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