It remained for William James, Peirce's close friend, to assert that CHANCE CAN 
PROVIDE unpredictable alternatives from which THE WILL CAN CHOOSE or determine 
one alternative. James was the first thinker to enunciate clearly a two-stage 
decision process, with CHANCE in a present time of random alternatives, LEADING 
TO A CHOICE which selects one alternative and transforms an equivocal ambiguous 
future into an unalterable determined past. There are undetermined alternatives 
followed by adequately determined choices."The stronghold of the determinist 
argument is the antipathy to the idea of chance...This notion of alternative 
possibility, this admission that any one of several things may come to pass is, 
after all, only a roundabout name for CHANCE...What is meant by saying that my 
CHOICE of which way to walk home after the lecture is ambiguous and matter of 
chance?...It means that both Divinity Avenue and Oxford Street are called but 
only one, and that one either one, shall be CHOSEN." (James, The Dilemma of 
Determinism, in The Will to Believe, 1897, p.155)


We find that William James was the first of a dozen philosophers and scientists 
who have proposed a two-stage model for free will and creativity. The first 
stage involves chance that generates alternative possibilities for action. The 
second stage is an adequately determined choice by the will. First chance, then 
choice. First "free," then "will." 



JAMESIAN FREE WILL, THE TWO-STAGE MODEL OF WILLIAM JAMES 
__________________________________________________________________BOB 
DOYLEABSTRACT Research into two-stage models of “free will” – first “free” 
random generation of alternativepossibilities, followed by “willed” adequately 
determined decisions consistent with character, values, and desires – suggests 
that William James was in 1884 the first of a dozen philosophers and scientists 
to propose such a two-stage model for free will. We review the later work to 
establish James’s priority.By limiting chance to the generation of alternative 
possibilities, James was the first to overcome the standard two-part argument 
against free will, i.e., that the will is either determined or random. James 
gave it elements of both, to establish freedom but preserve responsibility. We 
show that James was influenced by Darwin’s model of natural selection, as were 
most recent thinkers with a two-stage model.In view of James’s famous decision 
to make his first act of freedom a choice to believe that his will is free, it 
is most fitting to celebrate James’s priority in the free will debates by 
naming the two-stage model – first chance, then choice -“Jamesian” free will.




                                          
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