How about I flip a quarter a hundred times and it comes up heads once? That is all that is needed. You apparently do not understand random chance any better than Hoyle.
-- graywolf http://www.graywolfphoto.com http://webpages.charter.net/graywolf "Idiot Proof" <==> "Expert Proof" ----------------------------------- Tom C wrote: > Go flip a quarter until it comes up heads 100 times in a row. Then get > back to me on that. ;-) > > > Tom C. > >> From: graywolf <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >> Reply-To: Pentax-Discuss Mail List <[email protected]> >> To: Pentax-Discuss Mail List <[email protected]> >> Subject: Re: Global warming was: The Nine-spotted >> Date: Wed, 13 Jun 2007 19:44:15 -0400 >> >> Astronomers do not seem to understand chance, do they. If the chance >> is a billion to one, what is the change of it happening in the next >> iteration? >> >> One in two, no matter what particular iteration it is in, it has as >> much chance of happening the next time as it does of not happening. In >> other words there is no necessity of it going through a billion >> iterations before it happens. And there is no assurance that it will >> happen even once in that particular billion iterations. Once again no >> intelligent design is necessary. >> >> -- >> graywolf >> http://www.graywolfphoto.com >> http://webpages.charter.net/graywolf >> "Idiot Proof" <==> "Expert Proof" >> ----------------------------------- >> >> >> Tom C wrote: >> > graywolf wrote: >> > >> >> >> >> Hard to accept that you are not somehow special, isn't it. Personally >> >> I believe random chance over >millions of years is the simplest >> answer. >> >> >> > >> > >> > Noted British Astonomer Fred Hoyle wrote (note I'm using this as an >> > example of a noted and respected scientist, not that I agree with >> > everything he says or that he's always correct... who is?) >> > >> > "if one proceeds directly and straightforwardly in this matter, without >> > being deflected by a fear of incurring the wrath of scientific opinion, >> > one arrives at the conclusion that biomaterials with their amazing >> > measure or order must be the outcome of intelligent design." >> > >> > Hoyle calculated that the chance of obtaining the required set of >> > enzymes for even the simplest living cell was one in 10 *40,000 power. >> > Since the number of atoms in the known universe is infinitesimally tiny >> > by comparison (10 *80 power), he argued that even a whole universe full >> > of primordial soup wouldn’t have a chance. He claimed: The notion that >> > not only the biopolymer but the operating program of a living cell >> could >> > be arrived at by chance in a primordial organic soup here on the Earth >> > is evidently nonsense of a high order. >> > >> > Hoyle compared the random emergence of even the simplest cell to the >> > likelihood that "a tornado sweeping through a junk-yard might >> assemble a >> > Boeing 747 from the materials therein." Hoyle also compared the chance >> > of obtaining even a single functioning protein by chance combination of >> > amino acids to a solar system full of blind men solving Rubik's Cube >> > simultaneously. >> > >> > >> > >> > Tom C. >> > >> > >> > >> >> -- >> PDML Pentax-Discuss Mail List >> [email protected] >> http://pdml.net/mailman/listinfo/pdml_pdml.net > > > -- PDML Pentax-Discuss Mail List [email protected] http://pdml.net/mailman/listinfo/pdml_pdml.net
