But the original topic was Rove giving advice to Barack Obama about whether declaring victory would "make him look arrogant" and "alienate" Hillary Clinton voters, thereby making them more likely to support McCain. That doesn't really sound much like psephology to me - it's more in the nature of political gut feel than detailed analysis of precincts. And on the question of strategy, I think Michael has a point that the Rove legacy is a) quite mixed in terms of his actual success rate and b) associated with quite a few rather smelly allegations of push-polling and other dirty tricks.
(Added to that is the fact that Rove's behaviour with respect to the 2006 elections surely has to call into question either his psephological judgement or his candour; he was saying right up until the end that the Republicans would squeak a victory, and not just in public statements apparently. Without wanting to disparage the noble profession of stockbroking, one has to be *very* *very* careful of people who are excellent analysts with huge amounts of knowledge, who continually feed you good information and analysis because one day it is quite likely that they are going to end up with economic interests which are not in line with your own, and if you take their statements at face value you will have cause for empathy with chickens who never get anything but the best grain from the stockhand, right up until the day when he wrings their neck). best dd > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Doug Henwood" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > To: "Progressive Economics" <[email protected]> > Subject: Re: [Pen-l] Fox News gets creepier > Date: Wed, 14 May 2008 07:39:45 -0400 > > > > On May 13, 2008, at 9:25 PM, Perelman, Michael wrote: > > > How much of his success comes from dirty tricks rather than knowledge of > > precincts? > > Oh yeah, right-wingers don't know anything, and they don't appeal to > anything > in American public opinion. It's all dirty tricks. > > Doug > _______________________________________________ > pen-l mailing list > [email protected] > https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l > _______________________________________________ pen-l mailing list [email protected] https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l
