Interesting development in black hole theory

2014-01-24 Thread Lance A. Brown
Stephen Hawking is upending the world of physics, again.

http://www.nature.com/news/stephen-hawking-there-are-no-black-holes-1.14583

--[Lance]

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Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

2010-07-04 Thread KZK

http://www.asymptosis.com/are-machines-replacing-humans-or-am-i-a-luddite.html


Another Interesting Article along similar lines:

http://globalsociology.com/2010/07/01/accumulation-by-dispossession-and-savage-sorting/

Although when I read savage sorting I think selection.

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Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

2010-06-06 Thread KZK

On 3/20/2010 4:49 PM, KZK wrote:

On 3/20/2010 12:00 AM, David Brin wrote:


Wow, this guy is really something.

I'll tout him on my blog.

Who is he?



 [Steve Roth]



Thanks for sharing it.


I think their have also been other things going on for a number of
years. Namely, most employers (90+%) now won't hire people who are not
currently employed (they brag about this). So people who lose thier job
are finding it very difficult to reenter the workforce. And people
who've never been employed have extreme trouble just getting that first
job (look at the unemployment underemployed %).


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/04/disturbing-job-ads-the-un_n_600665.html




From: KZK


http://www.asymptosis.com/are-machines-replacing-humans-or-am-i-a-luddite.html




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Haiti: government and regulation (was Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:)

2010-06-06 Thread Nick Arnett
This thread got me thinking about government, regulation and Haiti.

I haven't been back from Haiti long enough to feel as though I have
particularly coherent thoughts about the significance and opportunity posed
by the earthquake, but a few ideas have begun to take hold.

Like many poor nations in our hemisphere, Haiti has lived under a
combination of highly centralized government with little regulatory
authority or trade barriers.  The theory, or at least the defense, of the
lack of regulation was that free market forces would allow the nation's
people opportunities to bootstrap new businesses, etc.  Yet the reality is
that its wealthy trading partners have tended to reinforce the concentration
of wealth in the hands of a small minority.  Simple example -
U.S.-government subsidized rice has undercut the local farmers' prices, yet
in the name of free markets, no trade barriers or subsidies are in place...
so Haiti imports more than half of its food, even though it was a very
fertile country. There have been no environmental regulations, so the Haiti
half of Hispaniola is almost entirely deforested, the trees having been cut
down to make charcoal for people to cook on.  Deforestation led to run-off
that washed the topsoil into the ocean, greatly reducing that fertility.
And the topsoil killed most of the coral reefs near the island, so fishing
has also become far more difficult.

The lack of regulation regarding building - there were no building codes -
resulted in a huge percentage of the buildings collapsing or undergoing
severe damage.  Wanna see some of what I saw?

http://www.facebook.com/?ref=home#!/arnett.nick?v=photos

As I said, my thoughts on Haiti are not especially coherent yet, but it
seems like Haiti's major partners - the U.S., Canada and France -- are in
favor of democracy at home, but not in Haiti.  It seems like we are in favor
of trade barriers and subsidies at home, but not in Haiti.

The earthquake was the worst natural disaster in the western hemishere -
ever - and hit the poorest nation in the western hemisphere.  And it left
Haiti even more vulnerable than it was, with perhaps as many as 2 million
people without permanent shelter and nowhere to go if a hurricane hits.
There is opportunity for real change in this disaster.  Haiti is forced to
start over in many ways and perhaps this time, we, its friends and
neighbors, can help create something better.

Nick
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Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

2010-04-01 Thread David Brin
Wow, this guy is really something.

I'll tout him on my blog.

Who is he?

Thanks for sharing it.




From: KZK evil.ke...@gmail.com
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Fri, March 19, 2010 6:51:11 PM
Subject: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

http://www.asymptosis.com/libertarians-republicans-and-democrats-new-findings-on-morality-empathy-and-sympathy.html

http://www.asymptosis.com/are-machines-replacing-humans-or-am-i-a-luddite.html

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Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

2010-03-20 Thread KZK

On 3/20/2010 12:00 AM, David Brin wrote:


Wow, this guy is really something.

I'll tout him on my blog.

Who is he?


I don't know, I just found his site a few days ago.  Your best bet would 
be to try and email him and ask.  (Their are unscrupulous ways like 
looking up who the website was registered to by using whois).  Then 
again, I'm partial to pseudonyms.



Thanks for sharing it.


I think their have also been other things going on for a number of 
years.  Namely, most employers (90+%) now won't hire people who are not 
currently employed (they brag about this).  So people who lose thier job 
are finding it very difficult to reenter the workforce.  And people 
who've never been employed have extreme trouble just getting that first 
job (look at the unemployment underemployed %).


Libertarians can be summed up in one statement:  Libertarians are for 
anything that increases the: Wealth, Power, Rights, and Privileges, of 
the already Wealthy and Powerful Elites;  Libertarians are also for 
anything that decreases the: Wealth, Power, Rights, and Privileges, of 
everyone else, especially the poorest or minorities.


After all, the Libertarian party has in the past had a Pro-Apartheid 
plank in it's platform.  You can usually get a Libertarian to argue that 
Slavery is OK, because people have a right to sell themselves.



From: KZK

http://www.asymptosis.com/libertarians-republicans-and-democrats-new-findings-on-morality-empathy-and-sympathy.html

http://www.asymptosis.com/are-machines-replacing-humans-or-am-i-a-luddite.html


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Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

2010-03-20 Thread David Brin
I challenge libertarians to imagine it is 1861.  In which army do they fight?

They are romantics and hence illogical.  In fact, they think they are for the 
Horatio Alger rags to riches innovators.  They hate it when you ask them how 
well that works when the rich become feudal lords.

Patron Saint Adam Smith actually would have been a democrat




From: KZK evil.ke...@gmail.com
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Sat, March 20, 2010 2:49:02 PM
Subject: Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

On 3/20/2010 12:00 AM, David Brin wrote:

 Wow, this guy is really something.
 
 I'll tout him on my blog.
 
 Who is he?

I don't know, I just found his site a few days ago.  Your best bet would be to 
try and email him and ask.  (Their are unscrupulous ways like looking up who 
the website was registered to by using whois).  Then again, I'm partial to 
pseudonyms.

 Thanks for sharing it.

I think their have also been other things going on for a number of years.  
Namely, most employers (90+%) now won't hire people who are not currently 
employed (they brag about this).  So people who lose thier job are finding it 
very difficult to reenter the workforce.  And people who've never been employed 
have extreme trouble just getting that first job (look at the unemployment 
underemployed %).

Libertarians can be summed up in one statement:  Libertarians are for anything 
that increases the: Wealth, Power, Rights, and Privileges, of the already 
Wealthy and Powerful Elites;  Libertarians are also for anything that decreases 
the: Wealth, Power, Rights, and Privileges, of everyone else, especially the 
poorest or minorities.

After all, the Libertarian party has in the past had a Pro-Apartheid plank in 
it's platform.  You can usually get a Libertarian to argue that Slavery is OK, 
because people have a right to sell themselves.

 From: KZK
 
 http://www.asymptosis.com/libertarians-republicans-and-democrats-new-findings-on-morality-empathy-and-sympathy.html
 
 http://www.asymptosis.com/are-machines-replacing-humans-or-am-i-a-luddite.html

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Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

2010-03-20 Thread Ronn! Blankenship

At 05:02 PM Saturday 3/20/2010, David Brin wrote:

I challenge libertarians to imagine it is 1861.  In which army do they fight?



Subquestion #1:  Where do they live?

Subquestion #2:  What is the color of their skin?

(Point being that although some people had a 
choice in that matter — and some made one — many 
did not.  Although another point is that some who 
did did not necessarily make the obvious choice 
based on the subquestions . . . )



. . . ronn!  :)



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Re: Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

2010-03-20 Thread KZK

http://www.asymptosis.com/libertarians-republicans-and-democrats-new-findings-on-morality-empathy-and-sympathy.html


Another point.  Since conservatives seem to care a great deal for 
purity, this post makes a whole lot more sense:


http://pandagon.net/index.php/site/comments/how_worried_should_we_be/

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Two interesting Articles for Dr. Brin:

2010-03-19 Thread KZK

http://www.asymptosis.com/libertarians-republicans-and-democrats-new-findings-on-morality-empathy-and-sympathy.html

http://www.asymptosis.com/are-machines-replacing-humans-or-am-i-a-luddite.html

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Interesting trend.

2008-11-10 Thread William T Goodall
http://www.rcrwireless.com/article/20081110/WIRELESS/811109985/1081/newsletter30

Apple Inc.'s 3G iPhone was the top-selling handset in the United  
States in the third quarter, according to new data from NPD Group.

The long reign of Motorola Inc.'s Razr handset — three straight years,  
or 12 consecutive quarters — is over. The Razr, in all its myriad  
models, slipped to the No. 2 position.

Research In Motion Ltd.'s BlackBerry Curve garnered the No. 3 spot,  
followed by LG Electronic Co. Ltd.'s Rumor and Env2. 

http://www.engadget.com/2008/11/07/analyst-confirms-apple-slid-past-rim-to-become-number-two-smartp/

Research firm Canalys says that Apple stole the rug out from  
underneath RIM in the third quarter to become the world's number two  
pusher of smartphones, taking a hearty 17.3 percent market share  
compared to RIM's 15.2 percent and Windows Mobile's 13.6 percent. 

(Symbian is #1, but losing share.)

http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasictaxonomyName=ManagementarticleId=9117738taxonomyId=14pageNumber=2

purely in terms of revenue (rather than units sold, since the iPhone  
is more expensive than most cell phones in the market), Apple is the  
world's third-largest mobile-phone supplier, trailing only Nokia and  
Samsung. 

Apple seems to  have learned from its mistakes in the Mac/Windows  
competition of the 90's.

Platform Maru
-- 
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

There's no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant  
market share. No chance - Steve Ballmer


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RE: An interesting response

2008-05-05 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Charlie Bell
 Sent: Saturday, May 03, 2008 9:48 AM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: An interesting response
 
 
 On 04/05/2008, at 12:31 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  The second article shows a _demostrated_ range of 13500 for the
  777 , and
  the nonstop route would be somewhat shorter than a one stop route.
 
 When loaded with passengers and baggage, the airline will be able to
 fly 10,900 miles non-stop
 
 Yes, it did 13,500. Unloaded. It'll just be able to do London - Sydney
 loaded if the shortest possible aircraft route is available, and in
 the right conditions. Really want to rely on no headwinds to make it
 across Oz...?
 
 The longest scheduled commercial service offered currently is the over
 18 hour non-stop from Newark to Singapore.
 
 Maybe someone will offer a London-Sydney non-stop in the future, and
 maybe it'll be a 777 that does it, but currently no plane can do it
 commercially, as I said. 

First a pedantic point, than a real one.  You actually said

No current commercial aircraft can do it.

The sources I read indicated (I think I quoted one) said that Boeing was in
negotiations for selling a number of 777s configured to make the
London-Sydney run nonstop, on a regular basis.  The return trip, due to
prevailing head winds, would require a stop.  The change to the plane would
be a seating arrangement change, from 300 seats to 250.

Clearly, this is not commercial now, or someone would be making money doing
it.  But, a commercial plane is capable of the trip, which is what I
honestly thought we were discussing

The more substantial point involves the maximum speed achieved by piloted
planes over about the last 60 years.
 
1947312
1968925
19901000
20081000 

There is physics behind this, not just a lack of will.  _That's_ been my
point all along.

Dan M. 

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RE: An interesting response

2008-05-05 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 05:34 PM Monday 5/5/2008, Dan M wrote:



The more substantial point involves the maximum speed achieved by piloted
planes over about the last 60 years.

1947312
1968925
19901000
20081000



There is obviously some additional modifier missing here, since even 
if the X-15 is disqualified since it used a rocket engine rather than 
an air-breathing engine, the SR-71 is still considered a jet aircraft 
(even if it uses exotic fuel) and is piloted 
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eldon_W._Joersz).


. . . ronn!  :)



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RE: An interesting response

2008-05-05 Thread [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Original Message:
-
From: Ronn! Blankenship [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Mon, 05 May 2008 19:22:53 -0500
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: RE: An interesting response 


At 05:34 PM Monday 5/5/2008, Dan M wrote:



The more substantial point involves the maximum speed achieved by piloted
planes over about the last 60 years.

1947312
1968925
19901000
20081000



There is obviously some additional modifier missing here, since even 
if the X-15 is disqualified since it used a rocket engine rather than 
an air-breathing engine, the SR-71 is still considered a jet aircraft 
(even if it uses exotic fuel) and is piloted 
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eldon_W._Joersz).


Sorry, I was doing meters/second and didn't give units like I meant to. 
1000 comes out to 2236 mph, a bit more than your source which claims 2188. 
Maybe the 2236 wasn't quite official for some reason.  But, we basicaly
agree here. And yes, I didn't consider rocket planes, and didn't consider
the shuttle, etc.  

Dan M.


mail2web.com - Microsoft® Exchange solutions from a leading provider -
http://link.mail2web.com/Business/Exchange


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Re: An interesting response

2008-05-04 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan wrote:



 My argument is that we shouldn't think of green energy as merely a test of
 our will.  It is also dependant on the lay of the land.  Past behavior
 doesn't guarantee future behavior, but it's much more likely that, in 10
 years, we will have a 1 terabyte drive for $100 than have a plane that can
 carry 1500 passengers that flies for the same price (not price per
 passenger but total price) as a plane that carries 100.


10 years?  You can get one for $200 now: *http://tinyurl.com/62bmep

The way prices for hard drives change, I doubt it will be much more than
one.

Doug
*
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Re: An interesting response

2008-05-04 Thread [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Original Message:
-
From: Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Sun, 4 May 2008 11:10:57 -0800
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: Re: An interesting response


Dan wrote:



 My argument is that we shouldn't think of green energy as merely a test of
 our will.  It is also dependant on the lay of the land.  Past behavior
 doesn't guarantee future behavior, but it's much more likely that, in 10
 years, we will have a 1 terabyte drive for $100 than have a plane that can
 carry 1500 passengers that flies for the same price (not price per
 passenger but total price) as a plane that carries 100.


10 years?  You can get one for $200 now: *http://tinyurl.com/62bmep

The way prices for hard drives change, I doubt it will be much more than
one.

I stand corrected. :-)

How about 10 Tbytes in 10 years for $100? I suppose that might seem
expensive in 10 years, unless there is a lot of inflation between now and
then and the minimum wage goes to $100/hour.  

When I first looked at the price of disk space, in 1978, the HEP department
was paying $2.50 per week per Mbyte for its use of disk space.  

So, it's fair to say that I've understated my point. :-)

Dan M. 

Dan M. 


mail2web - Check your email from the web at
http://link.mail2web.com/mail2web


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Re: An interesting response

2008-05-03 Thread [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Original Message:
-
From: Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Sat, 3 May 2008 15:17:39 +1000
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: Re: An interesting response 



On 03/05/2008, at 1:48 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 and their fuel loads per passenger.  One would have to stop for
 fueling several times to make that distance. I realize that most  
 planes have to stop once, including the 747, but the 777 can make 
it in one.

London to Sydney? In one hop? No current commercial aircraft can do  
it. London to Sydney is almost 13.500 miles and the 777 has a range of  
a bit over 9000. I'll come back to the rest of the post later.

It's true that some of the plans are for 787 flights, not 777 flights, but
if the links given below are trustworthy both the 777 and the 787 have the
capacity to do it as nonstop.

http://www.get-packing.com/news/flights/archives/april-2007/virgin-plans-dir
ect-london-to-sydney-flights.html?fid=1094933108


http://travel.timesonline.co.uk/tol/life_and_style/travel/business/article59
0535.ece

http://www.get-packing.com/news/flights/archives/february-2007/qantas-consid
ers-non-stop-london-sydney-flights.html?fid=1638842198

It's not commercial yet, but according to the first quote, planes are now
on order for that flight.

The second article shows a _demostrated_ range of 13500 for the 777 , and
the nonstop route would be somewhat shorter than a one stop route. 

Dan M.




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Re: An interesting response

2008-05-03 Thread Charlie Bell

On 04/05/2008, at 12:31 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 The second article shows a _demostrated_ range of 13500 for the  
 777 , and
 the nonstop route would be somewhat shorter than a one stop route.

When loaded with passengers and baggage, the airline will be able to  
fly 10,900 miles non-stop

Yes, it did 13,500. Unloaded. It'll just be able to do London - Sydney  
loaded if the shortest possible aircraft route is available, and in  
the right conditions. Really want to rely on no headwinds to make it  
across Oz...?

The longest scheduled commercial service offered currently is the over  
18 hour non-stop from Newark to Singapore.

Maybe someone will offer a London-Sydney non-stop in the future, and  
maybe it'll be a 777 that does it, but currently no plane can do it  
commercially, as I said.

Charlie.
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Re: An interesting response

2008-05-02 Thread [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Charlie Bell wrote on April 16th:
Re: An interesting response 

On 17/04/2008, at 12:26 PM, Dan M wrote:

 Well, Concord was a political animal from the very beginning wasn't
 it? It was a tax subsidized showcase for Britain and France from the
 start. IIRC, it never really was a profit center.

All aircraft mfrs are subsidised. Yes, it was supposed to be a
technology

It sounds as though this is a reflection of the common EU argument that the
US’s concentrating its purchases of military aircraft amounts to a subsidy
of US commercial aircraft.  But, the big US commercial aircraft maker
(Boeing) hasn’t had much luck in the military marker in the last 15 years. 
Boeing has received tax breaks, like every company, but the governments are
not involved the way the EU is involved with AirBus. 


 its successor would have been an efficient supersonic plane.

 I don't doubt that a successor would have been better, but you putting
 efficient in quotes seems to indicate that you aren't arguing
 against the fundamental increase in cost per passenger mile when a plane
goes at
Mach 1.05 compared to Mach 0.95.

Fundamental? No. Substantial, yes.

Well, we may be arguing semantic again.  I’ve seen fundamental costs being
about a factor of 5 or so per passenger.  I guess that would allow for 

 That's not political. The decision to use tax  money to subsidize the
travel of the richest businessmen is, of course, political.

The politics came in when a swathe of countries banned the Concorde
from overflying. That's what killed it. Didn't take long before the
only route for Concorde was the transatlantic shuttle, and even then,
only the very rich could afford it. 

After looking into this, there is some truth in this.  But, you do know it
was environmental politics,  right?  That’s what killed the US SST program

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_2707

I know how loud sonic booms sounded when I was a kid.  I can see how easy
it was to get people opposed to them happening all the time.


That's a scale issue. When only a handful are ever built, the RD isn't 
every going to be repaid. 

That’s OK, and I understand it.  But, at the same time, I recall the
tremendous pride of Britain and France on stealing a march on the US at the
time.

You seem to think the subsidies were aimed towards Concorde's final fate.
They weren't, they were aimed at getting the time of long-haul flights
down. Even today, it takes a day to get from London to Sydney.
Concorde was supposed to halve that.

But, supersonic flight is a fuel hog.  Look at the range of the 747 vs. the
Concord and their fuel loads per passenger.  One would have to stop for
fueling several times to make that distance. I realize that most planes
have to stop once, including the 747, but the 777 can make it in one.

The Concord would still be faster, and the point is moot due to
environmental concerns that won’t go away.  But, I think without those, it
is reasonable to assume that some businessmen would be willing to pay 5x
the fare for a thin seat to save half of the time.

But, granting that, my point is that natural barriers do exist.  Some lines
of inquiry and technology are easier than others.  Right now, computer
chips remain under Moore’s law  and it appears that gene manipulation is
doing even better.

Let me try an analogy to illustrate my point.  We scientists and RD
engineers are like 16th century explorers.  Part of where they went was
determined by their will, our abilities, their technology, etc.  But, part
of it was determined by the lay of the land.  The Northwest passage didn’t
exist until last year (the Northeast passage existed for a few years before
that).  There was no easy way around the Americas.  Valley that were
explored seemed promising as passages over the Continental divide, but few
good ones exist.

My argument is that we shouldn’t think of green energy as merely a test of
our will.  It is also dependant on the lay of the land.  Past behavior
doesn’t guarantee future behavior, but it’s much more likely that, in 10
years, we will have a 1 terabyte drive for $100 than have a plane that can
carry 1500 passengers that flies for the same price (not price per
passenger but total price) as a plane that carries 100.


t's chicken wire on poles, Dan. Strung over land that can still be
used for other stuff. The rectennas are by far the smallest costs in
the whole thing...

I’m not sure it’s quite that simple.  I agree it will probably be a lot
cheaper than the transmitter. But, I don't think the process is trivial. If
the transmission is that simple, why wouldn’t we be using it for remote
locations now.  Just put a tower up and transmit the energy? 



 I understand that, but there was a huge inertia

...?

 I understand that, but there was a huge inertia with mainframe computers
in the 70s and they soon became dinosaurs.  Yet, the capital invested in
the Z-density I helped design was small, yet it was 20 years before it was
worth the bother to design a new

Re: An interesting response

2008-05-02 Thread Charlie Bell

On 03/05/2008, at 1:48 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 You seem to think the subsidies were aimed towards Concorde's final  
 fate.
 They weren't, they were aimed at getting the time of long-haul  
 flights
 down. Even today, it takes a day to get from London to Sydney.
 Concorde was supposed to halve that.

 But, supersonic flight is a fuel hog.  Look at the range of the 747  
 vs. the
 Concord

Concorde. With an e.

 and their fuel loads per passenger.  One would have to stop for
 fueling several times to make that distance. I realize that most  
 planes
 have to stop once, including the 747, but the 777 can make it in one.

London to Sydney? In one hop? No current commercial aircraft can do  
it. London to Sydney is almost 13.500 miles and the 777 has a range of  
a bit over 9000. I'll come back to the rest of the post later.

Charlie.
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RE: An interesting response

2008-04-24 Thread Curtis Burisch
Reality check.

Coal power is about 0.04 cents / kWh

I'm in the solar biz. The reality is:

Orbital stations are operational for 100% of the time. Earthbound stations
are operational at most 50% of the time (because of the day/night cycle).
But orbital stations cost a LOT more to get going. This eliminates any
advantage you might get from the 50% power gain, and then some.

I'm a proponent of earthbound CPV systems, and am actively seeking
investment in my particular design. I know this industry inside and out, and
can tell you straight out that orbital power gen systems will simply not
fly, for cost-effectiveness reasons.

Regards,
Curtis.



With very expensive receivers you can get about 40% efficiency.

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of Charlie Bell
Sent: Friday, April 18, 2008 1:40 PM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Re: An interesting response 


On 18/04/2008, at 7:16 AM, hkhenson wrote:
 At 12:00 PM 4/17/2008, Dan M wrote:

 Nothing works 100% of the time, but lets assume a 95% efficiency,  
 or running
 8322 hours/year.  The cost is, then, about $39 per kWh.

 If you do it this way, the cost the next year is zero.  That's not
 good accounting.  These things should run for decades.  If you wrote
 it off in 10 years, it would be $3.90 a kWh.

Ah yes. I totally missed that part of Dan's calculation, despite the  
fact I used precisely the correct calculation in my own roof-top solar  
calculation - I blame my flu. Fucking schoolboy error.

So - assuming a yearly running cost at 10% of start-up, that's still  
about 5 bucks a kwh. So comparable to rooftop solar, but with  
massively more startup cost.

Hmmm. So why's it better?

C.
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Re: An interesting response

2008-04-24 Thread Charlie Bell

On 25/04/2008, at 4:19 AM, Curtis Burisch wrote:
 Reality check.
 I'm a proponent of earthbound CPV systems, and am actively seeking
 investment in my particular design. I know this industry inside and  
 out, and
 can tell you straight out that orbital power gen systems will simply  
 not
 fly, for cost-effectiveness reasons.

Well, there we have it. Is there nothing that someone on here isn't an  
expert in?

Charlie.
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Re: An interesting response

2008-04-24 Thread Julia Thompson


On Fri, 25 Apr 2008, Charlie Bell wrote:


 On 25/04/2008, at 4:19 AM, Curtis Burisch wrote:
 Reality check.
 I'm a proponent of earthbound CPV systems, and am actively seeking
 investment in my particular design. I know this industry inside and
 out, and
 can tell you straight out that orbital power gen systems will simply
 not
 fly, for cost-effectiveness reasons.

 Well, there we have it. Is there nothing that someone on here isn't an
 expert in?

And if anyone was thinking of saying child car seats, try again.  :)

Julia

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RE: An interesting response

2008-04-24 Thread Curtis Burisch
Coal power is about 0.04 cents / kWh

Whoops. That was supposed to be 4 cents / kWh.

I also neglected to mention the following stats that may be of interest:

 Power in earth orbit:   1300 W/m^2
 Power at earth surface: 1000 W/m^2

Regards,
Curtis.

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Re: An interesting response

2008-04-18 Thread Charlie Bell

On 18/04/2008, at 7:16 AM, hkhenson wrote:
 At 12:00 PM 4/17/2008, Dan M wrote:

 Nothing works 100% of the time, but lets assume a 95% efficiency,  
 or running
 8322 hours/year.  The cost is, then, about $39 per kWh.

 If you do it this way, the cost the next year is zero.  That's not
 good accounting.  These things should run for decades.  If you wrote
 it off in 10 years, it would be $3.90 a kWh.

Ah yes. I totally missed that part of Dan's calculation, despite the  
fact I used precisely the correct calculation in my own roof-top solar  
calculation - I blame my flu. Fucking schoolboy error.

So - assuming a yearly running cost at 10% of start-up, that's still  
about 5 bucks a kwh. So comparable to rooftop solar, but with  
massively more startup cost.

Hmmm. So why's it better?

C.
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RE: An interesting response

2008-04-17 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of hkhenson
 Sent: Wednesday, April 16, 2008 8:10 PM
 To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Subject: An interesting response
 
 At 12:00 PM 4/16/2008, Dan M wrote:
 (Keith wrote)
  
   At 12:00 PM 4/11/2008, Dan M wrote:
  
   (Keith wrote)
Takes 10 200 ton payload
 rockets each flying once a day to do it and with a blank check
 perhaps under 5 years to work up to this production rate and 6-7
 years from start to get to a $50 billion a year revenue stream
 increasing at $25 billion a year.
   
   OK, let's do the math on that.  At the present time, the cost of lift
 to
   geosynchronous orbit is $20,000 per kg or $20M per metric ton. Ten
 200
   ton
   payloads would be about 40 billion per day or 14.6 trillion per year.
   That's roughly the GDP of the US.
  
   And the analogy would be how impossible it is to build a dam sending
   all the contents in Fed Ex envelopes.
  
   The trick is, as it always has been, to lower launch costs.
   Unfortunately,
   even in inflation adjusted dollars, launch costs haven't dropped much
   over
   the past 40 years.
  
   I agree with you.  The question is why?
 
 I wrote a blog on that general topic at  the Scientific American website
 
 http://science-community.sciam.com/blog-entry/Dan-Ms-Blog/Unfortunate-
 Promin
 ent-Misconception-Concerning-Tech/34870
 
 It was an interesting blog, though *social problems* are in a very
 different class than engineering ones like going to the moon.  At
 least they are now.  Ask and I will point you to a dark story about
 how they might be solved.
 
 The essence is that when the engineering community starts working on
 something, it starts working on the obviously solvable problems first.
 Then, progress slows as the easy problems are solved and harder problems
 are
 faced.  The point at which this happens, and the manner in which it
 happens
 is based on what is found.  The speed of sound barrier is rather
 significant, and we have not found a way to develop efficient planes that
 go
 at Mach 1.1 almost 60 years after we first went above Mach 1.
 
  It's not the cost of energy.
 
 No, it's the cost of the system.
 
  A nearly hundred percent efficient space
  elevator lifts about 2400 mt a day (on less than a GW)
 
 snip
 
 I've invented a few things that are used worldwide and am still engaged
 in
 practical science/engineering.  I've worked close to guys who's
 inventions
 have reduce world costs for producing oil by about 250 million/day.
 
 Since there are around 80 million barrels a day produced, that's a
 reduction of about 3%.
 
 So, I
 think I'm fairly familiar with processes that are economical and that
 work.
 I have not seen anything in what you have written on this subject that
 gives
 an indication of an understanding of the nature of practical solutions to
 problems.
 
 What do you want?  The current 747 cost about $300 million and dry
 masses out to about 185 mt or $1.6 million a ton.  Produced in
 similar tonnage, do you see any reason these rockets would cost more
 than per ton than a 747?  If so, why?

For the rocket itself, not counting all the other expenses associated with
launches, that's not an unreasonable cost. 

 
 First and second stage mass 619 tons, (third stage is mostly power
 sat parts) so if they cost on a par with a 747, they would cost just
 a hair over a billion each, with one coming off the production line
 every 20 days, or about 31 mt a day.  That might sound like a lot,
 but I have worked in a locomotive factory that made 30 times that
 much a day in product (8-9 locomotives a day at 113 mt each).  At
 peak production 747s were coming off the line at a slightly higher
 tonnage per year.  If you use them for 200 flights the capital cost
 per flight is $5 million /200,000kg or $25/kg.

Here's where you throw in the unspecified assumption.  A simple disposable
rocket, like the ones being used by all launch facilities but the shuttle,
could cost about what you said. But, then you talk about reusable rockets
and assume that the initial capital cost is the critical factor.

The fantasy of the space shuttle was that it could be reused easily.  10
years into the mission, it was supposed to require a very small ground crew,
getting lift costs to near earth orbit down to about $25/kg or some such
number.  But, the maintenance is very high and expensive.  The shuttle costs
a lot of money to fly, even though we are not buying new shuttles, the big
fuel tank is the cheapest part of the assembly, and the solid fuel rockets
are recoverable.

So, I've seen no estimates for this, just the same arm waving I heard about
the shuttle years ago.  I can think of Russia, Japan, the EU, the US, and
China all having significant lift capacity, and Russia is the cheapest
available one I know of.  I tend to look at actual costs and their trends as
a guideline, not estimates that make unproven assumptions.


I realize

Re: An interesting response

2008-04-17 Thread hkhenson
At 12:00 PM 4/17/2008, Dan M wrote:

Nothing works 100% of the time, but lets assume a 95% efficiency, or running
8322 hours/year.  The cost is, then, about $39 per kWh.

If you do it this way, the cost the next year is zero.  That's not 
good accounting.  These things should run for decades.  If you wrote 
it off in 10 years, it would be $3.90 a kWh.

And what kind of a deal would the Russians give you if you wanted to 
launch 110 of these a day?

Keith 

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Re: An interesting response

2008-04-17 Thread Lance A. Brown


hkhenson said the following on 4/17/2008 5:16 PM:
 At 12:00 PM 4/17/2008, Dan M wrote:
 
 And what kind of a deal would the Russians give you if you wanted to 
 launch 110 of these a day?

Perhaps this is naive of me, but who is going to want to build the 
multiple launching facilities 110 launches/day will require?  I would 
expect most of those pads would go idle once the project completed, no? 
  Seems like a sunk cost to me.

--[Lance]

-- 
  GPG Fingerprint: 409B A409 A38D 92BF 15D9 6EEE 9A82 F2AC 69AC 07B9
  CACert.org Assurer
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RE: An interesting response

2008-04-16 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of hkhenson
 Sent: Friday, April 11, 2008 3:43 PM
 To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Subject: RE: An interesting response
 
 At 12:00 PM 4/11/2008, Dan M wrote:
 
 (Keith wrote)
  Takes 10 200 ton payload
   rockets each flying once a day to do it and with a blank check
   perhaps under 5 years to work up to this production rate and 6-7
   years from start to get to a $50 billion a year revenue stream
   increasing at $25 billion a year.
 
 OK, let's do the math on that.  At the present time, the cost of lift to
 geosynchronous orbit is $20,000 per kg or $20M per metric ton. Ten 200
 ton
 payloads would be about 40 billion per day or 14.6 trillion per year.
 That's roughly the GDP of the US.
 
 And the analogy would be how impossible it is to build a dam sending
 all the contents in Fed Ex envelopes.
 
 The trick is, as it always has been, to lower launch costs.
 Unfortunately,
 even in inflation adjusted dollars, launch costs haven't dropped much
 over
 the past 40 years.
 
 I agree with you.  The question is why?  

I wrote a blog on that general topic at  the Scientific American website 

http://science-community.sciam.com/blog-entry/Dan-Ms-Blog/Unfortunate-Promin
ent-Misconception-Concerning-Tech/34870

The essence is that when the engineering community starts working on
something, it starts working on the obviously solvable problems first.
Then, progress slows as the easy problems are solved and harder problems are
faced.  The point at which this happens, and the manner in which it happens
is based on what is found.  The speed of sound barrier is rather
significant, and we have not found a way to develop efficient planes that go
at Mach 1.1 almost 60 years after we first went above Mach 1.  



It's not the cost of energy.  

No, it's the cost of the system. 

A nearly hundred percent efficient space elevator lifts about 2400 mt a day

 
 Of course you have the cost of the elevator and cleaning up the space
 junk as capital costs.  It can't be done at all now because we don't
 have the cable, but just for analysis put a $1000 billion price tag
 on it. 

Sure, if the cost were that low, it would work.  But setting a figure like
that reminds me of the story of the engineer, the chemist, and the
accountant who were all stuck on a desert island with cans of food and no
can opener.I'm sure you've all heard the jokebut the punchline is
the accountant, after hearing suggestions from the engineer and the chemist
that don't work gives his solution that starts with first assume we have a
can opener.

I've invented a few things that are used worldwide and am still engaged in
practical science/engineering.  I've worked close to guys who's inventions
have reduce world costs for producing oil by about 250 million/day.  So, I
think I'm fairly familiar with processes that are economical and that work.
I have not seen anything in what you have written on this subject that gives
an indication of an understanding of the nature of practical solutions to
problems.


 Done with rockets of this sort
 http://www.ilr.tu-berlin.de/koelle/Neptun/NEP2015.pdf the energy
 input is about 15 times that high, or from $15 /kg down to $1.50 as
 you get less and less expensive energy.

I went to this website, and it looked like a speculative conference.
Vaporware is easy to build.  Doing something that works is hard.  Most
things we wish we could do we do not know how to do.

I think that this is the absolutely fundamental difference you have with
folks who argue for nuclear reactors vs. space based solar power.  We've
demonstrated 

 
safety mechanisms,
 
 Can you be specific about what you mean here?

Sure, to be effective, power would have to be transmitted down in a fairly
dense fashion.  One needs mechanisms that provide feedback to turn the power
off should the aim stray. 


 
 
 Plus,
 it costs money to build the actual arrays.
 
 That's true, but with just mild concentration you can get at least 10
 times more power out of a solar cell in space.

We have an overwhelmingly fundamental difference here.  I have looked at the
solar arrays for the space station and they are expensive.  If concentration
were trivial in space, don't you think they would have used it?  We know on
earth that techniques that use concentration have practical problems that
have prevented them from being cost effective. 


 
 If you can find a way to drop
 launch costs a factor of 100 to 500, then space based solar becomes a
 player.  There is nothing like that on the horizon.
 
 There doesn't seem to be any reason a really huge throughput
 transport system should not be able to give you that much
 reduction. 

Then, why hasn't it happened with the scores of airline industries?  747s
were brought online in the '60salmost 40 years ago.  747s remain
competitive.  The airline industry is huge, and we've only seen incremental
improvements over the past 40 years

Re: An interesting response

2008-04-16 Thread Charlie Bell

On 17/04/2008, at 3:14 AM, Dan M wrote:
  The speed of sound barrier is rather
 significant, and we have not found a way to develop efficient planes  
 that go
 at Mach 1.1 almost 60 years after we first went above Mach 1.

So-called supercruise. The biggest problem with going over Mach 1 is  
political and legal, not technological - had Concorde not been killed  
by politics, its successor would have been an efficient supersonic  
plane.





 It's not the cost of energy.

 No, it's the cost of the system.

Yep.

 Can you be specific about what you mean here?

 Sure, to be effective, power would have to be transmitted down in a  
 fairly
 dense fashion.  One needs mechanisms that provide feedback to turn  
 the power
 off should the aim stray.

Current designs seem to show a wide collection with a diffuse beam, so  
that it's relatively safe to be under the beam.

 There doesn't seem to be any reason a really huge throughput
 transport system should not be able to give you that much
 reduction.

 Then, why hasn't it happened with the scores of airline industries?   
 747s
 were brought online in the '60salmost 40 years ago.  747s remain
 competitive.  The airline industry is huge, and we've only seen  
 incremental
 improvements over the past 40 years.

And 747s, beyond the basic airframe and control systems, are very  
different to what they were in the 70s. (by the way, they were  
brought online in 1970 - maiden flight was '69, but it wasn't  
delivered 'til the following year). There isn't a need for that many  
huge airliners, only around 1400 747s have been built, and it's taken  
'til last year for the 747s size and efficiency to be surpassed by the  
A380 (which is an incredible plane) - improvements in the mid-size  
airliners have been marked, however, mainly because there's a lot more  
competition.

Point on this part is that there is huge inertia when there's huge  
capital expenditure - if you've spent a few tens of millions on a  
plane in 1970 or 1980 you're going to keep using it as long as you  
can, 'cause a similar plane costs a few hundred million in 2008.

All that said, I'd like to see you, Dan, try to put together a cost- 
analysis on a powersat project. You're very good at using your  
tenacious posting to naysay, so I'd like to see you attempt to solve  
the problem so I can see where the problems are.

C.

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An interesting response

2008-04-16 Thread hkhenson
At 12:00 PM 4/16/2008, Dan M wrote:
(Keith wrote)
 
  At 12:00 PM 4/11/2008, Dan M wrote:
 
  (Keith wrote)
   Takes 10 200 ton payload
rockets each flying once a day to do it and with a blank check
perhaps under 5 years to work up to this production rate and 6-7
years from start to get to a $50 billion a year revenue stream
increasing at $25 billion a year.
  
  OK, let's do the math on that.  At the present time, the cost of lift to
  geosynchronous orbit is $20,000 per kg or $20M per metric ton. Ten 200
  ton
  payloads would be about 40 billion per day or 14.6 trillion per year.
  That's roughly the GDP of the US.
 
  And the analogy would be how impossible it is to build a dam sending
  all the contents in Fed Ex envelopes.
 
  The trick is, as it always has been, to lower launch costs.
  Unfortunately,
  even in inflation adjusted dollars, launch costs haven't dropped much
  over
  the past 40 years.
 
  I agree with you.  The question is why?

I wrote a blog on that general topic at  the Scientific American website

http://science-community.sciam.com/blog-entry/Dan-Ms-Blog/Unfortunate-Promin
ent-Misconception-Concerning-Tech/34870

It was an interesting blog, though *social problems* are in a very 
different class than engineering ones like going to the moon.  At 
least they are now.  Ask and I will point you to a dark story about 
how they might be solved.

The essence is that when the engineering community starts working on
something, it starts working on the obviously solvable problems first.
Then, progress slows as the easy problems are solved and harder problems are
faced.  The point at which this happens, and the manner in which it happens
is based on what is found.  The speed of sound barrier is rather
significant, and we have not found a way to develop efficient planes that go
at Mach 1.1 almost 60 years after we first went above Mach 1.

 It's not the cost of energy.

No, it's the cost of the system.

 A nearly hundred percent efficient space
 elevator lifts about 2400 mt a day (on less than a GW)

snip

I've invented a few things that are used worldwide and am still engaged in
practical science/engineering.  I've worked close to guys who's inventions
have reduce world costs for producing oil by about 250 million/day.

Since there are around 80 million barrels a day produced, that's a 
reduction of about 3%.

So, I
think I'm fairly familiar with processes that are economical and that work.
I have not seen anything in what you have written on this subject that gives
an indication of an understanding of the nature of practical solutions to
problems.

What do you want?  The current 747 cost about $300 million and dry 
masses out to about 185 mt or $1.6 million a ton.  Produced in 
similar tonnage, do you see any reason these rockets would cost more 
than per ton than a 747?  If so, why?

First and second stage mass 619 tons, (third stage is mostly power 
sat parts) so if they cost on a par with a 747, they would cost just 
a hair over a billion each, with one coming off the production line 
every 20 days, or about 31 mt a day.  That might sound like a lot, 
but I have worked in a locomotive factory that made 30 times that 
much a day in product (8-9 locomotives a day at 113 mt each).  At 
peak production 747s were coming off the line at a slightly higher 
tonnage per year.  If you use them for 200 flights the capital cost 
per flight is $5 million /200,000kg or $25/kg.

This number is excessively rough, but could be refined without a lot 
of trouble.  At a nickel a kWh, a kg of power sat generates $200 of 
electricity a year.

  Done with rockets of this sort
  http://www.ilr.tu-berlin.de/koelle/Neptun/NEP2015.pdf the energy
  input is about 15 times that high, or from $15 /kg down to $1.50 as
  you get less and less expensive energy.

I went to this website, and it looked like a speculative conference.
Vaporware is easy to build.  Doing something that works is hard.  Most
things we wish we could do we do not know how to do.

The .pdf was recommended as a good reference by Hu Davis of Eagle 
Engineering.  Look him up.

I think that this is the absolutely fundamental difference you have with
folks who argue for nuclear reactors vs. space based solar power.  We've
demonstrated

 
 safety mechanisms,
 
  Can you be specific about what you mean here?

Sure, to be effective, power would have to be transmitted down in a fairly
dense fashion.  One needs mechanisms that provide feedback to turn the power
off should the aim stray.

The power level for power sats was set at about 1/4kW/square meter 
back in the 70s so it could not be used as a weapon.  There was also 
concern that the ionosphere could go non-linear and short out the 
beam.  As far as sending the beam down densely, it's an optical 
problem--see the math behind Airy's disk.  If you want to get a 
tighter beam you have to go to a larger transmitter or higher 
frequency or both.  The beam requires a pilot beam up from

RE: An interesting response

2008-04-16 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Charlie Bell
 Sent: Wednesday, April 16, 2008 6:49 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: An interesting response
 
 
 On 17/04/2008, at 3:14 AM, Dan M wrote:
   The speed of sound barrier is rather
  significant, and we have not found a way to develop efficient planes
  that go
  at Mach 1.1 almost 60 years after we first went above Mach 1.
 
 So-called supercruise. The biggest problem with going over Mach 1 is
 political and legal, not technological - had Concorde not been killed
 by politics.

Well, Concord was a political animal from the very beginning wasn't it?  It
was a tax subsidized showcase for Britain and France from the start.  IIRC,
it never really was a profit center.

 its successor would have been an efficient supersonic plane.

I don't doubt that a successor would have been better, but you putting
efficient in quotes seems to indicate that you aren't arguing against the
fundamental increase in cost per passenger mile when a plane goes at Mach
1.05 compared to Mach 0.95.  That's not political.  The decision to use tax
money to subsidize the travel of the richest businessmen is, of course,
political.

  Can you be specific about what you mean here?
 
  Sure, to be effective, power would have to be transmitted down in a
  fairly
  dense fashion.  One needs mechanisms that provide feedback to turn
  the power
  off should the aim stray.
 
 Current designs seem to show a wide collection with a diffuse beam, so
 that it's relatively safe to be under the beam.

OK, then there would be the cost of a wider array, earlier designs had
cheaper local receivers with feedback required to keep the beam on.  I'm not
saying that this would be a showstopper, it's just that it's part of the
price that has to be figured in.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_747


 And 747s, beyond the basic airframe and control systems, are very
 different to what they were in the 70s. (by the way, they were
 brought online in 1970..

OK, the first commercial flight was Jan, 22, 1970...my apologies for
rounding. 

But, the 747 is still in competition, sometimes on the same routes as
smaller planes...and there are still a number on order (see site given
above).   

 
 Point on this part is that there is huge inertia when there's huge
 capital expenditure - if you've spent a few tens of millions on a
 plane in 1970 or 1980 you're going to keep using it as long as you
 can, 'cause a similar plane costs a few hundred million in 2008.

I understand that, but there was a huge inertia

 All that said, I'd like to see you, Dan, try to put together a cost-
 analysis on a powersat project. 

Sure, be glad to.  The cheapest commercially available launch to
geosynchronous orbit (GEO) that I know of is the Russian Zenit program.  For
about 90 million, one can get a payload of just over 1800 kg into GEO.
That's just under 50,000 per kg.  

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zenit_rocket


OK, so lets calculate output per kg. of weight.  From a site that is
promoting their solar cells for use in orbit

http://www.mdatechnology.net/techprofile.aspx?id=226

we get an output of 150W/kg.  That gives us a launch cost of about $325 per
watt  (I'm rounding down now instead of up).

Nothing works 100% of the time, but lets assume a 95% efficiency, or running
8322 hours/year.  The cost is, then, about $39 per kWh. 

Dan M. 





 tenacious posting to naysay, so I'd like to see you attempt to solve
 the problem so I can see where the problems are.




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Re: An interesting response

2008-04-16 Thread Charlie Bell

On 17/04/2008, at 12:26 PM, Dan M wrote:


 So-called supercruise. The biggest problem with going over Mach 1 is
 political and legal, not technological - had Concorde not been killed
 by politics.

 Well, Concord was a political animal from the very beginning wasn't  
 it?  It
 was a tax subsidized showcase for Britain and France from the  
 start.  IIRC,
 it never really was a profit center.

All aircraft mfrs are subsidised. Yes, it was supposed to be a  
technology


 its successor would have been an efficient supersonic plane.

 I don't doubt that a successor would have been better, but you putting
 efficient in quotes seems to indicate that you aren't arguing  
 against the
 fundamental increase in cost per passenger mile when a plane goes at  
 Mach
 1.05 compared to Mach 0.95.

Fundamental? No. Substantial, yes.

  That's not political.  The decision to use tax
 money to subsidize the travel of the richest businessmen is, of  
 course,
 political.

The politics came in when a swathe of countries banned the Concorde  
from overflying. That's what killed it. Didn't take long before the  
only route for Concorde was the transatlantic shuttle, and even then,  
only the very rich could afford it. That's a scale issue. When only a  
handful are ever built, the RD isn't every going to be repaid. You  
seem to think the subsidies were aimed towards Concorde's final fate.  
They weren't, they were aimed at getting the time of long-haul flights  
down. Even today, it takes a day to get from London to Sydney.  
Concorde was supposed to halve that.


 Can you be specific about what you mean here?

 Sure, to be effective, power would have to be transmitted down in a
 fairly
 dense fashion.  One needs mechanisms that provide feedback to turn
 the power
 off should the aim stray.

 Current designs seem to show a wide collection with a diffuse beam,  
 so
 that it's relatively safe to be under the beam.

 OK, then there would be the cost of a wider array,

It's chicken wire on poles, Dan. Strung over land that can still be  
used for other stuff. The rectennas are by far the smallest costs in  
the whole thing...


 Point on this part is that there is huge inertia when there's huge
 capital expenditure - if you've spent a few tens of millions on a
 plane in 1970 or 1980 you're going to keep using it as long as you
 can, 'cause a similar plane costs a few hundred million in 2008.

 I understand that, but there was a huge inertia

...?


 All that said, I'd like to see you, Dan, try to put together a cost-
 analysis on a powersat project.
 Nothing works 100% of the time, but lets assume a 95% efficiency, or  
 running
 8322 hours/year.  The cost is, then, about $39 per kWh.

Right. So, how do you improve that. OK, say we can get the launch cost  
halved by mass producing rockets and stuff. That's still $20/kwh.

Coal's a few cents a kwh. Even with carbon sequestration doubling or  
tripling that, it's still a big gap.

Roof-mounted solar, I can get a 1kW system (grid connected) for  
AUD5200, with 20 year warranty. So say it's doing that 1kw 6 hours a  
day (paper napkin calculation here), that's 43,800 kw across the life  
of the system, that's about AUD8/kwh ($7.50/kwh). So still a lot  
better than a powersat, and that's not factoring in the launch  
pollution.

So... how to bridge the gap?

Charlie.
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RE: An interesting response

2008-04-11 Thread hkhenson
At 12:00 PM 4/11/2008, Dan M wrote:

(Keith wrote)
 Takes 10 200 ton payload
  rockets each flying once a day to do it and with a blank check
  perhaps under 5 years to work up to this production rate and 6-7
  years from start to get to a $50 billion a year revenue stream
  increasing at $25 billion a year.

OK, let's do the math on that.  At the present time, the cost of lift to
geosynchronous orbit is $20,000 per kg or $20M per metric ton. Ten 200 ton
payloads would be about 40 billion per day or 14.6 trillion per year.
That's roughly the GDP of the US.

And the analogy would be how impossible it is to build a dam sending 
all the contents in Fed Ex envelopes.

The trick is, as it always has been, to lower launch costs.  Unfortunately,
even in inflation adjusted dollars, launch costs haven't dropped much over
the past 40 years.

I agree with you.  The question is why?  It's not the cost of 
energy.  A nearly hundred percent efficient space elevator lifts 
about 2400 mt a day to GEO on an input of about a GW.  That's 2.4 
million kg/24 million kWh.  At ten cents a kWh that's a dollar a 
kg.  At the target sales price of a penny a kWh it's ten cents a kg.

Of course you have the cost of the elevator and cleaning up the space 
junk as capital costs.  It can't be done at all now because we don't 
have the cable, but just for analysis put a $1000 billion price tag 
on it.  Since it is going to be used at least ten years, write it off 
at $100 billion a year.  2.4 million kg x 365 is close enough to a 
billion kg.  So the capital cost would be around $100 a kg.

Done with rockets of this sort 
http://www.ilr.tu-berlin.de/koelle/Neptun/NEP2015.pdf the energy 
input is about 15 times that high, or from $15 /kg down to $1.50 as 
you get less and less expensive energy.

The rockets are only assumed to make 200 trips before being 
junked.  At 200 tons payload, they deliver 40,000 mt or 40 million kg.

The mass of one of them is about 3 times a 747.  If they cost a 
billion dollars each (produced at 20 a year), $1000 million/ 40 
million is $25 a kg.  I.e., there is no reason for large volume space 
travel to cost more than $100 a kg even with rockets.

What we need is a transcontinental railroad.  What we have in NASA is 
the Pony Express.

Incidentally, the energy returned from a kg of power sat is 4000 
kWh.  At a penny a kwh that's $40 a year, at ten cents, $400.

The income stream (which you estimate at 25 billion/year)

Actually it was rising at $25 billion a year from selling power.  If 
you sold the satellites for ten years power production the income 
stream would be $250 billion a year.

would also have to
support ground receivers,

Rectennas are (from a cost standpoint) installed chicken wire over 
farmland and inverters (the diodes are almost free).  Collecting 1/4 
kW from 400 square meters would give you a hundred kW.  At pc power 
supply prices, the inverters are $60 a kW.  Counting the chicken 
wire, poles, diodes and power collecting grid, a 5 GW rectenna would 
cost $500 million or less and deliver $400 million to $2 billion a 
year at the bus bars.  It would take  decades to saturate the market, 
which for oil alone is about $3 trillion a year.

safety mechanisms,

Can you be specific about what you mean here?

transmission lines, etc.

At least for a while you could site the rectennas near existing 
transmission lines.

Plus,
it costs money to build the actual arrays.

That's true, but with just mild concentration you can get at least 10 
times more power out of a solar cell in space.

If you can find a way to drop
launch costs a factor of 100 to 500, then space based solar becomes a
player.  There is nothing like that on the horizon.

There doesn't seem to be any reason a really huge throughput 
transport system should not be able to give you that much 
reduction.  However, I don't thing NASA is the right organization to do it.

Keith

Keith 

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Re: An interesting response

2008-04-10 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 12:21 AM Thursday 4/10/2008, hkhenson wrote:
I have recently been discussing the scope of a space based power
satellite project with a bunch of high powered space engineers.

They are all accomplished, one of them was the project engineer for
the first moon lander.

This started when I scaled a moving cable space elevator large enough
(2000 tons a day) to put a real dent in the carbon/energy problems
(300 GW/year production rate, displacing all the coal fired plants in
the US in one year).

So when one of them posted a study of a rocket with about twice the
payload of a Saturn V, I extrapolated how many of them and what rate
of launches it would take to ferry 2000 tons per day to GEO using
rockets instead of a much more questionable space elevator.

To my surprise, the energy payback went from under a day for the
elevator to 15 days for rockets.  You would have to dedicate the
first 3 power satellites (15 GW) to making rocket
propellants.  Hardly a deal breaker.  Takes 10 200 ton payload
rockets each flying once a day to do it and with a blank check
perhaps under 5 years to work up to this production rate and 6-7
years from start to get to a $50 billion a year revenue stream
increasing at $25 billion a year.

I didn't expect a response other than something like that's
interesting but they reacted almost with horror, saying the best
they could hope for is an almost useless 1 GW demonstration power sat
in the next 10 or 15 years and that the only choice we have is to
build lots of nuclear power plants.

Now countries and companies in the world for the most part realize
that there is a serious problem with energy, and that it isn't going
to get better as we slide down the far side of oil production.  It
seems to me that a project that really could displace all fossil
sources of energy with renewable solar energy and (using penny a kWh
electricity) reduce the price of synthetic gasoline to a dollar a
gallon would get a lot more support than a tiny demonstration project
no matter how few in billions it cost.

There is no doubt it's a big project, on a par with what we have
spent on the Iraq war.  But the market for energy is massive, oil
alone is $3,000 billion a year.  And there is no lack of money to
fund it, Exxon can't figure out what to do with their profits so they
are buying back $30 billion of their stock a year.  The Chinese have
a few thousand billions in US notes they would spend on a secure
energy source large enough to meet their growing needs.

So my question to you, is which be an easier project to sell, a
demonstration project for a small number of billions over 10 or 15
years, or a really huge project in the high hundreds of billions to
massively displace coal and oil with solar energy from space in under
ten years?

Keith Henson


Or perhaps the real question is which of the following is the case?

(1)  Your figures and their figures disagree that much, in which case 
it might be worthwhile to have someone else independently check both 
sets of figures (probably a good idea in \\any\\ case), or

(2)  There is more on the agenda than simply finding longer-lasting, 
less-polluting sources of energy to replace oil.


? Maru


. . . ronn!  :)



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RE: An interesting response

2008-04-10 Thread Dan M


Takes 10 200 ton payload
 rockets each flying once a day to do it and with a blank check
 perhaps under 5 years to work up to this production rate and 6-7
 years from start to get to a $50 billion a year revenue stream
 increasing at $25 billion a year.
 
OK, let's do the math on that.  At the present time, the cost of lift to
geosynchronous orbit is $20,000 per kg or $20M per metric ton. Ten 200 ton
payloads would be about 40 billion per day or 14.6 trillion per year.
That's roughly the GDP of the US.

The trick is, as it always has been, to lower launch costs.  Unfortunately,
even in inflation adjusted dollars, launch costs haven't dropped much over
the past 40 years.  

The income stream (which you estimate at 25 billion/year) would also have to
support ground receivers, safety mechanisms, transmission lines, etc.  Plus,
it costs money to build the actual arrays.  If you can find a way to drop
launch costs a factor of 100 to 500, then space based solar becomes a
player.  There is nothing like that on the horizon.

Dan M. 


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Re: An interesting response

2008-04-10 Thread Alberto Vieira Ferreira Monteiro
Dan M wrote:

 The trick is, as it always has been, to lower launch costs.  Unfortunately,
 even in inflation adjusted dollars, launch costs haven't dropped much over
 the past 40 years.

Maybe even if launch costs were _zero_, orbital power satellites could
still have a negative energy net production. Last time I heard (when I
was working in the Space Industry, and not in the Oil Industry), solar
arrays required more energy to be built than the energy they produced
during their lifetimes.

Alberto 'oil rulez, fsck space!' Monteiro
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An interesting response

2008-04-09 Thread hkhenson
I have recently been discussing the scope of a space based power 
satellite project with a bunch of high powered space engineers.

They are all accomplished, one of them was the project engineer for 
the first moon lander.

This started when I scaled a moving cable space elevator large enough 
(2000 tons a day) to put a real dent in the carbon/energy problems 
(300 GW/year production rate, displacing all the coal fired plants in 
the US in one year).

So when one of them posted a study of a rocket with about twice the 
payload of a Saturn V, I extrapolated how many of them and what rate 
of launches it would take to ferry 2000 tons per day to GEO using 
rockets instead of a much more questionable space elevator.

To my surprise, the energy payback went from under a day for the 
elevator to 15 days for rockets.  You would have to dedicate the 
first 3 power satellites (15 GW) to making rocket 
propellants.  Hardly a deal breaker.  Takes 10 200 ton payload 
rockets each flying once a day to do it and with a blank check 
perhaps under 5 years to work up to this production rate and 6-7 
years from start to get to a $50 billion a year revenue stream 
increasing at $25 billion a year.

I didn't expect a response other than something like that's 
interesting but they reacted almost with horror, saying the best 
they could hope for is an almost useless 1 GW demonstration power sat 
in the next 10 or 15 years and that the only choice we have is to 
build lots of nuclear power plants.

Now countries and companies in the world for the most part realize 
that there is a serious problem with energy, and that it isn't going 
to get better as we slide down the far side of oil production.  It 
seems to me that a project that really could displace all fossil 
sources of energy with renewable solar energy and (using penny a kWh 
electricity) reduce the price of synthetic gasoline to a dollar a 
gallon would get a lot more support than a tiny demonstration project 
no matter how few in billions it cost.

There is no doubt it's a big project, on a par with what we have 
spent on the Iraq war.  But the market for energy is massive, oil 
alone is $3,000 billion a year.  And there is no lack of money to 
fund it, Exxon can't figure out what to do with their profits so they 
are buying back $30 billion of their stock a year.  The Chinese have 
a few thousand billions in US notes they would spend on a secure 
energy source large enough to meet their growing needs.

So my question to you, is which be an easier project to sell, a 
demonstration project for a small number of billions over 10 or 15 
years, or a really huge project in the high hundreds of billions to 
massively displace coal and oil with solar energy from space in under 
ten years?

Keith Henson

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Re: Interesting Day

2008-03-24 Thread John Horn
Ick.  Sorry about the formatting on that last message.  I wrote it on
my Palm and didn't realize it was going to stick the entire original
message down on the bottom.

 - jmh
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Re: Interesting Day

2008-03-24 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 02:57 PM Monday 3/24/2008, John Horn wrote:
Ick.  Sorry about the formatting on that last message.  I wrote it on
my Palm



ObOldJoke:  Hope you used washable Ink.



Lava Soap Maru


. . . ronn!  :)



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Re: Interesting Day

2008-03-24 Thread Julia Thompson


On Mon, 24 Mar 2008, Ronn! Blankenship wrote:

 At 02:57 PM Monday 3/24/2008, John Horn wrote:
 Ick.  Sorry about the formatting on that last message.  I wrote it on
 my Palm



 ObOldJoke:  Hope you used washable Ink.



 Lava Soap Maru

Lava soap -- it's not just for cleaning up after car maintenence!  :)

Julia

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Re: Interesting Day

2008-03-22 Thread John Horn
Thursday night I got to see Bruce Springsteen in concert.  There is a
seriously religious experience!  (And it was a fantastic show, by the
way...)

 - jmh

On 3/21/08, Pat Mathews [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 And Thursday was one of the 8 pagan holidays, the Spring
 Equinoxhttp://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/

  Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2008 20:39:00 -0500 To: brin-l@mccmedia.com From:
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Fwd: Interesting Day  Good
 Friday! Happy Purim, Eid, etc...   Wednesday, Mar. 19, 2008 By DAVID VAN
 BIEMA WITH SIMON ROBINSON/NEW DELHI   On Friday more than a billion
 Christians around the world will mark  the gravest observance on their
 Calendar, Good Friday, the day Jesus  died on the cross. (To be followed in
 two days by Easter Sunday, to  mark his Resurrection).  But unlike some
 holy days, say, Christmas, which some non-Christians  in the U.S. observe
 informally by going to a movie and ordering  Chinese food, on this
 particular Friday, March 21, it seems almost no  believer of any sort will
 be left without his or her own holiday. In  what is statistically, at
 least, a once-in-a-millennium combination,  the following will all occur on
 the 21st:  Good Friday Purim, a Jewish festival celebrating the biblical
 book of Esther Narouz, the Persia
  n New Year, which is observed with Islamic  elaboration in Iran and all
 the stan countries, as well as by  Zoroastrians and Baha'is. Eid Milad
 an Nabi, the Birth of the Prophet, which is celebrated by  some but not all
 Sunni Muslims and, though officially beginning on  Thursday, is often
 marked on Friday. Small Holi, Hindu, an Indian festival of bonfires, to be
 followed on  Saturday by Holi, a kind of Mardi Gras. Magha Puja, a
 celebration of the Buddha's first group of followers,  marked primarily in
 Thailand.  Half the world's population is going to be celebrating
 something,  says Raymond Clothey, Professor Emeritus of Religious studies
 at the  University of Pittsburgh. My goodness, says Delton Krueger, owner
  of www.interfaithcalendar.org, who follows 14 major religions and  six
 others. He counts 20 holidays altogether (including some  religious
 double-dips, like Maundy Thursday and Good Friday) between  the 20th (which
 is also quite crowded) and t
  he 21st. He marvels:  There is no other time in 2008 when there is this
 kind of concentration.  And in fact for quite a bit longer than that. Ed
 Reingold and Nachum  Dershowitz, co-authors of the books Calendrical
 Calculations and  Calendrical Tabulations, determined how often in the
 period between  1600 and 2400 A.D. Good Friday, Purim, Narouz and the Eid
 would occur  in the same week. The answer is nine times in 800 years. Then
 they  tackled the odds that they would converge on a two-day period. And 
 the total is ... only once: tomorrow. And that's not even counting  Magha
 Puja and Small Holi.  Unless you are mathematically inclined, however, you
 may not see the  logic in all this. If it's the 21st of March, you may ask,
 shouldn't  all the religions of the world celebrate the same holiday on
 that  date each year?  No. There are a sprinkling of major holidays
 (Western Christmas is  one) that fall each year on the same day of the
 Gregorian calendar, a  f
  airly standard non-religious system and the one Americans are most 
 familiar with.  But almost none of tomorrow's holidays actually follows
 that  calendar. All Muslim holy days, for instance, are calculated on a 
 lunar system. Keyed to the phases of the moon, Islam's 12 months are  each
 29 and a half days long, for a total of 354 days a year, or 11  days fewer
 than on ours. That means the holidays rotate backward  around the Gregorian
 calendar, occurring 11 days earlier each year.  That is why you can have an
 easy Ramadan in the spring, when going  without water all day is
 relatively easy, or a hard one in the  summer. And why the Prophet's
 birthday will be on March 9 next year.  Then there is the Jewish calendar,
 which determines the placement of  Purim. It is lunisolar, which means
 that holidays wander with the  moon until they reach the end of what might
 be thought of as a  month-long tether, which has the effect of maintaining
 them in the  same seaso
  n every year.  Good Friday, meanwhile, like many of the other most
 important  Christian holidays, is a set number of days before Easter. The
 only  problem is that the date of Easter is probably the most complicated 
 celebratory calculation this side of Hinduism, which has a number of 
 competing religious calendars. The standard rule is the Sunday after  the
 first full moon on or after the day of the vernal equinox. But  in fact,
 the actual divination of the date is so involved that it has  its own
 offical name: computus. And so challenging that Carl  Friedrich Gauss,
 one of history's greatest mathematicians, devoted  the time to create an
 algorithm for it. It goes on for many  lines.  And, of course, it doesn't
 work for Eastern Orthodox Easter  (about

Re: Interesting Day

2008-03-22 Thread Doug Pensinger
Ronn! wrote:

 Good Friday! Happy Purim, Eid, etc...


Very interesting as my son was married yesterday and while many of his new
wives Persian family members knew it was the Narouz, I'm sure the kids
didn't know any of that when they chose the date.

Doug
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Fwd: Interesting Day

2008-03-21 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
Good Friday! Happy Purim, Eid, etc...


Wednesday, Mar. 19, 2008 By DAVID VAN BIEMA WITH SIMON ROBINSON/NEW DELHI


On Friday more than a billion Christians around the world will mark 
the gravest observance on their Calendar, Good Friday, the day Jesus 
died on the cross. (To be followed in two days by Easter Sunday, to 
mark his Resurrection).

But unlike some holy days, say, Christmas, which some non-Christians 
in the U.S. observe informally by going to a movie and ordering 
Chinese food, on this particular Friday, March 21, it seems almost no 
believer of any sort will be left without his or her own holiday. In 
what is statistically, at least, a once-in-a-millennium combination, 
the following will all occur on the 21st:

Good Friday
Purim, a Jewish festival celebrating the biblical book of Esther
Narouz, the Persian New Year, which is observed with Islamic 
elaboration in Iran and all the stan countries, as well as by 
Zoroastrians and Baha'is.
Eid Milad an Nabi, the Birth of the Prophet, which is celebrated by 
some but not all Sunni Muslims and, though officially beginning on 
Thursday, is often marked on Friday.
Small Holi, Hindu, an Indian festival of bonfires, to be followed on 
Saturday by Holi, a kind of Mardi Gras.
Magha Puja, a celebration of the Buddha's first group of followers, 
marked primarily in Thailand.

Half the world's population is going to be celebrating something, 
says Raymond Clothey, Professor Emeritus of Religious studies at the 
University of Pittsburgh. My goodness, says Delton Krueger, owner 
of www.interfaithcalendar.org, who follows 14 major religions and 
six others. He counts 20 holidays altogether (including some 
religious double-dips, like Maundy Thursday and Good Friday) between 
the 20th (which is also quite crowded) and the 21st. He marvels: 
There is no other time in 2008 when there is this kind of concentration.

And in fact for quite a bit longer than that. Ed Reingold and Nachum 
Dershowitz, co-authors of the books Calendrical Calculations and 
Calendrical Tabulations, determined how often in the period between 
1600 and 2400 A.D. Good Friday, Purim, Narouz and the Eid would occur 
in the same week. The answer is nine times in 800 years. Then they 
tackled the odds that they would converge on a two-day period. And 
the total is ... only once: tomorrow. And that's not even counting 
Magha Puja and Small Holi.

Unless you are mathematically inclined, however, you may not see the 
logic in all this. If it's the 21st of March, you may ask, shouldn't 
all the religions of the world celebrate the same holiday on that 
date each year?

No. There are a sprinkling of major holidays (Western Christmas is 
one) that fall each year on the same day of the Gregorian calendar, a 
fairly standard non-religious system and the one Americans are most 
familiar with.

But almost none of tomorrow's holidays actually follows that 
calendar. All Muslim holy days, for instance, are calculated on a 
lunar system. Keyed to the phases of the moon, Islam's 12 months are 
each 29 and a half days long, for a total of 354 days a year, or 11 
days fewer than on ours. That means the holidays rotate backward 
around the Gregorian calendar, occurring 11 days earlier each year. 
That is why you can have an easy Ramadan in the spring, when going 
without water all day is relatively easy, or a hard one in the 
summer. And why the Prophet's birthday will be on March 9 next year.

Then there is the Jewish calendar, which determines the placement of 
Purim. It is lunisolar, which means that holidays wander with the 
moon until they reach the end of what might be thought of as a 
month-long tether, which has the effect of maintaining them in the 
same season every year.

Good Friday, meanwhile, like many of the other most important 
Christian holidays, is a set number of days before Easter. The only 
problem is that the date of Easter is probably the most complicated 
celebratory calculation this side of Hinduism, which has a number of 
competing religious calendars. The standard rule is the Sunday after 
the first full moon on or after the day of the vernal equinox. But 
in fact, the actual divination of the date is so involved that it has 
its own offical name: computus. And so challenging that Carl 
Friedrich Gauss, one of history's greatest mathematicians, devoted 
the time to create an algorithm for it. It goes on for many 
lines.  And, of course, it doesn't work for Eastern Orthodox Easter 
(about one month later than the Western Christian one this year, on April 27).

So, should we celebrate all these celebrations? Yes, says William 
Paden, the author of Religious Worlds: The Comparative Study of 
Religion and a professor at the University of Vermont ? at least to 
the extent that we revere the drive to carve out sacred time in the 
middle of the day-by-day profane. Each of these religions is 
creating its own world, with its own time and space and memory 
system, he says. They recognize 

RE: Interesting Day

2008-03-21 Thread Pat Mathews

And Thursday was one of the 8 pagan holidays, the Spring 
Equinoxhttp://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/

 Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2008 20:39:00 -0500 To: brin-l@mccmedia.com From: [EMAIL 
 PROTECTED] Subject: Fwd: Interesting Day  Good Friday! Happy Purim, Eid, 
 etc...   Wednesday, Mar. 19, 2008 By DAVID VAN BIEMA WITH SIMON 
 ROBINSON/NEW DELHI   On Friday more than a billion Christians around the 
 world will mark  the gravest observance on their Calendar, Good Friday, the 
 day Jesus  died on the cross. (To be followed in two days by Easter Sunday, 
 to  mark his Resurrection).  But unlike some holy days, say, Christmas, 
 which some non-Christians  in the U.S. observe informally by going to a 
 movie and ordering  Chinese food, on this particular Friday, March 21, it 
 seems almost no  believer of any sort will be left without his or her own 
 holiday. In  what is statistically, at least, a once-in-a-millennium 
 combination,  the following will all occur on the 21st:  Good Friday 
 Purim, a Jewish festival celebrating the biblical book of Esther Narouz, the 
 Persia
 n New Year, which is observed with Islamic  elaboration in Iran and all the 
stan countries, as well as by  Zoroastrians and Baha'is. Eid Milad an Nabi, 
the Birth of the Prophet, which is celebrated by  some but not all Sunni 
Muslims and, though officially beginning on  Thursday, is often marked on 
Friday. Small Holi, Hindu, an Indian festival of bonfires, to be followed on  
Saturday by Holi, a kind of Mardi Gras. Magha Puja, a celebration of the 
Buddha's first group of followers,  marked primarily in Thailand.  Half the 
world's population is going to be celebrating something,  says Raymond 
Clothey, Professor Emeritus of Religious studies at the  University of 
Pittsburgh. My goodness, says Delton Krueger, owner  of 
www.interfaithcalendar.org, who follows 14 major religions and  six others. 
He counts 20 holidays altogether (including some  religious double-dips, like 
Maundy Thursday and Good Friday) between  the 20th (which is also quite 
crowded) and t
 he 21st. He marvels:  There is no other time in 2008 when there is this kind 
of concentration.  And in fact for quite a bit longer than that. Ed Reingold 
and Nachum  Dershowitz, co-authors of the books Calendrical Calculations and  
Calendrical Tabulations, determined how often in the period between  1600 and 
2400 A.D. Good Friday, Purim, Narouz and the Eid would occur  in the same 
week. The answer is nine times in 800 years. Then they  tackled the odds that 
they would converge on a two-day period. And  the total is ... only once: 
tomorrow. And that's not even counting  Magha Puja and Small Holi.  Unless 
you are mathematically inclined, however, you may not see the  logic in all 
this. If it's the 21st of March, you may ask, shouldn't  all the religions of 
the world celebrate the same holiday on that  date each year?  No. There are 
a sprinkling of major holidays (Western Christmas is  one) that fall each year 
on the same day of the Gregorian calendar, a  f
 airly standard non-religious system and the one Americans are most  familiar 
with.  But almost none of tomorrow's holidays actually follows that  
calendar. All Muslim holy days, for instance, are calculated on a  lunar 
system. Keyed to the phases of the moon, Islam's 12 months are  each 29 and a 
half days long, for a total of 354 days a year, or 11  days fewer than on 
ours. That means the holidays rotate backward  around the Gregorian calendar, 
occurring 11 days earlier each year.  That is why you can have an easy 
Ramadan in the spring, when going  without water all day is relatively easy, 
or a hard one in the  summer. And why the Prophet's birthday will be on March 
9 next year.  Then there is the Jewish calendar, which determines the 
placement of  Purim. It is lunisolar, which means that holidays wander with 
the  moon until they reach the end of what might be thought of as a  
month-long tether, which has the effect of maintaining them in the  same seaso
 n every year.  Good Friday, meanwhile, like many of the other most important 
 Christian holidays, is a set number of days before Easter. The only  problem 
is that the date of Easter is probably the most complicated  celebratory 
calculation this side of Hinduism, which has a number of  competing religious 
calendars. The standard rule is the Sunday after  the first full moon on or 
after the day of the vernal equinox. But  in fact, the actual divination of 
the date is so involved that it has  its own offical name: computus. And so 
challenging that Carl  Friedrich Gauss, one of history's greatest 
mathematicians, devoted  the time to create an algorithm for it. It goes on 
for many  lines.  And, of course, it doesn't work for Eastern Orthodox Easter 
 (about one month later than the Western Christian one this year, on April 
27).  So, should we celebrate all these celebrations? Yes, says William  
Paden, the author of Religious Worlds: The Comparative Study

Interesting list

2007-12-19 Thread Julia Thompson
http://www.economist.com/research/styleGuide/index.cfm?page=673903

This is a list of words that get misused a lot.

Examples:

Appraise means set a price on. Apprise means inform.

Blooded means pedigreed or initiated. Bloodied means wounded.

Collapse is not transitive. You may collapse, but you may not collapse 
something.

Discreet means circumspect or prudent; discrete means separate or 
distinct. Remember that Questions are never indiscreet. Answers sometimes 
are. (Oscar Wilde)

Effectively means with effect; if you mean in effect, say it.The matter 
was effectively dealt with on Friday means it was done well on Friday. The 
matter was, in effect, dealt with on Friday means it was more or less 
attended to on Friday. Effectively leaderless would do as a description of 
the demonstrators in East Germany in 1989 but not those in Tiananmen 
Square. The devaluation of the Slovak currency in 1993, described by some 
as an effective 8%, turned out to be a rather ineffective 8%.

Flaunt means display; flout means disdain. If you flout this distinction, 
you will flaunt your ignorance.

(And that's as much as I'm going to copy  paste right now.)

Julia

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Re: Interesting list

2007-12-19 Thread Nick Arnett
On Dec 19, 2007 6:26 AM, Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 http://www.economist.com/research/styleGuide/index.cfm?page=673903

 This is a list of words that get misused a lot.


The Economist is a British publication, so the usages (and spelling) are not
necessarily the same as we'd consider proper on this side of the pond.
Around here, I don't think it is particularly uncomplimentary to say that a
salesperson or company is aggressive.  And we spell etiology without that
silly extra 'a.'  And a brokerage is and does over here.  Etc.

As for among and between, that one annoys me when people misuse it...
and every time I have to use the BETWEEN operator in SQL, I'm slightly
annoyed.  In SQL, BETWEEN 1 AND 10 means 1 to 10 inclusive, even though the
actual integers between 1 and 10 actually are 2 through 9.  But I manage.

I hate centered around, no matter how you spell center/centre.

Back when integrated circuits were less common, I was frequently amused by
the notion of discreet electronics.  We could probably use more of them.

I see disinterested misused more and more.

Frankenstein was not a monster, but its creator.   I think this is just
pickiness about metaphor, which drives a lot of language.  The word has come
to mean the monster.  At least over here.

*Haver* means to *talk nonsense*, not *dither*,* swither *or *waver*.
  Haver?
Swither?  These are English words?

My mother the English teacher despises the word hopefully.  I'm not so
bothered.  Sometimes I use it just to see if she'll still correct me.
Hopefully, some day she won't.

A sad omission -- phase and faze.  Every time I read that someone was phased
(or unphased), I think Star Trek and its phasers.  At least I think those
were phasers, not fazers.

Nick


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Re: Interesting list

2007-12-19 Thread William T Goodall

On 19 Dec 2007, at 15:46, Nick Arnett wrote:
 *Haver* means to *talk nonsense*, not *dither*,* swither *or *waver*.
   Haver?
 Swither?  These are English words?

They are in common use around here.


-- 
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Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

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Re: Interesting list

2007-12-19 Thread Nick Arnett
On Dec 19, 2007 8:48 AM, William T Goodall [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 On 19 Dec 2007, at 15:46, Nick Arnett wrote:
  *Haver* means to *talk nonsense*, not *dither*,* swither *or *waver*.
Haver?
  Swither?  These are English words?

 They are in common use around here.


Concerning religion, undoubtedly ;-)

Nick




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 William T Goodall
 Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
 Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

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Re: Interesting list

2007-12-19 Thread William T Goodall

On 19 Dec 2007, at 17:15, Nick Arnett wrote:

 On Dec 19, 2007 8:48 AM, William T Goodall [EMAIL PROTECTED]  
 wrote:


 On 19 Dec 2007, at 15:46, Nick Arnett wrote:
 *Haver* means to *talk nonsense*, not *dither*,* swither *or  
 *waver*.
   Haver?
 Swither?  These are English words?

 They are in common use around here.


 Concerning religion, undoubtedly ;-)



I never swither about calling religious cant havering :)


-- 
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

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market share. No chance - Steve Ballmer


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Re: Interesting list

2007-12-19 Thread Dave Land
On Dec 19, 2007, at 10:29 AM, William T Goodall wrote:

 On 19 Dec 2007, at 17:15, Nick Arnett wrote:

 On Dec 19, 2007 8:48 AM, William T Goodall [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:

 On 19 Dec 2007, at 15:46, Nick Arnett wrote:
 *Haver* means to *talk nonsense*, not *dither*,* swither *or
 *waver*.
   Haver?
 Swither?  These are English words?

 They are in common use around here.

 Concerning religion, undoubtedly ;-)

 I never swither about calling religious cant havering :)

Indeed, not: you chunter on about it.

Dave

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Most interesting social networking link I've seen

2007-11-26 Thread Nick Arnett
Here it is... The Constitution of the United States, whose current
occupation is Owners manual.

http://www.linkedin.com/profile?viewProfile=key=15161017goback=%2Ebcc_2908_2

I'm only one degree away from it, thanks to John Perry Barlow.

Nick

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Re: Most interesting social networking link I've seen

2007-11-26 Thread Robert Seeberger
- Original Message - 
From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, November 26, 2007 9:34 AM
Subject: Most interesting social networking link I've seen


 Here it is... The Constitution of the United States, whose current
 occupation is Owners manual.

 http://www.linkedin.com/profile?viewProfile=key=15161017goback=%2Ebcc_2908_2

 I'm only one degree away from it, thanks to John Perry Barlow.


Now you are one degree away from it twice.
G


xponent
Constitutional Maru
rob 


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Re: Most interesting social networking link I've seen

2007-11-26 Thread David Hobby
Robert Seeberger wrote:
 - Original Message - 
 From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
...
 Here it is... The Constitution of the United States, whose current
 occupation is Owners manual.

 http://www.linkedin.com/profile?viewProfile=key=15161017goback=%2Ebcc_2908_2

 I'm only one degree away from it, thanks to John Perry Barlow.

 
 Now you are one degree away from it twice.
...

Nick and/or Robert--

So I clicked on the link, joined Linkedin, and
then found out I was an isolated node.  I don't
really have any desire to add a third social
networking system to Facebook and Myspace, so
I don't feel like entering addresses and invites.

Meaning the whole exercise was pointless, and I
should have realized this upon seeing linkedin
in the URL.  Or?  : )

---David

But I alone am drifting, not knowing where I am.
Like a newborn babe before it learns to smile,
I am alone, without a place to go.  Maru.
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Re: Religion is Interesting: Why it Must Be Discussed

2007-07-28 Thread Julia Thompson


On Fri, 27 Jul 2007, Dave Land wrote:

 On Jul 27, 2007, at 8:37 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:

 On 7/27/07, Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Anyway, I call myself a Christian because I haven't invested the time
 to come up with a better label, but as Christianity walks one way and
 I walk another, the time for coming up with a better label may be
 upon me soon.

 Um, doesn't it have to do the way that Christ walked, not the way
 Christians
 walk?

 If I could walk like that, I wouldn't need talcum powder.

 Dave

[spit-take]

Julia

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Re: Religion is Interesting: Why it Must Be Discussed

2007-07-27 Thread Dave Land
On Jul 27, 2007, at 4:28 PM, jon louis mann wrote:

 Amen, Brother!
 I am very nearly one of those Christians.
 The Bible may very well be a human product that tells us what certain
 groups of very, very opinionated people thought about God, but I
 believe it tells us only a little about what God may think.
 If, in fact, God exists and is sentient in any fashion that we would
 recognize.
 Dave

 sounds to me, brother, that you are a CINO (christian in name only).
 the bible as metaphor argument smacks to me as lacking commitment,
 perhaps, or straddling on the fence? dave, you seem less metaphorical?
 perhaps a metaphysical christian, or just a plain mystic?

Probably. I have a hard time getting a handle on what people mean when
they call themselves or others mystics...

As for the CINO label, I am reasonably certain that no small number of
today's American Christians would concur with that assessment. I am a
member of a Methodist congregation in California, led by two pastors
educated at the Pacific School of Religion in Berkeley, which is about
as far to the liberal end of the spectrum as you can get and still
call yourself a Christian.

I think that Jesus was a man uniquely connected with the divine
(to pick a phrase that wildly liberal teachers like Spong and Borg
use to avoid all the freight that comes with God), who so radiated
that connection that none who came in contact with him could fail to
notice it and be moved by it. Some of them, trying to explain the
ineffable numinous experience of being with him, inevitably used
metaphors that others took literally. Perhaps even It's as if he
wasn't even born the way normal men are, he's so different.

Anyway, I call myself a Christian because I haven't invested the time
to come up with a better label, but as Christianity walks one way and
I walk another, the time for coming up with a better label may be
upon me soon.

Dave Christic Mystian Land

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Re: Religion is Interesting: Why it Must Be Discussed

2007-07-27 Thread Nick Arnett
On 7/27/07, Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 Anyway, I call myself a Christian because I haven't invested the time
 to come up with a better label, but as Christianity walks one way and
 I walk another, the time for coming up with a better label may be
 upon me soon.


Um, doesn't it have to do the way that Christ walked, not the way Christians
walk?

Nick



-- 
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Religion is Interesting: Why it Must Be Discussed

2007-07-27 Thread Dave Land
On Jul 27, 2007, at 8:37 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:

 On 7/27/07, Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Anyway, I call myself a Christian because I haven't invested the time
 to come up with a better label, but as Christianity walks one way and
 I walk another, the time for coming up with a better label may be
 upon me soon.

 Um, doesn't it have to do the way that Christ walked, not the way  
 Christians
 walk?

If I could walk like that, I wouldn't need talcum powder.

Dave


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Re: interesting website

2006-11-28 Thread David Hobby

Gary Nunn wrote:


Not sure what I would classify that website as, but I ran across it this
morning, and it's one of my new favorites. It's a collection of links to
interesting news stories.
 
 
http://www.fark.com/


Gary--

Thanks, it is interesting.  I tried it for awhile, but am
giving up.  Too many of the links have cutesy titles which
don't clearly state what the story is about.  Result: I
spent too much time reading low-content articles.

---David

Now if you want funny, or dumb, that you can get...
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interesting website

2006-11-25 Thread Gary Nunn


Not sure what I would classify that website as, but I ran across it this
morning, and it's one of my new favorites. It's a collection of links to
interesting news stories.
 
 
http://www.fark.com/


_

The Vulcan Neck Pinch is not half as powerful as the
Vulcan Groin Kick, but it's more politically correct. 
~ Quotes you'll never hear on Star Trek.

 


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RE: interesting website

2006-11-25 Thread Gary Nunn
 
 Not sure what I would classify that website as, but I ran 
 across it this morning, and it's one of my new favorites. 
 It's a collection of links to interesting news stories.
 http://www.fark.com/



I think my favorite part is the classification of the different articles:
Asinine, Dumbass, Strange, Interesting, Follow-Up, Obvious, Cool, Stupid,
etc...


Gary--- Who just realized how pathetic it is to reply to his own posts
:-)

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Re: interesting website

2006-11-25 Thread Julia Thompson

Gary Nunn wrote:
 
Not sure what I would classify that website as, but I ran 
across it this morning, and it's one of my new favorites. 
It's a collection of links to interesting news stories.

http://www.fark.com/




I think my favorite part is the classification of the different articles:
Asinine, Dumbass, Strange, Interesting, Follow-Up, Obvious, Cool, Stupid,
etc...


Gary--- Who just realized how pathetic it is to reply to his own posts
:-)


So does that fall under Dumbass or Follow-Up?

;)

Julia

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RE: interesting website

2006-11-25 Thread Gary Nunn
 
 So does that fall under Dumbass or Follow-Up?
 ;)
   Julia


If you were to ask my ex-wife, it should be follow-up by the dumbass  :-)

Gary

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Re: interesting website

2006-11-25 Thread Julia Thompson

Gary Nunn wrote:
 

So does that fall under Dumbass or Follow-Up?
;)
Julia



If you were to ask my ex-wife, it should be follow-up by the dumbass  :-)


Remind me not to ask your ex-wife about you, then.  :)

Julia
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Re: interesting website

2006-11-25 Thread Robert Seeberger
- Original Message - 
From: Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Saturday, November 25, 2006 10:51 AM
Subject: Re: interesting website


 Gary Nunn wrote:

 Not sure what I would classify that website as, but I ran across 
 it this morning, and it's one of my new favorites. It's a 
 collection of links to interesting news stories.
 http://www.fark.com/



 I think my favorite part is the classification of the different 
 articles:
 Asinine, Dumbass, Strange, Interesting, Follow-Up, Obvious, Cool, 
 Stupid,
 etc...


 Gary--- Who just realized how pathetic it is to reply to his 
 own posts
 :-)

 So does that fall under Dumbass or Follow-Up?


I often do dumbass followups.


xponent
In My Nature Maru
rob 


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Re: Interesting blog

2006-08-17 Thread Deborah Harrell
More catching up-

 Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 A surgeon started a blog recently.  I found this
 entry particularly interesting:
 

http://surgeonsblog.blogspot.com/2006/07/global-warming-inoperable-truth.html

Amazing - a surgeon with a non-ossified sense of
humor, including gasp about himself!

The following response to a derogatory commentator
made me LOL:

My feeling is that people who reject science
shouldn't be allowed to have it both ways: no global
warming -- no antibiotics for you. No evolution -- no
herceptin. But I digress. For now, thanks for
visiting. Come again.

Ditto!

Debbi
Equine-Produced Greenhouse Gases Are Reduced Compared
To 100 Years Ago Maru   ;)

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Interesting blog

2006-07-27 Thread Julia Thompson
A surgeon started a blog recently.  I found this entry particularly 
interesting:


http://surgeonsblog.blogspot.com/2006/07/global-warming-inoperable-truth.html

(If that entry name doesn't capture someone's attention here, I don't 
know what will.  :D  )


Julia
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Re: Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-07 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 05:10 PM Saturday 5/6/2006, The Fool wrote:
[snipped]


Fool, I'm just curious.  Most of the articles you post are ones 
claiming that there are problems with this, that, and the other.  Can 
you give us some examples of something concrete (not abstractions 
like the truth or rational thinking and behavior) that you are _for_?



--Ronn!  :)

Since I was a small boy, two states have been added to our country 
and two words have been added to the pledge of Allegiance... UNDER 
GOD.  Wouldn't it be a pity if someone said that is a prayer and that 
would be eliminated from schools too?

   -- Red Skelton

(Someone asked me to change my .sig quote back, so I did.)




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Re: Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-07 Thread Robert J. Chassell
 Ten or fifteen years ago, I gave Kiersey style Myers-Briggs
 tests to dozen people I knew.

And anecdotal evidince has what value in science?

Well, you need not pay any attention to my report.  My experience was
that when I gave a test to a dozen people, I found that a bit more
than half the results matched the categories into which I fit people
in other ways.  Moreover, since I myself did the experiment and
followed the reasoning, I had an internal experience that I found
convincing to myself.

 Guardians of birthdays, holidays and celebrations,
 Virgo's are generous entertainers.  They enjoy and
 joyfully observe traditions and are liberal in giving,
 especially where custom prescribes.

 All else being equal, Virgo's enjoy being in charge.
 They see problems clearly and delegate easily, work hard
 and play with zest. Virgo's, bear strong allegiance to
 rights of seniority.  They willingly provide service
 (which embodies life's meaning) and expect the same from
 others.
 vrs
 Pices's are pensive, analytical folks. They may venture
 so deeply into thought as to seem detached, and often
 actually are oblivious to the world around them.

 Precise about their descriptions, Pices's will often
 correct others (or be sorely tempted to) if the shade of
 meaning is a bit off.  While annoying to the less
 concise, this fine discrimination ability gives Pices's
 so inclined a natural advantage as, for example,
 grammarians and linguists.

Reads like an astrology collumn in the newspaper.

Doesn't to me, unless of course, you pay attention to the names (like
Pices and Virgo).  To me, Forer's text as given in
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forer_effect
sounds much more like an astrology column.

--
Robert J. Chassell
[EMAIL PROTECTED] GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
http://www.rattlesnake.com  http://www.teak.cc
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Re: Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-06 Thread Robert J. Chassell
If it's science at all, it's a very fluffy kind of science.

Ten or fifteen years ago, I gave Kiersey style Myers-Briggs tests to a
dozen people I knew.  I felt the results were accurate in about 7 of
those 12 cases.  So I decided it was pretty good for this kind of
topic (and no good at all if you seek only 25% error.)

What is the probability of 7 out of 12 people each choosing 1 out of
16 randomly?

I tend to doubt the Forer effect is highly important for Myers-Briggs,
although doubtless, it is somewhat important.

(According to

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forer_effect

The Forer effect ... is the observation that individuals will give
high accuracy ratings to descriptions of their personality that
supposedly are tailored specifically for them, but are in fact
vague and general enough to apply to a wide range of people.

(The article also gives Forer's text.)

Here are the first two paragraphs of 2 of 16 MBTI profiles from
http://www.typelogic.com/; they seem to me quite different.  When
given a choice of which to choose, I doubt an ESFJ would choose to be
described as an INTP although he or she might well choose a
description closer to his or her temperament.

Guardians of birthdays, holidays and celebrations, ESFJs are
generous entertainers.  They enjoy and joyfully observe
traditions and are liberal in giving, especially where custom
prescribes.

All else being equal, ESFJs enjoy being in charge.  They see
problems clearly and delegate easily, work hard and play with
zest. ESFJs, as do most SJs, bear strong allegiance to rights
of seniority.  They willingly provide service (which embodies
life's meaning) and expect the same from others.

vrs

INTPs are pensive, analytical folks. They may venture so
deeply into thought as to seem detached, and often actually
are oblivious to the world around them.

Precise about their descriptions, INTPs will often correct
others (or be sorely tempted to) if the shade of meaning is a
bit off.  While annoying to the less concise, this fine
discrimination ability gives INTPs so inclined a natural
advantage as, for example, grammarians and linguists.

-- 
Robert J. Chassell 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
http://www.rattlesnake.com  http://www.teak.cc
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Re: Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-06 Thread The Fool
 From: Robert J. Chassell [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 If it's science at all, it's a very fluffy kind of science.
 
 Ten or fifteen years ago, I gave Kiersey style Myers-Briggs tests to
a
 dozen people I knew.  I felt the results were accurate in about 7 of
 those 12 cases.  So I decided it was pretty good for this kind of
 topic (and no good at all if you seek only 25% error.)
 
 What is the probability of 7 out of 12 people each choosing 1 out of
 16 randomly?

And anecdotal evidince has what value in science?
 
 I tend to doubt the Forer effect is highly important for
Myers-Briggs,
 although doubtless, it is somewhat important.
 
 (According to
 
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forer_effect
 
 The Forer effect ... is the observation that individuals will
give
 high accuracy ratings to descriptions of their personality that
 supposedly are tailored specifically for them, but are in fact
 vague and general enough to apply to a wide range of people.
 
 (The article also gives Forer's text.)
 
 Here are the first two paragraphs of 2 of 16 MBTI profiles from
 http://www.typelogic.com/; they seem to me quite different.  When
 given a choice of which to choose, I doubt an ESFJ would choose to be
 described as an INTP although he or she might well choose a
 description closer to his or her temperament.
 
 Guardians of birthdays, holidays and celebrations, Virgo's
are
 generous entertainers.  They enjoy and joyfully observe
 traditions and are liberal in giving, especially where custom
 prescribes.
 
 All else being equal, Virgo's enjoy being in charge.  They
see
 problems clearly and delegate easily, work hard and play with
 zest. Virgo's, bear strong allegiance to rights
 of seniority.  They willingly provide service (which embodies
 life's meaning) and expect the same from others.
 
 vrs
 
 Pices's are pensive, analytical folks. They may venture so
 deeply into thought as to seem detached, and often actually
 are oblivious to the world around them.
 
 Precise about their descriptions, Pices's will often correct
 others (or be sorely tempted to) if the shade of meaning is a
 bit off.  While annoying to the less concise, this fine
 discrimination ability gives Pices's so inclined a natural
 advantage as, for example, grammarians and linguists.

Reads like an astrology collumn in the newspaper.
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Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-05 Thread Nick Arnett

On 5/4/06, Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



All the books are aimed at boys.  Both the AS and the ADD books.  It
seems that AS presents itself differently in girls so that makes it
very difficult to pick good books.



I think you may be mistaken about this.  Many of the ADD books are written
by women, many of whom are ADD themselves

You Mean I'm not Lazy Stupid or Crazy was written by two women.  Lynn
Weiss, whose books I also appreciated, appears to be a woman, judging by her
photo.

This list on Amazon.com -- *ADD experience (by a woman) --* has a bunch of
books about ADD, many written by women :

http://www.amazon.com/gp/richpub/listmania/fullview/9WZ48993GPB2/104-0155161-9687918?%5Fencoding=UTF8

Nick

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Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-05 Thread PAT MATHEWS

Thanks!




http://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/






From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: Re: Blog entry with interesting comment
Date: Fri, 5 May 2006 07:00:19 -0700

On 5/4/06, Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



All the books are aimed at boys.  Both the AS and the ADD books.  It
seems that AS presents itself differently in girls so that makes it
very difficult to pick good books.



I think you may be mistaken about this.  Many of the ADD books are written
by women, many of whom are ADD themselves

You Mean I'm not Lazy Stupid or Crazy was written by two women.  Lynn
Weiss, whose books I also appreciated, appears to be a woman, judging by 
her

photo.

This list on Amazon.com -- *ADD experience (by a woman) --* has a bunch of
books about ADD, many written by women :

http://www.amazon.com/gp/richpub/listmania/fullview/9WZ48993GPB2/104-0155161-9687918?%5Fencoding=UTF8

Nick

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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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RE: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-05 Thread Deborah Harrell
I'm combining posts here-

 PAT MATHEWS [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

snippage 
 3) Again in my observation, Aspies come in roughly
 two flavors: the 
 organized, single-focused, linear mind; and the
 absent-minded 
 professor/free-spirited idea mill. Inattentive ADD
 goes with the latter. If 
 you have any use for the Myer-Briggs at all, these
 map very roughly onto 
 INTJ and INTP respectively. I mention this because
 books on the Myer-Briggs 
 has a lot of good tips for life
 which are quite useful 
 even though they're designed for the 'normal' end of
 the spectrum.

Now I'll have to look that stuff back up -- I remember
that I'm INFJ, but don't recall all that that means
(introvert, intuitive...feeling, judging?)

 5) The very first thing I'd do in your shoes is find
 out her strengths and 
 work from there. Also her obsessions if she has any.
 Don't let her dismiss 
 them as Oh, that's EASY the way some people do,
 apparently thinking the 
 only way to make a living is at something you have
 to work on. Wrong. Then 
 mildly correct her weaknesses through *teaching.* A
 lot of stuff can be 
 learned, I'm here to tell you.

Having a couple of 'traditional learning challenged'
students, I've learned to use multiple modalities to
get information across: verbal, tactile, visual (which
can be highly amusing, to judge by the laughter).  Our
current schooling system is poorly equipped to deal
with these children's learning needs; one thing that
would really help is much smaller teacher/student
ratios.  I have several teacher friends who are very
frustrated by knowing *how* to deal with their ADD or
ADHD kids, but they haven't got time or resources to
do so properly.

For example, I'm sorry, I have trouble recognizing
even people I know across the room, (takes off
glasses and cleans them), would you mind 
letting me know you're here?

winces  I simply don't recognize people out of their
usual context in my universe, except for long-time
friends and co-workers.  I explain it as resulting
froma closed-head injury, which most folk seem to
graciously accept.

Julia wrote:
Any medication should be prescribed by a doctor with
some expertise in the area.  A pediatric neurologist
would be good, if you're hooked up with one.

Amen.  There are FPs and pediatricians who have made
'children with learning-difficulties' their unofficial
subspecialty by serious self-education, but the number
of children placed on psychoactive drugs by
unqualified (IMO) docs is staggering.

Debbi
Skeptical Believer Maru;-)

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RE: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-05 Thread Horn, John
 On Behalf Of Nick Arnett
 
  All the books are aimed at boys.  Both the AS and the ADD 
 books.  It 
  seems that AS presents itself differently in girls so that makes
it 
  very difficult to pick good books.

 I think you may be mistaken about this.  Many of the ADD 
 books are written by women, many of whom are ADD themselves

I didn't mean they were all written by men.  In the case of the AS
books, all of them seem aimed at boys or parent's of boys.  Almost
all of the examples are of boys: the case studies, the
recommendations are aimed at boys.  Maybe we just haven't stumbled
into the right ones yet.

 - jmh
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Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-05 Thread Deborah Harrell
Ok, here are a few sites for those curious:
http://www.personalitypathways.com/MBTI_intro.html
http://www.personalitypathways.com/type_inventory.html

And for the skeptical (I have only skimmed this, as
it's time to head out):
http://skepdic.com/myersb.html

I do have a problem with this site's dismissal of
intuitive thinking; from my observations  experience
in the medical field, a lot of intuition (including
my own) is actually based on essentially sub-conscious
integration of observations with prior knowledge. 
It's sort of like thinking without realizing it; it
seems almost magical at times because one isn't aware
of the processes ongoing, as they occur so swiftly. 
But without a foundation of education, learned
knowledge, and prior experience, 'intuition' is as
likely to be wrong as not.  

From the first site above:
INFJ: Seek meaning and connection in ideas,
relationships, and material possessions. Want to
understand what motivates people and are insightful
about others. Conscientious and committed to their
firm values. Develop a clear vision about how best to
serve the common good. Organized and decisive in
implementing their vision.

Hmm, pretty good except for that last bit - I am *not*
the best-organized person.

Feeling:
Naturally seek consensus and popular opinions.
Unsettled by conflict; have almost a toxic reaction to
disharmony.

Uh, yep.
 
OTOH, I'm split between the J and P, which makes me
feel a little better, not desiring to be known as
judgemental...even though in many ways, I am.

INFP:  Idealistic, loyal to their values and to
people who are important to them. Want an external
life that is congruent with their values. Curious,
quick to see possibilities, can be catalysts for
implementing ideas. Seek to understand people and to
help them fulfill their potential. Adaptable,
flexible, and accepting unless a value is threatened.

Debbi
Still A Skeptical Believer And Pragmatic Idealist Maru
;-)

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RE: Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-05 Thread PAT MATHEWS
At any rate, you still test out Idealist, and in many ways that's the most 
important part because it's the central theme of your life.


Pat, INTP but unwilling to make up my mind oh, look, a bird! BAD 
kitties!



http://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/






From: Deborah Harrell [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: Myers-Briggs (was:  Blog entry with interesting comment)
Date: Fri, 5 May 2006 11:39:57 -0700 (PDT)

Ok, here are a few sites for those curious:
http://www.personalitypathways.com/MBTI_intro.html
http://www.personalitypathways.com/type_inventory.html

And for the skeptical (I have only skimmed this, as
it's time to head out):
http://skepdic.com/myersb.html

I do have a problem with this site's dismissal of
intuitive thinking; from my observations  experience
in the medical field, a lot of intuition (including
my own) is actually based on essentially sub-conscious
integration of observations with prior knowledge.
It's sort of like thinking without realizing it; it
seems almost magical at times because one isn't aware
of the processes ongoing, as they occur so swiftly.
But without a foundation of education, learned
knowledge, and prior experience, 'intuition' is as
likely to be wrong as not.

From the first site above:
INFJ: Seek meaning and connection in ideas,
relationships, and material possessions. Want to
understand what motivates people and are insightful
about others. Conscientious and committed to their
firm values. Develop a clear vision about how best to
serve the common good. Organized and decisive in
implementing their vision.

Hmm, pretty good except for that last bit - I am *not*
the best-organized person.

Feeling:
Naturally seek consensus and popular opinions.
Unsettled by conflict; have almost a toxic reaction to
disharmony.

Uh, yep.

OTOH, I'm split between the J and P, which makes me
feel a little better, not desiring to be known as
judgemental...even though in many ways, I am.

INFP:  Idealistic, loyal to their values and to
people who are important to them. Want an external
life that is congruent with their values. Curious,
quick to see possibilities, can be catalysts for
implementing ideas. Seek to understand people and to
help them fulfill their potential. Adaptable,
flexible, and accepting unless a value is threatened.

Debbi
Still A Skeptical Believer And Pragmatic Idealist Maru
;-)

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Re: Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-05 Thread Dave Land

On May 5, 2006, at 11:39 AM, Deborah Harrell wrote:


OTOH, I'm split between the J and P, which makes me
feel a little better, not desiring to be known as
judgemental...even though in many ways, I am.


Some are confused by the language of MBTI, and find one or the other
terms for each of the four dimensions pejorative and the other
laudatory. Neither is not intended to be either: no value judgment
is made on either end of any of the spectra.

For example, Judging does not mean judgmental. It merely refers to a
preference for closure as opposed to the preference for open-ended-ness
among perceptives.

And, of course, each is a spectrum: I doubt that anybody is all
extroverted or all introverted (although I am pretty well slammed
against the rails on the extroverted side). It's not at all uncommon
to find oneself in the middle on one of the axes: I'm about halfway
between thinking and feeling -- given some conversations I've had on
that subject lately, I'd lay odds that I naturally gravitate towards
the feeling end of the scale, but that socialization has skewed me
towards thinking.

Katherine Benziger (http://www.benziger.org/), whose Benziger Thinking
Styles Assessment (BTSA) is not so very different from MTBI, writes
about a condition she calls Falsification of Type that leads, she
says, to much grief. I would guess that if I'm right about my
natural predilection towards feeling vs. socialization towards
thinking is valid, I probably exhibit her Falsification of Type.

(Of course I would guess is a very iNtuitive thing to say, isn't
it?)

Dave

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Re: Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-05 Thread Max Battcher

Dave Land wrote:

And, of course, each is a spectrum:


Because they are spectra there are a number of encoding schemes out 
there to try to disambiguate those that move or are near the lines, and 
some psychologists will tell you the categorizations are meaningless 
without the full test and knowledge specific choices within it.  (...and 
others will tell you taking the test is only every valid once or not at 
all or only on full moons.)


For instance, I sometimes find it useful to use xNTP, because I'm pretty 
firm as far as the NTP side of the spectrum in every test I've taken and 
generally in my judgment of the system itself says.  The I/E I tend to 
flip-flop depending on several factors.  Another choice would be to use 
something like I?NTP, as the I is often more dominant, but again, 
subject to change.


--
--Max Battcher--
http://www.worldmaker.net/
I'm gonna win, trust in me / I have come to save this world / and in 
the end I'll get the grrrl! --Machinae Supremacy, Hero (Promo Track)

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Re: Myers-Briggs (was: Blog entry with interesting comment)

2006-05-05 Thread Dave Land

On May 5, 2006, at 2:01 PM, Max Battcher wrote:


Dave Land wrote:

And, of course, each is a spectrum:


Because they are spectra there are a number of encoding schemes out  
there to try to disambiguate those that move or are near the lines,  
and some psychologists will tell you the categorizations are  
meaningless without the full test and knowledge specific choices  
within it.  (...and others will tell you taking the test is only  
every valid once or not at all or only on full moons.)


For instance, I sometimes find it useful to use xNTP, because I'm  
pretty firm as far as the NTP side of the spectrum in every test  
I've taken and generally in my judgment of the system itself says.   
The I/E I tend to flip-flop depending on several factors.  Another  
choice would be to use something like I?NTP, as the I is often more  
dominant, but again, subject to change.


Sure. I've taken to writing (on those rare occasions that it needs to  
be written -- I'm not a type-freak) ENfP, because I am only weakly on  
the F end of that particular spectrum.


As the Fool points out in his inimitable style, this stuff is not  
mathematics. If it's science at all, it's a very fluffy kind of  
science. Human behavior and the motivations behind it are notoriously  
difficult to quantify, frustrating most attempts to do so.


Dave Romans 7:15-15 Land

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RE: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-04 Thread Horn, John
 On Behalf Of PAT MATHEWS
 
 This is going to be a long post of the dump the load 
 variety, so anyone not interested can either delete or skim, 
 but here goes:

Wow.  Thanks very much (and everyone else who responded as well)!!
Much more than I expected.
 
 1) It's not the end of the world.

I know it definitely isn't the end of the world.  It helps a lot to
finally know what is going on and have some answers to (previously)
bewildering behavior.  And strategies for coping and dealing with
it.  One of the most wonderful things is to finally have an answer
for the other parents who kept saying Why don't you just spank
her/discipline more/etc?  We knew instinctively that that was
absolutely the wrong thing to do.  Now we know why.

 I wouldn't advise her to become, say, an accountant

She's wanted to be a kindergarten teacher since she was in, well,
kindergarten.  She's kinda obsessed with it.  ;-)

 2) In my observation, the ADD books have a few coping tricks 
 worth mentioning, but 90% of their focus is on the sort of 
 hyperactive boys who are really, really good at grabbing 
 opportunities and running with them; and they all push for 
 medication so hard you'd think they were sponsored by Big 
 Pharma

All the books are aimed at boys.  Both the AS and the ADD books.  It
seems that AS presents itself differently in girls so that makes it
very difficult to pick good books.  Speaking of medicine, she's been
on an anti-depressant for a bit which seems to be making a big
difference.  She just started a stimulant a week ago.  Too early to
see if it has had any effect at this point.

 3) Again in my observation, Aspies come in roughly two 
 flavors: the organized, single-focused, linear mind; and the 
 absent-minded professor/free-spirited idea mill. Inattentive 
 ADD goes with the latter. If you have any use for the 
 Myer-Briggs at all, these map very roughly onto INTJ and INTP 
 respectively. I mention this because books on the Myer-Briggs 
 (a system which is totally non-judgmental and IMO the only 
 system that does NOT make judgments) has a lot of good tips 
 for life, love, acreers, and living with your... in this 
 case, I'd say INTP --- which are quite useful even though 
 they're designed for the 'normal' end of the spectrum.

The second one of those is definitely my daughter.

Wait a minute, *I'm INTP!!  Hmmm  My wife and I are very into
Myers-Briggs.  I'm not sure what my daughter is.  I don't think it
is either one of those, though.  I'll have to ask my wife.

 7) Workarounds for inattentive ADD include one that's really 
 useful and really, really cheap. You get a hard-blacked 
 flip-top pad down at Walgreens and the associated input 
 device. Make a To Do list of whatever seems to be needed. 
 Wild Ideas and For the Future on a back page. Obvious but 
 let's not lose track on the front page. If need be, Have 
 done Today. Sounds anal, I know, but there are times it;s 
 really worthwhile to have a little list.

I'll have to keep that one in mind.

 Hope this helps,

Yes, it helps a lot!

  - jmh
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RE: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-04 Thread PAT MATHEWS

From: Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Wow.  Thanks very much (and everyone else who responded as well)!!
Much more than I expected.


Glad to be of help.



 1) It's not the end of the world.

I know it definitely isn't the end of the world.  It helps a lot to
finally know what is going on and have some answers to (previously)
bewildering behavior.  And strategies for coping and dealing with
it.  One of the most wonderful things is to finally have an answer
for the other parents who kept saying Why don't you just spank
her/discipline more/etc?  We knew instinctively that that was
absolutely the wrong thing to do.  Now we know why.


Wish my dad had had your instincts!



 I wouldn't advise her to become, say, an accountant

She's wanted to be a kindergarten teacher since she was in, well,
kindergarten.  She's kinda obsessed with it.  ;-)


Well, then - go for it! One of my close friends, Jay Bainbridge, is a 
painter who teaches preschool - at a local synagogue. (Did they mind that 
he's not Jewish? No, but he gets the High Holy Days off anyway.)


.  It

seems that AS presents itself differently in girls so that makes it
very difficult to pick good books.


Autobiographies.

Gorilla Nation by Dawn Price-Hughes (or is it Hughes-Price?) Love her 
observation that academic politics makes a lot more sense when you treat the 
department heads and senior professors as if they were silverbacks.


Pretending to be Normal by Liane Holliday Willey. I was grabbed by the title 
because it was my autobiography in two words. Excellent book; interesting 
person. And ... DO watch BONES on TV.


Speaking of medicine, she's been

on an anti-depressant for a bit which seems to be making a big
difference.  She just started a stimulant a week ago.  Too early to
see if it has had any effect at this point.


I've been on caffeine for 52 years. Self-medication seems to be part of it.



 3) Again in my observation, Aspies come in roughly two
 flavors: the organized, single-focused, linear mind; and the
 absent-minded professor/free-spirited idea mill. Inattentive
 ADD goes with the latter. If you have any use for the
 Myer-Briggs at all, these map very roughly onto INTJ and INTP
 respectively. I mention this because books on the Myer-Briggs
 (a system which is totally non-judgmental and IMO the only
 system that does NOT make judgments) has a lot of good tips
 for life, love, acreers, and living with your... in this
 case, I'd say INTP --- which are quite useful even though
 they're designed for the 'normal' end of the spectrum.

The second one of those is definitely my daughter.

Wait a minute, *I'm INTP!!  Hmmm  My wife and I are very into
Myers-Briggs.  I'm not sure what my daughter is.  I don't think it
is either one of those, though.  I'll have to ask my wife.


YEs, the kindergarten teacher interest isn't the usual INTP thing, is it? 
However, whatever she is, go for it.




I'll have to keep that one in mind.

 Hope this helps,

Yes, it helps a lot!

  - jmh
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Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Julia Thompson

An essay criticizing skeptics is torn apart here:

http://www.autismstreet.org/weblog/?p=39

And the first commenter is James Randi.  So I just had to share.

Julia

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RE: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Horn, John
 On Behalf Of Julia Thompson
 
 An essay criticizing skeptics is torn apart here:
 
 http://www.autismstreet.org/weblog/?p=39
 
 And the first commenter is James Randi.  So I just had to share.

A very interesting article.  Even more interesting, for me, was the
site itself.  My daughter was just diagnosed with Asperger's
Syndrome and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were)
some on this list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there
for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this chaos?

 - jmh
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RE: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread PAT MATHEWS

From: Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: RE: Blog entry with interesting comment
Date: Wed, 3 May 2006 14:52:34 -0500

 On Behalf Of Julia Thompson

 An essay criticizing skeptics is torn apart here:

 http://www.autismstreet.org/weblog/?p=39

 And the first commenter is James Randi.  So I just had to share.

A very interesting article.  Even more interesting, for me, was the
site itself.  My daughter was just diagnosed with Asperger's
Syndrome and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were)
some on this list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there
for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this chaos?


wrongplanet.net


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Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Julia Thompson

Horn, John wrote:

On Behalf Of Julia Thompson

An essay criticizing skeptics is torn apart here:

http://www.autismstreet.org/weblog/?p=39

And the first commenter is James Randi.  So I just had to share.


A very interesting article.  Even more interesting, for me, was the
site itself.  My daughter was just diagnosed with Asperger's
Syndrome and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were)
some on this list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there
for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this chaos?

 - jmh


If you're looking for blogs that might be of help, check out 
http://www.autism-hub.co.uk/ ; I can list the ones I'm a particular fan 
of, if that would help.  The Aspie Dad one might be of particular 
interest to you; very few entries so far, and just joined Autism Hub, 
but looks promising.  (I'll give it a solid thumbs-up when there are 
another 10 posts or so, probably, but it's not on my greatest hits 
list yet.  Yet.)


If you're on LiveJournal, reading the stuff in the asperger community 
might be somewhat helpful, every now and again there's a book 
recommendation.  (Posting is open only to members, and unless you're on 
the spectrum yourself, the mods are going to look very hard at your 
request to join.  I can dig up some of the book recommendations if 
queried; I can tell you that 
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0060934883/ was recommended at some 
point, anyway, and sometimes books are seriously UN-recommended, which 
can be useful information, as well.)  asd_families might be helpful. 
The community autism might be helpful, as well.  (Just going in and 
reading a couple months' worth of public posts could help, even if 
you're not into LJ.)


Jannalou who comments on some of the autism hub blogs has her own blog, 
and that might be a good blog to look at.  If you need for me to track 
down that blog, I can.


If I think of anything else later, I'll post it.

Julia
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RE: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread PAT MATHEWS

From: Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 On Behalf Of Julia Thompson

 An essay criticizing skeptics is torn apart here:

 http://www.autismstreet.org/weblog/?p=39

 And the first commenter is James Randi.  So I just had to share.

A very interesting article.  Even more interesting, for me, was the
site itself.  My daughter was just diagnosed with Asperger's
Syndrome and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were)
some on this list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there
for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this chaos?

 - jmh


This is going to be a long post of the dump the load variety, so anyone 
not interested can either delete or skim, but here goes:


1) It's not the end of the world. I wouldn't advise her to become, say, an 
accountant (big mistake on my part!) but we're talking one of the two 
differences known to be associated with a creative upside. (the other being 
'being mildly bipolar')


2) In my observation, the ADD books have a few coping tricks worth 
mentioning, but 90% of their focus is on the sort of hyperactive boys who 
are really, really good at grabbing opportunities and running with them; and 
they all push for medication so hard you'd think they were sponsored by Big 
Pharma. Get them from the library if you have to bother at all.


3) Again in my observation, Aspies come in roughly two flavors: the 
organized, single-focused, linear mind; and the absent-minded 
professor/free-spirited idea mill. Inattentive ADD goes with the latter. If 
you have any use for the Myer-Briggs at all, these map very roughly onto 
INTJ and INTP respectively. I mention this because books on the Myer-Briggs 
(a system which is totally non-judgmental and IMO the only system that does 
NOT make judgments) has a lot of good tips for life, love, acreers, and 
living with your... in this case, I'd say INTP --- which are quite useful 
even though they're designed for the 'normal' end of the spectrum.


4) Book: my all-time favorite is Liane Holliday Willey's Pretending to be 
Normal. And it's Dr. Willey; she has a PhD in, I think, some branch of 
linguistics. And is happily  married with children. But there are others 
including some fictional characters I find quite likeable, even loveable. 
(Terry Pratchett's Leonard of Quirm, anyone?)


5) The very first thing I'd do in your shoes is find out her strengths and 
work from there. Also her obsessions if she has any. Don't let her dismiss 
them as Oh, that's EASY the way some people do, apparently thinking the 
only way to make a living is at something you have to work on. Wrong. Then 
mildly correct her weaknesses through *teaching.* A lot of stuff can be 
learned, I'm here to tell you.


6) Beware doomsayers (Some on wrongplanet and other nets but also out there 
among the medpros) who wail It's a Horrible Disability! That must be Cured! 
With Medication! And once she gets an official Dx, she can Go On Welfare! 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


7) Workarounds for inattentive ADD include one that's really useful and 
really, really cheap. You get a hard-blacked flip-top pad down at Walgreens 
and the associated input device. Make a To Do list of whatever seems to be 
needed. Wild Ideas and For the Future on a back page. Obvious but let's not 
lose track on the front page. If need be, Have done Today. Sounds anal, I 
know, but there are times it;s really worthwhile to have a little list.


Well, enough rambling and babbling.

Hope this helps,

Pat


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RE: Blog entry with interesting comment: P.S.

2006-05-03 Thread PAT MATHEWS

Oh, and P.S. there are workaround for a whole bunch of things.

One thing I do is tell people up fromt - not a label which gives people the 
wrong idea or scares them (DO read Elizabeth Moon's Speed of Dark. That 
poor sucker needed a labelectomy above all!) but that, in context, I have a 
bit of trouble with whatever it is.


For example, I'm sorry, I have trouble recognizing even people I know 
across the room, (takes off glasses and cleans them), would you mind 
letting me know you're here?


or I'm sorry, certain frequencies go right through my head, it's the way my 
ears work. I saw the audiologist...


Well, you get the idea.


http://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/






From: Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: RE: Blog entry with interesting comment
Date: Wed, 3 May 2006 14:52:34 -0500

 On Behalf Of Julia Thompson

 An essay criticizing skeptics is torn apart here:

 http://www.autismstreet.org/weblog/?p=39

 And the first commenter is James Randi.  So I just had to share.

A very interesting article.  Even more interesting, for me, was the
site itself.  My daughter was just diagnosed with Asperger's
Syndrome and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were)
some on this list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there
for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this chaos?

 - jmh
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Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Julia Thompson

PAT MATHEWS wrote:

From: Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED]


On Behalf Of Julia Thompson

An essay criticizing skeptics is torn apart here:

http://www.autismstreet.org/weblog/?p=39

And the first commenter is James Randi.  So I just had to share.


A very interesting article.  Even more interesting, for me, was the
 site itself.  My daughter was just diagnosed with Asperger's 
Syndrome and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were) 
some on this list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there

 for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this
chaos?

- jmh


This is going to be a long post of the dump the load variety, so 
anyone not interested can either delete or skim, but here goes:


1) It's not the end of the world. I wouldn't advise her to become,
say, an accountant (big mistake on my part!) but we're talking one of
the two differences known to be associated with a creative upside.
(the other being 'being mildly bipolar')


It is very much not the end of the world; it is the beginning of
figuring out what is going to work best for her in her life.

2) In my observation, the ADD books have a few coping tricks worth 
mentioning, but 90% of their focus is on the sort of hyperactive boys

 who are really, really good at grabbing opportunities and running
with them; and they all push for medication so hard you'd think they
were sponsored by Big Pharma. Get them from the library if you have
to bother at all.


I know relatively little about ADD.  Go with what Pat says.  :)

3) Again in my observation, Aspies come in roughly two flavors: the 
organized, single-focused, linear mind; and the absent-minded 
professor/free-spirited idea mill. Inattentive ADD goes with the

latter. If you have any use for the Myer-Briggs at all, these map
very roughly onto INTJ and INTP respectively. I mention this because
books on the Myer-Briggs (a system which is totally non-judgmental
and IMO the only system that does NOT make judgments) has a lot of
good tips for life, love, acreers, and living with your... in this
case, I'd say INTP --- which are quite useful even though they're
designed for the 'normal' end of the spectrum.


It's a reasonable generalization, although a few come up as S on the S/N 
divide, or as F on the F/T divide.  I've never seen an aspie declare 
their MBT as Exxx, though, even the ones who seek more social 
interaction.  :)  Generally figuring out what strengths and weaknesses 
are, which MBTI does for a number of things, is a Good Thing.



4) Book: my all-time favorite is Liane Holliday Willey's Pretending
to be Normal. And it's Dr. Willey; she has a PhD in, I think, some
branch of linguistics. And is happily  married with children. But
there are others including some fictional characters I find quite
likeable, even loveable. (Terry Pratchett's Leonard of Quirm,
anyone?)


OK, now I'm REALLY regretting I didn't buy it this morning.

Next time I order from amazon.  Next time.

I may get to borrow it before then.

Or I may go back to that bookstore sooner rather than later.


5) The very first thing I'd do in your shoes is find out her
strengths and work from there. Also her obsessions if she has any.
Don't let her dismiss them as Oh, that's EASY the way some people
do, apparently thinking the only way to make a living is at something
you have to work on. Wrong. Then mildly correct her weaknesses
through *teaching.* A lot of stuff can be learned, I'm here to tell
you.


And don't dismiss *anything* that anyone makes a career in as a possible 
career.


Oh, and work on figuring out what her specific learning style is -- if 
you go with that way working on things at home, at least, it will make 
things a lot easier on her.  It will probably be harder on her anyway 
with the ADHD, even if her easiest method is applied; don't make it 
harder for her than it has to be.  (There was a post very recently on 
the Processing in Parts blog about this, and someone with ADD 
contributed some good stuff in a comment.)



6) Beware doomsayers (Some on wrongplanet and other nets but also out
 there among the medpros) who wail It's a Horrible Disability! That
must be Cured! With Medication! And once she gets an official Dx, she
can Go On Welfare! [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Anyone promising a cure should be shot.

Any medication should be prescribed by a doctor with some expertise in 
the area.  A pediatric neurologist would be good, if you're hooked up 
with one.  I would not have my own kid getting brain-targeted meds from 
anyone but a neurologist.


Oh, and http://crazymeds.org, very NSFW for language in spots (including 
the front page), has good info on meds.  (A decent number of them have 
been used by the people running the site, and the site may be a better 
source of info on weird side effects than many.)



7) Workarounds for inattentive ADD include one that's really useful
and really, really cheap. You get a hard-blacked flip-top pad down at
 Walgreens and the associated input device

Re: Blog entry with interesting comment:P.P.S.

2006-05-03 Thread PAT MATHEWS


Role models, female: (on TV) Bones
Role models, female: (in SF) Dr. Susan Calvin in I, Robot (linear  
organized variety)\


More role models on TV: Adrian Monk; Detective Goram on Law  Order CI; The 
designated kid on just about any CSI-type show; special attention to Dr. 
Reid on Criminal Minds and Bone's kid assistant on Bones.


Role model in SF, male, that I'm madly in love with: in C.S. Friedman's THIS 
ALIEN SHORE, Dr Kio Masada, one of the organized kind again, quite 
reminiscent of Spock but more rounded out. A couple of very moving scenes 
when he's reminiscing about his late wife.


And just for kicks  giggles: Carol O'Connell's JUDAS CHILD is set in a 
boarding school for the extremely gifted  unusual child; I swear to Ghod 
it's the same school Temple Grandin attended, only much improved  updated.





http://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/






From: Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: Re: Blog entry with interesting comment
Date: Wed, 03 May 2006 17:37:50 -0500

PAT MATHEWS wrote:

From: Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED]


On Behalf Of Julia Thompson

An essay criticizing skeptics is torn apart here:

http://www.autismstreet.org/weblog/?p=39

And the first commenter is James Randi.  So I just had to share.


A very interesting article.  Even more interesting, for me, was the
 site itself.  My daughter was just diagnosed with Asperger's Syndrome 
and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were) some on this 
list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there

 for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this
chaos?

- jmh


This is going to be a long post of the dump the load variety, so anyone 
not interested can either delete or skim, but here goes:


1) It's not the end of the world. I wouldn't advise her to become,
say, an accountant (big mistake on my part!) but we're talking one of
the two differences known to be associated with a creative upside.
(the other being 'being mildly bipolar')


It is very much not the end of the world; it is the beginning of
figuring out what is going to work best for her in her life.

2) In my observation, the ADD books have a few coping tricks worth 
mentioning, but 90% of their focus is on the sort of hyperactive boys

 who are really, really good at grabbing opportunities and running
with them; and they all push for medication so hard you'd think they
were sponsored by Big Pharma. Get them from the library if you have
to bother at all.


I know relatively little about ADD.  Go with what Pat says.  :)

3) Again in my observation, Aspies come in roughly two flavors: the 
organized, single-focused, linear mind; and the absent-minded 
professor/free-spirited idea mill. Inattentive ADD goes with the

latter. If you have any use for the Myer-Briggs at all, these map
very roughly onto INTJ and INTP respectively. I mention this because
books on the Myer-Briggs (a system which is totally non-judgmental
and IMO the only system that does NOT make judgments) has a lot of
good tips for life, love, acreers, and living with your... in this
case, I'd say INTP --- which are quite useful even though they're
designed for the 'normal' end of the spectrum.


It's a reasonable generalization, although a few come up as S on the S/N 
divide, or as F on the F/T divide.  I've never seen an aspie declare their 
MBT as Exxx, though, even the ones who seek more social interaction.  :)  
Generally figuring out what strengths and weaknesses are, which MBTI does 
for a number of things, is a Good Thing.



4) Book: my all-time favorite is Liane Holliday Willey's Pretending
to be Normal. And it's Dr. Willey; she has a PhD in, I think, some
branch of linguistics. And is happily  married with children. But
there are others including some fictional characters I find quite
likeable, even loveable. (Terry Pratchett's Leonard of Quirm,
anyone?)


OK, now I'm REALLY regretting I didn't buy it this morning.

Next time I order from amazon.  Next time.

I may get to borrow it before then.

Or I may go back to that bookstore sooner rather than later.


5) The very first thing I'd do in your shoes is find out her
strengths and work from there. Also her obsessions if she has any.
Don't let her dismiss them as Oh, that's EASY the way some people
do, apparently thinking the only way to make a living is at something
you have to work on. Wrong. Then mildly correct her weaknesses
through *teaching.* A lot of stuff can be learned, I'm here to tell
you.


And don't dismiss *anything* that anyone makes a career in as a possible 
career.


Oh, and work on figuring out what her specific learning style is -- if you 
go with that way working on things at home, at least, it will make things a 
lot easier on her.  It will probably be harder on her anyway with the ADHD, 
even if her easiest method is applied; don't make it harder for her than 
it has to be.  (There was a post very recently

Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Dave Land

On May 3, 2006, at 12:52 PM, Horn, John wrote:


A very interesting article.  Even more interesting, for me, was the
site itself.  My daughter was just diagnosed with Asperger's
Syndrome and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were)
some on this list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there
for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this chaos?


I found the ideas of Thom Hartmann very helpful:

http://www.thomhartmann.com/home-add.shtml

Hartmann is the creator of the Hunter/Farmer metaphor that  
describes those of us with various shades of ADHD as exhibiting the  
characteristics of hunters (global [as opposed to narrow]  
attention, preference for immediate rewards and short-term highly  
intense efforts, periods of hyperfocus, and so forth), while the  
majority of society exhibits the characteristics of farmers. He  
describes it better than I...


Hartmann is also apparently a liberal radio commentator.

When I was really suffering from the effects of my ADHD (which may  
have been exacerbated by my brain tumor), I enjoyed the following  
site, which I found while researching the relationship between ADHD  
and Myers-Briggs types.


NOTICE: This site apparently came under attack from some sort of  
spyware, so they installed a javascript that almost immediately  
redirects you to takebacktheweb.com. It's damned annoying, but on my  
Mac, I can prevent the redirect by immediately and repeatedly  
pressing the escape key once the page has loaded:


http://borntoexplore.org/

Sincerely,

Dave Oh look! An Owl! Land

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Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Dave Land

On May 3, 2006, at 5:26 PM, Dave Land wrote:


I found the ideas of Thom Hartmann very helpful:

http://www.thomhartmann.com/home-add.shtml



http://borntoexplore.org/


On the latter site is a page (not infected with the redirect
script) that brings Hartmann's ideas with some others in a
very succinct way:

http://www.borntoexplore.org/hunter.htm

Good stuff,

Dave


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Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Kanandarqu

Pat
 
Julia
 
 3) Again in my observation, Aspies come in roughly two flavors:  the 
 organized, single-focused, linear mind; and the absent-minded  
 professor/free-spirited idea mill. Inattentive ADD goes with  the
 latter. If you have any use for the Myer-Briggs at all, these  map
 very roughly onto INTJ and INTP respectively. I mention this  because
 books on the Myer-Briggs (a system which is totally  non-judgmental
 and IMO the only system that does NOT make judgments)  has a lot of
 good tips for life, love, acreers, and living with  your... in this
 case, I'd say INTP --- which are quite useful even  though they're
 designed for the 'normal' end of the  spectrum.


Oh, and work on figuring out what her specific learning style is -- if  
you go with that way working on things at home, at least, it will make  
things a lot easier on her.  It will probably be harder on her  anyway 
with the ADHD, even if her easiest method is applied; don't  make it 
harder for her than it has to be.  (There was a post very  recently on 
the Processing in Parts blog about this, and someone with  ADD 
contributed some good stuff in a comment.)

Combining both of  the above, you may want to try 
 
Now, Discover Your Strengths: How to Develop Your Talents 
and Those of the People You Manage
Marcus  Buckingham, Donald O. Clifton
 
Based on thousands of leaders from multiple  backgrounds,
this inventory looks at what your top 5 strengths out of  35
distilled categories.  As opposed to Myers-Briggs that  implies
the opposite of your strengths is your weakness, this  profile
doesn't imply weaknesses- only things that impede what  you
want to do are even considered near weaknesses that need to 
be addressed only if they get in your way.  Really  neat- there 
is another earlier book that talks about how an  individual 
Soars with strengths.  There is a great beginning  that 
relates strengths to kids in school, a bit  unconventional 
from some of the schooling ideas that I grew up with,  but I 
have to say it makes sense.  
 
I haven't looked in a while, but I recall finding some online
references for 4MAT learning styles.  Some schools are 
subcontracting special ed programs to Sylvan Learning
so it might be worth investigating.  
 
Dee- handing in a final, then 2 weeks to catch up on the
rest of life
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Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Nick Arnett

On 5/3/06, Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


Syndrome and ADHD (inattentive type).  I know there are (or were)
some on this list with AS or ADHD.  Any recommended sites out there
for a Mom and Dad struggling to put some order into all this chaos?



There are people here with ADHD... what were we talking about?

Oh, yes.  Some books... You Mean I'm not Lazy, Stupid or Crazy, anything
by Thom Hartmann, ADD and Creativity by Weiss,  Change Your Brain, Change
Your Life, by Amen.

Look, an owl!

Nick



--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Blog entry with interesting comment

2006-05-03 Thread Nick Arnett

On 5/3/06, Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:




Hartmann is also apparently a liberal radio commentator.



And a former CompuServe sysop, back in the late '80s when I also was.

Nick


--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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More interesting articles . . .

2005-07-25 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

Physicists Create a 'Perfect' Way to Study the Big Bang

http://www.epsrc.ac.uk/Content/PressReleases/PhysicistsCreateAPerfectWayToStudyTheBigBang.htm


Ice ages linked to galactic position
Study finds Earth may be cooled by movement through Milky Way's stellar clouds

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2005/07/25/MNGCIDSL4R1.DTL


Cats' Sweet Tooth Long Gone

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/07/24/AR2005072401107.html



--Ronn! :)

I always knew that I would see the first man on the Moon.
I never dreamed that I would see the last.
--Dr. Jerry Pournelle


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Interesting articles . . .

2005-07-21 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

http://www.cnn.com/2005/TECH/space/07/21/space.catastrophe.reut/index.html

http://www.cnn.com/2005/TECH/space/07/20/eros/index.html

http://www.cnn.com/2005/TECH/space/07/18/obrien.nasa.ap/index.html



--Ronn! :)

I always knew that I would see the first man on the Moon.
I never dreamed that I would see the last.
--Dr. Jerry Pournelle


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interesting website

2004-09-24 Thread Julia Thompson
http://www.mugshots.org/

Mugshots, other photos, biographies and arrest details for various
famous people who have been arrested at some point in their lives.  The
Bill Gates one is notable for his smiling in the mug shot

Julia
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Interesting times . . .

2004-08-11 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
http://www.nbc13.com/news/3644270/detail.html
They've called off the search for the night after 7 hours . . .

Ronald W. (Ronn!) Blankenship
1329 McCoy Street
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Re: Interesting times . . .

2004-08-11 Thread Julia Randolph
On Wed, 11 Aug 2004 22:34:56 -0500, Ronn!Blankenship
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 http://www.nbc13.com/news/3644270/detail.html
 
 They've called off the search for the night after 7 hours . . .
 
 Ronald W. (Ronn!) Blankenship
 1329 McCoy Street

Cheers.

( 
http://maps.yahoo.com/maps_result?ed=N9ELkOp_0TriBYxEny2KpJFUKMQfL785zDmkJw--csz=Birmingham%2C+ALcountry=usnew=1name=qty=
)

Julia
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