Re: CDR: RE: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread Damian Gerow
After reading this, I feel like I missed something in my original post...

Mike Rosing [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  And then the whole world dies, because of ...  what?
 
 Natural stupidity.

grin

Spot on.

 Which is why MAD works.  But a regular bombing run on a few oil refineries
 would put the US in a world of hurt really quickly, enough for them to
 pull a lot of their troops out of places that happen to be too close to
 Russia and China.  Mexico isn't entirely happy with US policy, I'm sure
 they could be bribed into letting the other powers use their air and land
 space for a limited attack.  The US won't use nukes to retaliate, which
 was the origin of this line of argument.

...  Mexico's not happy, Canadians are getting pissed because of threatened
boycotts from American companies/PIRs, Europeans are pissed because America
has threatened to boycott perfume and cheese (yes, this is mostly France,
but they /are/ a part of the EU), Iraq is pissed because they just got
invaded, Korea's pissed because the US is jerking them around ...

The list can go on and on.  The US is *not* a popular country right now.
Not only could I see Mexico turning a blind eye, but I can see a large part
of the world taking the same stance.

I agree wholeheartedly with what you're saying.  The US, I'd like to
believe, isn't dumb enough to actually use its nuclear weapons, especially
on its own continent.  Move across the ocean, and I'm less sure of this,
though.

 If Russia, Chaina and the EU really wanted to, they could use conventional
 weapons and force the US to at least retreat from trying to rule the
 world.  An attack on Syria and Saudi Arabia or Iran could provoke it.

I'd rather see the Green party (and Russian) attempts at having George W.
Bush indicted as a War Criminal for this attack on Iraq.  Much more
peaceful, delivers a much stronger message, and rids the guy of his power
trip.



Nuking kasmir (Re: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV)

2003-04-02 Thread Major Variola (ret)
At 10:43 PM 4/1/03 -0800, Sarad AV wrote:
Well-pakistan has been constantly nuclear black
mailing india.They say that their nuclear options are
always open and there is nothing india can do about
it.
Sarath.

Hilarious, dude.  Who got nukes first?  India.

See your own propoganda site, http://www.saag.org/papers5/paper451.html
THE MAY 1998 POKHRAN TESTS: Scientific Aspects by R. Chidambaram
for a nice tech description of your past and recent gizmos.

And your blackmailing agitprop is taken straight from
http://www.saag.org/papers5/paper482.html
PAKISTAN'S NUCLEAR BLACKMAILING: Spreading fear of
 nuclear terror  by Dr. Rajesh Kumar Mishra
(which is a typical paper topic by South Asia Analysis Group,
which seems to be an Indian 1960's RAND).



Re: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread Eugen Leitl
On Wed, 2 Apr 2003, Ken Brown wrote:

 On paper they won on the Eastern Front, but the Soviet Union
 was produced out of the Russian defeat and I suspect many Germans would,
 in the log run, not have thought that that was a good outcome.

One really can't deny that that shipping the secret weapon of mass
destruction (Ulyanov-1 across Germany in a sealed railway car) produced a
lot of fallout.



Re: Logging of Web Usage

2003-04-02 Thread Bill Frantz
At 2:58 PM -0800 4/2/03, John Young wrote:
Ben,

Would you care to comment for publication on web logging
described in these two files:

  http://cryptome.org/no-logs.htm

  http://cryptome.org/usage-logs.htm

Cryptome invites comments from others who know the capabilities
of servers to log or not, and other means for protecting user privacy
by users themselves rather than by reliance upon privacy policies
of site operators and government regulation.

This relates to the data retention debate and current initiatives
of law enforcement to subpoena, surveil, steal and manipulate
log data.

Thanks,

John

The http://cryptome.org/usage-logs.htm URL says:

Low resolution data in most cases is intended to be sufficient for
marketing analyses.  It may take the form of IP addresses that have been
subjected to a one way hash, to refer URLs that exclude information other
than the high level domain, or temporary cookies.

Note that since IPv4 addresses are 32 bits, anyone willing to dedicate a
computer for a few hours can reverse a one way hash by exhaustive search.
Truncating IPs seems a much more privacy friendly approach.

This problem would be less acute with IPv6 addresses.

Cheers - Bill


-
Bill Frantz   | Due process for all| Periwinkle -- Consulting
(408)356-8506 | used to be the | 16345 Englewood Ave.
[EMAIL PROTECTED] | American way.  | Los Gatos, CA 95032, USA



Re: Logging of Web Usage

2003-04-02 Thread Morlock Elloi
Frankly, it seems that some brains around here are softening. Relying on httpd
operators to protect those who access is plain silly, even if echelon (funny
how that word dropped below radar lately) did not exist.

The proper way is, of course, self-protection. Start with tight control of
outgoing info from the end-user machine (remove or fake all fields that are not
essential, such as referrer, client application, client OS). Use proxies. If
you own a multi-IP subnet randomly switch the originating IP - this fucks up
most automated tracking.

What doesn't exist is mixmaster-grade anon re-httpers. I guess that ones that
would let just text through (no images/scripting etc.) would be repulsive
enough for wide public and therefore useful.

Once you provide your data, it is always retained forever. Learn to live with
it.



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Logging of Web Usage

2003-04-02 Thread John Young
Ben,

Would you care to comment for publication on web logging 
described in these two files:

  http://cryptome.org/no-logs.htm

  http://cryptome.org/usage-logs.htm

Cryptome invites comments from others who know the capabilities 
of servers to log or not, and other means for protecting user privacy 
by users themselves rather than by reliance upon privacy policies 
of site operators and government regulation.

This relates to the data retention debate and current initiatives 
of law enforcement to subpoena, surveil, steal and manipulate
log data.

Thanks,

John



Re: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread Tim May
On Tuesday, April 1, 2003, at 10:43  PM, Sarad AV wrote:

--- Damian Gerow [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

And then the whole world dies, because of ...  what?

Seriously, I *highly* doubt that any nation at this
time would *seriously*
think of bombing another nuclear-enabled nation with
a nuclear weapon.  It's
just suicide.
Well-pakistan has been constantly nuclear black
mailing india.They say that their nuclear options are
always open and there is nothing india can do about
it.When the hate grows logic doesn't work.
Silly PC language about how when the hate grows logic doesn't work is 
pointless, Ghandian nonsense.

If India does not withdraw from Kashmir, Pakistan will nuke Delhi, 
Calcutta, Hyderabad, and the aptly-named Mumbai.

Jibberish about hate and love and violence never solves anything 
needs to be introduced to Mr. Atom.

--Tim May
The Constitution is a radical document...it is the job of the 
government to rein in people's rights. --President William J. Clinton



Re: Logging of Web Usage

2003-04-02 Thread Thomas Shaddack
 Relying on httpd operators to protect those who access is plain silly,
 even if echelon (funny how that word dropped below radar lately) did
 not exist.

Echelon could be grouped together with Carnivore and CALEA devices into
the group of Generic Transport-level Eavesdroppers. No need to consider it
separately, at least for technological purposes. (...am I right?)

 What doesn't exist is mixmaster-grade anon re-httpers. I guess that ones that
 would let just text through (no images/scripting etc.) would be repulsive
 enough for wide public and therefore useful.

Could it be constructed as eg. a FreeNet extension? Piggybacking on an
existing system is easier than rolling out a whole new thing.

 Once you provide your data, it is always retained forever. Learn to
 live with it.

What worries me a LOT is Google (and search engines in general). Very
useful tool, and way too attractive to profile people by their search
queries.



Re: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Wed, Apr 02, 2003 at 12:16:20PM +0100, Vincent Penquerc'h wrote:
 I don't think they will need to fight us, just impose 
  sanctions by the UN, or
  even just a world boycott of the US. That and a few suicide 
  bombers in the US
  now and again. How many suicide bombers in airports would it 
  take to finish off
  the US air industry? The rest of the world is perfectly 
  capable of destroying
  the US without any real military action. 
 
 I doubt those govts would be able to hide their traces well enough
 for the CIA not to have wind of this. Then, the US have two options:
 either officially yell, and maybe militarily attack (they'd have a
 huge popular support for this), or let the CIA do the thing, as in
 Chile, for instance. Leads to a war of civilian bombings ? Official
 yells would be of course accompanied with sanctions, probably voted
 at UNSC unanimity (minus a veto if the responsbile country is in
 UNSC itself, but I doubt that'd change much anyway).
 Something that could (though not very probable either) avoid these
 consequences is unofficial actions, by people without any state
 connection whatsoever (or company, etc). But even then, look at
 what happened to Afghanistan. Granted, a EU country might be a bit
 more hard of a target to attack, but it would be easier for the CIA
 to do the same kind of covert attacks there. I doubt many countries
 want to get involved into that.


   The suicide bombers will come here entirely on their own for the most part,
or perhaps with the help of Al-queda type groups. There will be no country to
retaliate against. That alone could easily send us into a deep depression -- by
and large the US public is far too soft to deal with the effects of that. 
   Or do you mean that the CIA will seek to undermine the governments of
countries that boycott the US? It might not even be a gov't action, just a lot
of angry people around the world. After all, what do we produce that anyone
really needs that isn't made more cheaply elsewhere, other than possibly
food? And many countries are already boycotting our GM food crops. 


-- 
Harmon Seaver   
CyberShamanix
http://www.cybershamanix.com



Re: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread David Howe
at Tuesday, April 01, 2003 11:53 PM, Kevin S. Van Horn
[EMAIL PROTECTED] was seen to say:
 What's a legitimate government?  One with enough firepower to make its
 rule stick?
One with real (not imagined) WMD to frighten off american presidents. NK
being a good example...



Re: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread Ken Brown
Kevin S. Van Horn wrote:

 the side contributing the most corpses won.

True of Vietnam of course.

And of WW2, the dead being mainly in Eastern Europe and China.

Arguably of WW1 as well, the Germans lost fewer men on the Western Front
than the Belgians, French and British, but they had more deaths from
disease.  On paper they won on the Eastern Front, but the Soviet Union
was produced out of the Russian defeat and I suspect many Germans would,
in the log run, not have thought that that was a good outcome.



Re: CDR: RE: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread Sarad AV

--- Damian Gerow [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 And then the whole world dies, because of ...  what?
 
 Seriously, I *highly* doubt that any nation at this
 time would *seriously*
 think of bombing another nuclear-enabled nation with
 a nuclear weapon.  It's
 just suicide.

Well-pakistan has been constantly nuclear black
mailing india.They say that their nuclear options are
always open and there is nothing india can do about
it.When the hate grows logic doesn't work.Thats why
one cannot do any thing about suicide bombing
either.There are no winners in a nuclear war-thats
certain.So the uneasy peace will prevail for a few
more year.Things may change later.

Sarath.

 
 'a couple thousand nukes' later, there's not much
 left of this planet.  That
 which hasn't been blowed [sic] up is exposed to
 enough radiation to kill, or
 to cause some serious mutations.
 


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Re: Trials for those undermining the war effort?

2003-04-02 Thread Ken Brown
Harmon,

your knowledge of the history of the Roman Empire  early Christianity
is flakier than Choate's physics.  Go home and read some history books
instead of New Age loonies with a persecution complex.

No point in refuting the heap of ignorance appended below because there
isn't enough meaningful  in it to require an answer - but if it makes
you feel superior to fantasise that using a modern-style transliteration
of an Aramaic name as Yeshua instead of the Latin-style Jesus makes
you some sort of elite soul, go right ahead.  The Greek spelling of the
name is Iesous anyway. And the origin is the same Hebrew name that also
comes to us as Joshua and Hosea.  That sort of thing happens when you
move between alphabets.


Harmon Seaver wrote:
 
 On Tue, Apr 01, 2003 at 08:43:34PM +0100, Ken Brown wrote:
  Steve Schear wrote:
 
   At 06:34 PM 3/30/2003 -0500, stuart wrote:
   On Sunday, March 30, 2003, Harmon Seaver came up with this...
   
   You give too much credit to the Romans. Catholicism worked so well
   because it is a virus, and conversion was often forced upon heathens by
   their fellow countrymen.
  
   Interestingly though, Christianity started in the Holy Land but never got
   much traction there.
 
  Not true. Palestine became majority Christian quite early, as did parts
  of Syria, Armenia and Arabia.  All those places, and also Egypt, were
  largely converted long before the Christians had any political power.
 
No, they weren't christian -- they were followers of Rabbi Yeshua ben
 Yoseph ha Natzri, later called Mesheach ha Israel. No Jewish moma ever named her
 little boy Jesus, which is a Greek name, and the Jews had just spent 200 years
 of ethnic cleansing anything that looked, smelled, or spoke Greek. Jesus and
 Christ and christianity were something invented by the europeans -- a take-off
 of the Jewish messiah and with some of the early writings, heavily edited, of
 Rabbi Yeshua's apostles, but rather a different thing. When the Romans started
 trying to alter things, the groups in Palestine, Syria, etc. essentially told
 them to fuck off.
The epistles of Paul, for example, were written in Greek, while the earlier
 stuff was originally written in Hebrew, then very badly translated into Greek,
 essentially by the word for word substitution method, which really resulted in
 some strange passages in the new testament. Some scholars have been reverse
 translating them by the same method with good results, but of course there's a
 lot of official opposition to this (just as there is to translating the Dead Sea
 scrolls) and zero funding.
 Interestingly enough, Paul's letters would have been totally lost except for
 one man, Marcion, who collected them all. Unfortunately, he was a Gnostic, not a
 christian, and a rabid anti-semite, so he took a scissors and cut out anything
 that was at all favorable to the jews and burned it, leaving some very strange
 and heavily altered texts.
The new testament wasn't canonized until around 400-500ad, can't remember
 exactly, but anyway long after the council at nicea where they excommunicated
 all the Palistinian, etc. followers of the Rabbi, and also after christianity
 had been made the official state religion of the empire, so any hope of the
 real authentic older teachings being included was long gone. And, of course, we
 know that pretty much as soon as they were made the official church, they went
 about destroying the old religion's temples, sacred texts, etc and persecuting
 the followers.
Talk about broken chains of tradition. 8-)
 
 --
 Harmon Seaver
 CyberShamanix
 http://www.cybershamanix.com



Re: Trials for those undermining the war effort?

2003-04-02 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Wed, Apr 02, 2003 at 12:22:31PM +0100, Ken Brown wrote:
 Harmon,
 
 your knowledge of the history of the Roman Empire  early Christianity
 is flakier than Choate's physics.  Go home and read some history books
 instead of New Age loonies with a persecution complex.

   I'm not reading new age anything, simply the writings of the early church
fathers and church history. All solid, well-recognized scholarly works. The same
works studied in any good university biblical literature program. You
don't translate names. Especially you don't change the name of the god. Read the
Old Testament, see how incredibly many times you find phrases like the holy
name of the lord, blessed be the name, the wonderful name, etc. 

 
 No point in refuting the heap of ignorance appended below because there
 isn't enough meaningful  in it to require an answer - but if it makes
 you feel superior to fantasise that using a modern-style transliteration
 of an Aramaic name as Yeshua instead of the Latin-style Jesus makes
 you some sort of elite soul, go right ahead.  The Greek spelling of the
 name is Iesous anyway. And the origin is the same Hebrew name that also
 comes to us as Joshua and Hosea.  That sort of thing happens when you
 move between alphabets.
 
 
 Harmon Seaver wrote:
  
  On Tue, Apr 01, 2003 at 08:43:34PM +0100, Ken Brown wrote:
   Steve Schear wrote:
  
At 06:34 PM 3/30/2003 -0500, stuart wrote:
On Sunday, March 30, 2003, Harmon Seaver came up with this...

You give too much credit to the Romans. Catholicism worked so well
because it is a virus, and conversion was often forced upon heathens by
their fellow countrymen.
   
Interestingly though, Christianity started in the Holy Land but never got
much traction there.
  
   Not true. Palestine became majority Christian quite early, as did parts
   of Syria, Armenia and Arabia.  All those places, and also Egypt, were
   largely converted long before the Christians had any political power.
  
 No, they weren't christian -- they were followers of Rabbi Yeshua ben
  Yoseph ha Natzri, later called Mesheach ha Israel. No Jewish moma ever named her
  little boy Jesus, which is a Greek name, and the Jews had just spent 200 years
  of ethnic cleansing anything that looked, smelled, or spoke Greek. Jesus and
  Christ and christianity were something invented by the europeans -- a take-off
  of the Jewish messiah and with some of the early writings, heavily edited, of
  Rabbi Yeshua's apostles, but rather a different thing. When the Romans started
  trying to alter things, the groups in Palestine, Syria, etc. essentially told
  them to fuck off.
 The epistles of Paul, for example, were written in Greek, while the earlier
  stuff was originally written in Hebrew, then very badly translated into Greek,
  essentially by the word for word substitution method, which really resulted in
  some strange passages in the new testament. Some scholars have been reverse
  translating them by the same method with good results, but of course there's a
  lot of official opposition to this (just as there is to translating the Dead Sea
  scrolls) and zero funding.
  Interestingly enough, Paul's letters would have been totally lost except for
  one man, Marcion, who collected them all. Unfortunately, he was a Gnostic, not a
  christian, and a rabid anti-semite, so he took a scissors and cut out anything
  that was at all favorable to the jews and burned it, leaving some very strange
  and heavily altered texts.
 The new testament wasn't canonized until around 400-500ad, can't remember
  exactly, but anyway long after the council at nicea where they excommunicated
  all the Palistinian, etc. followers of the Rabbi, and also after christianity
  had been made the official state religion of the empire, so any hope of the
  real authentic older teachings being included was long gone. And, of course, we
  know that pretty much as soon as they were made the official church, they went
  about destroying the old religion's temples, sacred texts, etc and persecuting
  the followers.
 Talk about broken chains of tradition. 8-)
  
  --
  Harmon Seaver
  CyberShamanix
  http://www.cybershamanix.com

-- 
Harmon Seaver   
CyberShamanix
http://www.cybershamanix.com



Re: CDR: RE: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread Damian Gerow
Sarad AV [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Seriously, I *highly* doubt that any nation at this
  time would *seriously*
  think of bombing another nuclear-enabled nation with
  a nuclear weapon.  It's
  just suicide.
 
 Well-pakistan has been constantly nuclear black
 mailing india.They say that their nuclear options are
 always open and there is nothing india can do about
 it.When the hate grows logic doesn't work.Thats why
 one cannot do any thing about suicide bombing
 either.There are no winners in a nuclear war-thats
 certain.So the uneasy peace will prevail for a few
 more year.Things may change later.

You're leaving out stupidity.  I can only see two reasons for bombing with
nuclear weapons: hate and stupidity.

That being said, you'd have to *really* hate someone (or an entire country)
to actually /use/ a nuclear weapon.  Threatening is one thing.  Doing is
another.



Re: Duct-tape and tin foil nukular reactor?

2003-04-02 Thread Tyler Durden
Tim May wrote...


You fucking cretin, _you_ are the one who cited the article and then
wrote:
I always get a distinct pleasure out of getting posters to go postal. This 
is close and I'm laughing my ass off!
(Even better is to knock a poster out of his nym into a new one. Tim? How 
about 'cyphercrank'?)

-TD

Al Sharpton for President

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RE: U.S. Drops 'E-Bomb' On Iraqi TV

2003-04-02 Thread Trei, Peter
 Kelsey[SMTP:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 How ever I wonder if the report of an Apache
 helicopter being shot down by a farmer with his
 rifle-the chopper was certainly downed but I find it
 hard to beleive that a bullet brought it down.
 
 I heard (I think on BBC) that a whole bunch of the choppers we sent out on
 
 some mission came back so shot up they were basically unsalvageable.  It 
 sounded like they'd been hit with small arms fire, but I don't know enough
 
 about the different kinds of helicopters used (I think these were Apaches)
 
 to know if that's plausible.  Anti-aircraft artillery, SAMs, or those 
 Russian 20mm anti-aircraft machine guns might have done the damage.  Or 
 maybe they really were messed up badly by hundreds of rounds of 7.62 mm, 
 but it sure seems like it would be unhealthy to be one of the people 
 shooting at the helicopters in that situation--like a bunch of people 
 shooting at a lion with .22 pistols or something.   Even if you eventually
 
 drive the helicopter off, it's going to leave a big pile of bodies behind!
 
I recently read a military report (I wish I kept the URL) about small arms
fire vs low-flying aircraft. The upshot is that it's a lot more effective
than
you expect, if you have enough guns and the sense to coordinate them to 
create a 'wall of lead' in the area the aircraft is about to fly through.

I expect that a helicopter hovering low over a city is pretty damn
vulnerable. 

Peter Trei



Re: Missile -launchers in iraq

2003-04-02 Thread Sarad AV
hi,

Blitz comes with high casualities.Shock and awe
technique can use troops paratrooping into baghdad.But
casualities are always unacceptable to the U.S. So
they do it the conventional way.

Sarath.

--- Ken Brown [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Tyler Durden wrote:
 
 [...]
 
  PS: Anyone notice the conceptual similarity
 between shock and awe and
  blitzkrieg?
 
 Yes, similar in some respects, though not the same.
 Shock and awe
 (terrible name for a quite sensible idea) was about
 a military force
 which is overwhelmingly stronger than its opponent
 attempting to win
 quickly and with minimum casualties on either side
 by rapidly and
 completely disrupting the enemy's ability to respond
 intelligently.
 
 Blitzkrieg (not a word the Germans used officially
 in 1939  1940 - I'm
 told it was coined by an Italian journalist) was
 about a quick victory
 over an opponent of similar strength to oneself, by
 a deep and rapid
 penetration, close co-operation between arms, and
 continual
 re-evaluation of objectives by field officers on the
 ground.  
 
 Blitzkrieg is one of the roots of SA - but it has
 others including the
 punitive expeditions of colonial times, the British
 attempt to support
 indirect rule in Iraq by airpower alone in the
 1920s, the massive aerial
 bombardments of Germany and Japan in WW2, the nukes
 at Hiroshima and
 Nagasaki, unrelenting Israeli pressure on the
 Palestinians,  and even US
 actions in places like Grenada and Panama.
 
 The US has *not* used shock and awe in this
 campaign. If it had it
 might have thrown everything at Iraq in the first
 few hours - all the
 MOABs,  all the cluster bombs, all the
 bunker-busters, all the B1s, B2s,
 B52s can drop. It might have sent airborne troops in
 on the first day,
 ignored Basra, dropped men in Baghdad. The ideal
 shock and awe opening
 to the war would have had the citizens of Baghdad
 see those 3000
 missiles go off more or less simultaneously, in the
 first 30 minutes,
 not the first 3 days,  a ring of fire round their
 city, to the
 background of the exploding bombloads of 100 B52s.
 The TV and radio and
 military communications would have been knocked out.
 The presidential
 palaces and guards barracks would not have been just
 hit, but removed.
 The dazed citizens would have wandered into the
 streets in the morning
 to find them already patrolled by Americans. If
 Saddam Hussein had
 survived the bombing he'd have woken screaming to
 see not his own
 bodyguard but the SAS.
 
 In fact the war has been run like a classic tank
 campaign, a blitzkrieg
 - tightly controlled armoured penetration over
 narrow fronts, avoiding
 easily defensible places, keeping on the move, 
 attempting to catch the
 enemy in the open and destroy him by rapidly
 bringing together local
 massive concentrations, but just steaming past an
 enemy unwilling to
 fight or hunkered down in cities or fortifications. 
 Guderian or
 Tukachevsky or Tal would have recognised the
 strategy instantly. 
 (Zhukov or Montgomery might have wanted larger,
 heavier formations). 
 The tremendous advantage given by the total air
 superiority has been
 used just ahead of the attack, as a sort of updated
 version of the
 moving barrage of WW1.
 
 It has actually been quite a successful blitz. They
 are still making
 better time than the Germans did on the road to
 Warsaw.
 
 I don't know why they are not trying the shock and
 awe strategy. I can
 think of a number of possibilities. They aren't
 mutually exclusive. In
 declining order of likelihood:
 
 - perhaps they have a greater respect for the Iraqi
 military than they
 let on
 
 - maybe, despite the hype, the battlefield
 technology is not yet in
 place, or not in great enough strength.  The news
 over here has
 mentioned British marines trying to find the launch
 sites  of the
 missiles aimed at them and that hit Kuwait. The
 pre-war propaganda was
 all about JSTARS or whatever spotting the launch
 site instantly and
 targeting retaliation within seconds.  But we're
 still using blokes with
 binoculars.
 
 - maybe shock and awe is a bad idea anyway. It might
 just be too risky.
 If you throw everything you have got at them on day
 one, what do you do
 if they don't cave in on day two?  OK, you make sure
 you have enough kit
 to keep on doing it - that's actually part of the
 doctrine - but sooner
 or later it runs out. And there are loads of other
 countries out there
 who need their dose of SA.  It is a very expensive
 kind of warfare.
 
 - it could be that the military is just too innately
 conservative for
 the much-hyped SA
 
 - perhaps there are some new tricks they didn't want
 to use in sight of
 Iran - which (rumour has it) the PNAC types want to
 invade next (I hope
 to God they don't)
 
 - perhaps they're saving it for a final attack on
 Baghdad
 
 - maybe they wanted to use all their nice tanks
 before they were
 obsolete. They haven't had a real fast-moving large
 scale tank battle in
 ages. They never got to fight