Re: [EM] (no subject)

2012-04-23 Thread Dave Ketchum

On Apr 22, 2012, at 11:14 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:


I missed the fact that Dave was answering my question here, and so  
I'll reply to his answer:


I'd said:

Approved ratings wins. The result? Well, we'd be electing the most
approved candidate, wouldn't we.  Who can criticize that?

 Dave says: 

 The voter who did not have equal liking for all Approved.

[endquote]

Ok, Dave is saying that that voter could complain about electing the  
most approved candidate, the

candidate to whom most people have given an approval.

One can only wonder how that voter would criticize electing the  
candidate to whom the most voters

have given an approval.

Dave is welcome to share with us the complaint that that voter could  
make. Dave, don't forget to include
that voter's justification for his complaint. Let your hypothetical  
voter tell us what is wrong with electing the candidate

to whom the most voters have given an approval.

But I'm going to guess what Dave means. He's saying that he wants  
more; he wants something else. He wants
the expressivity of rank balloting. No matter how much Dave wants  
that, it doesn't amount to something wrong
with electing the candidate to whom the most candidates have given  
an approval.


Certainly Dave can make that complaint--that he wants something  
more. But his complaint and ambitions don't amount
to an answer to my question (when I asked who could object to  
electing the candidate to whom the most voters have

given an approval.

The rank-balloting advocates' ohjection, desire and ambition  
certainly deserves to be answered. I will answer it in a subsequent
post (though I answered it to a large extent in the part of my  
article that discusses Approval's advantages--I invite Dave to re- 
read that part).


To try to sort out the question:
. In Plurality voters objected to being unable to vote for more  
than  one.
. Approval is better, for having fixed that, so now voters wish  
they could express preferences as to which candidate they like better.


Quite aside from that, is the important question that can be asked  
about any propoesd replacement for Plurality:


Is this method going to turn out to be worse than Plurality? Does  
it have unforseen consequences and problems that will have

some unspecified disastrous effect?


Proper question when considering any new method, whatever the current  
base may be.  IRV is an example that scares thinkers.


I know that I've already addressed this problem, and pointed out  
that Approval's stark, elegant, transparent simplicity doesn't leave
any room for that question. That was why I asked who could object to  
electing the candidate to whom the most voters have given an

approval.

You see, it's one thing to say, I want something even better. I  
claim that there can be more, and I want to ask for more!


But it's quite another thing to be able to claim that the method  
will be worse than Plurality.  It was regarding that, that I asked my

question, Who could object


You refer back to Plurality here - but from context we were at  
Approval and those of us who looked ahead realized that we need  
something better.


DWK


I'm addressing the person who wants to keep Plurality. The person  
who wants to say thalt Approval would be worse than Plurality.


One question that I'd ask that person is, Ok, then what's wrong  
with electing the candidate whom the most people have approved?


I'd also remind that person that the only difference between  
Approval and Plurality is that the person who, in Pluralilty  
approves a compromise candidate
who isn't his favorite, would, in Approval, be able to also approve  
everyone he likes more, including his favorite(s). People are then  
supporting
candidates whom they like more. The winner will be someone who is  
more liked by all of those people. Thats's another thing that would  
be difficult for the Plurality-defender to object to.


Another question that I'd ask the Plurality-defender is; What's  
wrong with letting each voter have equal power to rate each  
candidate?  ...equal power to give to each candidate one point or 0  
points?  ...or, which amounts to the same, to give to each candidate  
an Approved rating or an Unapproved rating?


In fact, what's wrong with getting rid of Plurality's forced  
falsification (which I described in the article)?


It's easy to show that Approval will be an improvement on Plurality,  
and nothing but an improvement. That can't be said for more  
complicated methods, such as the rank-balloting contraptions.


I've already said all this in the article. With any method more  
complicated than Approval, the public aren't going to be able to be  
sure that it
won't make things worse. Rank methods are contraptions. How many  
peoiple will feel confident that they know what those complicated
contraptions will do? And what they'll do wrong sometimes?  
Opponents, media, etc. will be able to take full advantage of that


[EM] (no subject)

2012-04-22 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I missed the fact that Dave was answering my question here, and so I'll
reply to his answer:

I'd said:

Approved ratings wins. The result? Well, we'd be electing the most
approved candidate, wouldn't we.  Who can criticize that?

* Dave says: ** *

* The voter who did not have equal liking for all Approved. *
**
*[endquote]*
**
*Ok, Dave is saying that that voter could complain about electing the most
approved candidate, the*
*candidate to whom most people have given an approval. *
**
*One can only wonder how that voter would criticize electing the candidate
to whom the most voters*
*have given an approval.*
**
*Dave is welcome to share with us the complaint that that voter could make.
Dave, don't forget to include*
*that voter's justification for his complaint. Let your hypothetical voter
tell us what is wrong with electing the candidate*
*to whom the most voters have given an approval.*
**
*But I'm going to guess what Dave means. He's saying that he wants more; he
wants something else. He wants*
*the expressivity of rank balloting. No matter how much Dave wants that, it
doesn't amount to something wrong*
*with electing the candidate to whom the most candidates have given an
approval.*
**
*Certainly Dave can make that complaint--that he wants something more. But
his complaint and ambitions don't amount*
*to an answer to my question (when I asked who could object to electing the
candidate to whom the most voters have*
*given an approval.*
**
*The rank-balloting advocates' ohjection, desire and ambition certainly
deserves to be answered. I will answer it in a subsequent*
*post (though I answered it to a large extent in the part of my article
that discusses Approval's advantages--I invite Dave to re-read that part).*
**
*Quite aside from that, is the important question that can be asked about
any propoesd replacement for Plurality:*
**
*Is this method going to turn out to be worse than Plurality? Does it have
unforseen consequences and problems that will have*
*some unspecified disastrous effect?*
**
*I know that I've already addressed this problem, and pointed out that
Approval's stark, elegant, transparent simplicity doesn't leave*
*any room for that question. That was why I asked who could object to
electing the candidate to whom the most voters have given an*
*approval.*
**
*You see, it's one thing to say, I want something even better. I claim
that there can be more, and I want to ask for more!*
**
*But it's quite another thing to be able to claim that the method will be
worse than Plurality.  It was regarding that, that I asked my*
*question, Who could object *
**
*I'm addressing the person who wants to keep Plurality. The person who
wants to say thalt Approval would be worse than Plurality.*
**
*One question that I'd ask that person is, Ok, then what's wrong with
electing the candidate whom the most people have approved?*
**
*I'd also remind that person that the only difference between Approval and
Plurality is that the person who, in Pluralilty approves a compromise
candidate*
*who isn't his favorite, would, in Approval, be able to also approve
everyone he likes more, including his favorite(s). People are then
supporting*
*candidates whom they like more. The winner will be someone who is more
liked by all of those people. Thats's another thing that would be difficult
for the Plurality-defender to object to.*
**
*Another question that I'd ask the Plurality-defender is; What's wrong with
letting each voter have equal power to rate each candidate?  ...equal power
to give to each candidate one point or 0 points?  ...or, which amounts to
the same, to give to each candidate an Approved rating or an Unapproved
rating?*
**
*In fact, what's wrong with getting rid of Plurality's forced falsification
(which I described in the article)? *
**
*It's easy to show that Approval will be an improvement on Plurality, and
nothing but an improvement. That can't be said for more complicated
methods, such as the rank-balloting contraptions.*
**
*I've already said all this in the article. With any method more
complicated than Approval, the public aren't going to be able to be sure
that it*
*won't make things worse. Rank methods are contraptions. How many peoiple
will feel confident that they know what those complicated*
*contraptions will do? And what they'll do wrong sometimes? Opponents,
media, etc. will be able to take full advantage of that*
*uncertainty.*
**
*I've already said that, if it could be enacted, and if people could
understand or trust its FBC compliance, I'd like ICT as the my favorite
choice of voting system. But those conditions don't obtain, and so I don't
propose ICT, or any other rank method.*
**
*Mike Ossipoff*
**
**
**
**
**
**
**
**

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[EM] (no subject)

2011-12-10 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF

After posting today, I noticed the description of LRV. 

So my list of FBC/ABE methods wasn't complete, and there are 7 of them instead 
of 6.

What are the entries for LRV in my FBC/ABE methods properties table?

Mike Ossipoff

  
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[EM] (no subject)

2010-09-03 Thread Warren Smith
Robt Bristow-Johnson:
I disagree.  However, we don't really know the how the mechanics of
approval will work out in practice.
Abd Lomax:
Well, that's not entirely true. Approval Voting was used for hundreds
of years in Venice...

--well, it'd be interesting to see your reactions to my attempt to
investigate this
very question in the about 45 Pope elections via approval voting.
I repeat the URL for the summary:
  http://rangevoting.org/PopeSummary.html
and the stories
  http://rangevoting.org/PopeElectionStories.html

Read 'em, you'll be amused, horrified, and freaked out probably.  It's
amazing the
shenanigans they did.  You can try to analyse alternate histories in many cases
(what would have happened with voting system X instead?).


-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org  -- add your endorsement (by clicking
endorse as 1st step)
and
math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html

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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2010-09-03 Thread robert bristow-johnson


On Sep 3, 2010, at 2:52 PM, Warren Smith wrote:
...

 http://rangevoting.org/PopeElectionStories.html

Read 'em, you'll be amused, horrified, and freaked out probably.   
It's amazing the shenanigans they did.


and some of them shenanigans are documented in The Da Vinci Files.

:-)


--

r b-j  r...@audioimagination.com

Imagination is more important than knowledge.





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[EM] (no subject)

2010-08-25 Thread Alex Small
To everyone, I get these messages in digest form, so sometimes I miss 
things.  If you have comments on my manuscript, go to my blog:



http://votingmath.blogspot.com/2010/08/open-thread-for-comments-on-manuscript.html


Warren,

Thanks for the comments and the corrections.  I have changed the paper to spell 
all names properly and give credit to Kevin Venzke.  I now include a link to 
the Electowiki entry on MDDA as well as the longer article by you and Mike 
Ossipoff at RangeVoting.org.  A table of contents is also a great suggestion, 
and I've added it.

I don't have time to address everything now, but on the general issue of style, 
well, I plead guilty to many errors and thank you for the feedback.  I'm a 
theoretical physicist, not a mathematician, and this is the first time I've 
tried to write something that involves a proof rather than a derivation or 
calculation.  I'll work on it over time, but I can't promise immediate changes 
in the next draft.  Not being a mathematician, I tried to emulate a lot of 
Saari's style from his book Basic Geometry of Voting since he is a pro and I 
use some geometrical ideas from his book.  But clearly I have a long way to go.

The idea of the linearity condition is simply that the statements being checked 
are all linear inequalities.  In the very simplest case of plurality voting, 
candidate A would win if:
f(votes for A) - f(votes for B)  0
AND
f(votes for A) - f(votes for C)  0
AND
etc. for all other candidates

where f(votes for A) is the fraction of voters casting ballots for A.  If we 
were doing a more complicated method, we'd specify more elaborate inequalities, 
regarding (perhaps) the fraction of voters giving A a certain number of points, 
or the fraction ranking A above B, or whatever.

The key point is that those inequalities are all linear in the fraction casting 
each ballot type.  However, somebody could always come along and say Hey, I 
want a rule where we check whether (f(votes for A))^2 - f(votes for B)  0!  
Why would somebody write down that rule?  I dunno.  Seems illogical.  But they 
could.  I wanted to exclude it from analysis, since every method that I'm aware 
of involves conditions that are linear in ballot types.

A table summarizing methods is an excellent idea.  A table explaining Type 1, 
Type 1b, Type 2, and Type 3 might still not make a lot of sense to a newbie, 
since these definitions all depend on properties of normal vectors, i.e. it is 
not immediately obvious what they have to do with practical statements about 
election methods like Whoever has the most points wins or Whoever beats all 
others pairwise wins or If there's no majority first choice then you 
eliminate the candidate with the fewest first-choice votes and transfer his 
ballots... etc.

However, I might still put in a table to at least summarize these things for 
the technical reader trying to keep track, and a separate table with examples 
of SFBC-compliant methods in each category so that the non-technical reader 
gets a flavor for it.  Thanks for the suggestion.

As for * vs. x for multiplication, all I can say is that when I was writing 
my thesis I frequently used x and my advisor (a physicist) chided me gently 
for my unorthodox choice of multiplication symbol.  Remember that x means 
cross product to many scientists and engineers.  I have replaced * with 
\cdot, since it means scalar multiplied by to many people.  Now somebody will 
no doubt accuse me of mixing in a dot product, and I'll change it to \times, 
and then somebody will complain that I'm doing topological products :)

More later.



Alex


--- On Mon, 8/23/10, election-methods-requ...@lists.electorama.com 
election-methods-requ...@lists.electorama.com wrote:
Message: 2
Date: Mon, 23 Aug 2010 16:43:38 -0400
From: Warren Smith warren@gmail.com
To: election-methods election-meth...@electorama.com
Subject: [EM] (no subject)
Message-ID:
    aanlktim8snht88t_si9=n-0mtpw=fhn-8ags1do5l...@mail.gmail.com
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1

Dear Alex Small

your FBC manuscript looks interesting.  The typesetting is sometimes
annoying (use of * for multiply).

Kevin Venzke is quite right he invented MDDA not me.
Ossipoff has 2 Fs.  Warren D. Smith has a D.

Your paper is long.  It needs to be written to be more accessible.
Think how to provide fast-access routes for the reader who wants to
know certain things (make a list of what things various typical readers
might want to know, and find a way to make them be able to find it fast).

Like put a table of contents, table of FBC-complaint methods, index,
I dunno.   It is not easy for a newbie to quickly assimilate what's
important in your paper.

See also the end of http://rangevoting.org/FBCsurvey.html
where the Smith-Simmons theorem is mentioned, see
http://rangevoting.org/SimmonsSmithPf.html

somehow I feel this theorem has heavy importance and you ought to
discuss it to some degree.

Among your SFBC compliant methods, you might want

[EM] (no subject)

2010-08-23 Thread Warren Smith
Dear Alex Small

your FBC manuscript looks interesting.  The typesetting is sometimes
annoying (use of * for multiply).

Kevin Venzke is quite right he invented MDDA not me.
Ossipoff has 2 Fs.  Warren D. Smith has a D.

Your paper is long.  It needs to be written to be more accessible.
Think how to provide fast-access routes for the reader who wants to
know certain things (make a list of what things various typical readers
might want to know, and find a way to make them be able to find it fast).

Like put a table of contents, table of FBC-complaint methods, index,
I dunno.   It is not easy for a newbie to quickly assimilate what's
important in your paper.

See also the end of http://rangevoting.org/FBCsurvey.html
where the Smith-Simmons theorem is mentioned, see
http://rangevoting.org/SimmonsSmithPf.html

somehow I feel this theorem has heavy importance and you ought to
discuss it to some degree.

Among your SFBC compliant methods, you might want to compare.  Which
should we like and why.

But I haven't really read the thing yet :)


-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org  -- add your endorsement (by clicking
endorse as 1st step)
and
math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html

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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2010-08-23 Thread Warren Smith
 The way I read it, it seems he suggests SFBC is too strong. If you
 insist upon SFBC, you get a method that treats at least the two first
 ranks equally, either directly (type 1) or indirectly (type 2). Thus you
 can either insist on SFBC and have methods that treat the top two of a
 voter's ranking equally, or you can relax it to FBC (and thus get MDDA
 and the likes) in which case only *sometimes* do the voters need to
 (have an incentive to) rank the top two equal.


--yah, I am vaguely getting that sort of impression too.

In which case, I say Small should just come out and SAY THAT.
Take a clear succinct stand.  Or at least offer it.

-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org  -- add your endorsement (by clicking
endorse as 1st step)
and
math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


[EM] (no subject)

2010-04-23 Thread peter barath
Admitting that I didn'f fully follow the topic:

I think my selfish incentives are enough to make me
vote. Maybe I have also altruistic incentives but they
are surplus. Also, my selfish incentives in great part
have ethical and community nature, but still selfish.

How can a selfish motive have ethical nature? Simple.
If I don't steal an exotic fruit from the supermarket,
my motives have ethical nature, but some of them
selfish: I don't want to be punished.

So, what are my costs about the voting? Five minute
walk to the place, five minute vote, and five minute
walk back. (And consider that I like to walk, sometimes
I do it just for recreation.)

Knowing about politics I don't count as a cost. Even
if I didn't have the right to vote, I would know about
politics to make decisions about my life, to not look
dumb when conversating, and from simple curiosity, which
means something like hoping to utilize knowledge maybe
somewhere, some time, in some field (but it's not as
much a decision, as an instinct, evolution-made - not
all of those work well, for example, our instinctous
carbohydrate craving can make us less healthy, but
curiosity is still okayy).

So let's make the cost a dollar (this is not a very high
GDP per capita country - Hungary).

Let's see the plus side.

In my country a million voter minus already would somehow
endanger democracy. Let's suppose it's a 0.1 probability
of a fascist dictatorship which kills me or makes my
life as miserable as death with a 0.1 probability. So
roughly my voting makes my life 0.0001 safer. Question
is wheter my life is worth a hundred million dollars.
I'm not sure. It's also important to note that in such
magnitudes utility can not be considered as a linear
function of money. (For Bill Gates, a million dollar
plus doesn't mean nearly as much as for me would.)

As a matter of fact, my voting or not voting makes more
than one vote plus or minus because other people tend
in this respect more to follow than to counterfollow
my example.

Since voting is considered as an ethical act, I vote to
make my reputation better. I could maybe lie in this
respect, but lying also has high costs. My family members
know when I'm coming and going, I can be caught if something
interesting happens in my voting place and I don't know about.

This can be considered like this: for some extent I also
protect other people from a fascist dictatorship, and they
also protect me. So we have an agreement to vote. But my
keeping of the agreement is not fully altruistic because
others know what I do.

Also, if something interesting happens in my voting place,
it's good for me, I can talk about it, I can get some
attention in the company, which is such a hard thing to do.

Even if nothing particular happens, voting is a little
bit fun.

Maybe I forgot something, I don't know. Just one more note:

Since the previus elections Hungarian Parlament created a law
to make cheating less probable. By this, in every constituency,
only one voting place is able to get votes from people who don't
vote in their own dwelling place. In these places, some people
waited for six hours in line to vote.

I don't know what I would have done in this situation. Probably
would have wait for my turn. Why? Would have this been able
to explain by purely selfish motives? Maybe. Becaus if I do
my thing in such circumstances, it makes me look even better
before others. The probability of something interesting happens
grows. And not only something to talk about: it can be an
interesting experience. What people say in this situation?
How the authorities react? Taking part is sometimes valueable
because media often lie about events. If you are there, you
have chance to know.

Peter Barath

nbsp;a href=http://ad.adverticum.net/b/cl,1,73468,1603402,1600294/click.prm; 
target=_blankbrAutót
 vásárol? Balesetmentesen vezet? Genertel kötelező szenzációs 
kedvezménnyel!br/a

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[EM] (no subject)

2009-11-08 Thread Warren Smith
Terry Bouricius:
I'm not sure if it is quite at the layman level, but Prof. Nicloaus
Tideman's recent book Collective Decisions and Voting has an analysis of
vulnerability to strategic manipulation of virtually every single-winner
voting method that has ever been proposed and concludes that Range Voting
along with Borda and four other methods have defects that are so serious
as to disqualify them from consideration. (page 238). Range Voting
advocates on this list dispute his definition of resistance to strategy.
A somewhat more accessible (and available online for free) analysis of
strategic vulnerability of various methods is in this doctoral paper by
James Green-Armytage (Strategic voting and Strategic Nomination:
Comparing seven election methods). He found that Range and Approval were
just about the worst in terms of manipulability.
http://econ.ucsb.edu/graduate/PhDResearch/electionstrategy10b.pdf

REPLY BY WDS:
1.Tideman's book and the flaws in its (poor) notion of resistance to
strategy are discussed here:
http://rangevoting.org/TidemanRev.html

2. Bouricius forgot to mention, same way he usually forgets to
mention, that Tideman also found IRV to be unsupportable.

3.Armytage's ideas  related ones are discussed in puzzle #112 here:
 http://rangevoting.org/PuzzlePage.html
(I actually managed to prove a number of things Armytage could not,
for example.)
However Bayesian Regret is the right yardstick and Armytage's (while
interesting) the wrong one.


-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org  -- add your endorsement (by clicking
endorse as 1st step)
and
math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html

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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-08 Thread Jonathan Lundell

On Nov 8, 2009, at 10:00 AM, Warren Smith wrote:


2. Bouricius forgot to mention, same way he usually forgets to
mention, that Tideman also found IRV to be unsupportable.


conditionally supportable, actually. 


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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-08 Thread Warren Smith
under a condition which is, in fact, violated.


On 11/8/09, Jonathan Lundell jlund...@pobox.com wrote:
 On Nov 8, 2009, at 10:00 AM, Warren Smith wrote:

 2. Bouricius forgot to mention, same way he usually forgets to
 mention, that Tideman also found IRV to be unsupportable.

 conditionally supportable, actually.



-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org  -- add your endorsement (by clicking
endorse as 1st step)
and
math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-08 Thread Terry Bouricius
Response to Warren... inserted below each of his points (marked by ***)

Terry Bouricius

- Original Message - 
From: Warren Smith warren@gmail.com
To: election-methods election-meth...@electorama.com
Sent: Sunday, November 08, 2009 1:00 PM
Subject: [EM] (no subject)


Terry Bouricius:
I'm not sure if it is quite at the layman level, but Prof. Nicloaus
Tideman's recent book Collective Decisions and Voting has an analysis of
vulnerability to strategic manipulation of virtually every single-winner
voting method that has ever been proposed and concludes that Range Voting
along with Borda and four other methods have defects that are so serious
as to disqualify them from consideration. (page 238). Range Voting
advocates on this list dispute his definition of resistance to strategy.
A somewhat more accessible (and available online for free) analysis of
strategic vulnerability of various methods is in this doctoral paper by
James Green-Armytage (Strategic voting and Strategic Nomination:
Comparing seven election methods). He found that Range and Approval were
just about the worst in terms of manipulability.
http://econ.ucsb.edu/graduate/PhDResearch/electionstrategy10b.pdf

REPLY BY WDS:
1.Tideman's book and the flaws in its (poor) notion of resistance to
strategy are discussed here:
http://rangevoting.org/TidemanRev.html

***
1. Tideman is quite careful and methodical in his analysis of resistance 
to strategy using real world election data as a basis for analysis. I 
agree, however, that his definition only covers a specific slice of 
strategy possibilities that his data allowed him to analyze, and he made 
no attempt to evaluate other kinds of possible startegy that Warren Smith 
and some others focus on. This does not mean Tideman's analysis is flawed, 
though it may be classified as incomplete.


2. Bouricius forgot to mention, same way he usually forgets to
mention, that Tideman also found IRV to be unsupportable.

*** 2. Warren Smith is wrong. He either hasn't read Tideman or is 
intentionally miss-representing Tideman here. On page 238 Tideman has a 
chart with five categories of summarizing his analysis of mehtods...
First is Not supportable whcih includes Borda, Range, Dodgson, Copeland, 
Coombs and Est. centrality.
The next category is Arguably inferior to maxmin which includes 
Condorcet, Simp. Dodgson, Nanson, Bucklin, Black, Young, and Wt. 
Condorcet.
The third categroy is Supportable if ranking is infeasible which 
includes Plurality, Approval, and Two-ballot majority.
The fourth category is Supportable if a matrix is uncalculable whcih 
includes only Alternative vote [IRV]
The last category is Supportable if a matrix of majorities is calculable 
which includes Maxmin, Ranked Pairs, Schulze, Alt. Scwartz and Alt. Smith.

 Warren is assuming that a matrix is always calculable and thus the 
supportable category that includes only IRV is in fact null. However, that 
is not what Tideman is arguing (or why would he create the category if it 
was always empty)? Elsewhere he discusses the practical limitations of 
voting methods used for public elections including ease of voter 
acceptance and argues that a hypothetical improvement of a system that 
requires complexities such as matrices may be impractical in large scale 
elections. He writes on page 240 If it is feasible to require voters to 
rank options, then much more sophisticated processing is possible. 
However, it is conceivable that it would be feasible to require voters to 
rank options but not feasible to require vote-processors to produce a 
matrix of majorities. In this event the Alternative vote is supportable.

3.Armytage's ideas  related ones are discussed in puzzle #112 here:
 http://rangevoting.org/PuzzlePage.html
(I actually managed to prove a number of things Armytage could not,
for example.)
However Bayesian Regret is the right yardstick and Armytage's (while
interesting) the wrong one.

***3. Warren Smith's conviction that Bayesian Regret is the gold standard 
for evaluating voting methods is not universally, nor even very widely 
held. It is a unique philosophical view held by those who subscribe to the 
Utilitarian philosphy, and is at least arguable. Many (most) people 
believe that when electing a single seat, the will of the majority should 
win out over the minority. This is necessarily rejected by the  believers 
in Bayesian Regret and advocates of Range voting.

-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org  -- add your endorsement (by clicking
endorse as 1st step)
and
math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html

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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-07 Thread Jonathan Lundell

On Nov 2, 2009, at 12:57 PM, Juho wrote:

Ok, these examples are sort of second level behind the hottest  
political arena. It makes sense not to involve party politics e.g.  
in decision making in the schools. Are there maybe counties/cities  
where the primary decision making body would have remained non- 
partisan?


In California, my sense is that most city elections and some county  
elections are in fact (not just nominally) non-partisan. That's not  
true for larger cities and counties, where the nominally non-partisan  
seats tend to be the farm team for the major parties--it's how you get  
on the ladder to the show.




Juho


On Nov 2, 2009, at 4:40 PM, Jonathan Lundell wrote:


On Nov 1, 2009, at 10:49 PM, Juho wrote:

Firstly, STV-PR can be used in all public elections, including  
those that are non-partisan.


Yes. Non-partisan multi-winner elections are however rare in  
politics. They may be more common e.g. when electing only a small  
number of representatives within a small community.


Non-partisan multi-seat bodies compose the overwhelming majority of  
elected offices in California. All our local boards (county and  
city governing board, school boards, fire protection and sanitation  
districts) are elected this way, and would be prime candidates for  
STV.


My sense is that this is fairly common across the US, though in  
some states some of these offices are partisan. There's plenty of  
scope for non-partisan PR.



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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-02 Thread Jonathan Lundell

On Nov 1, 2009, at 10:49 PM, Juho wrote:

Firstly, STV-PR can be used in all public elections, including  
those that are non-partisan.


Yes. Non-partisan multi-winner elections are however rare in  
politics. They may be more common e.g. when electing only a small  
number of representatives within a small community.


Non-partisan multi-seat bodies compose the overwhelming majority of  
elected offices in California. All our local boards (county and city  
governing board, school boards, fire protection and sanitation  
districts) are elected this way, and would be prime candidates for STV.


My sense is that this is fairly common across the US, though in some  
states some of these offices are partisan. There's plenty of scope for  
non-partisan PR.


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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-02 Thread robert bristow-johnson


On Nov 1, 2009, at 8:28 PM, Raph Frank wrote:


I made an attempt to create a basic explanation on an earlier post  
to this list:


http://www.mail-archive.com/election-methods@lists.electorama.com/ 
msg04195.html





which says:


One of the hardest parts about PR-STV is actually explaining it.  
Anyway, this was an approach I was thinking of. I think it hits the  
main points by covering the reasons rather than the detailed maths.  
Most people in PR-STV countries understand the method, as they  
experience it from a voter's perspective, rather than a counter's  
perspective.


PR-STV is based on 4 main principles:
1) Each voter gets 1 vote and they can vote for any candidate they  
want.

 ** All votes are equal. **
2) The 5 candidates who get the most votes get a seat. I am  
assuming 5 seats are to be filled, but the system works for any  
number.
3) If you vote for a losing candidate, your vote is transferred to  
your next choice This reason for this rule is is so that you can  
safely give your first choice to your favourite even if he is a  
weak candidate. If he doesn't win, your vote will be transferred to  
your next highest choice, until it gets to a candidate who can win  
a seat.
 ** Voting for a weak candidate doesn't mean you are throwing your  
vote away. **
4) If you vote for a candidate who gets more votes than he needs,  
the surplus is transferred to your next choice.




whose *ballot* gets their vote transferred?  it shouldn't matter in  
which order the counting is.  if my ballot is needed to give the  
candidate what he needs, and your ballot isn't needed, then you got  
to influence the election of your next choice, but i did not.  that  
can't be fair.


--

r b-j  r...@audioimagination.com

Imagination is more important than knowledge.





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Re: [EM] (no subject) STV transfer rules

2009-11-02 Thread James Gilmour
robert bristow-johnson   Sent: Monday, November 02, 2009 5:44 PM
 whose *ballot* gets their vote transferred?  it shouldn't matter in  
 which order the counting is.  if my ballot is needed to give the  
 candidate what he needs, and your ballot isn't needed, then you got  
 to influence the election of your next choice, but I did not.  that  
 can't be fair.

Opinions differ on the importance of this feature  -  as can be seen from the 
continued acceptance in some jurisdictions of STV
rules that treat ballots differently in this way.

But if this feature is important in your assessment of fairness, then you 
could use either the WIGM (Weighted inclusive Gregory
Method) version of STV-PR as implemented for the Scottish Local Government 
elections or Meek STV.  In both of these STV-PR versions
ALL of the candidate's ballots are transferred when any transfer of votes has 
to be made.  Then there is no discrimination of the
kind you describe between these voters.

James Gilmour

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Re: [EM] (no subject) STV transfer rules

2009-11-02 Thread Jonathan Lundell

On Nov 2, 2009, at 9:54 AM, James Gilmour wrote:


robert bristow-johnson   Sent: Monday, November 02, 2009 5:44 PM

whose *ballot* gets their vote transferred?  it shouldn't matter in
which order the counting is.  if my ballot is needed to give the
candidate what he needs, and your ballot isn't needed, then you got
to influence the election of your next choice, but I did not.  that
can't be fair.


Opinions differ on the importance of this feature  -  as can be seen  
from the continued acceptance in some jurisdictions of STV

rules that treat ballots differently in this way.

But if this feature is important in your assessment of fairness,  
then you could use either the WIGM (Weighted inclusive Gregory  
Method) version of STV-PR as implemented for the Scottish Local  
Government elections or Meek STV.  In both of these STV-PR versions  
ALL of the candidate's ballots are transferred when any transfer of  
votes has to be made.  Then there is no discrimination of the kind  
you describe between these voters.


While Meek is preferable in this regard, even the random-transfer  
mechanism used by Cambridge MA is fair in the sense that all voters  
are treated equally--each has the same chance of having their ballot  
chosen for transfer, and with a sufficiently large election, the  
distribution is quite good.


Still, I don't think anybody implementing STV these days is likely to  
use that particular mechanism.


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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-02 Thread Raph Frank
 On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 4:25 AM, robert bristow-johnson
 r...@audioimagination.com wrote:

 whose *ballot* gets their vote transferred?  it shouldn't matter in which
 order the counting is.  if my ballot is needed to give the candidate what
 he
 needs, and your ballot isn't needed, then you got to influence the
 election
 of your next choice, but i did not.  that can't be fair.

 There are various ways of handling this.

 One option is to randomly select ballots equal to the size of the
 surplus and pass them on.  On average, this will tend to give the same
 result, assuming a reasonably large numberr of votes are cast.

 If the quota was 20,000 and a candidate received 30,000 votes, then
 10,000 ballots would be picked at random.

 This option is not favoured as it can lead to problems with recounting
 the votes and can make election verification harder, as it won't give
 the same result twice.

 Another option is to down weight the ballots and then pass them all on.

 In that case, all of the above ballots would have their weight
 reduced, so that they only count as 1/3 of a vote (the other 2/3
 remains with the candidate who was elected).

 This is a slight complexity when a voter's vote is used to elect more
 than one candidate.  You have to multiply all the weights by each
 other.

 For example, if after the transfer, some of those votes go to a
 candidate who gets 22,000 votes, then they would be down weighted a
 2nd time.

 The new weight would be 1/3*(2/22) = 1/33 of a vote.  Effectively, his
 vote was at 1/3 strength and 20/22 of that vote was consumed electing
 the 2nd candidate.

 In both cases, the order of the votes doesn't matter.

 There is also some more complex method called Meek's method which
 makes things even fairer.  However, that requires a computer to
 determine the winner.

 It treates the votes

 ABCD
 and
 BCD

 the same if A is eliminated.

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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-02 Thread Juho
Ok, these examples are sort of second level behind the hottest  
political arena. It makes sense not to involve party politics e.g. in  
decision making in the schools. Are there maybe counties/cities where  
the primary decision making body would have remained non-partisan?


Juho


On Nov 2, 2009, at 4:40 PM, Jonathan Lundell wrote:


On Nov 1, 2009, at 10:49 PM, Juho wrote:

Firstly, STV-PR can be used in all public elections, including  
those that are non-partisan.


Yes. Non-partisan multi-winner elections are however rare in  
politics. They may be more common e.g. when electing only a small  
number of representatives within a small community.


Non-partisan multi-seat bodies compose the overwhelming majority of  
elected offices in California. All our local boards (county and city  
governing board, school boards, fire protection and sanitation  
districts) are elected this way, and would be prime candidates for  
STV.


My sense is that this is fairly common across the US, though in some  
states some of these offices are partisan. There's plenty of scope  
for non-partisan PR.



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[EM] (no subject)

2009-11-01 Thread Anthony O'Neal
I don't necessarily think that STV is better than an open party list 
system.  But I'm a political realist, and I think that STV is the system 
that would be easiest to implement in America.  With our loose coalition 
Democrat and Republican parties, and our large base of independents, 
people are too used to voting for the person and not the party to widely 
accept a system that forces voting for a party.  Even if they do have a 
large say in said party.  STV is proportional if people vote by party.  
It is also proportional if people vote by eye color. 

It's main problem is that it's complicated as hell to explain, and the 
opposition at the BC-STV referendum exploited this mercilessly. 

So the only real solution for proportional advocates seems to be to 
either find a billionaire willing to support the cause of STV, or to 
wait 100 years until Americas increasing polarization makes partisan 
voting seems not seem so obscene.


Raph Frank wrote:

On Sat, Oct 31, 2009 at 2:29 PM, Kathy Dopp kathy.d...@gmail.com wrote:
  

Rather than reply individually to the three response to my former
post, I'll just make some observations:

1. It seems like the pro-IRV/STV group has begun to dominate this list,



I am pro-PR-STV but against IRV.

As with all election methods, it is a trade-off.  The benefits of
PR-STV outweigh the disadvantages.  It gives max control to the voters
while giving reasonable PR.  The more seats elected the better.  With
small constituencies, it isn't so great.

I guess my thoughts would be that PR is better than a single seat
method, and PR-STV is better than a party list system.
  



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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-01 Thread James Gilmour
Anthony O'Neal   Sent: Sunday, November 01, 2009 7:12 AM
 I don't necessarily think that STV is better than an open party list 
 system.  

I think STV-PR is better than open-list party-list PR in three ways.

Firstly, STV-PR can be used in all public elections, including those that are 
non-partisan.
Secondly, STV-PR can deliver proportionality within individual political 
parties, where most open-list party-list systems will not.
Thirdly, and rather more politically, STV-PR can shift the balance of power 
away from the parties to the voters, IF the voters
decide to make than happen.


 But I'm a political realist, and I think that STV is the system 
 that would be easiest to implement in America.  With our loose coalition 
 Democrat and Republican parties, and our large base of independents, 
 people are too used to voting for the person and not the party to widely 
 accept a system that forces voting for a party.  Even if they do have a 
 large say in said party.

There are two other reasons why STV-PR might be the easiest to implement in 
situations where voters are used to voting in
single-member districts (the appalling British legacy!).  First is the simple 
practically of devising suitable STV multi-member
electoral districts based on existing, recognised communities.  Second is the 
voters' desire for a realistic element of local
representation as well as for broad proportionality.


 STV is proportional if people vote by party.  
 It is also proportional if people vote by eye color. 

Yes, and need not be either or  -  it can be both and.  The voters can rank 
by party and then by eye colour.  Or the voters can
rank by eye colour and then by party.  With STV-PR the voters are free to base 
their rankings of the candidates on as many
dimensions as each voter wishes.

 
 It's main problem is that it's complicated as hell to explain, and the 
 opposition at the BC-STV referendum exploited this mercilessly. 

Yes, a great deal can be made of this, and was by the opponents of reform in 
BC, but it need not be so.

To obtain proportional representation we must elect several members together; 
each voter must have only one vote; and that vote must
be transferable.

The STV-PR counting procedure involves five basic steps:
1.  Once the total number of valid ballots has been counted, the minimum number 
of votes a candidate needs to be elected is
calculated - the 'threshold' or 'quota'. (This threshold is equivalent to the 
'absolute majority' in a single-member electoral
district.)
2.  The ballots are sorted according to the first choices (rank #1) marked by 
the voters and the total number of first choice votes
for each candidate is counted.
3.  Any candidate whose vote equals or exceeds the threshold is elected.  If 
any candidate has more votes than the threshold, that
surplus above the threshold is transferred to remaining candidates in 
accordance with the second and later choices on the elected
candidate's ballots.
4.  If after the surpluses have been transferred some seats remain to be 
filled, the candidate with fewest votes is eliminated and
that candidate's votes are transferred in accordance with the second and later 
choices marked on the ballots.
5.  The transfers of votes continue, round by round, until all seats have been 
filled.


Of course, the detailed instructions for the Returning Officer are a little 
more complex than that, but again can be set out quite
simply, depending on the version of STV-PR adopted.  One merit of the version 
of STV-PR used for the local government elections in
Scotland in 2007 was the very simple principles.  All surpluses must be 
transferred, largest first.  Candidates with fewest votes
must be eliminated one at a time.  When any votes are to be transferred, all of 
the candidate's ballots must be transferred.  These
three principles greatly simplified the procedure, the regulations, the 
description and the explanation.  It all becomes
considerably more complicated when you have to make provision for deferring the 
transfer of small surpluses or for batch
eliminations of several candidates together or electing by sub-stages during 
eliminations.


 So the only real solution for proportional advocates seems to be to 
 either find a billionaire willing to support the cause of STV, or to 
 wait 100 years until Americas increasing polarization makes partisan 
 voting seems not seem so obscene.

I wouldn't be so pessimistic.  The more immediate targets should be those city 
councils and local boards that are very obviously
unrepresentative, especially those already elected at large.  Some State 
legislatures might also provide realistic prospects for
reform.  Although elected by FPTP from single-member districts, the US House of 
Representatives is not as unrepresentative as most
assemblies elected in this way around the world (e.g. UK, Canada).  That's 
probably why Federal electoral reform is not higher up
the public agenda in the USA.

James Gilmour

No 

Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-01 Thread Raph Frank
I made an attempt to create a basic explanation on an earlier post to this list:

http://www.mail-archive.com/election-methods@lists.electorama.com/msg04195.html

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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2009-11-01 Thread Juho

On Nov 1, 2009, at 5:59 PM, James Gilmour wrote:


Anthony O'Neal   Sent: Sunday, November 01, 2009 7:12 AM

I don't necessarily think that STV is better than an open party list
system.


I think STV-PR is better than open-list party-list PR in three ways.

Firstly, STV-PR can be used in all public elections, including those  
that are non-partisan.


Yes. Non-partisan multi-winner elections are however rare in politics.  
They may be more common e.g. when electing only a small number of  
representatives within a small community.


Secondly, STV-PR can deliver proportionality within individual  
political parties, where most open-list party-list systems will not.


Yes. List based methods typically don't do this. Tree method (see  
short description at the end of this mail) should maybe be classified  
as a variant of the open list method. It provides party internal  
proportionality on topics that are included in the tree hierarchy.


Thirdly, and rather more politically, STV-PR can shift the balance  
of power away from the parties to the voters, IF the voters

decide to make than happen.


In this question STV and open lists are quite close to each others  
while closed lists leave more power to the party internal decisions.  
(Also in closed lists parties should nominate candidates that voters  
want to elect, but this process is one step more indirect than in STV  
and open lists, and therefore leaves more power to the party internal  
decisions.)


I think there is a general need to empower the voters (that is the key  
idea of democracy) but that doesn't necessarily mean that we should  
take the power away from the parties. Having formal parties and other  
opinion groupings is a practical tool. Maybe parties should just be  
such that they reflect and drive topics that the voters want them to  
represent. (Non-working parties that have become tools of incumbent  
party officials and other limited interest groups could be classified  
as one form of corruption.) Party-less systems might be also one form  
of democracy but I'm not aware of any. Having parties simplifies  
(maybe oversimplifies) things a lot, but to some extent that may be  
necessary to make the politics understandable and easier to handle to  
the voters that are expected to rule (despite of not being experts in  
all the details). The ideal situation could thus be described also as  
empowering the voters, both directly and via parties.





STV is proportional if people vote by party.
It is also proportional if people vote by eye color.


Yes, and need not be either or  -  it can be both and.  The  
voters can rank by party and then by eye colour.  Or the voters can
rank by eye colour and then by party.  With STV-PR the voters are  
free to base their rankings of the candidates on as many

dimensions as each voter wishes.


Yes. STV allows any criteria and related proportionality while for  
example the tree method supports proportionality only on topics that  
have been described in the tree hierarchy. That means simplification  
(both good and bad). That also makes the decisions more explicit  
(good). If there are many representatives with green eyes that may  
lead to something, or may be forgotten. If there are subgroups that  
explicitly are named to drive green eyed policy then that might have  
an impact and the developments and the role of the representatives  
that were elected as green eyed could be monitored by the voters  
easily.



It's main problem is that it's complicated as hell to explain, and  
the

opposition at the BC-STV referendum exploited this mercilessly.


Yes, a great deal can be made of this, and was by the opponents of  
reform in BC, but it need not be so.

...

Most election methods are complicated enough so that regular voters  
are not able to describe them in detail. What the voters need is a  
rough understanding on how the method works and some trust that the  
system works as planned. The complexity and whatever properties of the  
methods may be used in campaigns that promote or oppose different  
methods but I think that has often more to do with the art of  
campaigning than with the real benefits and problems of the methods in  
question. STV should thus not be doomed for this reason (although this  
may cause some problems to it, and the vote counting process is a bit  
heavier than in some other methods).



Here are also some more possible comparison points between STV and  
open lists (and trees).


- Open lists are summable and therefore easy to count and verify  
locally. STV requires centralized counting or centralized control of  
the local counting process.
- Open lists have simple votes, which makes it less vulnerable to vote  
buying and coercion and maintains privacy better.

- SImple counting process also allows the results to be counted quickly.
- Open lists / party based systems (and subgroups in trees) tie  
candidates and representatives to some announced policy. STV 

[EM] (no subject)

2009-05-15 Thread Anthony O'Neal

:(

This is sad knews, no matter what the anti-STV fanatics say.  STV had 
flaws, it's still a far better system than FPP.  The anti-STV campaign 
put out a huge misinformation campaign which did nothing but say Hey 
look at how complicated STV is?  AN ALGORITHM FOR VOTING!  WHY EVEN HAVE 
VOTERS!  It was stupid, and generations later BC is going to regret 
what they passed up.


Kathy Dopp wrote:

FYI,

http://www.penmachine.com/2009/05/bc-voters-prefer-lame-status-quo

The voters of BC were intelligent to reject STV because STV's
inequitable treatment of voters' ballots (counting only some voters'
2nd and 3rd choices and not counting the 2nd choices of a large group
of voters' whose 1st choice loses in the final counting round and not
counting many voters' 2nd and 3rd choices until after those candidates
have been eliminated) causes so many undesirable problems including
electing majority *opposed* candidates and eliminating majority
favored candidates, nonmonotonicity, eliminating many voters before
the final counting round, making central counting necessary, making
the counting complex to do by hand, making auditing the accuracy of
the results very difficult, etc.

  



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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-10 Thread James Gilmour
 On Sun, 9 Nov 2008 23:28:01 - James Gilmour wrote:  
  There is only one legitimate interpretation of the AB ballot paper 
  in a Condorcet count with regard to the C vs. D pair-wise contest  
  -  the voter has given the Returning Officer no information.  No-one 
  is entitled make any supposition  -  that voter has expressed no 
  preference at all as between C and D.

 From: Dave Ketchum  Sent: Monday, November 10, 2008 12:24 AM
 Disagreed, for Condorcet will see that the voter has assigned 
 equal rank.

Will you please provide me with a reference to Condorcet election rules for a 
public election that instruct the Retuning Officer to
interpret blanks on a ballot paper as equal rank?

James Gilmour
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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-09 Thread James Gilmour
Kathy Dopp   Sent: Sunday, November 09, 2008 2:17 AM
 Your statement oversimplifies and ignores details/differences 
 between IRV and Condorcet.  IRV proponents may pretend not to 
 know that Condorcet methods do not exhibit most of the flaws 
 of IRV counting methods. For example, Condorcet, to my 
 knowledge treats all voters ballots equally, considers all 
 choices on all ballots, 

If I have understood the various submissions correctly, the principal objection 
to IRV on THIS ground, is that the ballot papers of
voters who express different numbers of preferences are thereby treated 
differently, and in such a way and to such an extent that
these differences should render the IRV voting system unconstitutional.

It is correct that Condorcet counting considers all the preferences marked on 
the ballot papers, in a sequence of pair-wise
contests.  However, Condorcet counting has no option but to treat differently 
the ballot papers of voters who have expressed
different numbers of preferences, because such voters will be excluded from 
some of the pair-wise counts.

If this difference in the treatment of ballot papers with different numbers of 
preferences would be a fatal flaw in IRV, would it
not also be a fatal flaw in Condorcet counting, and indeed in any other 
voting system where voters may express different numbers
of preferences?

James Gilmour
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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-09 Thread Dave Ketchum
I have not inspected the affidavits for completeness or correctness.  I am 
only comparing the methods.


Assuming IRV's rules result in declaring A or B winner, it would not care 
or look at what this voter may have said about C or D.


Condorcet looks at all that the voters say, and uses all of that in 
deciding on a winner - as to C and D the possibilities are:

 CD
 DC
 C=D = the voter indicates equal liking by giving them the same rank 
or by ranking neither.


DWK

On Sun, 9 Nov 2008 18:54:27 - James Gilmour wrote:

Dave Ketchum  Sent: Sunday, November 09, 2008 6:02 PM


James seems to be stretching his interpretation a bit far.

Agreed that, while the voter can choose to rank all 
candidates, the voter is permitted to omit those least desired.


In Condorcet every ballot is counted.  For each the counter considers EVERY 
pair of candidates, such as A and B.  If the voter has indicated preferring 
AB, that is recorded toward A winning; likewise for BA.


As to IRV, while using the same ballot, it only looks at enough to satisfy 
it purpose - which DOES NOT INCLUDE knowing whether the voters like A 
better than B.



I am not stretching my interpretation too far.

In elections to be counted by IRV or Condorcet rules voters will not mark 
preferences for candidates among whom they have no
preferences.  Thus in a four-candidate election, a ballot paper marked A, B indicates that this 
voter prefers A over B and
prefers both A and B over both C and D, and it tells the Returning Officer that 
this voter has no preference between C and
D.  In contrast, a ballot paper marked A, B, C, D has given the Returning 
Officer information about all possible preference
comparisons.

It is clear from the affidavits that ONE of the objections to IRV is that the ballot 
paper marked A, B will be treated differently
from the ballot paper marked A, B, C, D, and hence the voting system will 
treat the two respective voters differently (and to such
an extent as to be unconstitutional).

In a Condorcet count these two ballot papers (and hence the respective voters) 
would also be treated differently, because the voter
who marked the A, B ballot paper could not contribute a vote to the C, D 
pair-wise contest that is an essential part of
determining which candidate should be elected.

My question was simply that if the effect of THIS difference in an IRV count is 
sufficient to make IRV counting unconstitutional,
why would the effect of THIS difference in a Condorcet count not be sufficient to make 
Condorcet counting also unconstitutional?
I could easily see how, on THIS ground, IRV counting and Condorcet counting could both be 
considered constitutional or could both
be considered unconstitutional, but I have some difficulty is seeing how, on THIS 
ground, one could be considered constitutional
and the other unconstitutional.

James Gilmour





On Sun, 9 Nov 2008 16:20:10 - James Gilmour wrote:


Kathy Dopp   Sent: Sunday, November 09, 2008 2:17 AM



Your statement oversimplifies and ignores details/differences
between IRV and Condorcet.  IRV proponents may pretend not to 
know that Condorcet methods do not exhibit most of the flaws 
of IRV counting methods. For example, Condorcet, to my 
knowledge treats all voters ballots equally, considers all 
choices on all ballots, 



If I have understood the various submissions correctly, the 


principal 

objection to IRV on THIS ground, is that the ballot papers 


of voters 

who express different numbers of preferences are thereby treated 
differently, and in such a way and to such an extent that these 
differences should render the IRV voting system unconstitutional.


It is correct that Condorcet counting considers all the preferences 
marked on the ballot papers, in a sequence of pair-wise contests.  
However, Condorcet counting has no option but to treat differently the 
ballot papers of voters who have expressed different numbers of 
preferences, because such voters will be excluded from some of the 
pair-wise counts.


If this difference in the treatment of ballot papers with different 
numbers of preferences would be a fatal flaw in IRV, would it not 
also be a fatal flaw in Condorcet counting, and indeed in any other 
voting system where voters may express different numbers of 
preferences?


James Gilmour

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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-09 Thread James Gilmour
Dave Ketchum   Sent: Sunday, November 09, 2008 10:59 PM
 I have not inspected the affidavits for completeness or 
 correctness.  I am only comparing the methods.
 
 Assuming IRV's rules result in declaring A or B winner, it would not care 
 or look at what this voter may have said about C or D.
 
 Condorcet looks at all that the voters say, and uses all of that in 
 deciding on a winner - as to C and D the possibilities are:
   CD
   DC
   C=D = the voter indicates equal liking by giving them 
 the same rank or by ranking neither.

There is only one legitimate interpretation of the AB ballot paper in a 
Condorcet count with regard to the C vs. D pair-wise
contest  -  the voter has given the Returning Officer no information.  No-one 
is entitled make any supposition  -  that voter has
expressed no preference at all as between C and D.

However, all of this is totally irrelevant to what is in the affidavits and 
what my question was about.  In the affidavits it is
asserted that because IRV would treat differently the ballot papers marked 
ABCD and AB, this is ONE of the reasons why IRV
counting should be declared unconstitutional.  However, some of those who 
have taken this position, have in posts to this list,
indicated that they would accept Condorcet counting.  But Condorcet counting 
would also treat these two ballot papers differently.  

That leaves me genuinely puzzled as to how one such difference could be 
unconstitutional but the other not.  This is a very
important question because if IRV is held to be unconstitutional on THIS 
ground, then a whole raft of other voting systems,
including Condorcet counting, would also have to be considered 
unconstitutional.

James Gilmour
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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-09 Thread Dave Ketchum

On Sun, 9 Nov 2008 23:28:01 - James Gilmour wrote:

Dave Ketchum   Sent: Sunday, November 09, 2008 10:59 PM

I have not inspected the affidavits for completeness or 
correctness.  I am only comparing the methods.


Assuming IRV's rules result in declaring A or B winner, it would not care 
or look at what this voter may have said about C or D.


Condorcet looks at all that the voters say, and uses all of that in 
deciding on a winner - as to C and D the possibilities are:

 CD
 DC
 C=D = the voter indicates equal liking by giving them 
the same rank or by ranking neither.



There is only one legitimate interpretation of the AB ballot paper in a Condorcet count with 
regard to the C vs. D pair-wise
contest  -  the voter has given the Returning Officer no information.  No-one 
is entitled make any supposition  -  that voter has
expressed no preference at all as between C and D.


Disagreed, for Condorcet will see that the voter has assigned equal rank.


However, all of this is totally irrelevant to what is in the affidavits and 
what my question was about.  In the affidavits it is
asserted that because IRV would treat differently the ballot papers marked ABCD and 
AB, this is ONE of the reasons why IRV
counting should be declared unconstitutional.  However, some of those who 
have taken this position, have in posts to this list,
indicated that they would accept Condorcet counting.  But Condorcet counting would also treat these two ballot papers differently.  


Now we are into adequacy of affidavits.

If IRV assigns A or B as winner it will treat the ballots as identical, 
without caring what might be said about C or D.


After assigning both A and B to be losers the remainder of the ballots will 
be considered:

 AB - all that this voter chose to say has been processed.
 CD - this voter's additional data will be considered.

Leaves me voting for constitutionality - both voters were allowed to say as 
much as they chose to.


That IRV's rules do not require using all data provided by voters is 
interesting, but the rules do not provide any way to use more.


That leaves me genuinely puzzled as to how one such difference could be 
unconstitutional but the other not.  This is a very
important question because if IRV is held to be unconstitutional on THIS 
ground, then a whole raft of other voting systems,
including Condorcet counting, would also have to be considered 
unconstitutional.

James Gilmour

--
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]people.clarityconnect.com/webpages3/davek
 Dave Ketchum   108 Halstead Ave, Owego, NY  13827-1708   607-687-5026
   Do to no one what you would not want done to you.
 If you want peace, work for justice.




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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-09 Thread Kathy Dopp
On Sun, Nov 9, 2008 at 9:20 AM, James Gilmour

 If I have understood the various submissions correctly, the principal 
 objection to IRV on THIS ground, is that the ballot papers of
 voters who express different numbers of preferences are thereby treated 
 differently, and in such a way and to such an extent that
 these differences should render the IRV voting system unconstitutional.

False. That is not the only concern, but one of several obvious
inequities in the IRV counting method, but I do not have time
currently to continue this discussion on this list.

Kathy

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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-09 Thread James Gilmour
  On Sun, Nov 9, 2008 at 9:20 AM, James Gilmour
  If I have understood the various submissions correctly, the principal 
  objection to IRV on THIS ground, is that the ballot papers of voters 
  who express different numbers of preferences are thereby treated 
  differently, and in such a way and to such an extent that these 
  differences should render the IRV voting system unconstitutional.

 Kathy Dopp   Sent: Sunday, November 09, 2008 7:06 PM 
 False. That is not the only concern, but one of several 
 obvious inequities in the IRV counting method, but I do not 
 have time currently to continue this discussion on this list.

At no time I have suggested anything other that this this was ONE of the 
objections to IRV.  My reading of the affidavits is that is
one of the principal objections and is important because it is a feature that 
is claimed to render IRV counting unconstitutional.
It is total irrelevant to my question whether there are other possible 
objections to IRV and other objections in the affidavits.

My question was simply about Condorcet counting in relation to the feature of 
IRV counting that was said to handle ballot papers
with different numbers of preferences differently to an extent that was 
unconstitutional.  I asked my question because it seemed
from various posts on this list that some who considered IRV flawed in this way 
would consider Condorcet counting acceptable.  This
leaves me genuinely puzzled.

James Gilmour
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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-09 Thread Dave Ketchum

James seems to be stretching his interpretation a bit far.

Agreed that, while the voter can choose to rank all candidates, the voter 
is permitted to omit those least desired.


In Condorcet every ballot is counted.  For each the counter considers EVERY 
pair of candidates, such as A and B.  If the voter has indicated preferring 
AB, that is recorded toward A winning; likewise for BA.


As to IRV, while using the same ballot, it only looks at enough to satisfy 
it purpose - which DOES NOT INCLUDE knowing whether the voters like A 
better than B.


DWK

On Sun, 9 Nov 2008 16:20:10 - James Gilmour wrote:

Kathy Dopp   Sent: Sunday, November 09, 2008 2:17 AM

Your statement oversimplifies and ignores details/differences 
between IRV and Condorcet.  IRV proponents may pretend not to 
know that Condorcet methods do not exhibit most of the flaws 
of IRV counting methods. For example, Condorcet, to my 
knowledge treats all voters ballots equally, considers all 
choices on all ballots, 



If I have understood the various submissions correctly, the principal objection 
to IRV on THIS ground, is that the ballot papers of
voters who express different numbers of preferences are thereby treated 
differently, and in such a way and to such an extent that
these differences should render the IRV voting system unconstitutional.

It is correct that Condorcet counting considers all the preferences marked on 
the ballot papers, in a sequence of pair-wise
contests.  However, Condorcet counting has no option but to treat differently 
the ballot papers of voters who have expressed
different numbers of preferences, because such voters will be excluded from 
some of the pair-wise counts.

If this difference in the treatment of ballot papers with different numbers of 
preferences would be a fatal flaw in IRV, would it
not also be a fatal flaw in Condorcet counting, and indeed in any other 
voting system where voters may express different numbers
of preferences?

James Gilmour

--
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]people.clarityconnect.com/webpages3/davek
 Dave Ketchum   108 Halstead Ave, Owego, NY  13827-1708   607-687-5026
   Do to no one what you would not want done to you.
 If you want peace, work for justice.




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Re: [EM] (no subject)

2008-11-08 Thread Kathy Dopp
 Date: Sat, 8 Nov 2008 04:11:45 -0800 (PST)
 From: Chris Benham [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [EM] New MN court affidavits etc. (correction)

 Dave,
 Are you really comfortable supporting and supplying ammunition to a group of 
 avowed FPP supporters in their effort to have IRV declared
 unconstitutional?

 Will you have any complaint when in future they are trying to do the same 
 thing to some Condorcet method you like and IRV supporters help them on 
 grounds like it fails Later-no-Harm, Later-no-Help, and probably? 
 mono-add-top?

Chris,

Your statement oversimplifies and ignores details/differences between
IRV and Condorcet.  IRV proponents may pretend not to know that
Condorcet methods do not exhibit most of the flaws of IRV counting
methods. For example, Condorcet, to my knowledge treats all voters
ballots equally, considers all choices on all ballots, is precinct,
county, and state summable and thus would not be an obstacle to a
national popular vote for President, produces fairer results, etc.

Clearly to anyone willing to think about the specifics, any argument
against Condorcet or range voting methods would not be able to make
use of the ample arguments available to anyone who opposes counting
methods like IRV, so such fear-mongering is wholly inappropriate.

Kathy

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