Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-26 Thread Mary Yugo
On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 3:13 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

 OK, I will wait further for the information.  It is pretty important to me
 to determine if it is at all possible for enough energy to be stored and
 then released to achieve Rossi's results. A good model such as your friends
 would help immensely.  You need to understand that it might become apparent
 that his model is not accurate since many vorts have the belief that
 Rossi's results are sound, but I will accept his conclusion if it passes my
 very difficult tests.  My present feelings are that his model will fall
 short, but he can convince me otherwise.


Sorry but I think my acquaintance doesn't wish to play with this any more.
Maybe if Rossi does another show and tell, he'll get involved again -- I'll
certainly ask him to if it seems indicated.  Thanks for being a good sport
about it.

It's a ways away but looking forward to ICCF 17, we should know a lot more
by then.  If nothing is available to industry and the general public by
then,  and Rossi and Defkalion don't make an excellent showing at the
meeting, it's probably all been fake.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread Mary Yugo
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 4:06 PM, Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:


 It is not sufficient evidence, but it still can be interpreted as
 evidence of nuclear reactions.
 Your alternative doesn't persuade me that the heat produced is
 worthless as evidence. As everyone knows, there are countless ways to
 fake the results. Each alternative suggests places where evidence of
 fraud might be found. In your thermal mass alternative you need to
 look for evidence that he misrepresented the electrical input power.
 Otherwise it is just an intellectual exercise.



Apparently the spam filter ate some of your responses-- sorry.  From what
was recovered, I received this answer but I am not sure what it
specifically responds to so I hope it's reasonably evident:

I do not understand Harry’s objection. The electric power considered in
the model is represented by the blue curve in the upper left diagram of
http://i.imgur.com/SWbvW.jpg jpeg. This curve shows the exact data of the
electrical power supplied to the ecat as reported by Lewan in his report
http://www.nyteknik.se/incoming/article3284962.ece/BINARY/.   Is Harry
saying that Lewan faked the data?  By increasing their values?

The diagram on the right shows the energy balance. The electricity
consumption (blue curve) is almost twice the heat removed by the flow
coming out from the ecat (red curve). The other 2 curves represent the
energy stored in the metal screen (gray line) and that stored in the water
of the ecat pool (green line). There is no need for any chemical energy!
The model is very simple, as the ecat seems to be too *Occam docet.
*
The red curve in the energy diagram represents the integral of the red
curve in the diagram of power and therefore includes the thermal energy
removed by both the steam and the liquid. The thermal power removed was
calculated on the basis of flows calculated from the model itself and shown
in the diagram at the bottom left of the jpeg http://i.imgur.com/XAdrr.jpg.
The outflow in the vapor phase was calculated by considering the enthalpy
of dry steam. The outflow in the liquid phase begins when the ecat pool
becomes full of water and is calculated based on the enthalpy of liquid.

The thermal power associated with vapor outflow reaches a peak of 1800 W,
right at the maximum in the curve of delta T measured on the secondary
loop, shown on the bottom left diagram. The final peak in this last curve
can be associated with the start of liquid outflow. Thus, we see that the
curve of the secondary delta T follows accurately, qualitatively at least,
  the heat trend of the primary outflow calculated by the mathematical
model.

I have forwarded David's newest question.  Sorry about the delays.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread Mary Yugo
On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 9:13 AM, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:


 I do not understand Harry’s objection. The electric power considered in
 the model is represented by the blue curve in the upper left diagram of
 http://i.imgur.com/SWbvW.jpg jpeg. This curve shows the exact data of the
 electrical power supplied to the ecat as reported by Lewan in his report
 http://www.nyteknik.se/incoming/article3284962.ece/BINARY/.


This link above may have gotten scrambled in transmission.  I think all the
NyTeknik links can be accessed from this article of theirs:
http://www.nyteknik.se/nyheter/energi_miljo/energi/article3295411.ece

The link I received from my informant and tried to repair was, literally
this one:   
http://www.nyteknik.se/incoming/article3284962.ece/BINARY/Test+of+E-cat+October+6+
28pdf% 29%  in that exact form.   Sometimes email clients are not kindly to
links and interpret/parse them badly!


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread Mary Yugo
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 8:06 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

 It is certainly true that the peak occurs in a region that immediately
 follows the highest temperature obtained within the heat storage medium.
 The part that is anomalous is the fact that the bump I referred to at 16:00
 is of relatively short duration while the temperature fall off curve from
 the model storage medium is broad and slow in nature.  I would expect the
 overpressure additions to be broad to match this shape if due to the stored
 heat.  The LENR explanation would be short in duration as is seen in the
 data.  We should be happy that The LENR heating is demonstrated by this
 short duration bump as we have all been seeking.  Your source should make
 further attempts to duplicate this shape if we are to be convinced that
 heat storage can achieve the identical results as LENR heating.



The reply:
==

*Dave compared **the curve T2(mis) with the curve T_S of the screen S.
That’s not correct. He should compare the T2(mis) with the efflux of
steam Q_Vvap
-- they show a quite similar bump.*
* *
*
The curve Q_Vvap depends on the trends T_A, T_B and  T_R, ie the temperature of
the 3 components that supply heat to the water and that in turn receive it from
the internal screen S.

The curve Q_Vvap has a peak of about 0.7 g / s of dry steam, which means a
volumetric flow rate well over 1L / s, whose passage through the valve V causes
an overpressure at the outlet, which must be overcome by increasing the
saturation pressure and hence the boiling temperature. This cause the bump
in the T2(mis) curve.

I think that Harry should make some further efforts to try to better
understand the thermodynamics of such a simple model, in order to better
figure out how the ecat really works.* 

==

*Please note that this is the last relay I am going to do.  My informant
said he thinks that showing people what Rossi is most likely really doing
and doing that on Vortex, at least for some of the participants, is like
telling small children that Santa Claus doesn't exist.  LOL.

PS:  his words -- not mine.  But feel free to shoot the messenger if it
makes you feel any better.
*


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread David Roberson

Mary, it is quite unfortunate that he does not want to share additional 
information concerning his model.  This is just the sort of model that is 
needed to determine whether or not it is possible to replicate Rossi results 
with heat storage.  I am trying to keep an open mind as much as possible in 
this case and really would like to proceed with more details.  Please discuss 
this with the guy and let me know if he really wants to find the truth.  I can 
only assume that he is hiding something if he runs like this when asked probing 
questions.  I have many more items to compare.

It might be possible that I am reading your friends output in an erroneous 
manner.  I thought that he had a direct model of the temperature at T2 just as 
with the real ECAT.  Why would we not compare these two curves if they are 
available?  This is more like comparing apples with apples versus some other 
parameter.  Does he in fact calculate the water temperature or did I miss 
something?

By the way, it is nonsense to suggest that this is like showing that Santa does 
not exist.  I am maintaining an open mind regarding whether or not Rossi is 
real in this case and it would be a crime to assume otherwise.  I seek the 
truth only.

Dave 



-Original Message-
From: Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sat, Dec 24, 2011 4:46 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith





On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 8:06 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

It is certainly true that the peak occurs in a region that immediately follows 
the highest temperature obtained within the heat storage medium.  The part that 
is anomalous is the fact that the bump I referred to at 16:00 is of relatively 
short duration while the temperature fall off curve from the model storage 
medium is broad and slow in nature.  I would expect the overpressure additions 
to be broad to match this shape if due to the stored heat.  The LENR 
explanation would be short in duration as is seen in the data.  We should be 
happy that The LENR heating is demonstrated by this short duration bump as we 
have all been seeking.  Your source should make further attempts to duplicate 
this shape if we are to be convinced that heat storage can achieve the 
identical results as LENR heating.




The reply:
==


Dave compared the curve T2(mis) with the curve T_S of the screen S. That’s not 
correct. He should compare the T2(mis) with the efflux of steam Q_Vvap -- they 
show a quite similar bump.

The curve Q_Vvap depends on the trends T_A, T_B and  T_R, ie the temperature of 
the 3 components that supply heat to the water and that in turn receive it from 
the internal screen S.

The curve Q_Vvap has a peak of about 0.7 g / s of dry steam, which means a 
volumetric flow rate well over 1L / s, whose passage through the valve V causes 
an overpressure at the outlet, which must be overcome by increasing the 
saturation pressure and hence the boiling temperature. This cause the bump in 
the T2(mis) curve.

I think that Harry should make some further efforts to try to better understand 
the thermodynamics of such a simple model, in order to better figure out how 
the ecat really works. 

==

Please note that this is the last relay I am going to do.  My informant said he 
thinks that showing people what Rossi is most likely really doing and doing 
that on Vortex, at least for some of the participants, is like telling small 
children that Santa Claus doesn't exist.  LOL. 

PS:  his words -- not mine.  But feel free to shoot the messenger if it makes 
you feel any better.







-Original Message-
From: Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sat, Dec 24, 2011 4:46 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith





On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 8:06 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

It is certainly true that the peak occurs in a region that immediately follows 
the highest temperature obtained within the heat storage medium.  The part that 
is anomalous is the fact that the bump I referred to at 16:00 is of relatively 
short duration while the temperature fall off curve from the model storage 
medium is broad and slow in nature.  I would expect the overpressure additions 
to be broad to match this shape if due to the stored heat.  The LENR 
explanation would be short in duration as is seen in the data.  We should be 
happy that The LENR heating is demonstrated by this short duration bump as we 
have all been seeking.  Your source should make further attempts to duplicate 
this shape if we are to be convinced that heat storage can achieve the 
identical results as LENR heating.




The reply:
==


Dave compared the curve T2(mis) with the curve T_S of the screen S. That’s not 
correct. He should compare the T2(mis) with the efflux of steam Q_Vvap -- they 
show a quite similar bump.

The curve

Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread David Roberson

Mary, what is going on with your messages to this subject at times 12:13 and 
12:21?  I can not get them to load properly with my system.  This was tried 
several times to no avail.

Dave





Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread Mary Yugo
On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 2:35 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

  Mary, it is quite unfortunate that he does not want to share additional
 information concerning his model.  This is just the sort of model that is
 needed to determine whether or not it is possible to replicate Rossi
 results with heat storage.  I am trying to keep an open mind as much as
 possible in this case and really would like to proceed with more details.
 Please discuss this with the guy and let me know if he really wants to find
 the truth.  I can only assume that he is hiding something if he runs like
 this when asked probing questions.  I have many more items to compare.

 It might be possible that I am reading your friends output in an erroneous
 manner.  I thought that he had a direct model of the temperature at T2 just
 as with the real ECAT.  Why would we not compare these two curves if they
 are available?  This is more like comparing apples with apples versus some
 other parameter.  Does he in fact calculate the water temperature or did I
 miss something?

 By the way, it is nonsense to suggest that this is like showing that Santa
 does not exist.  I am maintaining an open mind regarding whether or not
 Rossi is real in this case and it would be a crime to assume otherwise.  I
 seek the truth only.

 Dave


Hi Dave,

After Xmas, I'll approach him to see if he wants to continue.  I doubt he
has anything to hide but he's busy and Rossi to him is just a diversion.
I'm pretty sure he does calculate the output water temperature.  I will
look again later at the curves and ask him about it.  I have also suggested
to him to get his own anonymous email and to interact directly.

The Santa reference doesn't refer to you or to anyone else who has an open
mind and includes in their thinking the substantial probability that Rossi
does not have what he claims and that his experiments were in some way
deceptive.  I suspect it's about people who write like Jed and Aussieguy
but then, it wasn't my analogy so I really don't know.

Merry Xmas.

M. Y.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread David Roberson

OK, I will wait further for the information.  It is pretty important to me to 
determine if it is at all possible for enough energy to be stored and then 
released to achieve Rossi's results. A good model such as your friends would 
help immensely.  You need to understand that it might become apparent that his 
model is not accurate since many vorts have the belief that Rossi's results are 
sound, but I will accept his conclusion if it passes my very difficult tests.  
My present feelings are that his model will fall short, but he can convince me 
otherwise.

Dave

-Original Message-
From: Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sat, Dec 24, 2011 5:52 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith





On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 2:35 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:


Mary, it is quite unfortunate that he does not want to share additional 
information concerning his model.  This is just the sort of model that is 
needed to determine whether or not it is possible to replicate Rossi results 
with heat storage.  I am trying to keep an open mind as much as possible in 
this case and really would like to proceed with more details.  Please discuss 
this with the guy and let me know if he really wants to find the truth.  I can 
only assume that he is hiding something if he runs like this when asked probing 
questions.  I have many more items to compare.
 
It might be possible that I am reading your friends output in an erroneous 
manner.  I thought that he had a direct model of the temperature at T2 just as 
with the real ECAT.  Why would we not compare these two curves if they are 
available?  This is more like comparing apples with apples versus some other 
parameter.  Does he in fact calculate the water temperature or did I miss 
something?
 
By the way, it is nonsense to suggest that this is like showing that Santa does 
not exist.  I am maintaining an open mind regarding whether or not Rossi is 
real in this case and it would be a crime to assume otherwise.  I seek the 
truth only.
 
Dave 



Hi Dave,

After Xmas, I'll approach him to see if he wants to continue.  I doubt he has 
anything to hide but he's busy and Rossi to him is just a diversion.  I'm 
pretty sure he does calculate the output water temperature.  I will look again 
later at the curves and ask him about it.  I have also suggested to him to get 
his own anonymous email and to interact directly.

The Santa reference doesn't refer to you or to anyone else who has an open mind 
and includes in their thinking the substantial probability that Rossi does not 
have what he claims and that his experiments were in some way deceptive.  I 
suspect it's about people who write like Jed and Aussieguy but then, it wasn't 
my analogy so I really don't know.

Merry Xmas.

M. Y.




Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread Charles Hope
If you wrap the link in these, it should better survive travel. 

On Dec 24, 2011, at 12:21, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:

 
 
 On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 9:13 AM, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:
 
   Sometimes email clients are not kindly to links and interpret/parse them 
 badly!
 
 
 


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread David Roberson

I have no trouble with any other posts, only those 2.  I have received many 
links before with no issues. 

Dave



-Original Message-
From: Charles Hope lookslikeiwasri...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Cc: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sat, Dec 24, 2011 6:18 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith


If you wrap the link in these, it should better survive travel. 

On Dec 24, 2011, at 12:21, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:







On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 9:13 AM, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:


  Sometimes email clients are not kindly to links and interpret/parse them 
badly!








Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread Mary Yugo
On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 3:25 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

 I have no trouble with any other posts, only those 2.  I have received
 many links before with no issues.

 Dave



If you send me the bad links, either privately or on the list, I'll rewrite
them as tinuyurls.

@Charles: You wrap what in ?  Links or just email addresses.  Never heard
of doing that with links.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-24 Thread Charles Hope
Yes, links. Mailers are supposed to preserve links inside the brackets. It's a 
little known fact, but hopefully all the writers of mail software remember it. 



On Dec 24, 2011, at 19:38, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:

 
 
 On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 3:25 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:
 I have no trouble with any other posts, only those 2.  I have received many 
 links before with no issues. 
  
 Dave
 
 
 If you send me the bad links, either privately or on the list, I'll rewrite 
 them as tinuyurls.
 
 @Charles: You wrap what in ?  Links or just email addresses.  Never heard 
 of doing that with links.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Mary Yugo
Continuing the discussion of the mathematical modeling proposed for the
October 6 experiment, my informant, who still prefers to remain anonymous,
remarked that the examples suggested by Jed and others (nails, anvils and
the like) are not comparable to the October 6 experiment which involved a
much larger and substantially more massive E-cat than before.  The
informant now provided computations of the power and energy vs time curves
for the model, assuming only electrical (Joule) heating (no LENR reaction)
as you can see here:   http://i.imgur.com/SWbvW.jpg

Once again, the original diagram of the model and temperature vs time
curves are here:  http://i.imgur.com/XAdrr.jpg

My contact says:

*Of course the model is an approximation of reality and many details of
the ecat are unknown, for instance I assumed there were lower fins (I saw
it here http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l@eskimo.com/msg52853.html ) but
I am not sure it was right.

Anyway, the model shows that a few dozen kilograms of iron, well placed
around the electric heater, (no hidden source is needed) would be able to
keep the water boiling for nearly 4 hours.

See the temperature vs time curves for points R, A, and B.   They remain
above the boiling point well after the reactor shutdown.  This confirms
that Lewan was right when he reported feeling the boiling after the
shutdown.

Lewan also said that he measured an external temperature ranging from 65 to
80°C.  This is compatible with the model's temperature/time curve for point
C (T sub C on the plot).But the best confirmation of the validity of
the model is the trend of the temperatures after the shutdown -- the curve
from the model for point T2  follows the measured plot from the experiment
reasonably closely.*

*I think that Lewan is honest about what he personally sees and measures
but he may be wrong some of the time when he bases his conclusions on data
reported by others.
*

Once again: this is *not* my work.  I am simply passing it on.  If you have
any questions, I'll be happy to forward them to my source person and relay
the answers back.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Yram Oguy
I have a model that shows that a few dozen kilograms of Mary Yugo, well
placed around the vortex list, would be able to self sustain flooding for
days...

I feel sorry i can't provide any data analysis right now as i am actually
filling a patent to protect my secret catalyst ('JR', don't tell), but
believe me the numbers are huge, COP is unbelievable, over-unity is going
down!
I wish i could have a good sense of fairness and willingness to conduct
basic scientific experiments on this device but i don't understand it, all
i know is that it makes some smoke and a lot of noise. I wish i could
invoke a secret contact to replicate the experiment but he is very busy
delivering some packages. Anyway i am pretty sure the results would end up
in an endless discussion about bad calorimetry based on a video i saw on
youtube and there is really no need because everyone can count up to 600
something, right ?

Only a simulation showing some fancy curves can convince most of the
skeptics that the effect is real, however the data might be faked, you know
JPEG pictures do lose some information when processed. The 'patho' skeptics
will not be convinced, but this is expected.
I am glad there is also no need to open a factory to mass produce them and
ask for investors as this would be flagged as a potential nuclear spam
reaction, the whole internet would probably shut down.

I almost forgot, here as some numbers required to conclude my scientific
analysis : 4, 8, 15,16, 23, 42

All this is just hearsay please don't tell you've heard it from me as i
would make it an inadvertent mistake, my memory is bad, my browser is slow,
i don't want to read any scientific papers about it, unicorns keep playing
mean tricks on me and i like to continuously repeat the same mixed things
to make it look worse than it really is. Of course this message is full of
crazy crackpot claims as to comply with the list rules.

Please ignore the objections to my claims they won't particularly help
anyone as they are easily proven many times over at little risk,cost and
this does not need third party testing, i have closed the loop, this test
has been running for too long, i'm shutting down.

Wait, i hear something, damn, someone just turned on the front door knob
reactor.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread David Roberson


Hello Mary,
 
I wonder if you could ask your source to explain the bump in the curve that 
occurs at 16:00 on the second chart?  It looks like this is not demonstrated in 
any of his curves.  The bump is in the temperature of the ECAT water bath T2 
and is very distinct.
 
Dave



-Original Message-
From: Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Fri, Dec 23, 2011 3:13 am
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith


Continuing the discussion of the mathematical modeling proposed for the October 
6 experiment, my informant, who still prefers to remain anonymous, remarked 
that the examples suggested by Jed and others (nails, anvils and the like) are 
not comparable to the October 6 experiment which involved a much larger and 
substantially more massive E-cat than before.  The informant now provided 
computations of the power and energy vs time curves for the model, assuming 
only electrical (Joule) heating (no LENR reaction) as you can see here:   
http://i.imgur.com/SWbvW.jpg

Once again, the original diagram of the model and temperature vs time curves 
are here:  http://i.imgur.com/XAdrr.jpg

My contact says:

Of course the model is an approximation of reality and many details of the 
ecat are unknown, for instance I assumed there were lower fins (I saw it here 
http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l@eskimo.com/msg52853.html ) but I am not 
sure it was right.

Anyway, the model shows that a few dozen kilograms of iron, well placed around 
the electric heater, (no hidden source is needed) would be able to keep the 
water boiling for nearly 4 hours.

See the temperature vs time curves for points R, A, and B.   They remain above 
the boiling point well after the reactor shutdown.  This confirms that Lewan 
was right when he reported feeling the boiling after the shutdown.

Lewan also said that he measured an external temperature ranging from 65 to 
80°C.  This is compatible with the model's temperature/time curve for point C 
(T sub C on the plot).But the best confirmation of the validity of the 
model is the trend of the temperatures after the shutdown -- the curve from the 
model for point T2  follows the measured plot from the experiment reasonably 
closely.

I think that Lewan is honest about what he personally sees and measures but he 
may be wrong some of the time when he bases his conclusions on data reported by 
others.


Once again: this is *not* my work.  I am simply passing it on.  If you have any 
questions, I'll be happy to forward them to my source person and relay the 
answers back.   



Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Mary Yugo
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 7:37 AM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

  Hello Mary,

 I wonder if you could ask your source to explain the bump in the curve


Done, thanks.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Harry Veeder
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 3:13 AM, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:
 Continuing the discussion of the mathematical modeling proposed for the
 October 6 experiment, my informant, who still prefers to remain anonymous,
 remarked that the examples suggested by Jed and others (nails, anvils and
 the like) are not comparable to the October 6 experiment which involved a
 much larger and substantially more massive E-cat than before.  The informant
 now provided computations of the power and energy vs time curves for the
 model, assuming only electrical (Joule) heating (no LENR reaction) as you
 can see here:   http://i.imgur.com/SWbvW.jpg

 Once again, the original diagram of the model and temperature vs time curves
 are here:  http://i.imgur.com/XAdrr.jpg

snip

For this to work the electrical input power measurements must have
been incorrect or fake, because it would require more power to heat
the iron to such a high temperature than was apparently supplied to
the ecat.

What specific evidence do you have that the Oct. 6 demo is a fake? A
plausible method of fakery is not evidence of fakery.

Harry

Harry



Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Joshua Cude
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 12:19 PM, Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:

  A
 plausible method of fakery is not evidence of fakery.



Obviously not. But heat, by itself, is not evidence of a nuclear reaction,
if the same heat can be plausibly produced without nuclear reactions.

Similarly, if I claimed to have superhuman strength, I would not convince
anyone by lifting a 50-lb bag of sugar, because you can lift 50 lb without
superhuman strength.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Mary Yugo
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 7:37 AM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:


 I wonder if you could ask your source to explain the bump in the curve
 that occurs at 16:00 on the second chart?  It looks like this is not
 demonstrated in any of his curves.  The bump is in the temperature of the
 ECAT water bath T2 and is very distinct.


Here is the reply:

If you are referring to the green curve T_2w, it is not a bump, it is a
sharp angle. It appears when the water temperature reaches the boiling
point correspondent to the pressure inside the ecat. From that point on, the
water temperature no longer rises due to evaporation. That pressure
includes an over pressure due to the relief valve, which has been supposed
to be 0.8 bar. That's the point where the T_2w deviates more from the
measured value T2(mis), for the rest of the time difference is less than
5°C.

Also, consider that the thermocouple was placed between the fins of the
heat exchanger and remains above the water for the first part of the
transient. In addition, the internal pressure in the ecat, and hence the
temperature, can change depending on the steam/water outflow. These
phenomena are not included in the model.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread David Roberson


The curve I was referring to is the T2(mis) curve.  There is a well defined 
bump that peaks at 16:00 time.  This is one of the curves of the actual ECAT 
measurement and I was looking to see if your source demonstrated anything 
resembling it.  I was expecting to see a reason that the model did not predict 
the relatively short duration bump that is so evident.  Unless I am wrong, I 
interpret his explanation as not really knowing since this is the region 
where the most temperature delta occurs between his model and the real world.  
That is an OK answer for him to have-his model does not include the possibility 
that the LENR reaction produces a large pulse at this time due to the drive 
waveform that I described in my analysis explaining this bump.  Also, the 
output power measurement at the same time shows a COP of 3 matching the input 
power pulse.  We may have found additional proof that LENR is occurring which a 
non LENR model can not explain.  Thanks Mary.
 
Dave



-Original Message-
From: Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Fri, Dec 23, 2011 3:36 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith





On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 7:37 AM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:




I wonder if you could ask your source to explain the bump in the curve that 
occurs at 16:00 on the second chart?  It looks like this is not demonstrated in 
any of his curves.  The bump is in the temperature of the ECAT water bath T2 
and is very distinct.




Here is the reply:

If you are referring to the green curve T_2w, it is not a bump, it is a sharp 
angle. It appears when the water temperature reaches the boiling point 
correspondent to the pressure inside the ecat. From that point on, the water 
temperature no longer rises due to evaporation. That pressure includes an over 
pressure due to the relief valve, which has been supposed to be 0.8 bar. That's 
the point where the T_2w deviates more from the measured value T2(mis), for the 
rest of the time difference is less than 5°C.

Also, consider that the thermocouple was placed between the fins of the heat 
exchanger and remains above the water for the first part of the transient. In 
addition, the internal pressure in the ecat, and hence the temperature, can 
change depending on the steam/water outflow. These phenomena are not included 
in the model.




Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Mary Yugo
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 2:13 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

  The curve I was referring to is the T2(mis) curve.  There is a well
 defined bump that peaks at 16:00 time.  This is one of the curves of the
 actual ECAT measurement and I was looking to see if your
 source demonstrated anything resembling it.  I was expecting to see a
 reason that the model did not predict the relatively short duration bump
 that is so evident.  Unless I am wrong, I interpret his explanation as not
 really knowing since this is the region where the most temperature delta
 occurs between his model and the real world.  That is an OK answer for him
 to have-his model does not include the possibility that the LENR reaction
 produces a large pulse at this time due to the drive waveform that I
 described in my analysis explaining this bump.  Also, the output power
 measurement at the same time shows a COP of 3 matching the input power
 pulse.


I'll pass that on.



 We may have found additional proof that LENR is occurring which a non LENR
 model can not explain.


Maybe but I doubt it.  I am still amazed that we have to go through all
these unnecessary convolutions of thought and calculations only because
Rossi made his all of his tests so opaque and dependent on his methodology
and interpretation.

  Thanks Mary.


Welcome.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Alan J Fletcher

At 07:10 AM 12/23/2011, Yram Oguy wrote:

Ha!  Your cleverly disguised name is a FAKE.

Your REAL name is Yra M. O'Guy   so .. BUSTED !



Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Harry Veeder
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 2:26 PM, Joshua Cude joshua.c...@gmail.com wrote:


 On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 12:19 PM, Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:

  A
 plausible method of fakery is not evidence of fakery.



 Obviously not. But heat, by itself, is not evidence of a nuclear reaction,
 if the same heat can be plausibly produced without nuclear reactions.

It is not sufficient evidence, but it still can be interpreted as
evidence of nuclear reactions.
Your alternative doesn't persuade me that the heat produced is
worthless as evidence. As everyone knows, there are countless ways to
fake the results. Each alternative suggests places where evidence of
fraud might be found. In your thermal mass alternative you need to
look for evidence that he misrepresented the electrical input power.
Otherwise it is just an intellectual exercise.



 Similarly, if I claimed to have superhuman strength, I would not convince
 anyone by lifting a 50-lb bag of sugar, because you can lift 50 lb without
 superhuman strength.


The analogy doesn't make sense to me. I think what you mean is that
you show yourself effortlessly lifting 500lbs of sugar with one hand,
while the lifting was actually done by a piano wire attached to a
hidden hoist above the proscenium.
Harry



Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Mary Yugo
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 2:13 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

  The curve I was referring to is the T2(mis) curve.  There is a well
 defined bump that peaks at 16:00 time.  This is one of the curves of the
 actual ECAT measurement and I was looking to see if your
 source demonstrated anything resembling it.  I was expecting to see a
 reason that the model did not predict the relatively short duration bump
 that is so evident.  Unless I am wrong, I interpret his explanation as not
 really knowing since this is the region where the most temperature delta
 occurs between his model and the real world.  That is an OK answer for him
 to have-his model does not include the possibility that the LENR reaction
 produces a large pulse at this time due to the drive waveform that I
 described in my analysis explaining this bump.  Also, the output power
 measurement at the same time shows a COP of 3 matching the input power
 pulse.  We may have found additional proof that LENR is occurring which a
 non LENR model can not explain.  Thanks Mary.


Reply:

He is right. I did not understand correctly the curve he was referring to.

But my previous answer to his question did (sort of) contain the
explanation: the bump in the T2(mis) curve at 16:00 happens at the same
time as the steam outflow peak, as shown on the lower left diagram of
http://i.imgur.com/XAdrr.jpg, and in the upper left diagram of
http://i.imgur.com/SWbvW.jpg.

In the real life situation, this outflow peak induces some additional
overpressure which increases the boiling temperature of the water in the
ecat, but this portion of the relationship has not been modeled.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Charles Hope
Another secret contact! Why can't your friend create a throwaway hotmail 
account like anyone else?



On Dec 23, 2011, at 12:27, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 7:37 AM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:
 Hello Mary,
  
 I wonder if you could ask your source to explain the bump in the curve
 
 Done, thanks. 


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread Joshua Cude
On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 6:06 PM, Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:


 It is not sufficient evidence, but it still can be interpreted as
 evidence of nuclear reactions.


I don't agree. Not if the heat is coming from a 100 kg device that we're
not allowed to inspect.

If it were heat + commensurate radiation (in any form), then yes.

If it were heat without any chemical changes after detailed inspection,
then yes.

If it were heat that exceeded the devices weight in the best chemical fuel,
then yes.

But just heat that represents less than a per cent of chemical energy
density, then, to me, there is no evidence of a nuclear reaction whatsoever.

And as always, the epilogue: if it were nuclear, it would be easy to
unequivocally exceed the limits of chemistry.



 Your alternative doesn't persuade me that the heat produced is
 worthless as evidence. As everyone knows, there are countless ways to
 fake the results. Each alternative suggests places where evidence of
 fraud might be found. In your thermal mass alternative you need to
 look for evidence that he misrepresented the electrical input power.



I haven't looked at the model that MY introduced in detail, but in broad
strokes, I don't see a need to misrepresent the input power, even for an
energy storage explanation, and still less for energy from chemical fuel.
The input energy is in the range of 34 MJ, and the hard evidence can be
explained with only about 12 MJ. What does need to be questioned is the
energy as measured with the misplaced thermocouples on the heat exchanger,
and the claim that the steam coming out of the ecat is dry.


  Similarly, if I claimed to have superhuman strength, I would not convince
  anyone by lifting a 50-lb bag of sugar, because you can lift 50 lb
 without
  superhuman strength.
 

 The analogy doesn't make sense to me. I think what you mean is that
 you show yourself effortlessly lifting 500lbs of sugar with one hand,
 while the lifting was actually done by a piano wire attached to a
 hidden hoist above the proscenium.




No, I think my analogy is closer. Rossi is claiming nuclear reactions based
on the heat produced in a 100-kg device. There is no question that a 100 kg
device can produce that amount of heat using only chemistry, with no
strings attached. Ten times that would be easy.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-23 Thread David Roberson

It is certainly true that the peak occurs in a region that immediately follows 
the highest temperature obtained within the heat storage medium.  The part that 
is anomalous is the fact that the bump I referred to at 16:00 is of relatively 
short duration while the temperature fall off curve from the model storage 
medium is broad and slow in nature.  I would expect the overpressure additions 
to be broad to match this shape if due to the stored heat.  The LENR 
explanation would be short in duration as is seen in the data.  We should be 
happy that The LENR heating is demonstrated by this short duration bump as we 
have all been seeking.  Your source should make further attempts to duplicate 
this shape if we are to be convinced that heat storage can achieve the 
identical results as LENR heating.

Dave



-Original Message-
From: Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Fri, Dec 23, 2011 7:15 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith





On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 2:13 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:


The curve I was referring to is the T2(mis) curve.  There is a well defined 
bump that peaks at 16:00 time.  This is one of the curves of the actual ECAT 
measurement and I was looking to see if your source demonstrated anything 
resembling it.  I was expecting to see a reason that the model did not predict 
the relatively short duration bump that is so evident.  Unless I am wrong, I 
interpret his explanation as not really knowing since this is the region 
where the most temperature delta occurs between his model and the real world.  
That is an OK answer for him to have-his model does not include the possibility 
that the LENR reaction produces a large pulse at this time due to the drive 
waveform that I described in my analysis explaining this bump.  Also, the 
output power measurement at the same time shows a COP of 3 matching the input 
power pulse.  We may have found additional proof that LENR is occurring which a 
non LENR model can not explain.  Thanks Mary.



Reply: 


He is right. I did not understand correctly the curve he was referring to.

But my previous answer to his question did (sort of) contain the explanation: 
the bump in the T2(mis) curve at 16:00 happens at the same time as the steam 
outflow peak, as shown on the lower left diagram of 
http://i.imgur.com/XAdrr.jpg, and in the upper left diagram of 
http://i.imgur.com/SWbvW.jpg. 

In the real life situation, this outflow peak induces some additional 
overpressure which increases the boiling temperature of the water in the ecat, 
but this portion of the relationship has not been modeled.




[Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Jed Rothwell
Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:


 Am I to assume you examined the mathematical modeling and resulting curves
 in the links I provided and have analyzed and rejected them for some good
 reason?


Yes. I have seen blacksmiths at work. I have seen one heat a large chunk of
iron, as big as the reactor core, to red hot incandescence. This is hotter
than an electric heater could make the core. The iron is dunked into a
bucket of water. This produces a cloud of steam, and then rapid boiling for
a minute or two. It does not cause the bucket of water to boil for four
hours. There is no conceivable way to store that much heat in this much
iron.

You can verify that with a small-scale experiment. Try heating a nail and
putting it in water.

I seriously suggest people should try this. Why not? a skeptic who
sincerely believes it is possible to achieve this effect by conventional
means should do some simple tests to confirm that.

Evidently the mathematical modeling is wrong. I do not have to determine
the details when it is obvious the conclusions conflict with everyday
experience and fundamental observational physics to this extent. If someone
makes a mathematical model showing that I can jump over the Empire State
building I do not need to prove it is wrong.

Note that Rossi means Smith. Perhaps he comes from a long line of
blacksmiths. He has the kind of intuitive skills that a good blacksmith has.

People have been working with hot iron for thousands of years. They know
how it works. I know how it works. All the skeptical hypotheses that
attempt to explain these test contradict knowledge going back hundreds of
thousands of years.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Daniel Rocha
Rossi is an extremely common Italian surname. I can see Rossi used as a
name of a company everywhere here, since several million people in
my country descends from Italians.

2011/12/22 Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com

 Note that Rossi means Smith. Perhaps he comes from a long line of
 blacksmiths. He has the kind of intuitive skills that a good blacksmith has.

 People have been working with hot iron for thousands of years. They know
 how it works. I know how it works. All the skeptical hypotheses that
 attempt to explain these test contradict knowledge going back hundreds of
 thousands of years.

 - Jed




-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
From Mary Yugo:

 Am I to assume you examined the mathematical modeling and resulting curves
 in the links I provided and have analyzed and rejected them for some good
 reason?

I assume you addressed this query to Mr. Rothwell. Nevertheless, I
have two cents of my own to add.

Having run thousands of computer simulations using FEMM (Finite
Element Method Magnetics) I can say with absolute conviction that the
results will be completely worthless if the input and results
generated from the computer model are based on inaccurate assumptions.

I have been guilty of making such mistakes. My mistakes were brought
to my attention when I eventually got around to producing an actual
physical model - which was supposed to verify to my satisfaction that
all the prior mathematical modeling I had been generating for months
was correct. Alas, my assumptions turned out to be wrong, dead wrong.
This revelation... well... I can certainly say that it felt personally
humiliating. However, I would not have traded the experience for
anything in the world.

Garbage in, garbage out.

Mary, as already suggested by Mr. Rothwell, I suggest you might want
to consider performing an actual physical experiment. I'm sure you
have sufficient tools at your disposal to perform such an experiment.
For example, if you have access to an electric stove, heat up one of
the smaller elements to the point that it becomes red hot. Then,
carefully remove it from the stove (using tongs and insulated gloves!)
and dump it into a pail of water.

Carefully record the temperature of the water over a passage of time.

Be sure to have some fun while performing the experiment. It's science!

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Horace Heffner


On Dec 22, 2011, at 7:29 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote:


Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:

Am I to assume you examined the mathematical modeling and resulting  
curves in the links I provided and have analyzed and rejected them  
for some good reason?


Yes. I have seen blacksmiths at work. I have seen one heat a large  
chunk of iron, as big as the reactor core, to red hot  
incandescence. This is hotter than an electric heater could make  
the core. The iron is dunked into a bucket of water. This produces  
a cloud of steam, and then rapid boiling for a minute or two. It  
does not cause the bucket of water to boil for four hours. There is  
no conceivable way to store that much heat in this much iron.


You can verify that with a small-scale experiment. Try heating a  
nail and putting it in water.


I seriously suggest people should try this. Why not? a skeptic who  
sincerely believes it is possible to achieve this effect by  
conventional means should do some simple tests to confirm that.


Evidently the mathematical modeling is wrong. I do not have to  
determine the details when it is obvious the conclusions conflict  
with everyday experience and fundamental observational physics to  
this extent. If someone makes a mathematical model showing that I  
can jump over the Empire State building I do not need to prove it  
is wrong.


Note that Rossi means Smith. Perhaps he comes from a long line  
of blacksmiths. He has the kind of intuitive skills that a good  
blacksmith has.


People have been working with hot iron for thousands of years. They  
know how it works. I know how it works. All the skeptical  
hypotheses that attempt to explain these test contradict knowledge  
going back hundreds of thousands of years.


- Jed




The heat capacity of a conductor like iron is only useful for storing  
energy.  Insulation is required to limit the rate of dissipation of  
that energy.  A medium, or combined layers, with a net low  
diffusivity, using materials like ceramics, cement, fire brick, etc.  
is necessary for significant dynamic effects, like peak heat release  
long after the source was applied.


Those are the purely passive considerations. If good insulation is  
present, as well as active control, heat can be released to meet any  
demand curve that conserves energy.


Apparently commenting further is of no use, so I'll try to refrain.

Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/






Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Mary Yugo
On Thu, Dec 22, 2011 at 9:10 AM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson 
svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:


 Mary, as already suggested by Mr. Rothwell, I suggest you might want
 to consider performing an actual physical experiment. I'm sure you
 have sufficient tools at your disposal to perform such an experiment.
 For example, if you have access to an electric stove, heat up one of
 the smaller elements to the point that it becomes red hot. Then,
 carefully remove it from the stove (using tongs and insulated gloves!)
 and dump it into a pail of water.SNIP


Rossi is not dumping a preheated steel mass into a bucket of water.  He's
insulating it very carefully and trickling water through it at a very
modest rate.  I've always been struck at the low and hesitant flow from his
pumps.  Click... click..click..  And the flow measurements are
not impressive.  There is discussion at the links I provided that the
October 6 flow rate also may have been mismeasured.  I admit I did not read
that -- the translation really annoys me and I know absolutely no
Italian.

Anyway, and I don't want to restart that argument all over again, with the
output levels Rossi claimed in his early experiments, I'd expect a very
healthy looking output of heat and steam and that is not what independent
observers, for example Krivit, saw.  And to go way back in the history,
Levi's claim of a 130kW transient in a small E-cat has to be a measurement
or thermocouple placement error --  it should have made enough steam
pressure to explode  (or to pop a relief plug or valve) if it were real.

I won't point out again the details of how these arguments could all have
been easily avoided if Rossi had chosen to bother.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Giovanni Santostasi
Jed,
Rossi doesn't mean Smith. It is translated sometime by Google as Smith
because Smith is such common name in the anglophone world and Rossi is an
extremely common (if not the most common) Italian last names.
Rossi means red one, probably the ancestors of this family were red
headed.
The last name Smith if translated literally would be Fabbri that is also a
common last name in Italy.
Giovanni


On Thu, Dec 22, 2011 at 10:34 AM, Daniel Rocha danieldi...@gmail.comwrote:

 Rossi is an extremely common Italian surname. I can see Rossi used as a
 name of a company everywhere here, since several million people in
 my country descends from Italians.


 2011/12/22 Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com

 Note that Rossi means Smith. Perhaps he comes from a long line of
 blacksmiths. He has the kind of intuitive skills that a good blacksmith has.

 People have been working with hot iron for thousands of years. They know
 how it works. I know how it works. All the skeptical hypotheses that
 attempt to explain these test contradict knowledge going back hundreds of
 thousands of years.

 - Jed




 --
 Daniel Rocha - RJ
 danieldi...@gmail.com




Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Jed Rothwell

Giovanni Santostasi wrote:

Rossi doesn't mean Smith. It is translated sometime by Google as Smith 
because Smith is such common name in the anglophone world and Rossi is 
an extremely common (if not the most common) Italian last names.
Rossi means red one, probably the ancestors of this family were red 
headed.


Wow! That gives us an interesting look at how Google translation works. 
The computer picks a word that is functionally similar. One that has 
similar uses, distribution or frequency.


Or maybe it is a database error.

The word roth also means red, in Middle English. Hence the placename 
and family name Rothwell means red well. That is, a well with reddish 
water from iron minerals in the water. See:


http://www.rothwelltown.co.uk/historyofrothwel.html

- Jed



Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Jed Rothwell

Mary Yugo wrote:

Rossi is not dumping a preheated steel mass into a bucket of water.  
He's insulating it very carefully and trickling water through it at a 
very modest rate.  I've always been struck at the low and hesitant 
flow from his pumps.  Click... click..click..  And the 
flow measurements are not impressive.


It does not matter what rate you add the heat. The flow rate of the 
water is unimportant. It might be stopped altogether.


It takes a certain amount of energy to keep the surface of the reactor 
at 80°C for four hours. That amount of energy far exceeds the amount 
that you could store or add to that mass of water and iron, using this 
equipment. Whether you heat it slow or fast, or heat it beforehand and 
hide the hot body it makes no difference. Whether the reactor holds 
mostly iron or mostly water makes no difference. No combination of these 
materials, insulation, flow rates or power levels can possible keep the 
surface temperature so high for so long.


If you use other equipment that allowed the temperature internally to go 
up to thousands of degrees perhaps it could work.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
Jed sez:

 Wow! That gives us an interesting look at how Google translation works. The
 computer picks a word that is functionally similar. One that has similar
 uses, distribution or frequency.

 Or maybe it is a database error.

 The word roth also means red, in Middle English. Hence the placename and
 family name Rothwell means red well. That is, a well with reddish water
 from iron minerals in the water. See:

So, not only were some your ancestors pirates, you probably had a few
blacksmiths sprinkled in there as well.

Hello...
Yes... uh huh... we make cannon balls.
How many would you you like to order?
Uh hun... Three hundred fifty? Ok.
I can have them ready for shipment in a week.
That will cost you five gold pieces.
Do you want them shipped by Oxcart or...
... you need them ASAP?
Well... I can express the order by horse,
...actually with three hundred fifty balls... that would take several horses.
But that would cost you extra... another two or three gold pieces.
I can get them to you in two days.
No... no sooner.
Oh, by the way, I need two gold pieces down payment.
Why? Well... considering your line of business...
...and the same to you to, sir!
Do we have a deal?
Yes... That is correct, sir. I don't think you will get a better deal
anywhere else.
Ok then.
I'll be waiting for the pieces.
Nice doing business with you!

Martha! Remember that vacation trip you always
wanted down to the Florida coast? Pack your bags!
We'll be basking on the coast in two weeks!



Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Joshua Cude
On Thu, Dec 22, 2011 at 10:29 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote:

 Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote:


 Am I to assume you examined the mathematical modeling and resulting
 curves in the links I provided and have analyzed and rejected them for some
 good reason?


 Yes. I have seen blacksmiths at work. I have seen one heat a large chunk
 of iron, as big as the reactor core, to red hot incandescence.


The idea is the thermal mass might have tens of kg of mass. I don't think
blacksmiths very often work with chunks of red-hot iron weighing 20 or 30
kg.


 This is hotter than an electric heater could make the core.


Why? Electric heaters make stove-top elements glow red. The power goes in,
something's gotta get hot.


 The iron is dunked into a bucket of water. This produces a cloud of steam,
 and then rapid boiling for a minute or two. It does not cause the bucket of
 water to boil for four hours. There is no conceivable way to store that
 much heat in this much iron.


First, it's not as much iron as proposed for Rossi's 100-kg device. Second,
it's doesn't have to be bathed in the water. There could be an insulating
barrier to slow down the heat loss process.


 You can verify that with a small-scale experiment. Try heating a nail and
 putting it in water.


What does that verify? Certainly nothing related to a 100-kg ecat with
insulation between the thermal mass and the water.


 Evidently the mathematical modeling is wrong. I do not have to determine
 the details when it is obvious the conclusions conflict with everyday
 experience and fundamental observational physics to this extent. If someone
 makes a mathematical model showing that I can jump over the Empire State
 building I do not need to prove it is wrong.



Hey, that sounds like the arguments nuclear physicists make about cold
fusion. They don't have to bother debunking every new lame claim of cold
fusion, when 100 years of experience with nuclear physics tells them it's
wrong. The only difference is, their experience is actually relevant; yours
is not:

It's not rocket science. 30 kg of steel heated to 1000C releases 12 MJ of
energy when it cools to 200C.  Over 3.25 hours, that amounts to a kW on
average. A kW is plenty of power to keep 30L of water boiling gently. The
only difficulty is finding the material to keep the flow of heat in check.
For this, a phase-change material would be much more compact, lower
temperature, and easier to regulate. But to suggest it's inconceivable is
just ignorant.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Joshua Cude
On Thu, Dec 22, 2011 at 2:41 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:


 It does not matter what rate you add the heat. The flow rate of the water
 is unimportant. It might be stopped altogether.

 It takes a certain amount of energy to keep the surface of the reactor at
 80°C for four hours.


Right. But Lewan said 60 - 80C, and I'm guessing since he's an advocate, it
was probably closer to 60C, which is about 30C above ambient in that room.

A hot-water radiator 30C above ambient delivers about 70 BTU/(hr-sq ft
(effective area)), or about 200 W/m^2. That ecat has about 1 m^2 surface
exposed, and it's not designed to throw heat, so its insulating surface is
likely to have a lower emissivity, but even if it's 200 W, that's only a
fraction of what you can store in 100 kg for 3.25 hours, which can easily
be a few kW.

And at 200 W, that would put about 10 kW into Rossi's megacat. That's more
heat than most sauna heaters throw, and yet no one mentioned it was hot in
there at all. So, I'm pretty sure it's nowhere near 200 W heat loss per
ecat.


 That amount of energy far exceeds the amount that you could store or add
 to that mass of water and iron,


The water's not relevant because the heat stored in it is not changed over
the 3.25 hours. As for storing 200W times 3.25 hours (2.3 MJ) in 100 kg of
metal? Piece of cake. In other materials, even easier.


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Colin Hercus
Hi Jed,

Google have published some details of their algorithm and that's pretty
much how it works.

If they want to do say English/Italian translation they find a lot of text
(books, menus etc.) that exist in both languages and then they analyse the
text counting words by frequency. This gives first mapping between words.
There's a lot more to it but frequency mapping is a key element. They must
have trained their system using some books where Rossi had been translated
to Smith. It's interesting that the computer learns  to translate just by
analysis of these dual language texts and with very little human input or
language understanding.

Colin

On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 4:29 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 Giovanni Santostasi wrote:

  Rossi doesn't mean Smith. It is translated sometime by Google as Smith
 because Smith is such common name in the anglophone world and Rossi is an
 extremely common (if not the most common) Italian last names.
 Rossi means red one, probably the ancestors of this family were red
 headed.


 Wow! That gives us an interesting look at how Google translation works.
 The computer picks a word that is functionally similar. One that has
 similar uses, distribution or frequency.

 Or maybe it is a database error.

 The word roth also means red, in Middle English. Hence the placename and
 family name Rothwell means red well. That is, a well with reddish water
 from iron minerals in the water. See:

 http://www.rothwelltown.co.uk/**historyofrothwel.htmlhttp://www.rothwelltown.co.uk/historyofrothwel.html

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Jed Rothwell
Colin Hercus colinher...@gmail.com wrote:


 Google have published some details of their algorithm and that's pretty
 much how it works.


Yup. I read some of their papers. It works surprisingly well.

I guess Rossi = Smith can be considered a mistranslation. Then again,
maybe this should be considered legit. It isn't how a human would do it,
but arguably it is right in a sense. As they say, airplanes do not fly like
birds, but they do fly. Machines may not translate like people, but they do
translate.

If it was English to Japanese you might select Suzuki-san. That's a
common name which in context means Mr. Everyman or man-on-the-street.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Mathematical modeling versus a blacksmith

2011-12-22 Thread Harry Veeder
On Thu, Dec 22, 2011 at 8:03 PM, Colin Hercus colinher...@gmail.com wrote:
 Hi Jed,

 Google have published some details of their algorithm and that's pretty much
 how it works.

 If they want to do say English/Italian translation they find a lot of text
 (books, menus etc.) that exist in both languages and then they analyse the
 text counting words by frequency. This gives first mapping between words.
 There's a lot more to it but frequency mapping is a key element. They must
 have trained their system using some books where Rossi had been translated
 to Smith. It's interesting that the computer learns  to translate just by
 analysis of these dual language texts and with very little human input or
 language understanding.

 Colin

Interesting.
I wonder if human-computers followed similar rules to translate the
texts on the Rosetta stone.

Harry