Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Wayne Eddy
- Original Message - From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED] If I moved to the US (which I wouldn't) part of the deal I would strike with the government would be to accept say bans on short selling of stick if the government decided that was a good idea, What if the government

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Euan Ritchie
Sorry if the analogy is confusing or faulty, my main point is that governments are consenting partners too. That just ain't so. As has been observed Government is force. and there's sweet F.A negotiation between it, its agents and the citizens it bends to its will. Force generally is not

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Charlie Bell
On 23/09/2008, at 10:26 AM, Dan M wrote: Other posters have pointed out the fact that best suited is dependant on the particulars of the environment, the history of environments, etc. Charlie may correct me, but I think I recall him stating that there is no teleology in evolution. If

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Charlie Bell
On 23/09/2008, at 1:27 PM, Julia Thompson wrote: The general SEC requirement had been to limit it to 12X. An exception was made in 2004 for 5 companies - Goldman, Merrill, Lehman, Bear Stearns, and Morgan Stanley. None of which exist today in the form they did five years ago. D'oh.

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Charlie Bell
On 23/09/2008, at 10:26 AM, Dan M wrote: Other posters have pointed out the fact that best suited is dependant on the particulars of the environment, the history of environments, etc. Charlie may correct me, but I think I recall him stating that there is no teleology in evolution. If

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Euan Ritchie
Maybe I am in the minority, but I have never felt the government is opressing me, or forcing me to do things I don't want to do, and I reckon I get fair recompence for paying my taxes obeying the law. It is not required for a government to be oppresive for it to be true that you do not

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Wayne Eddy
From: Euan Ritchie [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sorry if the analogy is confusing or faulty, my main point is that governments are consenting partners too. That just ain't so. As has been observed Government is force. and there's sweet F.A negotiation between it, its agents and the citizens it bends

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Wayne Eddy [EMAIL PROTECTED] Another part of the deal (there would of course be thousands of parts) would be assurances that I would not become a slave after I emigrated (I believe the American constitution would spell that out). Since the American constitution can be amended, that would

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Nick Arnett
On Tue, Sep 23, 2008 at 7:06 AM, John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote: You seem to be talking about an odd sort of consent. You will consent to do any new thing that the government decides to tell you to do, as long as it is not too many things. In case it is not clear, the examples I listed

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] I see some confusion here about consent versus consensus. I said nothing about consensus. Now that you've mentioned that you post nonsense if you don't have enough caffeine, I don't know when to take your posts seriously.

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Nick Arnett
On Tue, Sep 23, 2008 at 9:14 AM, John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] I see some confusion here about consent versus consensus. I said nothing about consensus. Now that you've mentioned that you post nonsense if you don't have enough caffeine, I don't know

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] Yes, you said nothing about consensus. That is exactly why I brought it up. You seem to have confused me with someone else. You get confused a lot, don't you? ___

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Olin Elliott
I give my consent to be governed by people with whom I disagree, so long as they are elected by legal democratic means. Nick Don't forget, Hitler was elected by Democratic means. Olin - Original Message - From: Nick Arnettmailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs (David Brin et

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Alberto Monteiro
Olin Elliott wrote I give my consent to be governed by people with whom I disagree, so long as they are elected by legal democratic means. Don't forget, Hitler was elected by Democratic means. This is a myth. He was elected by the parliament, which is not democratic. It's like Bush II in

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Olin Elliott [EMAIL PROTECTED] Don't forget, Hitler was elected by Democratic means. Let me guess Nick's response: I see some confusion about elected versus selected by a vote. Let's debate which is better. Or perhaps we could all vote on a rule about which language we may use.

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED] This is a myth. He was elected by the parliament, which is not democratic. It's like Bush II in 2000, who was elected by the electoral college, and not by the people. Ah, so you are saying it was only about 49.9% of the popular preference, instead of

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Alberto Monteiro
John Williams wrote: This is a myth. He (Hitler) was elected by the parliament, which is not democratic. It's like Bush II in 2000, who was elected by the electoral college, and not by the people. Ah, so you are saying it was only about 49.9% of the popular preference, instead of 50.1%?

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED] I have no fsking idea what you are trolling about. That makes two of us! I'm having a good day if I understand more that 50% of what I am trolling about. OTOH, Bush II was _accepted_ by 75% of the USA voters - only 25% voted against him. 26%, you didn't

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Olin Elliott
This is a myth. He was elected by the parliament, which is not democratic. It's like Bush II in 2000, who was elected by the electoral college, and not by the people. Alberto Monteiro Hmmm ... I'm no expert on German History, so I'll take your word for it. Still, being elected by Parliament

Trolling

2008-09-23 Thread Jon Louis Mann
I have no fsking idea what you are trolling about. That makes two of us! I'm having a good day if I understand more that 50% of what I am trolling about. Trolling is Internet slang is someone who posts controversial, irrelevant or off-topic messages in online community discussion forums, or

statistics...

2008-09-23 Thread Jon Louis Mann
OTOH, Bush II was _accepted_ by 75% of the USA voters - only 25% voted against him. are you saying that 75% of those eligible to vote, including those who boycotted or were apathetic? jon There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.

UNCOUNTED: The New Math of American Elections

2008-09-23 Thread Jon Louis Mann
UNCOUNTED: The New Math of American Elections A Film by David Earnhardt Exposes how American voters were cheated during the 2004 and 2006 elections and why it will likely happen again in 2008. Trailer: http://www.uncountedthemovie.com/trailer.html Powerful and persuasive... - Howard

Re: Trolling

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED] Trolling is Internet slang is someone who posts controversial, irrelevant or off-topic messages in online community discussion forums, or chat rooms, with the intention of provoking other users into an emotional response, or to deliberately disrupt normal

Teleology

2008-09-23 Thread Jon Louis Mann
Charlie may correct me, but I think I recall him stating that there is no teleology in evolution. which is why I am an atheist... If I did, I was paraphrasing much greater thinkers than I. But yes. Evolution is a drunken walk. Or a moth in a disco. Charlie. Teleology: 1. The study

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Nick Arnett
On Tue, Sep 23, 2008 at 10:43 AM, Olin Elliott [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: My point was simply that being chosen by Democratic means does not mean that a leader is fit to rule, or that he has any respect for Democratic process. If there isn't a reasonable correlation there, then democracy is

Trolling

2008-09-23 Thread Jon Louis Mann
Trolling is Internet slang is someone who posts controversial, irrelevant or off-topic messages in on line community discussion forums, or chat rooms, with the intention of provoking other users into an emotional response, or to deliberately disrupt normal on-topic discussion. It is

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] If there isn't a reasonable correlation there, then democracy is in trouble. Perhaps so. Or perhaps people place too much faith in politicians and government, and would be better off reducing their power and scope.

RE: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Dan M
If I read correctly, and I multi-sourced this, there was a short period that companies couldn't sell short term paper; in other words companies with big assets couldn't get loans for a day or two that were a fraction of their assets. Not all companies...mainly the companies that

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED] Now, you can argue that Sears and Ford are questionable, but GE? The point is that the liquidity of the market was drying up. And, at No, the liquidity of the market was not drying up. Interest rates went up. As they should. As they should have long ago if there

RE: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Dan M
-Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of John Williams Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 2:58 PM To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion Subject: Re: Meltdown Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED] The natural tendency of business (which we

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED] The problem was that no-one (including the board of directors of AIG knew that AIG was insolvent until the day the government intervened. LOL! Do you believe in the tooth fairy, too? At that point, _everything_ becomes questionable. GE having to pay nearly double

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Charlie Bell
On 24/09/2008, at 3:11 AM, Olin Elliott wrote: I give my consent to be governed by people with whom I disagree, so long as they are elected by legal democratic means. Nick Don't forget, Hitler was elected by Democratic means. Olin Kind of. Was horse-trading in the parliament that got

Re: Teleology

2008-09-23 Thread Charlie Bell
On 24/09/2008, at 4:27 AM, Jon Louis Mann wrote: Charlie may correct me, but I think I recall him stating that there is no teleology in evolution. which is why I am an atheist... If I did, I was paraphrasing much greater thinkers than I. But yes. Evolution is a drunken walk. Or a moth

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Charlie Bell
On 24/09/2008, at 6:40 AM, John Williams wrote: Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED] The problem was that no-one (including the board of directors of AIG knew that AIG was insolvent until the day the government intervened. LOL! Do you believe in the tooth fairy, too? Instead of mocking, why don't

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Charlie Bell
On 24/09/2008, at 6:21 AM, Dan M wrote: The problem was that no-one (including the board of directors of AIG knew that AIG was insolvent until the day the government intervened. That sounds implausible. Someone knew. It's what level they were at and what they choose to do with the

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Euan Ritchie
I give my consent to be governed by people with whom I disagree, so long as they are elected by legal democratic means. I doubt very much anyone ever asked you (who had the will and power to change it) if it was okay that you were governed by the system in place. And absent that you haven't

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] Instead of mocking, why don't you try EXPLAINING. Instead of telling other people what you think they should do, why don't YOU explain whatever you believe needs explaining? ___

RE: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Dan M
-Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of John Williams Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 3:40 PM To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion Subject: Re: Meltdown Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED] The problem was that no-one (including the

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Euan Ritchie
Don't forget, Hitler was elected by Democratic means. While initially true it is inaccurate to claim he took power democratically. His party was elected to a significant proportion of government but the position of authority he abused was bestowed by presidential executive fiat.

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED] That's what the interest rate measures...the willingness of folks to buy GE notes. Gee, really? It couldn't possibly be just a little more complicated than that? A rational market wouldn't change GE's interest rate that quickly Again, really? Either you are

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Euan Ritchie
This is a myth. He was elected by the parliament, which is not democratic. It's like Bush II in 2000, who was elected by the electoral college, and not by the people. Ah, so you are saying it was only about 49.9% of the popular preference, instead of 50.1%? Sounds like a robust system.

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Euan Ritchie
The problem was that no-one (including the board of directors of AIG knew that AIG was insolvent until the day the government intervened. Bubbles and panics are part of the nature of the market. You can repeat your mantra of free markets are perfect until you are blue in the face, but AIG

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Euan Ritchie [EMAIL PROTECTED] That combination of economic depression and exploitable militarism is something to worry about, really quite topical. I agree. I think it is scary. Although a problematic example it does give on pause to wonder about the situation where a democratic election

Re: Teleology

2008-09-23 Thread William T Goodall
On 23 Sep 2008, at 23:13, Charlie Bell wrote: Yes, most of us know what teleology is. Why did you post a definitition of teleology in response to my descriptions of evolution as non-teleological? He was repulsing a windmill full of strawmen? Mixed metaphor Maru -- William T Goodall

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Euan Ritchie [EMAIL PROTECTED] It amazes me (was this AIG or Fanny and Freddie, I forget) that they went to ask for some 30 Billion but on a couple of days investigation it turned out to be more like 70 Billion was needed to meet their obligations. The management of the relevant company

RE: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Dan M
-Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Charlie Bell Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 5:28 PM To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion Subject: Re: Meltdown On 24/09/2008, at 6:21 AM, Dan M wrote: The problem was that no-one

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Euan Ritchie
it does give on pause to wonder about the situation where a democratic election may place people to whom democracy is disposable in power. I guess it's a string argument for rigid Constitutional rule. I'm not sure how rigid constitutional rule would be able to stop a determined leader with

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED] But, my understanding is that the bundling has become so layered and convoluted that folks really didn't understand what was happening in real time. With the amount of leverage that exists, a perfectly reasonable looking position can fall apart quickly. Yes, and if

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] Freedom is not free http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com - Original Message From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 6:52:33 PM Subject: Re: Meltdown Dan M

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 03:40 PM Tuesday 9/23/2008, John Williams wrote: Just a thought, but you might inspire a bit more confidence in your marks if you spent a little time learning about how markets and regulation actually work and a little less repeating cliched-jokes that were corny when my grandfather was young.

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 05:35 PM Tuesday 9/23/2008, Euan Ritchie wrote: I give my consent to be governed by people with whom I disagree, so long as they are elected by legal democratic means. I doubt very much anyone ever asked you (who had the will and power to change it) if it was okay that you were governed

Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-23 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 03:36 AM Tuesday 9/23/2008, Wayne Eddy wrote: You can't trade away your right to trade something (slaves say) in exchange for Citizenship, and then expect to be able to sell slaves anyway anymore than you can trade your cow to one person for a horse and the same cow to a second person for a

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] From: John Williams Gee, really? It couldn't possibly be just a little more complicated than that? Me: There are more factors, Yes, that is what I was referring to. but in the short-term money market, not that many, really. Surely the laws of supply

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Kevin B. O'Brien
Dan M wrote: The problem was that no-one (including the board of directors of AIG knew that AIG was insolvent until the day the government intervened. Bubbles and panics are part of the nature of the market. You can repeat your mantra of free markets are perfect until you are blue in the

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Bruce Bostwick
On Sep 23, 2008, at 8:00 PM, Kevin B. O'Brien wrote: Dan M wrote: The problem was that no-one (including the board of directors of AIG knew that AIG was insolvent until the day the government intervened. Bubbles and panics are part of the nature of the market. You can repeat your

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Kevin B. O'Brien
Dan M wrote: Oh, the irrationality. Why would people be reluctant to by one day notes from GE. Does any sane person think GE will go belly up _tomorrow?_ That's what the interest rate measures...the willingness of folks to buy GE notes. All of a sudden, buyers dried up. That's a measure of

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Bruce Bostwick
On Sep 23, 2008, at 8:00 PM, Kevin B. O'Brien wrote: Now, most decent spreadsheet programs will not let you get away with this circular reference, but an unregulated market can. Essentially, it all came down to a shell game where everyone was insuring each others risks, and then convincing

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Kevin B. O'Brien [EMAIL PROTECTED] Now, most decent spreadsheet programs will not let you get away with this circular reference, but an unregulated market can. Essentially, it all came down to a shell game where everyone was insuring each others risks, and then convincing themselves that

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
- Original Message From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 8:48:12 PM Subject: Re: Meltdown Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] From: John Williams Gee, really? It couldn't possibly be

Some random thoughts on Wall St. and the meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Kevin B. O'Brien
1. Something definitely happened, but I doubt anyone knows exactly what, as yet. 2. It is almost certainly not as dire as Paulson and Bernanke are trying to make it sound. The world won't come to an end if we take the time to think things through. 3. Anyone who trusts what this administration

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] But such a stampede could cause lots of otherwise fine companies to go under, which would cause still more companies to go under, and so on, It's hard to imagine _anything_ worth the risk of going through that when interventions can prevent it. So,

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Nick Arnett
On Tue, Sep 23, 2008 at 3:52 PM, John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote: Sure, the government was largely responsible for creating a huge home price bubble and encouraging a bunch of bad loans to con-artists and people who had no business getting the loans, but that is not the problem. The

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Nick Arnett
On Tue, Sep 23, 2008 at 4:54 PM, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote: Now, you have these fund managers. All of them are worried. They've just seen several things happen that they've never seen before. They know that there are still securities on a lot of balance sheets that have

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] I'm all for reducing the size and market interference... of greed. I'm not sure how to do that other than via some sort of political process. You want to impose your ideals on the rest of us and destroy one of the main drivers of innovation and growth? You've

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
- Original Message From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 11:16:58 PM Subject: Re: Meltdown Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] But such a stampede could cause lots of otherwise fine

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
So I have two simple questions for you. What do you think the odds of such a collapse occurring are? 1% 5%? Whatever number you pick - what do you think should be done to lessen that risk? Nothing? If so, do you not buy health insurance? Best, Gautam I hate replying to m own post, but

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] Well, I say I'd go to astronomers, and astrophysicists, and aerospace engineers. And I'd find the best ones in the world. Why haven't you? OK, your argument, just to be clear, is that you don't know anything about finance. It is? You have no

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
- Original Message From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Wednesday, September 24, 2008 12:15:33 AM Subject: Re: Meltdown Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] Well, I say I'd go to astronomers, and astrophysicists, and

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread John Williams
Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] Again, you know nothing about me, Ah, so you are saying everything you have written today is nonsense. Not much point in me replying to your nonsense anymore. This will be the last email, then. It's not my job to educate you. Heh, good one. I have data,