RE: What is wealth?

2008-12-20 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of David Hobby
 Sent: Friday, December 12, 2008 7:11 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: What is wealth?
 
 Dan M wrote:
 ...
  O.K., let me try.  There is such a thing as concrete wealth.
  Wealth lets an individual do things that they want to do.  So
  a person's individual wealth would be roughly defined relative
  to some standard as the ratio of the utility of what they can
  do to what they could do in the standard state.
 
  I think this is closest to what I think.  But, I think that this is a
  fundamental and difficult enough concept to start slowly with some
 obvious
  examples.
 
  First, I was think of and will focus on the wealth of nations,
 communities,
  the world, more than individual wealth.
 ...
  So, historically, a richer nation would have vast areas of fertile
 farmland
  that could be harvested year after year to provide food for people.
 That
  wealth could be stolen by force, but absent of that, the wealth existed
  there.  So, Italy was far wealthier than a corresponding area in
 Siberia,
  because far more food could be grown.
 ...
  involved) is somewhat arbitrary.  But, the availability of human effort
  expended in something other than subsistence farming is not subjective;
 it
  can be objectively measured.
 ...
 
 Dan--
 
 O.K., you agreed mostly agreed with me, and I
 mostly agree with you.  Some of it is a matter
 of interpretation:  We're both taking the usual
 meaning of wealth, and trying to clarify it.
 
 I had planned to get the total wealth of a
 country but adding up the individual wealth
 of its inhabitants (and of its institutions,
 too?).  So starting with individual wealth
 made sense to me.  Do you think that the wealth
 of a (inhabited) country would be different
 than the sum of the wealths of its inhabitants?


Well, there is always the wealth in the publicly owned infrastructure, oil
and mineral wealth on public lands that need to be added.  But, my argument
for looking at the state instead of the individual was mostly the same as
Plato's reasons for writing the Republic as he did.


 I think that a country that has more than enough
 food for its people may be wealthier than a country
 where everybody has just enough.  Even if they
 can produce the same total amount of food.  Sure,
 people can be a source of a country's wealth.  But
 starving peasants may not be worth that much, wealth-wise.
 So there's more to it then just food production?

Yes, definitely.  But, I think the first step is the ability for the average
workers to produce more food than is needed to feed their family unit.  If,
for example, it takes 100 families working to feed 105 families, then there
is only 5 families that can be engaged in any trade except subsistence
farming.  If, as it is true in the US, less than 1% of the labor force is
required to produce food, then the rest of the labor force is able to
produce other things.  Clearly, the US is far wealthier when it has a 5%
surplus harvest than a country that produced a 5% surplus harvest because
there was war the previous year, and a lot of townspeople died.  

(An interesting site on this is
http://www.ers.usda.gov/Briefing/WellBeing/farmhouseincome.htm  

Particularly the table farm household income by source.  Here you see most
farm households farm part-time, and have most of their income come from
other sources...like friends of mine who have 50 head of cattle on their
ranch, but live in town 5 days a week and hold two jobs).



 Unless you want to define free wealth and
 bound wealth.  The free wealth of a land of
 starving peasants may be almost zero.  Most of
 it being bound up in maintaining the large number
 of inhabitants.  A suitable plague could release
 the bound wealth of the country by reducing the
 population.

There are several terms that are typically used.  They are national income,
national per capita income, and disposable/discretionary income.  Clearly,
Monaco, although its citizens are wealthy, has far less economic clout than
the US.  But, clearly, the average Chinese citizen is far poorer than the
average Australian, even though China has 4x the GDP of Australia.  

Then, we have to consider disposable income.  Since China has so many
people, a significant fraction of the country is still barely above
subsistence, even with the increased GDP.  Indeed China is particularly
susceptible to global recessions because its income is so tied to exports
(only 35% of Chinese GDP is domestic consumption vs. 70% for the US).
Before the Great Depression, the US was by far the biggest exporter, as well
as the biggest holder of world debt.  It was the hardest hit country in the
Great Depression.  I've been reading articles that hint that there is
causality here, and that China (and to a lesser extent Germany and Japan)
are particularly susceptible to downturns.  The US hoped to export

Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-17 Thread Euan Ritchie

 It's based on a number of things, but I think the single item that stood out
 for me was the male life expectancy: 59.2 years.  25 years ago, it was over
 70 years (at least officially).  This drop is absolutely amazing.

Demographers have Russias population reducing to under 70 million by 2050.
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RE: What is wealth?

2008-12-17 Thread Dan M
 Demographers have Russias population reducing to under 70 million by 2050.

Wow, that's about 4 per sq. km.  And with China around 140 per sq. km.,
maybe dropping a bit to 125 per sq. km by then, just to it's south, that's a
problem waiting to happenespecially with the male/female disparity in
China (1.13 males/females under 15).  It might be cowboys and Indians time
again, with a strong China pushing to take over land (or at least push for
very favorable trade terms) from Russia.


Dan M. 

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RE: What is wealth?

2008-12-17 Thread Dan M

 
 Hi Dan, I am interested to hear what your basis is for saying that 
 Russia is falling out of the developed world.

It's based on a number of things, but I think the single item that stood out
for me was the male life expectancy: 59.2 years.  25 years ago, it was over
70 years (at least officially).  This drop is absolutely amazing.  Women
fare much better, average life expectancy is 73.1 years or so, but this high
death rate among men indicates a tremendous, debilitating underlying
problem.  Alcoholism gets most of the blame here, but that level of
alcoholism is truly staggering. 

Second, Russia's economy had been in a free-fall from about 1980 to 2000.
Living standards had dropped tremendously.  Recently, due to oil and gas
production, the per GDP has risen noticeably, but the increasing control of
Putin over everything reminds me of Venezuela and Iran.  It's as Thomas
Friedman stated, central controlled one trick pony economies do not develop
well (e.g. Iran, Iraq, Nigeria), while diversified ones (e.g. Taiwan, South
Korea) do.   With the drop in oil prices, Russia's hurting now. While the
US, European, and Asian stock markets have dropped tremendously, it's
nothing compared to the 75% drop in Russia seen this year.

Third, Russia isn't/can't take care of the relatively few children it does
have.  According to the Wikipedia article on street children, Russia has 2-4
million (the Russian official number is 700k, but they also state that they
do not have an AIDs problem...and 700k isn't peanuts).  For a country of 140
million, with about 20 million children, this translates into 10-20% of all
children.

Fourth, Russia built its status on military might and international
control/influence.  The countries behind the Iron Curtain were set up to
trade in a way highly favorable to Russia, for example.  It was the enemy of
the US, and was able to contest the US from Viet Nam to Cuba.  

Now, its military might is minimal.  Its soldiers are experienced, which is
worth something, but its equipment is decaying.  On paper, it has a
tremendous nuclear arsenal, but in reality the launch success rate would be
very low.  Indeed, in Security Studies, a detailed analysis has concluded
that there is a high probability that the US now has a first strike capacity
against the Russia (note, the article went on to discuss possible
destabilizing results from this, so it wasn't considered a plus for the US
in the article).  

The Russians easily handled the small country of Georgia.  But, based on how
it handled that, the Ukraine may give it a decent battle.  Star Wars and the
Afghanistan war were the beginning of the long slide in military power.

Finally, its death rate is about 50% higher than its birth rate.  While that
is not inherently indicative of dropping out of the first world, the fact
remains that it's a dying country, and a  dying country that does not take
care of its children to boot.  If we do find alternatives to expensive
($90/barrel) oil, Russia will have no basis for its economy.  At that
point, one real geopolitical risk is a strong China will see an empty Russia
to its north, with great potential for farming as global warming opens up
farming areas.

Dan M. 

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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-17 Thread Euan Ritchie

 Demographers have Russias population reducing to under 70 million by 2050.

 Wow, that's about 4 per sq. km.  And with China around 140 per sq. km.,
 maybe dropping a bit to 125 per sq. km by then, just to it's south, that's a
 problem waiting to happenespecially with the male/female disparity in
 China (1.13 males/females under 15).  It might be cowboys and Indians time
 again, with a strong China pushing to take over land (or at least push for
 very favorable trade terms) from Russia.

I've long thought war over Siberia is the most likely next use of
belligerent nukes.
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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-14 Thread Wayne Eddy
 Dan M said..

 So, we are within a decade of this type of drastic drop in poor country
 populations being confined to Sub-Sahara Africa.  Fertility rates are
 falling around the world, but nowhere so drastic (besides Russia which is
 falling out of the developed world) as in the highly developed world 
 outside
 of the US.

Hi Dan, I am interested to hear what your basis is for saying that Russia is 
falling out of the developed world.

Regards,

Wayne Eddy 

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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-13 Thread Kevin B. O'Brien
Dan M wrote:
   
 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of Olin Elliott
 Sent: Thursday, December 11, 2008 7:05 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: What is wealth?

 Wealth can be defined in evolutionary terms.  Whatever enhances your
 health, your security, your status or your power in the group is wealth.
 In other words -- in a state of nature -- anything the possession of which
 improves your reproductive fitness.  That is the ultimate basis of the
 concept of wealth, and all our elaborations and abstractions don't change
 that much.
 

 What about the facts, would they change things much? :-)

 I think there is some viability in the sociobiological argument that wealth
 increases the attractiveness of men as mates.  But, if you look at the
 selfish gene as an embodiment of sociobiology, you see that wealth has had
 a paradoxical effect.

 Look at the wealthiest countries in the world.  With the exception of the
 US, they have fertility rates below replacement, some (like Japan, Germany
 and Italy) far below replacement.

 The countries with high fertility rates tend to be poorer.  Thus, wealth is
 anti-correlated with the probability a person's gene marker will be seen in
 a given member of the Nth generation after one's own (which is a standard
 measure of sociobiological fitness).
   
I tend to think that is a pretty simple manifestation of the Demographic 
Transition. Children are a net asset in poorer countries (they can be 
put to work, can support you in old age, etc.). In richer economies, 
children are a luxury good that cost you a lot and deliver no economic 
return, hence you will tend to have fewer of them.

Regards,

-- 
Kevin B. O'Brien TANSTAAFL
zwil...@zwilnik.com  Linux User #333216

The truth that survives is simply the lie that is pleasantest to 
believe. - H.L. Mencken
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RE: What is wealth?

2008-12-13 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of David Hobby
 Sent: Friday, December 12, 2008 6:52 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: What is wealth?
 
 Dan M wrote:
 
 ...
  Look at the wealthiest countries in the world.  With the exception of
 the
  US, they have fertility rates below replacement, some (like Japan,
 Germany
  and Italy) far below replacement.
 
  The countries with high fertility rates tend to be poorer.  Thus, wealth
 is
  anti-correlated with the probability a person's gene marker will be seen
 in
  a given member of the Nth generation after one's own (which is a
 standard
  measure of sociobiological fitness).
 ...
 
 Dan--  Sad to say, that remains to be seen.  Once
 wealth has been equalized across the world, then
 it's reasonable to count numbers of descendants.

Its true that its impossible to predict the future, but we've had 50 years
of trends, and that's worth something.  IIRC, baring some technological
breakthrough that will allow folks to live far longer fairly soon, the die
is cast for the decline of Europe and Japan.  Take Japan as an extreme
example.

It's somewhat unusual in that it has a double population peak in 2008.  The
first on is 55-59, the second 35-39.  30-35 is close to 35-39, but then it
drops off fast, ending up with 0-4 only half of 35-39.

There are a lot of reasons for this, but the bottom line is that the
overwhelming majority of females are either out of or leaving the age range
of fertility. (65% are 35 or older).  As a result, baring a drastic
immediate cultural change, the aging and then decline of Japan's population
is all but written in stone.  

The EU as a whole is not as dramatic, but it should expect to see a 20% or
so decline in population every year.  So, it would take a massive change in
attitude to reverse this.  The single shining counterexample to all of this
is the US, which I'd argue is a unique multicultural country.

Second, mass disease/starvation still exists, but it's mostly in Africa. The
largest two countries (China and India) have done a great job of 
pulling themselves out of abject poverty over the last 20 years.  China has
gone from a per capita income (inflation adjusted dollars) of $1700 to $7600
over that time.  That's not rich, but factors of almost 5 are nothing to be
sneezed at.  India has not done as well: $1100 to $3700, but that's still
better than a factor of 3.  

I remember (maybe you are too young to) the massive starvation in India in
the '60s.  Now, there is still extreme poverty there, but there is not the
same risk to human life.

So, we are within a decade of this type of drastic drop in poor country
populations being confined to Sub-Sahara Africa.  Fertility rates are
falling around the world, but nowhere so drastic (besides Russia which is
falling out of the developed world) as in the highly developed world outside
of the US.

A couple of caveats, to be sure.  Still, summary info can be made from data.
The world will be far less Japanese and European in 100 years than it is
today.  And it is far less Japanese and European today than it was 100 years
ago.

Finally, are you thinking about a possible/probable collapse of
civilization?  That's one possibility that I had not addressed here.

Dan M.


 If the poorer countries wind up with huge population
 crashes on the way to global equality, then having
 fewer children who were better off financially
 may turn out to have been a good reproductive
 strategy.  : (

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RE: What is wealth?

2008-12-13 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of Kevin B. O'Brien
 Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2008 9:00 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: What is wealth?
 
  The countries with high fertility rates tend to be poorer.  Thus, wealth
 is
  anti-correlated with the probability a person's gene marker will be seen
 in
  a given member of the Nth generation after one's own (which is a
 standard
  measure of sociobiological fitness).
 
 I tend to think that is a pretty simple manifestation of the Demographic
 Transition. Children are a net asset in poorer countries (they can be
 put to work, can support you in old age, etc.). In richer economies,
 children are a luxury good that cost you a lot and deliver no economic
 return, hence you will tend to have fewer of them.

You know, if you took this and the first statement of yours I responded to
as axioms, you could probably put together a system in which both A and ~A
are both provable statements.  (This was considered a big negative when I
took math and logic). :-)

So, I think you have to pick one of the two statements you made and reject
the other.  Or, say that both have some impact, but are not nearly as
universal as you've portrayed.

Indeed, while I think the latter statement has some truth, the data don't
really fit it as a sole explanation.  Russia's birth rate fell as its
economic conditions fell.  There were far fewer births in the Great
Depression as there were in the post WWII prosperity.  The US has a far
higher birth rate among college educated women than Japan does.  

My suggestion is that sociobiology is a viewpoint to be used, among others,
and that it is not a simple explanation.  But, unlike others on the list, I
do think partial understandings can be helpful. 

Dan M. 






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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-13 Thread Kevin B. O'Brien
Dan M wrote:
   
 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of Kevin B. O'Brien
 Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2008 9:00 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: What is wealth?

 
 The countries with high fertility rates tend to be poorer.  Thus, wealth
   
 is
 
 anti-correlated with the probability a person's gene marker will be seen
   
 in
 
 a given member of the Nth generation after one's own (which is a
   
 standard
 
 measure of sociobiological fitness).

   
 I tend to think that is a pretty simple manifestation of the Demographic
 Transition. Children are a net asset in poorer countries (they can be
 put to work, can support you in old age, etc.). In richer economies,
 children are a luxury good that cost you a lot and deliver no economic
 return, hence you will tend to have fewer of them.
 

 You know, if you took this and the first statement of yours I responded to
 as axioms, you could probably put together a system in which both A and ~A
 are both provable statements.  (This was considered a big negative when I
 took math and logic). :-)

 So, I think you have to pick one of the two statements you made and reject
 the other.  Or, say that both have some impact, but are not nearly as
 universal as you've portrayed.

 Indeed, while I think the latter statement has some truth, the data don't
 really fit it as a sole explanation.  Russia's birth rate fell as its
 economic conditions fell.  There were far fewer births in the Great
 Depression as there were in the post WWII prosperity.  The US has a far
 higher birth rate among college educated women than Japan does.  

 My suggestion is that sociobiology is a viewpoint to be used, among others,
 and that it is not a simple explanation.  But, unlike others on the list, I
 do think partial understandings can be helpful. 
   
I don't think this is contradictory at all. When a wealthy country 
undergoes a temporary economic change, does it change the social 
expectations and norms? I don't think so. That would require prolonged 
long-term change. So during the Depression, you did not see people 
suddenly sending their kids out to work in the factories, etc. Now, if 
you were to make a permanent change in the American economy that 
reduced us to a standard of living typical of a peasant economy, that 
would probably result in eventual change in our social structure and 
expectations. But I would expect that to take a few generations at the 
very least. And as far as I know, there has not been an example of any 
country actually running the demographic transition in reverse.

The examples you cite are perfectly consistent with a society that views 
children as a luxury good. One ought to find that the consumption of 
luxury goods goes down during economic downturns. The fallacy here is 
that you are confusing long-term and short-term effects. The Demographic 
Transition is a model of a long-term shift in social norms about 
children under the influence of rising incomes as economies develop. 
When applied cross-sectionally to countries at different stages of 
development, it matches up pretty well with the data. You are trying to 
falsify it by applying the model to short-term fluctuations in economies 
with relatively fixed social norms, which the model was never intended 
to explain in the first place. Normal economic theory is quite 
sufficient there. (As a side note, short-term fluctuations are what 
standard economic theories handle best. Supply and demand really do work 
pretty well in the day to day stuff. It is when you get to questions of 
long-term growth and development that things get a little murkier.)

The change process is gradual in the other direction as well. When a 
poorer economy begins to develop, the death rate falls due to better 
nutrition, better health care, etc. but the birth rate does not, 
immediately, fall at all. That is one of the reasons for exploding 
populations in other parts of the world. It usually takes several 
generations for people's behavior to adjust, and then the birth rate 
starts to fall. So you can have equilibrium, roughly, at either a low 
income level, with high birth rates and high death rates, or at high 
income level, with low birth rates and low death rates. During the 
transition between these equilibria, you get exploding populations.

Now, I want to make clear that I am not primarily a demographer, so 
there may well be more recent research on this topic. But when I was in 
graduate school, the data seemed pretty consistent with this model, and 
it was generally accepted among economic demographers. I was exposed to 
it primarily by my interest in development economics.

Regards,

-- 
Kevin B. O'Brien TANSTAAFL
zwil...@zwilnik.com  Linux User #333216

Lawyers are the only persons in whom ignorance of the law is not 
punished. -- Jeremy Bentham

Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-13 Thread hkhenson
There are two authors who have a decent handle on historical 
wealth.  Azar Gat is one of them,

http://cniss.wustl.edu/workshoppapers/gatpres1.pdf

Gregory Clark is the other,

one  http://www.econ.ucdavis.edu/faculty/gclark/papers/Capitalism%20Genes.pdf

If you prefer hearing to reading, try
here:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mYspzYiX_kg

Keith Henson

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RE: What is wealth?

2008-12-12 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of David Hobby
 Sent: Wednesday, December 10, 2008 9:22 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: What is wealth?
 
 Dan M wrote:
  After the discussion about money as a social construct, it occurred to
 me
  that that there is something more fundamental underlying this.  It is
  whether wealth is concrete or just an abstract concept.
 
 Dan--
 
 O.K., let me try.  There is such a thing as concrete wealth.
 Wealth lets an individual do things that they want to do.  So
 a person's individual wealth would be roughly defined relative
 to some standard as the ratio of the utility of what they can
 do to what they could do in the standard state.

I think this is closest to what I think.  But, I think that this is a
fundamental and difficult enough concept to start slowly with some obvious
examples.

First, I was think of and will focus on the wealth of nations, communities,
the world, more than individual wealth.  

Second, I see two layers of wealth, the first being more obvious than the
second.  I'd define wealth in terms of resources, first the resources that
people absolutely need, and second, the resources that people want, but can
do without.

For the first, I'd argue for food, clothing, and shelter.  I was thinking of
medical care, but (for all practical purposes) doctors contributed minimally
to the prolonging of life before the advent of modern, science based
medicine.  They could, for example, do virtually nothing in the face of the
Black Plague.

So, historically, a richer nation would have vast areas of fertile farmland
that could be harvested year after year to provide food for people.  That
wealth could be stolen by force, but absent of that, the wealth existed
there.  So, Italy was far wealthier than a corresponding area in Siberia,
because far more food could be grown.

Second, and this is near to my heart...but I don't see it as inherently a
bias, wealth is a function of knowledge and ability.  The combination of the
horse collar and three crop rotation tremendously increased the fundamental
wealth of Europe.

Why?  The horse collar did because one horse could replace two oxen to plow
land.  Thus, the amount of food needed to be spent on feeding the plow
animal decreased by more than a factor of two.  This wealth, in food, was a
true increase.  With the same conditions, the same weather, there was far
more food for people to eat.

As a result, a given plot of land could support more human life.  Since it
didn't take more effort to use the horse than the pair of oxen (probably
less), human labor was available for other endeavors.  Craftsmen could
exist, trading their wares for the surplus food.  The nature and
distribution of these wares is a subject unto itself, and the desirability
of the output of this craft vs. that craft (particularly when aesthetics are
involved) is somewhat arbitrary.  But, the availability of human effort
expended in something other than subsistence farming is not subjective; it
can be objectively measured.

Three crop rotation also increased wealth.  In a sense, it is one of the
purest forms of intellectual property, because that idea was a multiplier
for the worth of the land.  Far more food could be grown over decades using
this technique than the older technique.  This, the idea itself is seen as a
significant contribution to wealth.

I'll stop here for, hopefully, comments.  

Dan M. 

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RE: What is wealth?

2008-12-12 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of Olin Elliott
 Sent: Thursday, December 11, 2008 7:05 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: What is wealth?
 
 Wealth can be defined in evolutionary terms.  Whatever enhances your
 health, your security, your status or your power in the group is wealth.
 In other words -- in a state of nature -- anything the possession of which
 improves your reproductive fitness.  That is the ultimate basis of the
 concept of wealth, and all our elaborations and abstractions don't change
 that much.

What about the facts, would they change things much? :-)

I think there is some viability in the sociobiological argument that wealth
increases the attractiveness of men as mates.  But, if you look at the
selfish gene as an embodiment of sociobiology, you see that wealth has had
a paradoxical effect.

Look at the wealthiest countries in the world.  With the exception of the
US, they have fertility rates below replacement, some (like Japan, Germany
and Italy) far below replacement.

The countries with high fertility rates tend to be poorer.  Thus, wealth is
anti-correlated with the probability a person's gene marker will be seen in
a given member of the Nth generation after one's own (which is a standard
measure of sociobiological fitness).

Dan M.

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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-12 Thread Dave Land
On Dec 12, 2008, at 3:15 PM, Dan M wrote:

 I think there is some viability in the sociobiological argument that  
 wealth
 increases the attractiveness of men as mates.  But, if you look at  
 the
 selfish gene as an embodiment of sociobiology, you see that wealth  
 has had
 a paradoxical effect.

 Look at the wealthiest countries in the world.  With the exception  
 of the
 US, they have fertility rates below replacement, some (like Japan,  
 Germany
 and Italy) far below replacement.

 The countries with high fertility rates tend to be poorer.  Thus,  
 wealth is
 anti-correlated with the probability a person's gene marker will be  
 seen in
 a given member of the Nth generation after one's own (which is a  
 standard
 measure of sociobiological fitness).

In short, affluenza affects reproduction.

Dave


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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-12 Thread David Hobby
Dan M wrote:
 
...
 Look at the wealthiest countries in the world.  With the exception of the
 US, they have fertility rates below replacement, some (like Japan, Germany
 and Italy) far below replacement.
 
 The countries with high fertility rates tend to be poorer.  Thus, wealth is
 anti-correlated with the probability a person's gene marker will be seen in
 a given member of the Nth generation after one's own (which is a standard
 measure of sociobiological fitness).
...

Dan--  Sad to say, that remains to be seen.  Once
wealth has been equalized across the world, then
it's reasonable to count numbers of descendants.
If the poorer countries wind up with huge population
crashes on the way to global equality, then having
fewer children who were better off financially
may turn out to have been a good reproductive
strategy.  : (

---David

A Modest Proposal
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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-12 Thread David Hobby
Dan M wrote:
...
 O.K., let me try.  There is such a thing as concrete wealth.
 Wealth lets an individual do things that they want to do.  So
 a person's individual wealth would be roughly defined relative
 to some standard as the ratio of the utility of what they can
 do to what they could do in the standard state.
 
 I think this is closest to what I think.  But, I think that this is a
 fundamental and difficult enough concept to start slowly with some obvious
 examples.
 
 First, I was think of and will focus on the wealth of nations, communities,
 the world, more than individual wealth.  
...
 So, historically, a richer nation would have vast areas of fertile farmland
 that could be harvested year after year to provide food for people.  That
 wealth could be stolen by force, but absent of that, the wealth existed
 there.  So, Italy was far wealthier than a corresponding area in Siberia,
 because far more food could be grown.
...
 involved) is somewhat arbitrary.  But, the availability of human effort
 expended in something other than subsistence farming is not subjective; it
 can be objectively measured.
...

Dan--

O.K., you agreed mostly agreed with me, and I
mostly agree with you.  Some of it is a matter
of interpretation:  We're both taking the usual
meaning of wealth, and trying to clarify it.

I had planned to get the total wealth of a
country but adding up the individual wealth
of its inhabitants (and of its institutions,
too?).  So starting with individual wealth
made sense to me.  Do you think that the wealth
of a (inhabited) country would be different
than the sum of the wealths of its inhabitants?

I think that a country that has more than enough
food for its people may be wealthier than a country
where everybody has just enough.  Even if they
can produce the same total amount of food.  Sure,
people can be a source of a country's wealth.  But
starving peasants may not be worth that much, wealth-wise.
So there's more to it then just food production?

Unless you want to define free wealth and
bound wealth.  The free wealth of a land of
starving peasants may be almost zero.  Most of
it being bound up in maintaining the large number
of inhabitants.  A suitable plague could release
the bound wealth of the country by reducing the
population.

---David

The Dismal Science, Maru
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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-11 Thread Nick Arnett
Wealth is making $100 more than your wife's sister's husband, according to
H.L. Mencken.  I think he's on to something there.

To me, the basic definition is that it is a measure of well-being.  It has
many dimensions.

Nick
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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-11 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 12:01 PM Thursday 12/11/2008, Nick Arnett wrote:
Wealth is making $100 more than your wife's sister's husband, according to
H.L. Mencken.



I think others have suggested that it's making more than your wife 
can spend . . .


Don't Shoot The Messenger Maru


. . . ronn!  :)



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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-11 Thread Medievalbk
Unimaginable wealth is a child finding a real 
silver dollar.
 
Actual wealth is never picking up a dropped quarter.
 
Financial stability is looking at the dime as you think 
of your two choices.
 
Absolute poverty is remembering where the hole
in your trousers is as you bend at the knees to pick
up that penny.
 
Vilyehm
**Make your life easier with all your friends, email, and 
favorite sites in one place.  Try it now. 
(http://www.aol.com/?optin=new-dpicid=aolcom40vanityncid=emlcntaolcom0010)
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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-11 Thread Olin Elliott
Wealth can be defined in evolutionary terms.  Whatever enhances your health, 
your security, your status or your power in the group is wealth.  In other 
words -- in a state of nature -- anything the possession of which improves your 
reproductive fitness.  That is the ultimate basis of the concept of wealth, and 
all our elaborations and abstractions don't change that much.

Olin
  - Original Message - 
  From: Ronn! Blankenshipmailto:ronn_blankens...@bellsouth.net 
  To: Killer Bs Discussionmailto:brin-l@mccmedia.com 
  Sent: 12/11/2008 3:58 PM
  Subject: Re: What is wealth?


  At 12:01 PM Thursday 12/11/2008, Nick Arnett wrote:
  Wealth is making $100 more than your wife's sister's husband, according to
  H.L. Mencken.



  I think others have suggested that it's making more than your wife 
  can spend . . .


  Don't Shoot The Messenger Maru


  . . . ronn!  :)



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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-11 Thread Kevin B. O'Brien
Dan M wrote:
 After the discussion about money as a social construct, it occurred to me
 that that there is something more fundamental underlying this.  It is
 whether wealth is concrete or just an abstract concept.  

 One way to ask it is whether the world is actually wealthier than it was 100
 years ago; whether the US is?  A second is to ask who creates wealth and how
 do they create it?  I have some strong opinions on this, but I hoped that I
 could stimulate a discussion by first throwing out the questions before I
 weigh in with my long winded thoughts. :-)
   
Wealth is a stock variable. The related flow variable is income. The 
relationship in general is that income that is not consumed constitutes 
an addition to wealth.

Regards,

-- 
Kevin B. O'Brien TANSTAAFL
zwil...@zwilnik.com  Linux User #333216

Q. What do you get when you cross a Mafioso and a deconstructionist? | 
A. Someone who makes you an offer you can't understand.
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Re: What is wealth?

2008-12-10 Thread David Hobby
Dan M wrote:
 After the discussion about money as a social construct, it occurred to me
 that that there is something more fundamental underlying this.  It is
 whether wealth is concrete or just an abstract concept.  

Dan--

O.K., let me try.  There is such a thing as concrete wealth.
Wealth lets an individual do things that they want to do.  So
a person's individual wealth would be roughly defined relative
to some standard as the ratio of the utility of what they can
do to what they could do in the standard state.

Very crudely put, wealth equals relative happiness, but I didn't
say that.

I can fly to New Zealand, so I'm wealthier than I would have
been 500 years ago.  Although there are no moa there now, which
I'd count as a loss of wealth.

 One way to ask it is whether the world is actually wealthier than it was 100
 years ago; whether the US is?  A second is to ask who creates wealth and how
 do they create it?  I have some strong opinions on this, but I hoped that I
 could stimulate a discussion by first throwing out the questions before I
 weigh in with my long winded thoughts. :-)

So by my definition, most people would agree that the world
and particularly the US is wealthier than it was 100 years
ago.  A lot of wealth creation is caused by invention and
the development of those inventions.  So even the lowly
consumer contributes to the creation of wealth?

---David

Mining gold, however, does not create much wealth.  Most
people only want gold because everybody else does.  Even
if we all had large piles in our front yards, we wouldn't
be able to do much more because we had it.
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