Re: [geo] Visiting lecturer discusses moral quandaries in geoengineering | The Lawrentian

2014-02-22 Thread Tom Wigley
Interestingly, one could equally well replace SRM with mitigation in the paragraph below starting The main ethical Tom. ++ On 2/22/2014 10:57 AM, Bjørnar Egede-Nissen wrote: Well, the brief description in the Lawrentian leaves out much. I certainly mentioned the

Re: [geo] TERRA FUTURA 2013: INTERVIEW WITH VANDANA SHIVA ABOUT GEOENGINEERING | NoGeoingegneria

2013-10-30 Thread Tom Wigley
*From:* Tom Wigley wig...@ucar.edu *To:* geoengineering@googlegroups.com *Sent:* Wednesday, October 30, 2013 12:19 AM *Subject:* Re: [geo] TERRA FUTURA 2013: INTERVIEW WITH VANDANA SHIVA ABOUT GEOENGINEERING | NoGeoingegneria Dear

Re: [geo] TERRA FUTURA 2013: INTERVIEW WITH VANDANA SHIVA ABOUT GEOENGINEERING | NoGeoingegneria

2013-10-28 Thread Tom Wigley
Folks, I'd never heard of Vandana Shiva before this. I was intrigued by the statement in her biosketch that she had published 300 papers in leading scientific and technical journals. No matter what else she has done, she certainly does not have much of a record as a bona fide scientist, at

Re: ~3 km deep RE: [geo] Re: Neg C - One-Stop Carbon Solution improved-implemented, SciAm article

2013-10-26 Thread Tom Wigley
I've not seen this mentioned anywhere, but CH4 leakage can be identified with C13. The HCO3-CH4 fractionation is, from memory, about 80 per mil, so even a small CH4 leakage will affect the carbonate C13 noticeably. And measuring C13 in dissolved carbonate is trivial. I did some work on this in

Re: [geo] Re: Offtopic : Did IPCC 'Lowball' Sea Level Rise And Climate Sensitivity? | ThinkProgress

2013-09-20 Thread Tom Wigley
Did IPCC lowball the climate sensitivity? Short answer ... yes. Why? ... long story. But not a happy one. Tom. ++ On 9/18/2013 9:45 PM, Rick Stevens wrote: Another Factor that i've realized of late is the number and size of wildfires. The fires themselves have a most likely

Re: [geo] Linking solar geoengineering and emissions reduction

2013-09-11 Thread Tom Wigley
Ken's idea seems to require going from a current/projected growth CO2 emissions rate of 0.1-0.2 GtC/yr per year to zero virtually instantaneously. I cannot see how this could be possible. My own combined mitigation/geoengineering scenarios, presented many times in lectures, assume more gradual

Re: [geo] Re: Reply to Ken Caldeira

2013-06-01 Thread Tom Wigley
Clive's problem is that he seems to think Haroon and Lee are foxes. And that anyone associated in any way with organizations like AEI and Exxon must be a fox. And that anyone who doesn't realize this must be naive. He's wrong. Tom. ++ On 6/1/2013 6:05 AM,

Re: [geo] Carbon dioxide hits a new high, but geo-engineering won’t help - Steve Sherwood

2013-05-11 Thread Tom Wigley
Exactly. People seem to have already forgotten the following ... Wigley, T.M.L., 2006: A combined mitigation/geoengineering approach to climate stabilization. Science 314, 452–454. Tom. On 5/11/2013 7:26 AM, Emily L-B wrote: I find it hard to read past a sentence

Re: [geo] Non-linearity of climate sensitivity

2012-02-27 Thread Tom Wigley
A few years ago Tim Palmer wrote a nice paper showing that the Lorenz chaos ideas probably do not apply to climate. Sorry - but I can't recall the reference. Somewhere obscure. Tom. +++ On 2/27/2012 10:22 AM, Mike MacCracken wrote: Hi Jim—I’ll certainly agree climate can be

Re: [geo] Re: Non-linearity of climate sensitivity

2012-02-21 Thread Tom Wigley
going from 300 to 600 ppm is the same as going from 600 to 1200 ppm. Thus, the forcing due to the rising CO2 concentration does decrease on a per ppm basis. However, forcing is not sensitivity, and like Tom Wigley, I recall papers that have done a good bit of testing of plausible changes

Re: [geo] Non-linearity of climate sensitivity

2012-02-20 Thread Tom Wigley
Sensitivity is the equilibrium change in global-mean temperature per unit of radiative forcing. Linearity has been demonstrated up to much higher forcings than will ever be reached by even the most pessimistic scenarios. Early IPCC reports might cover this. I recall work by Kiehl on this back

Re: [geo] Nipping at the edges of the CO2 problem

2012-01-26 Thread Tom Wigley
Alan, Just to clarify for everyone, what you are criticizing is not Greg, nor the Shindell paper, but the quote from Roger Pielke Jr. Tom. + On 1/26/2012 11:06 AM, Alan Robock wrote: Dear Greg, This is patently absurd. If it were true there would be no mileage

Re: [geo] Clive Hamilton on Geoengineering

2011-11-17 Thread Tom Wigley
Dear all, In arguments like those of Clive Hamilton there is the unstated assumption that it is better to solve a problem at its source than to offset (cure) the consequences. Personally, I agree with this -- but I do not think it is **a priori** correct. In fact, in other areas there are

Re: [geo] Re: Monbiot Claims SAI already tested ... with catastrophic results

2011-09-30 Thread Tom Wigley
It's a long time since I did anything in this field, so this is some ad hoc thinking. Soil PCO2 is much higher than in the atmosphere. An old paper on this is ... Drake, J.J. and Wigley, T.M.L., 1975: The effect of climate on the chemistry of carbonate groundwater. Water Resources Research

Re: [geo] Re: Monbiot Claims SAI already tested ... with catastrophic results

2011-09-28 Thread Tom Wigley
Regardless of possible inhibiters, I think that kinetic limitations make this an unlikely possibility. See ... Plummer, L.N. and Wigley, T.M.L., 1976: The dissolution of calcite in CO2-saturated solutions at 25°C and 1 atmosphere total pressure. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 40, 191–202.

Re: [geo] oxford talk 27th Jun 2011 4:00pm-5:30pm

2011-06-20 Thread Tom Wigley
Dear all, There are some excellent works on climate ethics. Here are two that I enjoyed ... The Ethics of Climate Change, James Garvey, Continuum International Publishing Group, London, 2008. One World, The Ethics of Globalization, Peter Singer, Yale University Press, New Haven, 2004 (2nd

Re: [geo] SEA ICE LOSS STUNS SCIENTISTS - open letter to John Holdren

2010-07-12 Thread Tom Wigley
John, You say ... we can expect permafrost to release large quantities of methane, from as early as 2011 onwards, which will lead inexorably to runaway greenhouse warming and abrupt climate change. This is guesswork, not science. I do not want to sign this letter. Tom. +

Re: [geo] One of the leaked emails...

2009-11-24 Thread Tom Wigley
I'm not sure who is saying what here -- but Phil's actions are blameless. One needs to know the full story. Tom. +++ David Schnare wrote: It is called satire Manu, and it is a sad effort to get past what even Monbiot has to admit, which he does in the opening paragraphs of

[geo] Re: I am Planning A New Geoengineering Foundation

2009-10-12 Thread Tom Wigley
The emphasis will be on geo-engineering as opposed to climactic research and ecology. CLIMACTIC RESEARCH WOW. Tom. Ken Caldeira wrote: ... and I was hoping I could ask you for money !! On Sun, Oct 11, 2009 at 10:19 PM, VNBC INC pro...@worldnet.att.net

[geo] Re: on monsoons and warming

2009-09-08 Thread Tom Wigley
While Alan Robock is right re the best analog, this does not mean it is a good analog (because of timescale differences). This is an unresolved issue -- and some of the studies that have begun to address this issue are of very limited value because the GCMs used are very poor at simulating the

[geo] Re: [clim] Yet another positive feedback

2009-07-26 Thread Tom Wigley
The real issue is the total magnitude of feedbacks, as characterized by (e.g.) the equilibrium global-mean warming for 2xCO2 (DT2x). The breakdown of the feedbacks is not directly relevant to this -- although it is of interest in model validation. This paper tells us nothing about DT2x or its

[geo] Re: WSJ - Op-Ed on Global Warming Skepticism

2009-07-02 Thread Tom Wigley
of others as well. It takes time (and time away from real research) and is frustrating at times, but simply has to be done. I am very surprised that there was now a response trying to address the concerns (especially with Tom Wigley and Barrie Pittock being in Australia and being real slayers

[geo] Re: Post on geoengineering - do not keep attacking Hansen or others who disagree you

2009-03-30 Thread Tom Wigley
You can use MAGICC to see what will happen if emissions of CO2 (or any gas) are reduced to zero (or any level) instantaneously (or over any other time period). Just copy one of the emissions files, rename it, and edit it to your chosen scenario. MAGICC also allows uncertainties to be explored.

[geo] Re: CROPS paper So, lets go boys for the old gravel pits and seasides...

2009-02-04 Thread Tom Wigley
Isn't the forestry industry already doing this -- except they are storing the carbon in buildings, paper, etc. They make money out of this -- so who would pay them to chop down trees and simply dump them? Tom. +++== Albert Kallio wrote: In the long run, I think the

[geo] Re: Geoengineering. An Unacceptable Practice

2008-09-29 Thread Tom Wigley
John, Very interesting. If the Londonites think they can withstand a 2 m. sea level rise by 2100, then one can see how they might have the opinion that geoengineering was (for them) an unnecessary practice, rather than a dismissive unacceptable practice. Unfortunately, if sea level did rise by