the position of Nassim Nicholas Taleb
is that history is written (not rewritten) by the losers, the academics,
because they own the books of history.
This is why in most official history the role of theory is very overstated,
that the initial discoverers who observed anomalies without the least
On Mon, Jun 2, 2014 at 10:18 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:
The difference between a visionary and a crackpot is that the
visionary turns out to be right...
Given, otherwise, he would simply be another crackpot.
In a bit of historical retrospective, last evening I watched a fabulous bit
of history about the beautiful aftermath of treachery ... at least that is
one way to describe the Silicon Valley, the American Experience a film by
Randall MacLowry of WGBH Boston.
There are parallels to LENR which are
Jones, even if you just coined the term Hydrogen Valley it has the ring of
inevitability too it and we are probably witnessing it's birth. I would not be
surprised if the breakthrough occurs in a rogue state or 3rd world nation where
human life and safety precautions are discarded like the
One basic of Taleb philosophy is that knowing what will be good or bad,
innovation or crackpots, is often not possible.
Another is that if you have skin in the game, will pay your faults, you
will instinctively better use the information you have.
this is one basic idea to prefer entrepreneurs
From: Roarty, Francis X
Jones, even if you just coined the term Hydrogen Valley it has the ring of
inevitability too it and we are probably witnessing it's birth. I would not
be surprised if the breakthrough occurs in a rogue state or 3rd world nation
I agree. China is probably the best
Alain Sepeda alain.sep...@gmail.com wrote:
One basic of Taleb philosophy is that knowing what will be good or bad,
innovation or crackpots, is often not possible.
I was not impressed by Taleb's book The Black Swan. I disagreed with most
of the examples of things that he claimed were not
Whenever you see some idiot standing on a bully pulpit in media, government
and/or academia and saying Who could have foreseen? You can bet someone
did foresee it and not just because a broken clock is right twice a day.
On Tue, Jun 3, 2014 at 2:58 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:
I have no data on LENR in Indonesia, but is someone is serious about there,
my dear lobbyist have a network bigger than my company intranet.
However to start we need some public recognition, and then a process that
respect local culture... ;-)
They planned some fission reactor, but population
One point where you probably agree is that many blackswan were in fact
ignored voluntarily, like cold fusion is.
From the point of view of mainstream many things were unpredictable, yet
some like Roubini predicted them in detail.*
I din not read the blackswan, but antifragile.
and this author is
The folks up north are apparently a bit peeved over being slimed by their
local media:
http://www.e-catworld.com/2014/06/03/swedish-e-cat-testers-issue-statement/
I can imagine that it's a bit unpleasant to find your reputation being trashed
in this manner by your government-sponsored
This is a good statement.
Yes, I do get a sense this wording means the results are probably positive.
If the results were negative, I suppose they would say something like:
although our initial results were positive, we could not confirm them.
Why say that now? Because it would get them off the
I wrote:
Another reason to think the results are positive is that it is taking all
this time. The researchers would have cut short the tests long ago and
published.
I meant that if there were no excess heat, they would have cut short the
tests after a few weeks. I suppose.
Several groups
James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:
Whenever you see some idiot standing on a bully pulpit in media, government
and/or academia and saying Who could have foreseen? You can bet someone
did foresee it and not just because a broken clock is right twice a day.
Yes, indeed.
The Three Mile
Comment on Steve High,
You know I am one of the folks up north although in California since many
years.
Like many others you think that a government owned radio network is
different than one owned by advertisement.
Well, they both have their advantages. Unfortunately the freedom of speech
in my
On Tue, Jun 3, 2014 at 7:49 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:
James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:
Whenever you see some idiot standing on a bully pulpit in media,
government and/or academia and saying Who could have foreseen? You can
bet someone did foresee it and not just
Hi all
NyTeknik have put out a report hinting at a successful Third party test of the
E-Cat.
http://www.nyteknik.se/asikter/debatt/article3830568.ece
Use Google translate or babelfish or some such.
Kind regards walker
I don't know why they replied. Since (as Jed pointed out) they ran
the test for the full duration it was most likely positive.
The only reason I can think of is that the Swedish coverage might
influence journal editors, but I think a solid paper and a cover
letter would serve the same
At 07:10 PM 6/3/2014, you wrote:
Hi all
NyTeknik have put out a report hinting at a successful Third party test
of the E-Cat.
http://www.nyteknik.se/asikter/debatt/article3830568.ece
That's just the Swedish team's response - but it's good that
Mats' editors are still with it.
As I just posted
On Tue, Jun 3, 2014 at 1:42 PM, Alain Sepeda alain.sep...@gmail.com wrote:
be sure all the people will consider cold fusion as a black swan event,
while it is predictable in principle since 1990, and more or less planned
since 2010.
I think the spread of cold fusion will be a black swan
I know this is off topic, but I thought it might be interesting to some
of you. It's a unique Bitcoin transaction of which I had never
considered. It demonstrates some of the power that Bitcoin may bring to
people.
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