I Had a freind who wouldnt believe this no matter how often I explained the 
maths to him so he set up spreadsheet to test it out.  Very easy to do and 
confirmed what the maths tells you - you should switch!

Duncan
----- Original Message ----- 
From: "aznseashell" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Sunday, December 25, 2005 7:04 AM
Subject: [Speed cubing group] Re: (Off topic)3 doors...


Haven't we had this dicussion before? Or was it in another cubing group?

The game is set up so that if you switch, a winning choice would
become a losing choice and vice versa. In the beginning you had a 1/3
chance of winning and 2/3 chance of losing. Staying with your choice
doesn't change your odds of winning (the host will always be able to
show you a door with nothing behind it no matter which door you
picked), but switching will turn your probabability of winning to 2/3.

If my explanation makes no sense, consider the situation with 100
doors and one door with a prize. You pick a door, and the host shows
you 98 doors with nothing behind them. Now it's much more obvious that
you should switch, right?

Shelley


--- In [email protected], "richy_jr_2000"
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> It is counter intuitive, but if you are in this situation, your
> chances would be better to switch to the other door.  It's actually
> quite interesting.
>
> -Richard
>
> --- In [email protected], Pedro
> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >
> > Ok, this is off topic, but is interesting...
> >
> >   (please forgive if I make some mistake on the english...)
> >   Suppose you are at a TV show, where you have 3 doors. 1 of the
> doors has a car, and the other 2 don't have anything. So, the show
> presenter asks you to choose a door. So, you choose, but he doesn't
> open your choosen door. He opens an empty door. Then, he makes a
> question: do you want to continue with your first choice or change to
> the other door?
> >
> >   What do you do?
> >   What situation gives you more chances of winning?
> >
> >   Think about it...
> >
> >   Pedro
> >
> >
> > ---------------------------------
> >  Yahoo! doce lar. Faça do Yahoo! sua homepage.
> >
> > [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
> >
>








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