??
   
  Pedro

"Chris Sz..." <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> escreveu:
  In case you still don't believe us - try it for yourself!
http://tinyurl.com/9rmy2

--Chris
Merry X-mas!

--- In [email protected], Pedro <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:
>
> Yeah, most of you are right. The chance of winning is 2/3 if you
switch the door. It looks strange at first, but it's not. See:
>    
>   On your firts choice, you have 1/3 of chance of winning, and 2/3
of losing. The host *just* can open an empty door. So, suppose you
choose door A or 1. Each door has 1/3 of chance of containing the
prize. So, your door has 1/3, and the other 2, together, have 2/3 of
chance. So, if the host opens an empty door, the 2/3 probability is
now on the other door (the one you didn't choose.) So, you'll win more
times if you switch the door. Pay atention, you will *NOT ALWAYS WIN*.
You'll just win more times than if you continue with your first choice.
>    
>   Pedro
> 








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