Will you agree to play the game against me?

Tyson Mao
MSC #631
California Institute of Technology

On Dec 28, 2005, at 3:56 PM, d_j_salvia wrote:

> Hi Tyson,
>
> --- In [email protected], Tyson Mao <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> wrote:
>>
>> Time difference?  So if I understand you correctly, humans have a
>> certain ESP which is also depended on the time variation in the
>> decisions?
>
> No. If the computer takes longer to ask you if you want to switch
> after you chose correctly this could be perceived, consciously or
> unconsciously, and affect your choice.
>
>> So far, the latest arguments have all been that humans are able to
>> influence things that are random and have an ability to get the 
>> 'right'
>> answer when they don't know any information regarding the answer at
>> all.
>
> Can you produce an honest refutation of the Rhine experiments?
>
> You seem to guarantee that everyone will be wrong 2/3rds of the time.
> There is no guarantee.
>
>> However, can you agree that a computer playing the game will win
>> 2/3 of the time if the computer switches the door every time?
>
> I think it's possible.
> Are you using the same "random number" generator for both sides of the
> game? They could accidently line up and the computer contestent could
> choose correctly 100% of the time, and switching 100% of the time it
> would lose 100% of the time.
>
> I'm curious, what percentage of the time will the game be won if the
> computer contestant switches it's choice 2/3s of the time?
>
> Cheers,
>
> David J
>
>> Tyson Mao
>> MSC #631
>> California Institute of Technology
>>
>> On Dec 27, 2005, at 11:10 AM, d_j_salvia wrote:
>>
>>> --- In [email protected], "Stefan Pochmann"
>>> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>>>
>>>> --- In [email protected], "d_j_salvia"
>>>> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> As I wrote in response to Gustav, I did 100 trials with no 
>>>>> switching
>>>>> and won 76 times.
>>>>
>>>> I think you overestimate our stupidity.
>>>>
>>>> Cheers!
>>>> Stefan
>>>>
>>>
>>> Stefan,
>>>
>>> If I thought you were stupid I would not put so much effort into
>>> explaining my thoughts on the matter.
>>>
>>> I did the experiment and reported the result. If the result does not
>>> coincide with your beliefs that is not my problem.
>>>
>>> If you did not check the program that you used for this test, to see
>>> it there was any time difference between processing a correct initial
>>> guess and processing an incorrect initial guess, then you cannot tell
>>> me for certain that you know that you got no feedback cues 
>>> whatsoever.
>>>
>>> Did you check?
>>>
>>> Bye,
>>>
>>> David J
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Yahoo! Groups Links
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>
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