I don't think we can predict that Brad, but pipe sizes were much bigger in 
those days, weren't they?  If I had to guess, I think the safety factor would 
be "more" if the available pressure was higher and "less" if it was 
fair-to-poor.   

Regards,
Steve Leyton

-----Original Message-----
From: Sprinklerforum [mailto:[email protected]] On 
Behalf Of [email protected]
Sent: Monday, June 18, 2018 3:59 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Safety Margin

My last two cents (i guess i started it and Roland is nudging toward an end):
A calculated system is simply a reconfigured pipe scheduled system,  
i.e., make the second piece 1-1/4 and get rid of the 8".
Before calcs,5 heads on 1-1/2" was 'right on the curve'.
If that was changed to 4, how much safety margin is that?

Brad

Quoting Ben Young <[email protected]>:

> Most of our work in done in Delaware where the 10 PSI safety margin has
> been in place since before I started. I guess I take it for granted
> anymore, and we have what I would consider not-great water. You're not
> likely to get anything above 50 PSI static anywhere in the state. Maybe 60
> if you're lucky.
> Flows are in the 1000s. But I seriously don't even notice it anymore. I try
> and shoot for 15-17 PSI to give our fitters some cushion for minor field
> variations, but sometimes you can't do that and you have to live with 11 or
> even 10.1. That 10 PSI isn't for field changes either, its specifically for
> water supply degradation and fluctuation.
>
> Its interesting to hear about the water level being lower in the winter
> too, winter flow tests here are always 3-4 PSI higher and have better flow
> vs the summer.  I have been seeing a lot of single hydrant flow tests
> lately which is troubling.
>
> I mean at the end of the day, 13 will get modified or overwritten by the
> building code adopted or some other ordinance or legislative change, so why
> is this any different?  States and towns have been deleting adding and
> modifying sections of code forever, so if your local jurisdiction doesn't
> like the 10 PSI, just change it when its adopted.
>
>
> Benjamin Young
>
> On Mon, Jun 18, 2018 at 1:20 PM, Daniel Arnold <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>> But Horror stories have been the basis for ‘safety margins’ in our codes
>> and standards since their inception... including NFPA 13.
>>
>>  There have been amazing strides made  in understanding and quantifying
>> the dynamics of sprinkler performance, limitations, etc. over the past 30
>> years and incorporating that knowledge into NFPA 13. A defined safety
>> factor in hydraulic calculations is but one logical step in the continuing
>> maturation of 13  and will eventually be in the standard. The more useful
>> discussion is how it should be quantified and Incorporated.   I agree with
>> Scott and share his experiences....NFIRS stats are not helpful in
>> justifying technical stagnation.
>>
>> I absolutely understand and agree with the position that a safety factor
>> is already baked in the standard but what is it?  Saying it’s “enough”
>> without being able to eventually define it doesn’t help further progress.
>>
>> ... 2 cents from a lurker (usually 😉)
>>
>> Daniel Arnold, PE, FSFPE
>> Seneca Fire Engineering, LLC
>> Atlanta, Georgia
>>
>> Daniel L. Arnold, PE, FSFPE
>> Sent from my iPhone
>>
>> On Jun 18, 2018, at 11:34 AM, Mark Sornsin [FAR] <[email protected]>
>> wrote:
>>
>> All of the horror stories in the world do not change the fact that
>> requiring a specific safety margin for calculations is difficult to justify
>> in an internationally recognized standard.  I could see Annex language
>> offering pros for a margin and maybe giving examples of when one might be
>> considered.
>>
>>
>>
>> In my view it’s the responsibility of the person engineering the system to
>> make this call. In this industry 99% of the time that is the designer
>> working for the low-bid contractor. The designer who may or may not be
>> NICET certified, depending on the rules of the jurisdiction in which they
>> are working. The point is the person with the most knowledge of the local
>> conditions should be making this call.  In an ideal world, when you have
>> someone specifying the design parameters for a bid project, it would be the
>> specifying engineer. I also realize that this is fantasy 98% of the time,
>> which is a stain on the engineering profession, but that’s a different
>> rant. We can’t expect to codify a requirement like this in a standard that
>> needs to apply throughout the world. It would require specific numbers and
>> these will vary on local conditions. Instead it is the engineer/designers
>> responsibility to become familiar with local conditions and adjust
>> accordingly.  The example of reduced water levels in municipal water towers
>> is a great one. Not all cities engage in this practice, but where they do
>> the designer needs to know what the minimum static pressures can be.  Or
>> the local reviewing authority needs to adopt specific requirements to match
>> their local conditions.
>>
>>
>>
>> But the real problem comes when a contractor is bidding on a job with no
>> real engineering guidance and no local amendments to account for special
>> local conditions. The low-bid contractor or will be the one who assumes
>> their water test is valid despite having taken it at the highest possible
>> pressure of the day/season. And a specific safety margin requirement in
>> NFPA 13 cannot guarantee proper correction for this error.
>>
>>
>>
>> <image1fad98.JPG> <http://www.SummitCoUS.com> Mark Sornsin
>> Sr. Fire Protection Engineer
>> Direct: 701-499-1391
>> Cell: 701-526-8585
>>
>> *From:* Sprinklerforum [mailto:[email protected].
>> org <[email protected]>] *On Behalf Of *Scott
>> Futrell
>> *Sent:* Saturday, June 16, 2018 9:51 AM
>> *To:* [email protected]
>> *Subject:* RE: Safety Margin
>>
>>
>>
>> As a plan specifier, plan reviewer and an investigator I see designs right
>> to the supply and then as-built conditions far worse (read more demanding)
>> than the design submitted with the calcs.  This is not a regional
>> observation.
>>
>>
>>
>> Additionally, I am aware of communities that lower elevated tank levels
>> 20’ in winter to lower heating costs.  Contractors in those areas do NOT
>> adjust flow tests for this seasonal variation.
>>
>>
>>
>> No safety margin what-so-ever in NFPA 13 is unreasonable for a design
>> standard.
>>
>>
>>
>> Arguments on the floor including ‘requiring all systems to have back-up
>> power’ were ridiculous.
>>
>>
>>
>> Scott
>>
>>
>>
>> Office: (763) 425-1001 x2
>>
>> Cell: (612) 759-5556
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* Sprinklerforum [mailto:[email protected].
>> org <[email protected]>] *On Behalf Of *Steve
>> Leyton
>> *Sent:* Friday, June 15, 2018 2:16 PM
>> *To:* [email protected]
>> *Subject:* RE: Safety Margin
>>
>>
>>
>> That was the conversation on the floor of the code hearing.  The concerns
>> underscored by the CAM were not about whether safety factor is a good
>> practice, it was that a fixed minimum value as high as 10 PSI could trigger
>> all sorts of cost-impact consequences, particularly in areas where
>> pressures are middling to poor – in Rhode Island, 10 PSI could be 25-30% of
>> the available pressure.
>>
>>
>>
>> In the West, due primarily to the politics of drought, water districts are
>> using models in lieu of physical flow tests.  Prudent and conservative
>> programming makes it possible for them to issue safeguarded values from
>> which it’s not necessary to reduce the available pressure.  For ex., City
>> of San Diego uses a three-level safety factor in their (highly accurate)
>> models:  starting with legacy drought water levels in the reservoirs, then
>> factor the highest seasonal demand, then the highest peak day demand of
>> that season.   The values we’re getting are usually significantly lower
>> than what can be measured on the hydrant, and this practice isn’t without
>> controversy because there are obvious complications that can and do occur,
>> particularly with existing systems based on 20-year old (and older)
>> pressures that were physically measured (with crappy equipment) when first
>> designed and built.
>>
>>
>>
>> But if modeling becomes the new normal, prudent water district engineering
>> departments and fire departments they serve can coordinate manipulating
>> data to include reasonable safety factors.  The range of variation in
>> pressures, accuracy of flow test equipment, the use of modeling in many
>> areas … there are too many variables to set a fixed minimum safety factor
>> based on PSI, IMHO.
>>
>>
>>
>> SML
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* Sprinklerforum [mailto:[email protected].
>> org <[email protected]>] *On Behalf Of *Parsley
>> Consulting
>> *Sent:* Friday, June 15, 2018 12:00 PM
>> *To:* [email protected]
>> *Subject:* Re: Safety Margin
>>
>>
>>
>> Richard,
>>
>> If my memory is accurate of the issues raised in the discussion that
>> ambiguity was a part of the differing viewpoints.
>>
>> Some argued that 10 psi was not workable in their locale as their
>> pressures were so limited that an imposition of 10 psi was simply to
>> drastic and would result in much larger pipe sizes as a result.
>>
>> Others argued that 10 psi was not enough, and in their area 10 psi didn't
>> equal 10%, and there was some reluctance to base their designs on a
>> pressure greater than 90% of the available.
>>
>> It was quite a discussion.
>>
>>
>> *Ken Wagoner, SET *
>>
>>
>> *Parsley Consulting 350 West 9th Avenue, Suite 206 Escondido, California
>> 92025 *
>> *Phone 760-745-6181 Visit the website <http://www.parsleyconsulting.com/> *
>>
>> On 06/15/2018 10:23 AM, Richard Carr wrote:
>>
>> Even though it is not in NFPA most AHJ’s require some sort of safety
>> margin, 10%, 10 psi which we have had to provide for a long time so most
>> designers know to leave safety margin in the calc’s. it would be nice if
>> they all used the same amount.
>>
>>
>>
>> Richard M. Carr, SET
>>
>> Project Manager/Design
>>
>> Diboco Fire Sprinklers, Inc.
>>
>> 325 Jackson Loop Road
>>
>> Flat Rock, NC  28731
>>
>>
>>
>> [email protected]
>>
>> 828-696-3400
>>
>> 828-696-2288 Fax
>>
>> 828-708-9118 Mobile
>>
>>
>>
>> <image001.jpg>
>>
>>
>>
>> <image002.png>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* Sprinklerforum <[email protected]>
>> <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Parsley
>> Consulting
>> *Sent:* Friday, June 15, 2018 1:22 PM
>> *To:* [email protected]
>> *Subject:* Safety Margin
>>
>>
>>
>> Scott,
>>
>> Based on the material which was presented to the -24 and -291 committee
>> meetings I believed the proposed safety margin and the means to calculate
>> that margin there was some merit in the proposal.
>>
>> For reasons I don't quite remember the PI was voted down at the 2nd draft
>> meeting.  I listened to some of the discussion, and there were some good
>> points made.  I'm not terribly surprised it failed at the convention
>> level.  Perhaps the attendees were following the lead of the technical
>> committees, and declining to overrule their decision.
>>
>> sincerely,
>>
>>
>> *Ken Wagoner, SET **Parsley Consulting*
>>
>>
>> * 350 West 9th Avenue, Suite 206 Escondido, California 92025 *
>> *Phone 760-745-6181 Visit the website <http://www.parsleyconsulting.com/> *
>>
>> On 06/15/2018 8:09 AM, Scott Futrell wrote:
>>
>> Only that the 'safety margin' inclusion in the 2019 edition of NFPA  
>> 13 failed, so it won't be included or required.
>>
>>
>>
>> I consider this unfortunate, but I'd guess that not everyone on the  
>> forum would agree.
>>
>>
>>
>> Scott
>>
>>
>>
>> Office: (763) 425-1001 x2
>>
>> Cell: (612) 759-5556
>>
>>
>>
>> -----Original Message-----
>>
>> From: Sprinklerforum  
>> [mailto:[email protected]  
>> <[email protected]>] On Behalf Of  
>> [email protected]
>>
>> Sent: Thursday, June 14, 2018 5:46 PM
>>
>> To: [email protected]
>>
>> Subject: NFPA Vegas Convention
>>
>>
>>
>> I didn't make it again this year.
>>
>> "Caputo" is the only speaker name I recognized.
>>
>> Anybody have any earthshaking epiphanies?
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
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>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
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