For a quarter of 250.00 a barrel, current solar technology will fill the 
needs of the planet. 7-10 year implementation if, the people on this rock, 
kicked their respective governments in the ass to make it happen. 
    Bill Gates has enough personal fortune to make it happen on his own dime. 
Pretty pathetic to think one man has the capacity financially, yet as  
collective, the species is incapable of marshaling their collective resources  
to eliminate a centralized energy infrastructure. 

Chris


 


 

-----Original Message-----
From: Keith Addison <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: biofuel@sustainablelists.org
Sent: Mon, 16 Jun 2008 6:35 am
Subject: [Biofuel] Price Of Oil Will Double










http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article20080.htm
Price Of Oil Will Double

An ominous warning that the rapid rise in oil prices has only just begun

By Danny Fortson, Business Correspondent

12/06/08 "The Independent" - -- The chief executive of the world's 
largest energy company has issued the most dire warning yet about the 
soaring the price of oil, predicting that it will hit $250 per barrel 
"in the foreseeable future".

The forecast from Alexey Miller, the head of the Kremlin-owned gas 
giant Gazprom, would herald the arrival of £2-per-litre petrol and 
send shockwaves through the economy. His comments were the most stark 
to be expressed by an industry executive and come just days after the 
oil price registered its largest-ever single-day spike, hitting 
$139.12 per barrel last week amid fears that the world's faltering 
supply will be unable to keep up with demand.

Mr Miller's prediction is well beyond even the most heady market 
forecasts, the most extreme of which fall between $150 and $200 per 
barrel, and was explained only by vague references to demand from the 
developing world. It nonetheless stoked an already febrile atmosphere 
of growing public anger across Europe over a soaring fuel cost that 
is wreaking havoc at nearly every level of the economy.

The British Government was urging motorists yesterday not to 
panic-buy petrol in anticipation of a strike on Friday by lorry 
drivers who deliver petrol to forecourts for Royal Dutch Shell, 
assuring motorists that contingency plans would ensure sufficient 
supplies.

In Spain, the regional government of Catalonia enacted an emergency 
action plan to bring in fresh food and fuel supplies after nearly 
half of its forecourts ran dry and supermarkets shelves were left 
bare. The situation was the result of the second day of an 
"indefinite" nationwide strike staged by lorry drivers in Spain 
seeking their government's help to contain the effects of expensive 
petrol. Scattered protests by drivers and fisherman in France and 
Portugal also continued yesterday.

In a speech to the European Business Congress in Deauville, France, 
Mr Miller offered little prospect of relief. He warned that the world 
was experiencing a fundamental shift in energy prices that will end 
at a "radically new level. We expect that the oil price will approach 
$250 per barrel in the foreseeable future".

Philip Shaw, an economist at Investec Securities, warned that oil at 
that level would exert an extraordinary drag on the economy at a time 
when it is already decelerating at a rapid rate. "The word is ouch," 
he said. "Forecasts are forecasts though, and I think it should be 
treated with some level of scepticism."

The most visible result of $250 oil would be at the petrol pump, 
which is already at a record 116.9 pence per litre for unleaded. 
Because more than half of that price, about 68p, is due to duty and 
taxes, the general rule of thumb is that each $2 increase for oil 
means a 1p increase of petrol at the pump. Oil at $250 a barrel would 
mean an increase of almost 60p in petrol prices, even before VAT.

The price of everything from food to energy would see significant 
price rises. Household electricity and gas bills are particularly 
vulnerable. Power companies have begun warning of a second round of 
major tariff increases for household bills this year that they say 
they will need to push through just to break even.

Mr Miller placed some of the blame on financial speculators for oil's 
price rise - it has more than doubled in the past year - but said 
that the primary reason is simple supply and demand, driven by the 
rapidly expanding countries of the developing world, principally 
China and India.

It is a view shared by the International Energy Agency. In its 
monthly oil report, the developed world's energy watchdog said 
yesterday that the "abnormally high prices [for oil] are largely 
explained by fundamentals". But whether the price of oil will reach 
$250 is uncertain at best. Most expect it to reach a breaking point 
before that figure. The IEA said that the high price would eventually 
"choke off" demand and a balance between supply and demand would 
return.

What is certain is that for Europe, Mr Miller's role will become 
increasingly important as head of the continent's single biggest gas 
supplier. He also warned against "protectionist tendencies" in 
Europe, where worries have grown that the company is being used as a 
blunt negotiating tool of the Kremlin. "The relationship between 
Gazprom and Europeans is one of mutual dependence. We rely as much on 
European consumers as they depend on us," he said.

"In all frankness, I am concerned about certain protectionist 
tendencies resurfacing in the EU ... How wise it is that the European 
Commission invents an 'anti-Gazprom clause' to keep investments which 
are so needed for more efficient satisfaction of raising demand."

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