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Nancy wrote:
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Profiling is a bunch of hoodoo. I am not proud of it, I loathe it. It's
just one more media circus version of psychology. This is not my psychological
science, it's simple bunk.
===========
Profiling, in the way it is portrayed on
television, may be "simple bunk," but so are psychotherapy, behavior
modification, and hypnosis. The fact that the media choose to inaccurately
portray a field, or that a few so-called experts in that field choose to present
absurd claims publicly doesn't reduce the entire field to "bunk" By that
standard, modern medicine is "simple bunk" since M.D.s such as Atkins promote
such absurd claims about the health.
Profiling is no more nor less a science than
is clinical diagnosis. It is based on very sound principles of both psychology
and criminology. Of course profilers don't have the absurd accuracy and success
rates that TV claims for them--but do clinical diagnosticians invariably come to
the correct conclusion with respect to the diagnosis and treatment of disorders?
How often have inaccurate diagnoses of schizophrenia, ADHD, or Antisocial
Personality Disorder been made (compare the diagnostic rates for schizophrenia
in the US and the UK for a real eye-opener).
Profiling depends on a number of factors:
The nature of the crime (terrorist activities, serial arson, and serial rape are
normally profiled with rather high rates of accuracy), the number of crimes
committed by the perpetrator (the greater the number, the more accurate the
profile), the amount of evidence available (profilers, like any other
professional, need data to work with), and the similarity of the victims (the
closer they fit to a single "model" the better the profile). Such cases as Ted
Bundy, the Uni-Bomber, John Gacy, and the Hillside Stranglers (to name a few
famous cases) were profiled by criminal justice psychologists with at least as
much accuracy as the typical client is assessed by a therapist.
Read some of the work by Curt Bartol, or the
research conducted by the Association of Arson Investigators if you're looking
for accurate information on the subject. Much of it is obviously anecdotal in
nature--while it may seem reasonable to call for scientific research on the
issue, how precisely could you conduct it? You could (obviously) compare the
profiles prepared by a number of different profilers on the same case to
determine if they were similar, but that proves nothing other than the fact that
most profilers have similar training (the same would hold true of a number of
clinicians provided diagnostic information concerning a client). You could
compare the profiles made of offenders to the actual offenders when arrested,
but that would (again) be primarily anecdotal in nature--and, worse, would
suffer from the problem of selection; which cases do you choose to compare?
Scientific research implies either the construction of a structured research
project in which the variables are under the control of the experimenter (which
is impossible in this case, unless we view it as reasonable for an experimenter
to withhold the identity of an offender who was committing a series of crimes in
order for the profilers to have the opportunity to evaluate the crimes and
develop a profile, a patent absurdity), or observational research in which
unknowing subjects are simply observed and their behavior recorded, again highly
unreasonable when such an activity would allow an offender to continue
committing crimes unapprehended.
Criminal Justice Psychology isn't an exact
science. But neither is any other area of psychology (with the possible
exception of neuropsychology, psychopharmacology, or biological psychology). It
has its successes and its failures, exactly as psychotherapy does. And it
attracts its share of "wangos" and extremists, but so does mainstream psychology
as even a brief time spent watching some of the New Age "psychologists" on TV or
reading the current crop of pop-psychology self-help books by licensed
therapists will rapidly demonstrate.
Someone once commented that while we have a
far greater knowledge of human behavior today than we ever had before,
psychology as a science is still at the stage that physics was at during the
time of Newton. If that's true (and whether we like it or not, it does have some
elements of truth) then it should come as no surprise that psychological
profiling is at the stage of Caesar Lombroso.
Rick
--
Rick Adams
Capella University
Grand Canyon University
Jackson Community
College
"... and the only measure of your worth and your deeds will be
the love you leave behind when you're gone."
-Fred Small, J.D., "Everything Possible"
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