Fair enough, Nancy. 

Here are a few refernces that I hope would convince you to adjust 
at least a little bit your over-confident stance toward a practice that 
you admit to know alomst nothing about:

TI: Criminal psychological profiling: Validities and abilities.
SO: International-Journal-of-Offender-Therapy-and-Comparative-Criminology. 
2003 Apr; Vol 47(2): 126-144
PB: US: Sage Publications. 
AB: Criminal psychological profiling has attained unprecedented 
recognition despite little empirical evidence to support its validity and 
the absence of any thorough exposition of the skills involved with the 
technique. This article reports on the empirically derived conclusions of 
studies that sought to examine the accuracy and skill of various groups 
performing a profiling task. The conclusions provide some support for the 
contention that professional profilers can produce a more accurate 
prediction of an unknown offender in comparison to other studied groups. 
The results also give an indication of the type of skills required for 
proficient profiling. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2003 APA, all rights 
reserved)

TI: Expertise in psychological profiling: A comparative assessment.
SO: Journal-of-Interpersonal-Violence. 2000 Mar; Vol 15(3): 311-331
PB: US: Sage Publications. 
AB: Examined the abilities contributing to proficient performance in 
psychological profiling. The authors sought to address this issue by 
comparing the accuracy of psychological profiles for a closed murder case 
generated by groups differing primarily in characteristics posited to 
underlie the profiling process. In addition to a sample of 5 professional 
profilers (aged 27-48 yrs), the study recruited 35 police officers (aged 
26-45 yrs), 30 psychologists (aged 21-68 yrs), 31 university students 
(aged 20-52 yrs), and 20 self-declared psychics (aged 25-60 yrs). 23 
college students (aged 17-30 yrs) compiled a generic profile of murderers 
without knowledge of the specific case given to the other groups. Despite 
the small size of the sample of profilers, there were indications that 
this group had a set of profiling skills superior to the individual skills 
represented by the other expertise groups. In addition, the performance of 
psychologists was better in some respects than that of police and 
psychics, suggesting that an educated insight into human behavior might be 
relatively pertinent to psychological profiling. On the other hand, it 
would seem that psychics relied on nothing more than the social stereotype 
of a murderer in their production of the offender's profile. (PsycINFO 
Database Record (c) 2002 APA, all rights reserved)

TI: An explanation of the profiling of hostage incidents in HM Prison 
Service.
SO: Issues-in-Criminological-and-Legal-Psychology. 1997; No 29: 41-46
PB: United Kingdom: British Psychological Society. 
AB: The aim of this paper is to begin the process of providing an 
objective basis on which to distinguish between incident types. Nominal 
data are gathered from 86 hostage incidents in HM Prison Service, 
representing perpetrators' behaviours during each one. A multidimensional 
scaling procedure called smallest space analysis (SSA), is used to examine 
which behaviours tend to occur together in the same incident. Groups of 
behaviors that tend to co-occur are then identified. The features of each 
group of associated behaviours provide the basis on which to establish 
incident types. The potential of using a medical diagnostic framework for 
research into optimizing negotiation strategies during hostage incidents 
is discussed, with specific reference to the role that an incident 
typology could play within it. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2002 APA, all 
rights reserved)


No doubt, like in most other areas in our field, 
not all studies are positive. Here's an example for a negative one:

TI: Investigative experience and accuracy in psychological profiling of a 
violent crime.
SO: Journal-of-Interpersonal-Violence. 2002 Aug; Vol 17(8): 811-823
PB: US: Sage Publications. 
AB: Although psychological profiling has achieved wide acceptance in law 
enforcement investigations, there has been little empirical research into 
the skills required for profiling. One attribute that is frequently cited 
as quintessential for effective profiling is experience in police 
investigations. In a study similar in design to R. N. Kocsis et al (see 
record 2000-13955-006), this study examined the importance in profiling of 
investigative experience by testing groups of homicide detectives, senior 
police detectives, trainee detectives, police recruits, and undergraduate 
chemistry students. The chemistry students tended to produce the most 
accurate profiles of the perpetrator of a closed homicide case. Of all the 
groups, the chemistry students most consistently outperformed a control 
group given no information about the case when constructing a profile of 
the offender. There was also some evidence of an inverse relationship 
between investigative experience and profile accuracy. (PsycINFO Database 
Record (c) 2002 APA, all rights reserved)

Cordially, Danny 

On Sat, 17 Jul 2004 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
> 
> Actually most of us don't know these people except on TV, and if you have  
> something besides anecdotal testimony (controlled scientific study) about the  
> accuracy of profiling, I'd like to see it. As far as I understand, there is no  
> solid evidence for it's usefulness, anymore than there is  evidence 
> supporting the usefulness of psychics who "solve  crimes."
>  
> Profiling is a bunch of hoodoo. I am not proud of it, I loathe it. It's  just 
> one more media circus version of psychology. This is not my psychological  
> science, it's simple bunk.
>  
> Nancy Melucci
> Long Beach City College
> 
> 
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