I must be missing something.
 
The correct comparison is 18-49 for Leno at 11:35 and Conan at 11:35.  I
don't know what those numbers are, but no other comparison (e.g., 11:35
p.m. vs. 10 p.m.) is meaningful (just as comparing Jay's numbers for
11:35 and 10:00 p.m.) is "pointless."
 
In other words, it may be true -- but one cannot conclude -- from the
numbers below -- that "Conan was being hurt by his low-rated,
non-traditional lead in."
 
As I said, I must be missing something.


________________________________

From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On
Behalf Of PGage
Sent: Friday, January 29, 2010 7:22 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [TV orNotTV] Oprah/Jay Blow-by-Blow



Actually, what Leno's boss, NBCU entertainment chief Jeff Gaspin, told
us on Jan. 10 at TV critics' tour was that the 10 p.m. hour (9 Central)
had declined 30 percent year-to-year. The 14 percent figure, obviously,
is Leno comparing his old 11:35 numbers to his 10 o'clock numbers, which
is pointless, and comparing total audience figures instead of the demo,
which is doubly pointless.

He also compares his old 11:35 numbers to Conan's 11:35 numbers, which
would be acceptable except that, again, he is measuring the total
audience figures for "The Tonight Show," which went from 5 million under
Leno to 2.5 million under O'Brien. NBC has not used total audience
figures in any meaningful way since the 1990s, when it began pushing
aggressively for advertisers to rely on the 18-to-49 demographic. So
this is a bogus comparison in several ways.

The correct way to measure is 18-49, comparable time period, year to
year. And as I wrote
<http://www.kansascity.com/entertainment/story/1691791.html>  last week:

        Conan's "Tonight Show" rating among adults ages 18-49, a key
group for advertisers, has declined by the same amount, 30 percent, as
NBC's rating at 9 p.m. (10 Eastern), when "The Jay Leno Show" airs.

In other words, Conan was being hurt by his low-rated, non-traditional
lead-in ... the star of which was then asked to take Conan's place at
11:35. And people wonder why he's pissed.


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