So… here is the difference in being the kind of person that suffers
from the “cult of the new” syndrome.  I actually OWN 50 games that
qualify under Ran’s system to be considered “guaranteed bad” (Bayesian
rating < 6.5 and average rating < 7.0).  Due to being a bit of a
collector I would consider any game in which I have rated a 7 or
higher to be a keeper and I probably wouldn’t mind trading the
others.  Of those 50 games only 5 fall within my “keep” zone.

Shocking Roulette                                       7
Buccaneer                                                       7
Poison                                                  7
Ticket to Ride: Mystery Train Expansion 7
Cutthroat Caverns                                       7

I have only two games that land with a Bayesian of < 6.5 and an
average > 7.0 and those are:

Ace of Aces - Handy Rotary Deluxe Edition               6       6.12468 7.06841
Cutthroat Caverns: Deeper & Darker                      6       6.26582 7.27587

I own 124 games that all average 6.5 or greater on the Bayesian.  So
next I figured I would see the ones that rated 6 or below for ME and
that I wouldn’t mind trading away.  That came to a total of 37 games.

Mystery of the Abbey                                    5 **
Space Dealer                                            5
The Settlers of Catan Card Game         5
Dungeon Twister                                 5 **
Leonardo da Vinci                                       5
Attika                                                  5
Carcassonne                                             5
Saboteur                                                        6 **
Hoity Toity                                                     6
Tempus                                                  6
Niagara                                                 6 **
Felix: The Cat in the Sack                              6
O Zoo le Mio                                            6 **
Wasabi!                                                 6
Star Wars: Epic Duels                           6 *
Bang!                                                   6 **
A Touch of Evil, The Supernatural Game  6
Cleopatra and the Society of Architects 6 **
Lord of the Rings                                       6
Mykerinos                                                       6
Hey! That's My Fish!                                    6 **
Arkadia                                                 6
Hacienda                                                        6
Nexus Ops                                               6
Santiago                                                        6
Shadows over Camelot                            6 **
Lost Cities                                                     6 **
Maharaja: Palace Building in India              6
Lord of the Rings: The Confrontation            6
Hive                                                            6
Ticket to Ride: Marklin Edition                 6
In the Year of the Dragon                               6
Notre Dame                                              6
The Settlers of Catan                                   6 **
Twilight Imperium 3rd Edition                   6
Railroad Tycoon                                         6 **
Caylus                                                  6
Tigris & Euphrates                                      6

** Games I would still keep due to being a "game
evangelist" (explained later)
* Games I would keep simply due to collectibility

That leaves me with 76 games that have a Bayesian of 6.5 or greater
and that I rate a 7 or above.  How depressing to realize that I out of
176 games I really only consider 43% of them as keepers.  Ah well – I
suppose that is what is to be expected from someone that suffers from
my affliction.

The only unique part to my scenario is that I consider myself a game
evangelist – which means that although I may not personally LIKE some
of the games in my collection I actually keep them there so that I can
entertain others that probably wouldn’t enjoy ANYTHING I consider to
be a 7 or above.  I am not particular to party games but I have
several for those that enjoy the lighter side.

Interesting exercise Ran.  Thanks.


On Jul 15, 7:21 am, Sylvus <[email protected]> wrote:
> ROFL - OK I need an hour to go through all this and then I will
> comment  ;)
>
> On Jul 15, 2:27 am, Ran <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > I've decided that a BGG rating (Bayesian rating) below 6.5 means the
> > game is Bad. This is becoming a hard and fast rule for me.
>
> > If a game I'm interested in has a low rating (near 6.5), I consult the
> > average rating. If the average rating is below 7, it is a virtual
> > certainty that the game is Bad. Bad means I wouldn't want to own it
> > and would rarely want to play it.
>
> > That's all I really wanted to say. The rest of this post is a result
> > of having way too much time on my hands. If anyone has any idea what
> > this little analysis says about my game preferences, I'm all ears...
>
> > ***************************************
>
> > I have exactly two games in my collection that fall into the category
> > of (BGG < 6.5, AVG > 7): The Settlers of Zarahemla and Boggle Master.
> > I keep the first just because I'm Mormon and I keep the second because
> > I loved it as a kid, excel at it, it's impossible to trade away and
> > impossible to replace. (Settlers may be growing on me, but I'm not
> > interested enough to find out. My last play was enjoyable, though.)
>
> > Here are the Bad games that I own or have owned:
>
> > Pick Picknic 6.48
> > Money! 6.47
> > Quo Vadis? 6.45
> > Boggle Master 6.43
> > The Settlers of Zarahemla 6.42
> > Pickomino 6.38
> > Gavitt's Stock Exchange (aka Pit) 6.34
> > Cave Troll 6.29
> > Goldbräu 6.29
> > Winds Of Plunder 6.28
> > Loot 6.27
> > Oshi 5.87
> > Oriente 5.74
> > Reiner Knizia's Amazing Flea Circus 5.73
> > Covert Action 5.58
> > DareBase 5.51
> > Vantage 5.42
> > Skip-bo 5.16
> > Checkers 4.81
>
> > Of these, there are 3 games with BGG < 6.5 + AVG < 7 that I *might*
> > miss if I were the victim of a fire: Cave Troll, Money!, and Loot
> > (only good with teams (6/8 players)). I got rid of Cave Troll because
> > I couldn't stomach the theme (I like fantasy, but it embarrasses me).
> > Settlers and Boggle have AVG > 7.
>
> > * I brought Checkers back from a visit to my parents' because it just
> > seems like something gamers should have (like a Chess set, which I
> > don't own and probably never will, so go figure). It's a nice-ish
> > wooden set that my dad's bank gave to him. Last time I played Checkers
> > was with my niece 2(?) years ago. Before that, who knows.
> > * I was introduced to Skip-bo on the mission and bought it at some
> > point, but have probably never played it since then.
> > * Vantage is a throw-back to when I was 10 or something (yes, my copy
> > is that old). I've never played it. It's inconceivable to me that this
> > rates higher than Skip-bo. (It's from the makers of UNO!)
> > * DareBase was a gift from the designer. I've never played it.
> > * I bought Pit, Oriente, and Covert Action to try to accommodate large
> > groups, but have since decided that the goal is silly (and these games
> > pretty much suck anyway). I really would like to design a decent game
> > for use with the Oriente materials though.
> > * I got Amazing Flea Circus and Pickomino to play with my nieces, but
> > they were too young.
> > * I bought Quo Vadis? knowing I don't like it because it was a good
> > deal (and regret it anyway).
>
> > Here are the Not Bad games that I've (played) and have traded or would
> > rather not own:
>
> > Tigris & Euphrates 7.96 (4)
> > Race for the Galaxy 7.90 (3)
> > Pandemic 7.70 (2)
> > Taj Mahal 7.46 (3)
> > Citadels 7.26 (5)
> > Thebes 7.25 (7)
> > For Sale 7.17 (4)
> > Vegas Showdown 7.17 (1)
> > Tinner's Trail 7.16 (1)
> > Caylus Magna Carta 7.07 (4)
> > China 7.04 (4)
> > Arkadia 6.99 (1)
> > Hansa 6.97 (5)
> > Meuterer 6.96 (2)
> > Odin's Ravens 6.64 (4)
> > Phoenicia 6.61 (2)
> > Gheos 6.51 (4)
>
> > The odd-ball of this group is Taj Mahal, which I'm not a fan of, but
> > seem to be developing a soft spot for. If I have another enjoyable
> > play of it, it'll almost certainly come off this list. And on that
> > same note, Lost Cities would have appeared on this list right up until
> > my very last play of it. Most of the rest on this list either started
> > badly (Citadels, Pandemic, Arkadia) or seemed to get worse with each
> > play.
>
> > Of this group, there are 4 that I more or less like as games (don't
> > seem to get worse anyway), but rarely make the cut at play time:
> > Thebes (too random), Hansa (too chaotic), Odin's Ravens (two players
> > and too long), and Gheos (too hard to explain/remember rules).
>
> > And here are the Not Bad games that I have played and am happy to own:
>
> > Brass 7.88
> > Ra 7.68
> > Imperial 7.67
> > Steam 7.49
> > Struggle of Empires 7.48
> > Hollywood Blockbuster 7.18 (The presentation really bothers me.)
> > Lost Cities 7.18
> > Nexus Ops 7.11
> > Hacienda 7.02
> > In the Shadow of the Emperor 6.95
> > No Thanks! 6.94
> > Perikles 6.87
> > The Ark of the Covenant 6.85
> > Oltre Mare 6.73
> > Scripts and Scribes 6.72
> > Die Sieben Siegel 6.71
> > Risk 2210 A.D. 6.62 (I'm happy to have this only as a hook for people
> > who know Risk, but I never really want to play Risk for its own sake.
> > I think I'd rather have Risk Revised to fill this niche, but whatever,
> > my timing was off.)
> > King of Siam 6.62 (This one is borderline and hard to get played, so I
> > may trade it anyway.)
> > The Battle for Hill 218 6.55
>
> > And finally, here are the Not Bad games that I own and have not played
> > (but expect to like):
>
> > Memoir '44 7.50 (I may like this, but I expect to trade it anyway
> > unless it's super duper)
> > Tower of Babel 6.69
> > After the Flood 6.61
>
> > Here are games I've played and would like to own:
>
> > Automobile 7.22
> > Vikings 7.20
> > Snow Tails 6.90
> > Stephenson's Rocket 6.83
> > League of Six 6.65
>
> > And here is a rundown of games I have played taken from the first 4
> > pages of ranked games on BGG, separated into two groups. I think the
> > best way to interpret this is to say that if these games were gifted
> > to me, I'd be inclined to keep the first group and trade the second
> > group. But I'm not in a hurry to own any of them.
>
> > Notre Dame
> > In the Year of the Dragon
> > Medici
> > The End of the Triumvirate
> > Chicago Express
> > Puerto Rico
> > Twilight Struggle
> > Dominion
> > Goa
> > Stone Age
> > Age of Empires 3
> > Small World/Vinci
> > Samurai
> > Lord of the Rings: The Confrontation
> > Acquire
> > Amun-Re
> > Battlestar Galactica
> > Roborally
> > Yspahan
> > Cuba
> > Bohnanza
> > Santiago
> > Domaine
> > Keythedral
> > Coloretto
> > Ys
> > Manila
> > Aladdin's Dragons
> > Showmanager
> > Survive! (nostalgia)
> > Roll Through the Ages
> > Ubongo
> > Nefertiti
> > Can't Stop
> > Witch's Brew
> > Tumblin-Dice
> > Jamaica
> > A Castle for All Seasons (borderline)
> > Cold War: CIA vs. KGB
>
> > La Citta
> > Colosseum
> > Shogun/Wallenstein
> > Space Alert
> > Eketorp
> > Princes of Florence
> > Mr. Jack
> > Agricola
> > Power Grid
> > Caylus
> > 1960
> > Reef Encounter
> > Saint Petersburg
> > Hive
> > Antiquity
> > Ticket to Ride
> > Battle Line
> > Modern Art
> > Through the Desert (borderline)
> > Blokus
> > Thurn & Taxis
> > Louis XIV
> > Last Night on Earth
> > Antike
> > Kingsburg
> > Manoeuvre
> > Alhambra
> > Attika
> > Hamburgum
> > Formula Dé
> > Zooloretto
> > Wits & Wagers
> > Ingenious
> > A Game of Thrones
> > Leonardo da Vinci
> > Dungeon Twister
> > The Settlers of Catan Card Game
> > Winner's Circle
> > Metropolys
> > Ricochet Robots
> > Edel, Stein & Reich
> > Container
> > Conquest of the Empire
> > Wyatt Earp
> > A Touch of Evil, The Supernatural Game
> > High Society
> > Fairy Tale
> > Ca$h 'n Gun$
> > Bang!
> > Diamant
> > Cartagena
> > Turn The Tide
> > Mall of Horror
> > Age of Conan: The Strategy Board Game
> > O Zoo le Mio
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