I don't know what to say, when I cannot sleep last night and went down to my
computer and find this longish email on my inbox...

Ran at work in the early hours of the morning 3:27 am to be exact :)

While my sleeping situation is not better than his, wild awake even a 4:00am
in the morning, I don't think I have the heart, energy and mind to do this
:)

So I admire Ran's effort and truly salute to the time he spend on this
email.

It can tell how much we rely on rating a BGG.

Did rating sell games?

Which one to trust, Bayesian or average?

Did Ran like higher rating games?

If the game has a very high rating like Agricola, will Ran like it?

What is the possibility of Ran liking a game corresponding to the ratings on
BGG?

Those are truly more intuitive question to answer :)

Anyway, 3 cheers to Ran :)

And you can tell by this email, I am lack of sleep too :)

--- Ken ---

On Wed, Jul 15, 2009 at 3:27 AM, Ran <[email protected]> wrote:

>
> I've decided that a BGG rating (Bayesian rating) below 6.5 means the
> game is Bad. This is becoming a hard and fast rule for me.
>
> If a game I'm interested in has a low rating (near 6.5), I consult the
> average rating. If the average rating is below 7, it is a virtual
> certainty that the game is Bad. Bad means I wouldn't want to own it
> and would rarely want to play it.
>
> That's all I really wanted to say. The rest of this post is a result
> of having way too much time on my hands. If anyone has any idea what
> this little analysis says about my game preferences, I'm all ears...
>
> ***************************************
>
> I have exactly two games in my collection that fall into the category
> of (BGG < 6.5, AVG > 7): The Settlers of Zarahemla and Boggle Master.
> I keep the first just because I'm Mormon and I keep the second because
> I loved it as a kid, excel at it, it's impossible to trade away and
> impossible to replace. (Settlers may be growing on me, but I'm not
> interested enough to find out. My last play was enjoyable, though.)
>
>
> Here are the Bad games that I own or have owned:
>
> Pick Picknic 6.48
> Money! 6.47
> Quo Vadis? 6.45
> Boggle Master 6.43
> The Settlers of Zarahemla 6.42
> Pickomino 6.38
> Gavitt's Stock Exchange (aka Pit) 6.34
> Cave Troll 6.29
> Goldbräu 6.29
> Winds Of Plunder 6.28
> Loot 6.27
> Oshi 5.87
> Oriente 5.74
> Reiner Knizia's Amazing Flea Circus 5.73
> Covert Action 5.58
> DareBase 5.51
> Vantage 5.42
> Skip-bo 5.16
> Checkers 4.81
>
> Of these, there are 3 games with BGG < 6.5 + AVG < 7 that I *might*
> miss if I were the victim of a fire: Cave Troll, Money!, and Loot
> (only good with teams (6/8 players)). I got rid of Cave Troll because
> I couldn't stomach the theme (I like fantasy, but it embarrasses me).
> Settlers and Boggle have AVG > 7.
>
> * I brought Checkers back from a visit to my parents' because it just
> seems like something gamers should have (like a Chess set, which I
> don't own and probably never will, so go figure). It's a nice-ish
> wooden set that my dad's bank gave to him. Last time I played Checkers
> was with my niece 2(?) years ago. Before that, who knows.
> * I was introduced to Skip-bo on the mission and bought it at some
> point, but have probably never played it since then.
> * Vantage is a throw-back to when I was 10 or something (yes, my copy
> is that old). I've never played it. It's inconceivable to me that this
> rates higher than Skip-bo. (It's from the makers of UNO!)
> * DareBase was a gift from the designer. I've never played it.
> * I bought Pit, Oriente, and Covert Action to try to accommodate large
> groups, but have since decided that the goal is silly (and these games
> pretty much suck anyway). I really would like to design a decent game
> for use with the Oriente materials though.
> * I got Amazing Flea Circus and Pickomino to play with my nieces, but
> they were too young.
> * I bought Quo Vadis? knowing I don't like it because it was a good
> deal (and regret it anyway).
>
>
> Here are the Not Bad games that I've (played) and have traded or would
> rather not own:
>
> Tigris & Euphrates 7.96 (4)
> Race for the Galaxy 7.90 (3)
> Pandemic 7.70 (2)
> Taj Mahal 7.46 (3)
> Citadels 7.26 (5)
> Thebes 7.25 (7)
> For Sale 7.17 (4)
> Vegas Showdown 7.17 (1)
> Tinner's Trail 7.16 (1)
> Caylus Magna Carta 7.07 (4)
> China 7.04 (4)
> Arkadia 6.99 (1)
> Hansa 6.97 (5)
> Meuterer 6.96 (2)
> Odin's Ravens 6.64 (4)
> Phoenicia 6.61 (2)
> Gheos 6.51 (4)
>
> The odd-ball of this group is Taj Mahal, which I'm not a fan of, but
> seem to be developing a soft spot for. If I have another enjoyable
> play of it, it'll almost certainly come off this list. And on that
> same note, Lost Cities would have appeared on this list right up until
> my very last play of it. Most of the rest on this list either started
> badly (Citadels, Pandemic, Arkadia) or seemed to get worse with each
> play.
>
> Of this group, there are 4 that I more or less like as games (don't
> seem to get worse anyway), but rarely make the cut at play time:
> Thebes (too random), Hansa (too chaotic), Odin's Ravens (two players
> and too long), and Gheos (too hard to explain/remember rules).
>
>
> And here are the Not Bad games that I have played and am happy to own:
>
> Brass 7.88
> Ra 7.68
> Imperial 7.67
> Steam 7.49
> Struggle of Empires 7.48
> Hollywood Blockbuster 7.18 (The presentation really bothers me.)
> Lost Cities 7.18
> Nexus Ops 7.11
> Hacienda 7.02
> In the Shadow of the Emperor 6.95
> No Thanks! 6.94
> Perikles 6.87
> The Ark of the Covenant 6.85
> Oltre Mare 6.73
> Scripts and Scribes 6.72
> Die Sieben Siegel 6.71
> Risk 2210 A.D. 6.62 (I'm happy to have this only as a hook for people
> who know Risk, but I never really want to play Risk for its own sake.
> I think I'd rather have Risk Revised to fill this niche, but whatever,
> my timing was off.)
> King of Siam 6.62 (This one is borderline and hard to get played, so I
> may trade it anyway.)
> The Battle for Hill 218 6.55
>
>
> And finally, here are the Not Bad games that I own and have not played
> (but expect to like):
>
> Memoir '44 7.50 (I may like this, but I expect to trade it anyway
> unless it's super duper)
> Tower of Babel 6.69
> After the Flood 6.61
>
>
> Here are games I've played and would like to own:
>
> Automobile 7.22
> Vikings 7.20
> Snow Tails 6.90
> Stephenson's Rocket 6.83
> League of Six 6.65
>
>
>
> And here is a rundown of games I have played taken from the first 4
> pages of ranked games on BGG, separated into two groups. I think the
> best way to interpret this is to say that if these games were gifted
> to me, I'd be inclined to keep the first group and trade the second
> group. But I'm not in a hurry to own any of them.
>
> Notre Dame
> In the Year of the Dragon
> Medici
> The End of the Triumvirate
> Chicago Express
> Puerto Rico
> Twilight Struggle
> Dominion
> Goa
> Stone Age
> Age of Empires 3
> Small World/Vinci
> Samurai
> Lord of the Rings: The Confrontation
> Acquire
> Amun-Re
> Battlestar Galactica
> Roborally
> Yspahan
> Cuba
> Bohnanza
> Santiago
> Domaine
> Keythedral
> Coloretto
> Ys
> Manila
> Aladdin's Dragons
> Showmanager
> Survive! (nostalgia)
> Roll Through the Ages
> Ubongo
> Nefertiti
> Can't Stop
> Witch's Brew
> Tumblin-Dice
> Jamaica
> A Castle for All Seasons (borderline)
> Cold War: CIA vs. KGB
>
>
> La Citta
> Colosseum
> Shogun/Wallenstein
> Space Alert
> Eketorp
> Princes of Florence
> Mr. Jack
> Agricola
> Power Grid
> Caylus
> 1960
> Reef Encounter
> Saint Petersburg
> Hive
> Antiquity
> Ticket to Ride
> Battle Line
> Modern Art
> Through the Desert (borderline)
> Blokus
> Thurn & Taxis
> Louis XIV
> Last Night on Earth
> Antike
> Kingsburg
> Manoeuvre
> Alhambra
> Attika
> Hamburgum
> Formula Dé
> Zooloretto
> Wits & Wagers
> Ingenious
> A Game of Thrones
> Leonardo da Vinci
> Dungeon Twister
> The Settlers of Catan Card Game
> Winner's Circle
> Metropolys
> Ricochet Robots
> Edel, Stein & Reich
> Container
> Conquest of the Empire
> Wyatt Earp
> A Touch of Evil, The Supernatural Game
> High Society
> Fairy Tale
> Ca$h 'n Gun$
> Bang!
> Diamant
> Cartagena
> Turn The Tide
> Mall of Horror
> Age of Conan: The Strategy Board Game
> O Zoo le Mio
> >
>

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