ROFL - I didn't even notice the time he posted it.  Ran.. buddy...
occasionally it is OK to take a sleeping pill - just not regularly so
it becomes a habit  ;)

On Jul 15, 9:50 am, Mark Tyler <[email protected]> wrote:
> So let me get this straight.   Instead of counting sheep, Ran was up past
> 3:00 a.m. applying complex equations to his game collection only to conclude
> that he prefers higher rated games over lower rated ones.
>
> Genius!    :)
>
> On Wed, Jul 15, 2009 at 9:17 AM, Sylvus <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > So… here is the difference in being the kind of person that suffers
> > from the “cult of the new” syndrome.  I actually OWN 50 games that
> > qualify under Ran’s system to be considered “guaranteed bad” (Bayesian
> > rating < 6.5 and average rating < 7.0).  Due to being a bit of a
> > collector I would consider any game in which I have rated a 7 or
> > higher to be a keeper and I probably wouldn’t mind trading the
> > others.  Of those 50 games only 5 fall within my “keep” zone.
>
> > Shocking Roulette                                       7
> > Buccaneer                                                       7
> > Poison                                                  7
> > Ticket to Ride: Mystery Train Expansion 7
> > Cutthroat Caverns                                       7
>
> > I have only two games that land with a Bayesian of < 6.5 and an
> > average > 7.0 and those are:
>
> > Ace of Aces - Handy Rotary Deluxe Edition               6       6.12468
> > 7.06841
> > Cutthroat Caverns: Deeper & Darker                      6       6.26582
> > 7.27587
>
> > I own 124 games that all average 6.5 or greater on the Bayesian.  So
> > next I figured I would see the ones that rated 6 or below for ME and
> > that I wouldn’t mind trading away.  That came to a total of 37 games.
>
> > Mystery of the Abbey                                    5 **
> > Space Dealer                                            5
> > The Settlers of Catan Card Game         5
> > Dungeon Twister                                 5 **
> > Leonardo da Vinci                                       5
> > Attika                                                  5
> > Carcassonne                                             5
> > Saboteur                                                        6 **
> > Hoity Toity                                                     6
> > Tempus                                                  6
> > Niagara                                                 6 **
> > Felix: The Cat in the Sack                              6
> > O Zoo le Mio                                            6 **
> > Wasabi!                                                 6
> > Star Wars: Epic Duels                           6 *
> > Bang!                                                   6 **
> > A Touch of Evil, The Supernatural Game  6
> > Cleopatra and the Society of Architects 6 **
> > Lord of the Rings                                       6
> > Mykerinos                                                       6
> > Hey! That's My Fish!                                    6 **
> > Arkadia                                                 6
> > Hacienda                                                        6
> > Nexus Ops                                               6
> > Santiago                                                        6
> > Shadows over Camelot                            6 **
> > Lost Cities                                                     6 **
> > Maharaja: Palace Building in India              6
> > Lord of the Rings: The Confrontation            6
> > Hive                                                            6
> > Ticket to Ride: Marklin Edition                 6
> > In the Year of the Dragon                               6
> > Notre Dame                                              6
> > The Settlers of Catan                                   6 **
> > Twilight Imperium 3rd Edition                   6
> > Railroad Tycoon                                         6 **
> > Caylus                                                  6
> > Tigris & Euphrates                                      6
>
> > ** Games I would still keep due to being a "game
> > evangelist" (explained later)
> > * Games I would keep simply due to collectibility
>
> > That leaves me with 76 games that have a Bayesian of 6.5 or greater
> > and that I rate a 7 or above.  How depressing to realize that I out of
> > 176 games I really only consider 43% of them as keepers.  Ah well – I
> > suppose that is what is to be expected from someone that suffers from
> > my affliction.
>
> > The only unique part to my scenario is that I consider myself a game
> > evangelist – which means that although I may not personally LIKE some
> > of the games in my collection I actually keep them there so that I can
> > entertain others that probably wouldn’t enjoy ANYTHING I consider to
> > be a 7 or above.  I am not particular to party games but I have
> > several for those that enjoy the lighter side.
>
> > Interesting exercise Ran.  Thanks.
>
> > On Jul 15, 7:21 am, Sylvus <[email protected]> wrote:
> > > ROFL - OK I need an hour to go through all this and then I will
> > > comment  ;)
>
> > > On Jul 15, 2:27 am, Ran <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > > > I've decided that a BGG rating (Bayesian rating) below 6.5 means the
> > > > game is Bad. This is becoming a hard and fast rule for me.
>
> > > > If a game I'm interested in has a low rating (near 6.5), I consult the
> > > > average rating. If the average rating is below 7, it is a virtual
> > > > certainty that the game is Bad. Bad means I wouldn't want to own it
> > > > and would rarely want to play it.
>
> > > > That's all I really wanted to say. The rest of this post is a result
> > > > of having way too much time on my hands. If anyone has any idea what
> > > > this little analysis says about my game preferences, I'm all ears...
>
> > > > ***************************************
>
> > > > I have exactly two games in my collection that fall into the category
> > > > of (BGG < 6.5, AVG > 7): The Settlers of Zarahemla and Boggle Master.
> > > > I keep the first just because I'm Mormon and I keep the second because
> > > > I loved it as a kid, excel at it, it's impossible to trade away and
> > > > impossible to replace. (Settlers may be growing on me, but I'm not
> > > > interested enough to find out. My last play was enjoyable, though.)
>
> > > > Here are the Bad games that I own or have owned:
>
> > > > Pick Picknic 6.48
> > > > Money! 6.47
> > > > Quo Vadis? 6.45
> > > > Boggle Master 6.43
> > > > The Settlers of Zarahemla 6.42
> > > > Pickomino 6.38
> > > > Gavitt's Stock Exchange (aka Pit) 6.34
> > > > Cave Troll 6.29
> > > > Goldbräu 6.29
> > > > Winds Of Plunder 6.28
> > > > Loot 6.27
> > > > Oshi 5.87
> > > > Oriente 5.74
> > > > Reiner Knizia's Amazing Flea Circus 5.73
> > > > Covert Action 5.58
> > > > DareBase 5.51
> > > > Vantage 5.42
> > > > Skip-bo 5.16
> > > > Checkers 4.81
>
> > > > Of these, there are 3 games with BGG < 6.5 + AVG < 7 that I *might*
> > > > miss if I were the victim of a fire: Cave Troll, Money!, and Loot
> > > > (only good with teams (6/8 players)). I got rid of Cave Troll because
> > > > I couldn't stomach the theme (I like fantasy, but it embarrasses me).
> > > > Settlers and Boggle have AVG > 7.
>
> > > > * I brought Checkers back from a visit to my parents' because it just
> > > > seems like something gamers should have (like a Chess set, which I
> > > > don't own and probably never will, so go figure). It's a nice-ish
> > > > wooden set that my dad's bank gave to him. Last time I played Checkers
> > > > was with my niece 2(?) years ago. Before that, who knows.
> > > > * I was introduced to Skip-bo on the mission and bought it at some
> > > > point, but have probably never played it since then.
> > > > * Vantage is a throw-back to when I was 10 or something (yes, my copy
> > > > is that old). I've never played it. It's inconceivable to me that this
> > > > rates higher than Skip-bo. (It's from the makers of UNO!)
> > > > * DareBase was a gift from the designer. I've never played it.
> > > > * I bought Pit, Oriente, and Covert Action to try to accommodate large
> > > > groups, but have since decided that the goal is silly (and these games
> > > > pretty much suck anyway). I really would like to design a decent game
> > > > for use with the Oriente materials though.
> > > > * I got Amazing Flea Circus and Pickomino to play with my nieces, but
> > > > they were too young.
> > > > * I bought Quo Vadis? knowing I don't like it because it was a good
> > > > deal (and regret it anyway).
>
> > > > Here are the Not Bad games that I've (played) and have traded or would
> > > > rather not own:
>
> > > > Tigris & Euphrates 7.96 (4)
> > > > Race for the Galaxy 7.90 (3)
> > > > Pandemic 7.70 (2)
> > > > Taj Mahal 7.46 (3)
> > > > Citadels 7.26 (5)
> > > > Thebes 7.25 (7)
> > > > For Sale 7.17 (4)
> > > > Vegas Showdown 7.17 (1)
> > > > Tinner's Trail 7.16 (1)
> > > > Caylus Magna Carta 7.07 (4)
> > > > China 7.04 (4)
> > > > Arkadia 6.99 (1)
> > > > Hansa 6.97 (5)
> > > > Meuterer 6.96 (2)
> > > > Odin's Ravens 6.64 (4)
> > > > Phoenicia 6.61 (2)
> > > > Gheos 6.51 (4)
>
> > > > The odd-ball of this group is Taj Mahal, which I'm not a fan of, but
> > > > seem to be developing a soft spot for. If I have another enjoyable
> > > > play of it, it'll almost certainly come off this list. And on that
> > > > same note, Lost Cities would have appeared on this list right up until
> > > > my very last play of it. Most of the rest on this list either started
> > > > badly (Citadels, Pandemic, Arkadia) or seemed to get worse with each
> > > > play.
>
> > > > Of this group, there are 4 that I more or less like as games (don't
> > > > seem to get worse anyway), but rarely make the cut at play time:
> > > > Thebes (too random), Hansa (too chaotic), Odin's Ravens (two players
> > > > and too long), and Gheos (too hard to explain/remember rules).
>
> > > > And here are the Not Bad games that I have played and am happy to own:
>
> > > > Brass 7.88
> > > > Ra 7.68
> > > > Imperial 7.67
> > > > Steam 7.49
> > > > Struggle of Empires 7.48
> > > > Hollywood Blockbuster 7.18 (The presentation really bothers
>
> ...
>
> read more »
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