So let me get this straight.   Instead of counting sheep, Ran was up past
3:00 a.m. applying complex equations to his game collection only to conclude
that he prefers higher rated games over lower rated ones.

Genius!    :)

On Wed, Jul 15, 2009 at 9:17 AM, Sylvus <[email protected]> wrote:

>
> So… here is the difference in being the kind of person that suffers
> from the “cult of the new” syndrome.  I actually OWN 50 games that
> qualify under Ran’s system to be considered “guaranteed bad” (Bayesian
> rating < 6.5 and average rating < 7.0).  Due to being a bit of a
> collector I would consider any game in which I have rated a 7 or
> higher to be a keeper and I probably wouldn’t mind trading the
> others.  Of those 50 games only 5 fall within my “keep” zone.
>
> Shocking Roulette                                       7
> Buccaneer                                                       7
> Poison                                                  7
> Ticket to Ride: Mystery Train Expansion 7
> Cutthroat Caverns                                       7
>
> I have only two games that land with a Bayesian of < 6.5 and an
> average > 7.0 and those are:
>
> Ace of Aces - Handy Rotary Deluxe Edition               6       6.12468
> 7.06841
> Cutthroat Caverns: Deeper & Darker                      6       6.26582
> 7.27587
>
> I own 124 games that all average 6.5 or greater on the Bayesian.  So
> next I figured I would see the ones that rated 6 or below for ME and
> that I wouldn’t mind trading away.  That came to a total of 37 games.
>
> Mystery of the Abbey                                    5 **
> Space Dealer                                            5
> The Settlers of Catan Card Game         5
> Dungeon Twister                                 5 **
> Leonardo da Vinci                                       5
> Attika                                                  5
> Carcassonne                                             5
> Saboteur                                                        6 **
> Hoity Toity                                                     6
> Tempus                                                  6
> Niagara                                                 6 **
> Felix: The Cat in the Sack                              6
> O Zoo le Mio                                            6 **
> Wasabi!                                                 6
> Star Wars: Epic Duels                           6 *
> Bang!                                                   6 **
> A Touch of Evil, The Supernatural Game  6
> Cleopatra and the Society of Architects 6 **
> Lord of the Rings                                       6
> Mykerinos                                                       6
> Hey! That's My Fish!                                    6 **
> Arkadia                                                 6
> Hacienda                                                        6
> Nexus Ops                                               6
> Santiago                                                        6
> Shadows over Camelot                            6 **
> Lost Cities                                                     6 **
> Maharaja: Palace Building in India              6
> Lord of the Rings: The Confrontation            6
> Hive                                                            6
> Ticket to Ride: Marklin Edition                 6
> In the Year of the Dragon                               6
> Notre Dame                                              6
> The Settlers of Catan                                   6 **
> Twilight Imperium 3rd Edition                   6
> Railroad Tycoon                                         6 **
> Caylus                                                  6
> Tigris & Euphrates                                      6
>
> ** Games I would still keep due to being a "game
> evangelist" (explained later)
> * Games I would keep simply due to collectibility
>
> That leaves me with 76 games that have a Bayesian of 6.5 or greater
> and that I rate a 7 or above.  How depressing to realize that I out of
> 176 games I really only consider 43% of them as keepers.  Ah well – I
> suppose that is what is to be expected from someone that suffers from
> my affliction.
>
> The only unique part to my scenario is that I consider myself a game
> evangelist – which means that although I may not personally LIKE some
> of the games in my collection I actually keep them there so that I can
> entertain others that probably wouldn’t enjoy ANYTHING I consider to
> be a 7 or above.  I am not particular to party games but I have
> several for those that enjoy the lighter side.
>
> Interesting exercise Ran.  Thanks.
>
>
> On Jul 15, 7:21 am, Sylvus <[email protected]> wrote:
> > ROFL - OK I need an hour to go through all this and then I will
> > comment  ;)
> >
> > On Jul 15, 2:27 am, Ran <[email protected]> wrote:
> >
> > > I've decided that a BGG rating (Bayesian rating) below 6.5 means the
> > > game is Bad. This is becoming a hard and fast rule for me.
> >
> > > If a game I'm interested in has a low rating (near 6.5), I consult the
> > > average rating. If the average rating is below 7, it is a virtual
> > > certainty that the game is Bad. Bad means I wouldn't want to own it
> > > and would rarely want to play it.
> >
> > > That's all I really wanted to say. The rest of this post is a result
> > > of having way too much time on my hands. If anyone has any idea what
> > > this little analysis says about my game preferences, I'm all ears...
> >
> > > ***************************************
> >
> > > I have exactly two games in my collection that fall into the category
> > > of (BGG < 6.5, AVG > 7): The Settlers of Zarahemla and Boggle Master.
> > > I keep the first just because I'm Mormon and I keep the second because
> > > I loved it as a kid, excel at it, it's impossible to trade away and
> > > impossible to replace. (Settlers may be growing on me, but I'm not
> > > interested enough to find out. My last play was enjoyable, though.)
> >
> > > Here are the Bad games that I own or have owned:
> >
> > > Pick Picknic 6.48
> > > Money! 6.47
> > > Quo Vadis? 6.45
> > > Boggle Master 6.43
> > > The Settlers of Zarahemla 6.42
> > > Pickomino 6.38
> > > Gavitt's Stock Exchange (aka Pit) 6.34
> > > Cave Troll 6.29
> > > Goldbräu 6.29
> > > Winds Of Plunder 6.28
> > > Loot 6.27
> > > Oshi 5.87
> > > Oriente 5.74
> > > Reiner Knizia's Amazing Flea Circus 5.73
> > > Covert Action 5.58
> > > DareBase 5.51
> > > Vantage 5.42
> > > Skip-bo 5.16
> > > Checkers 4.81
> >
> > > Of these, there are 3 games with BGG < 6.5 + AVG < 7 that I *might*
> > > miss if I were the victim of a fire: Cave Troll, Money!, and Loot
> > > (only good with teams (6/8 players)). I got rid of Cave Troll because
> > > I couldn't stomach the theme (I like fantasy, but it embarrasses me).
> > > Settlers and Boggle have AVG > 7.
> >
> > > * I brought Checkers back from a visit to my parents' because it just
> > > seems like something gamers should have (like a Chess set, which I
> > > don't own and probably never will, so go figure). It's a nice-ish
> > > wooden set that my dad's bank gave to him. Last time I played Checkers
> > > was with my niece 2(?) years ago. Before that, who knows.
> > > * I was introduced to Skip-bo on the mission and bought it at some
> > > point, but have probably never played it since then.
> > > * Vantage is a throw-back to when I was 10 or something (yes, my copy
> > > is that old). I've never played it. It's inconceivable to me that this
> > > rates higher than Skip-bo. (It's from the makers of UNO!)
> > > * DareBase was a gift from the designer. I've never played it.
> > > * I bought Pit, Oriente, and Covert Action to try to accommodate large
> > > groups, but have since decided that the goal is silly (and these games
> > > pretty much suck anyway). I really would like to design a decent game
> > > for use with the Oriente materials though.
> > > * I got Amazing Flea Circus and Pickomino to play with my nieces, but
> > > they were too young.
> > > * I bought Quo Vadis? knowing I don't like it because it was a good
> > > deal (and regret it anyway).
> >
> > > Here are the Not Bad games that I've (played) and have traded or would
> > > rather not own:
> >
> > > Tigris & Euphrates 7.96 (4)
> > > Race for the Galaxy 7.90 (3)
> > > Pandemic 7.70 (2)
> > > Taj Mahal 7.46 (3)
> > > Citadels 7.26 (5)
> > > Thebes 7.25 (7)
> > > For Sale 7.17 (4)
> > > Vegas Showdown 7.17 (1)
> > > Tinner's Trail 7.16 (1)
> > > Caylus Magna Carta 7.07 (4)
> > > China 7.04 (4)
> > > Arkadia 6.99 (1)
> > > Hansa 6.97 (5)
> > > Meuterer 6.96 (2)
> > > Odin's Ravens 6.64 (4)
> > > Phoenicia 6.61 (2)
> > > Gheos 6.51 (4)
> >
> > > The odd-ball of this group is Taj Mahal, which I'm not a fan of, but
> > > seem to be developing a soft spot for. If I have another enjoyable
> > > play of it, it'll almost certainly come off this list. And on that
> > > same note, Lost Cities would have appeared on this list right up until
> > > my very last play of it. Most of the rest on this list either started
> > > badly (Citadels, Pandemic, Arkadia) or seemed to get worse with each
> > > play.
> >
> > > Of this group, there are 4 that I more or less like as games (don't
> > > seem to get worse anyway), but rarely make the cut at play time:
> > > Thebes (too random), Hansa (too chaotic), Odin's Ravens (two players
> > > and too long), and Gheos (too hard to explain/remember rules).
> >
> > > And here are the Not Bad games that I have played and am happy to own:
> >
> > > Brass 7.88
> > > Ra 7.68
> > > Imperial 7.67
> > > Steam 7.49
> > > Struggle of Empires 7.48
> > > Hollywood Blockbuster 7.18 (The presentation really bothers me.)
> > > Lost Cities 7.18
> > > Nexus Ops 7.11
> > > Hacienda 7.02
> > > In the Shadow of the Emperor 6.95
> > > No Thanks! 6.94
> > > Perikles 6.87
> > > The Ark of the Covenant 6.85
> > > Oltre Mare 6.73
> > > Scripts and Scribes 6.72
> > > Die Sieben Siegel 6.71
> > > Risk 2210 A.D. 6.62 (I'm happy to have this only as a hook for people
> > > who know Risk, but I never really want to play Risk for its own sake.
> > > I think I'd rather have Risk Revised to fill this niche, but whatever,
> > > my timing was off.)
> > > King of Siam 6.62 (This one is borderline and hard to get played, so I
> > > may trade it anyway.)
> > > The Battle for Hill 218 6.55
> >
> > > And finally, here are the Not Bad games that I own and have not played
> > > (but expect to like):
> >
> > > Memoir '44 7.50 (I may like this, but I expect to trade it anyway
> > > unless it's super duper)
> > > Tower of Babel 6.69
> > > After the Flood 6.61
> >
> > > Here are games I've played and would like to own:
> >
> > > Automobile 7.22
> > > Vikings 7.20
> > > Snow Tails 6.90
> > > Stephenson's Rocket 6.83
> > > League of Six 6.65
> >
> > > And here is a rundown of games I have played taken from the first 4
> > > pages of ranked games on BGG, separated into two groups. I think the
> > > best way to interpret this is to say that if these games were gifted
> > > to me, I'd be inclined to keep the first group and trade the second
> > > group. But I'm not in a hurry to own any of them.
> >
> > > Notre Dame
> > > In the Year of the Dragon
> > > Medici
> > > The End of the Triumvirate
> > > Chicago Express
> > > Puerto Rico
> > > Twilight Struggle
> > > Dominion
> > > Goa
> > > Stone Age
> > > Age of Empires 3
> > > Small World/Vinci
> > > Samurai
> > > Lord of the Rings: The Confrontation
> > > Acquire
> > > Amun-Re
> > > Battlestar Galactica
> > > Roborally
> > > Yspahan
> > > Cuba
> > > Bohnanza
> > > Santiago
> > > Domaine
> > > Keythedral
> > > Coloretto
> > > Ys
> > > Manila
> > > Aladdin's Dragons
> > > Showmanager
> > > Survive! (nostalgia)
> > > Roll Through the Ages
> > > Ubongo
> > > Nefertiti
> > > Can't Stop
> > > Witch's Brew
> > > Tumblin-Dice
> > > Jamaica
> > > A Castle for All Seasons (borderline)
> > > Cold War: CIA vs. KGB
> >
> > > La Citta
> > > Colosseum
> > > Shogun/Wallenstein
> > > Space Alert
> > > Eketorp
> > > Princes of Florence
> > > Mr. Jack
> > > Agricola
> > > Power Grid
> > > Caylus
> > > 1960
> > > Reef Encounter
> > > Saint Petersburg
> > > Hive
> > > Antiquity
> > > Ticket to Ride
> > > Battle Line
> > > Modern Art
> > > Through the Desert (borderline)
> > > Blokus
> > > Thurn & Taxis
> > > Louis XIV
> > > Last Night on Earth
> > > Antike
> > > Kingsburg
> > > Manoeuvre
> > > Alhambra
> > > Attika
> > > Hamburgum
> > > Formula Dé
> > > Zooloretto
> > > Wits & Wagers
> > > Ingenious
> > > A Game of Thrones
> > > Leonardo da Vinci
> > > Dungeon Twister
> > > The Settlers of Catan Card Game
> > > Winner's Circle
> > > Metropolys
> > > Ricochet Robots
> > > Edel, Stein & Reich
> > > Container
> > > Conquest of the Empire
> > > Wyatt Earp
> > > A Touch of Evil, The Supernatural Game
> > > High Society
> > > Fairy Tale
> > > Ca$h 'n Gun$
> > > Bang!
> > > Diamant
> > > Cartagena
> > > Turn The Tide
> > > Mall of Horror
> > > Age of Conan: The Strategy Board Game
> > > O Zoo le Mio
> >
>

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