Bob Cook <[email protected]> wrote:

>             Your last  comment: "I do not think so. I do not know of any
> inherently safe products that regulated solely for the good of society. "
>
>
> Making beer and wine is limited and distilling ethanol is prohibited
> without a license.     (Ethanol, however, is considered safe and can be
> purchased by any adult.)   Such action is taken for the good of the
> society.
>

You misunderstand. Beer and wine cause harm. They are not inherently safe.
They should not be sold to minors, or sold on the street, or consumed in
automobiles. Many other products that can cause harm are regulated, such as
explosives. Many are potentially dangerous, such as automobiles, which have
to be licensed and periodically inspected for safety. Gigantic robots used
for mining or manufacturing will have to be regulated. You would not want
your neighbor installing a robot large enough to crush an automobile.
However, small robots will be no threat to anyone, any more than a washing
machine is.

People who are worried about the fact that robots reduce labor should first
concentrate on machines that already do that. Probably, the washing machine
has reduced labor more that any other machine in the last 100 years. Let's
launch a campaign to regulate washing machines and limit their use, to put
all those housewives and maids back to work with washboards.

Abolishing washing machines would be absurd, obviously. It would be equally
absurd to restrict the use of Roomba room sweepers and the Baxter robot.
Yet we know that over the next 20 to 50 years such things will evolve into
robots that take away almost all human jobs. Baxter has no measurable
impact on employment today. When the first few thousand washing machines
were installed around 1910, I am sure they had no impact on overall
employment. It wasn't until hundreds of thousands were installed that they
began to tell. By that time it would have been too late to ban them, if
anyone had thought to do that. By the time the Roomba and Baxter machines
evolve into more practical machines and their numbers increase enough to
have an impact on employment, everyone will be used to having them around.
People would not more allow the government to restrict their numbers or use
than they would allow the government to ban washing machines today.

The Internet, Amazon.com and Google have gutted the newspaper business,
book publishing, bookstores and the Post Office. This outcome was a sure
thing ten years ago. I and many others knew it was inevitable. Overall,
these innovations greatly reduced employment. Does anyone imagine they
might have been stopped -- or even slowed down -- for that reason?

Along similar lines, the coal industry is pulling out all the stops to
prevent the use of wind and solar power, because wind and solar are now
competitive with coal in many markets. The moment it becomes generally
known that cold fusion is real, I am sure that oil, coal, wind and solar
companies will go ape shit and fight cold fusion with every means at their
disposal. They will advertise like the dickens and they will buy every
Congressman and Senator. That is inevitable. However, if we can make the
public understand that cold fusion will save people tremendous sums of
money, far more than any tax break, then I am sure the energy industry will
lose that fight.

- Jed

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