On Fri, Dec 23, 2011 at 12:36 PM, Jed Rothwell <[email protected]>wrote:

> I wrote:
>
>
>> Can you think of a recent spectacular innovation that has been marketed
>>> by deliberately acting in a way that suggests it can't and doesn't work?
>>
>>
>> Toyota's plug in Prius. Toyota kept saying existing model is not designed
>> for plug-in mode; they do not recommend it; it will take a complete
>> redesign. . . .
>>
>
> Obviously they were not saying "it does not work" but rather "it does not
> work yet, it is hard to make it work, don't count on GM making this work,"
> etc. They were downplaying expectations. They did not circulate
> specifications, so automotive journalists were playing a guessing game
> about the range and features.
>
> Rossi has never said or implied that the thing "can't and doesn't work."
> What he does is to leave lots of room for plausible doubt in the minds of
> his opponents and competition. This lulls them into a false sense of
> security. Toyota was doing the same thing by downplaying expectations about
> the plug-in Prius.
>

Dreadful example.  Nobody doubted for an instant that a plug in Prius was
coming soon.  And nobody stopped buying the add ons who was willing to pay
their high prices.


> It is not possible for Rossi to fine tune the response to his tactics in
> other people's minds. He does not care about most people's response. He is
> only concerned about a small number of people who might buy 1 MW reactors.
> I believe he refuses all scientific tests because he knows that a test will
> prove beyond doubt the thing is real, and that would lead to disastrous
> consequences for him: a Niagara of competition. He knows as well as I do
> that not allowing tests will convince people such as Yugo that he is
> committing fraud. He does not care what Yugo thinks. Why should he? She is
> not going to buy a 1 MW reactor. Actually, she is doing him a favor by
> attacking him in the mass media discussion sections.
>

Your novel fantasies are amusing.  I doubt I do much harm to Rossi's case
with believers.  I hope I alert the general public and potential investors
that they need to be wary and to not believe the optimistic hype about
Rossi's tests and supposed client.


> In short, he is doing a "fan dance" striptease act.
>
> He does not want to sell smaller reactors because someone like me would
> buy one only in order to test it, and publish the results. Plus if he sells
> 100 small ones he will have less control over them than he has over one big
> machine with 100 reactors inside it. It is 100 times less work too, vetting
> customers, arranging deals, preparing contracts and so on.
>

So let me be sure I understand.  To be safe, instead of selling small
reactors to potential competitors, Rossi was able to sell 1300 leaky, half
rated-power models that require a large diesel generator, to someone?   To
an American military organization?  That has to stay anonymous?  And you
believe it?    That's very funny.

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