There was NO news between the time you went from 10:1 down to 2:1.  ZERO.
You've disconnected from reality yet again, because you seem to be thinking
that the latest news about Rossi is what's being discussed.  Bullshit.  The
news took you from 35% to 41%, a rise of 6 points.  Back in the NO NEWS
period you went down 60 points.  It paints a perfect picture of a guy who's
completely full of shit.


On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 4:47 PM, Blaze Spinnaker
<[email protected]>wrote:

> Well, it was news to me.
>
>
> On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:49 PM, Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]>wrote:
>
>> Horse shit.  You didn't change your views in those few days based upon
>> news.  You changed it based upon your interactions here, during a time at
>> which there was no news.
>>
>>
>> On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:36 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> We both used Intrade, Kevin.  This is how it works.
>>>
>>> Changing news requires updating your priors constantly.
>>>
>>>
>>> On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:32 PM, Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]>wrote:
>>>
>>>> Yeah, right.  You first come onto Vortex-L giving 10:1 odds and then
>>>> quickly pull back.  You're the one disconnected to reality.  I wouldn't
>>>> care except for the fact that you took money off the table.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:30 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Kevin, you're very very confused about reality.  I tend to avoid
>>>>> discussions with such people.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Thu, Jan 23, 2014 at 4:34 PM, Kevin O'Malley 
>>>>> <[email protected]>wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> STMicro has nothing to do with Rossi.
>>>>>> Cherokee stuff is all rumor, but at least it has something to do with
>>>>>> Rossi.
>>>>>> 3rd party reports in March -- he's been saying that all along, so why
>>>>>> does this suddenly mean an increase of 2%?
>>>>>> Defkalion has nothing to do with Rossi.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> As has been stated upthread, Blaze you're all over the map.  You need
>>>>>> to sit down and generate your own internal idea of whether LENR is real.
>>>>>> Then for Rossi, there's a bifurcation.  His ECat could be a real LENR
>>>>>> device but it might not ever be controllable enough to sell to industry.
>>>>>> So, yes, he's "real" but that isn't truly what you're getting at.
>>>>>> Basically, the independent report from ELFORSK by 7 independent 
>>>>>> scientists
>>>>>> PROVED that Rossi is "real" to anyone willing to honestly evaluate the
>>>>>> evidence, so this bloviating will be about something else.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> When you first started posting this kind of stuff, you offered me
>>>>>> 10:1 odds and within a matter of a couple of days you backtracked to 2:1
>>>>>> odds.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> In order to get money on the table you need to sweeten the pot.  2:1
>>>>>> odds are almost not even worth it, especially seeing how you backtrack 
>>>>>> and
>>>>>> hide behind word usage, that kind of thing.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 6:21 AM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> This is based on
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>    - STMicro patent (Increased about 4.5%)
>>>>>>>    - Cherokee Investments (Increased about 2.5%)
>>>>>>>    - Rossi stating third party reports in March (increased 2%)
>>>>>>>    - Lack of news from Defkalion (-1%)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> News seems to be coming in fairly rapidly at this point.   Could be
>>>>>>> updating this probability more frequently.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>
>

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