What does real mean? Does it mean LENR is physically possible, does it mean Rossi will commercialize LENR, does it mean DGT will commercialize LENR...I could go on with another 100 variations of "what does it mean?".
If the event that the odds are meant to describe is not defined in detail to the last scintilla, then the odds are meaningless. On Tue, Jan 7, 2014 at 10:29 AM, Blaze Spinnaker <[email protected]>wrote: > Anyways. I have a long history of success in predicting future events on > Intrade, as well as a methodology that has worked out well. It's not > particularly difficult, it's just that few people bother to try. > > I'm pretty sure if more people here (especially those who are reality > based versus faith based) made a focused attempt they could come up with > better and more accurate probabilities than I. > > However, until they do, I'm all you got it looks like. > > > On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 6:21 AM, Blaze Spinnaker > <[email protected]>wrote: > >> This is based on >> >> - STMicro patent (Increased about 4.5%) >> - Cherokee Investments (Increased about 2.5%) >> - Rossi stating third party reports in March (increased 2%) >> - Lack of news from Defkalion (-1%) >> >> News seems to be coming in fairly rapidly at this point. Could be >> updating this probability more frequently. >> >> >> >> >> >
