Horse shit. You didn't change your views in those few days based upon news. You changed it based upon your interactions here, during a time at which there was no news.
On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:36 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <[email protected]>wrote: > We both used Intrade, Kevin. This is how it works. > > Changing news requires updating your priors constantly. > > > On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:32 PM, Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]>wrote: > >> Yeah, right. You first come onto Vortex-L giving 10:1 odds and then >> quickly pull back. You're the one disconnected to reality. I wouldn't >> care except for the fact that you took money off the table. >> >> >> On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:30 PM, Blaze Spinnaker < >> [email protected]> wrote: >> >>> Kevin, you're very very confused about reality. I tend to avoid >>> discussions with such people. >>> >>> >>> >>> On Thu, Jan 23, 2014 at 4:34 PM, Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]>wrote: >>> >>>> >>>> STMicro has nothing to do with Rossi. >>>> Cherokee stuff is all rumor, but at least it has something to do with >>>> Rossi. >>>> 3rd party reports in March -- he's been saying that all along, so why >>>> does this suddenly mean an increase of 2%? >>>> Defkalion has nothing to do with Rossi. >>>> >>>> As has been stated upthread, Blaze you're all over the map. You need >>>> to sit down and generate your own internal idea of whether LENR is real. >>>> Then for Rossi, there's a bifurcation. His ECat could be a real LENR >>>> device but it might not ever be controllable enough to sell to industry. >>>> So, yes, he's "real" but that isn't truly what you're getting at. >>>> Basically, the independent report from ELFORSK by 7 independent scientists >>>> PROVED that Rossi is "real" to anyone willing to honestly evaluate the >>>> evidence, so this bloviating will be about something else. >>>> >>>> When you first started posting this kind of stuff, you offered me 10:1 >>>> odds and within a matter of a couple of days you backtracked to 2:1 odds. >>>> >>>> In order to get money on the table you need to sweeten the pot. 2:1 >>>> odds are almost not even worth it, especially seeing how you backtrack and >>>> hide behind word usage, that kind of thing. >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 6:21 AM, Blaze Spinnaker < >>>> [email protected]> wrote: >>>> >>>>> This is based on >>>>> >>>>> - STMicro patent (Increased about 4.5%) >>>>> - Cherokee Investments (Increased about 2.5%) >>>>> - Rossi stating third party reports in March (increased 2%) >>>>> - Lack of news from Defkalion (-1%) >>>>> >>>>> News seems to be coming in fairly rapidly at this point. Could be >>>>> updating this probability more frequently. >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>> >>> >> >
