GoranSMilovanovic added a comment.

  @Jan_Dittrich
  
  > For people who become active editors again, it would be interesting to 
understand the patterns: Do they leave for a year and start again? (Like 
parents taking a baby break) Do they stop for a month and continue? (maybe they 
were sick or so) etc. Different thresholds were proposed in this paper, an 
extensive analysis of inter-activity time is published here
  
  I guess the first step - before introducing any hypotheses on semantics 
("parents taking a baby break", "maybe they were sick or so", etc) - is to take 
a look at the distributions of the length of sequences of active and inactive 
months. 
  Here's the chart:
  
  F34466243: Activity_Inactivity_SeqLength.png 
<https://phabricator.wikimedia.org/F34466243>
  
  And there is already something interesting to observe: see how (a) on shorter 
activity/inactivity sequences (x-axis, represents the length of `000...` or 
`111...`) we observe more inactivity periods than activity periods, while (b) 
the situation switches in favor of activity periods as the length of the 
sequences increases?
  
  Is this an illustration of Lindy indeed?
  
  - The lengthier the observed sequence, it is more likely to be a sequence of 
active than inactive months;
  - Vice versa, the shorter the observed sequence, it is more likely to be a 
sequence of inactive than active months?

TASK DETAIL
  https://phabricator.wikimedia.org/T282563

EMAIL PREFERENCES
  https://phabricator.wikimedia.org/settings/panel/emailpreferences/

To: GoranSMilovanovic
Cc: awight, WMDE-leszek, Manuel, Lydia_Pintscher, Aklapper, Jan_Dittrich, 
Invadibot, maantietaja, Akuckartz, Nandana, Lahi, Gq86, GoranSMilovanovic, 
QZanden, LawExplorer, _jensen, rosalieper, Scott_WUaS, Wikidata-bugs, aude, 
Mbch331
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