On Sat, Nov 28, 2009 at 19:06, Wayne Mackintosh
<[email protected]> wrote:
> Steve,
>
> Well said and excellent post!

Wayne, I fear that you don't know what you are talking about. Are you
also a global warming denier/"skeptic"? Or just grotesquely
politically correct, treating all points of view as equally to be
respected? If it's something else, please tell us what.

On Sat, Nov 28, 2009 at 18:36, Steve Foerster <[email protected]> wrote:
> The use of the word "denialism" to describe climate change skeptics is
> the most obnoxious tactic in political discourse today,

Nowhere near it.

Calling yourself a skeptic when you accuse the entire scientific
community of fraud and conspiracy is one of the more obnoxious tactics
in political discourse today, but it does not compare in nastiness
with Dog Whistle race politics and some other practices. See my page
http://www.dkosopedia.com/wiki/Code_words for a large and extremely
snarky set of translations of the widespread but unacknowledged greed,
racism, and intolerance. Countering lies and intentional ignorance
with facts, using clearly defined terms supported by evidence, is not
a tactic. It is a central part of the Scientific Method.

We cannot settle the issues between us by arguing about language. Let
us begin with facts. I need to know which scientific data, theory, and
conclusions you accept, and which you reject.

1) CO2 in the atmosphere is rising. Here is the chart of CO2 in the
atmosphere for the last 50 years.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mauna_Loa_Carbon_Dioxide-en.svg
Do you believe that this dataset has been faked? If so, how?

2) Do you accept the data on the burning of carbon?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide#In_the_Earth.27s_atmosphere
"Emissions of CO2 by human activities are currently more than 130
times greater than the quantity emitted by volcanoes, amounting to
about 27 billion tonnes per year."
"The oceans have absorbed about 50% of the carbon dioxide (CO2)
released from the burning of fossil fuels, resulting in chemical
reactions that lower ocean pH. This has caused an increase in hydrogen
ion (acidity) of about 30% since the start of the industrial age
through a process known as “ocean acidification.”

Do you believe that these measurements have been faked?

3) If both of those are true, and also the established fact that CO2
is a greenhouse gas, does it follow that global warming is man-made?
If not, what would count as sufficient evidence?

4) If global warming were real and man-made, do you accept that we
would have to do something about it?

5) Who are the reliable sources among the Global Warming
Deniers/"Climate Change Skeptics", many of whom have obvious conflicts
of interest in working for the carbon fuel industry?

After you answer those, I will give you links to CO2 in the oceans; to
air, water, and land temperatures; to the melting of ice and
permafrost; to tree-ring and other archaeological data on CO2 and
warming; and a good deal more.

> and I would
> like to think that in a community like ours it would be entirely
> unwelcome.

Denialism is a widespread and well-documented phenomenon, whether or
not you accept that you suffer from it. See, for example Mistakes Were
Made (but not by me).

We have had in recent times AIDS denial, Holocaust denial, Global
Warming denial, evolution denial/Creationism/Creation
Science/"Intelligent Design; economics denial (Voodoo Economics),
Apollo moon mission denial, 9/11 denial, vaccine denial, and a number
of other such movements. Each has the same characteristics, as did
fluoridation denial, Communist conspiracy theories, the Protocols of
the Elders of Zion, and much more.

> In the highly charged environment we have when it comes to
> this issue, where there is so much noise and the truth is so often
> hidden by melodramatic rhetoric on both sides,

The noise is entirely on the shrieking deniers' side. Scientists speak
calmly about data, conjectures, evidence, theories, peer review,
experiments, confirmation, refutation, and the like. I will cite
examples sometime, and you can do the same. I will then refute your
examples. Actually, let us begin with Senators James Inhofe, R-OK, and
Al Gore, formerly D-TN, and look at their rhetorical styles. Start
here.

http://www.summitdaily.com/article/20091129/LETTER/911289999/1078&ParentProfile=1055
When Democratic Sen. Harry Reid announced last week that any vote on
the climate change bill was being postponed until 2010, Republican
Sen. James Inhofe from Oklahoma, the leading climate change skeptic in
the Senate, said to Barbara Boxer in a Senate speech: “It's over. Get
a life. You lost. I won.”

> it is not only fools
> and liars who are skeptical of global warming, it is entirely possible
> to hold that position in good faith.

Only if you are willfully ignorant, as I propose to demonstrate to you
that you are.

> Edward, if you want to point out how the science behind this works,
> and explain why those who are skeptical (1) that climate change is
> occurring, and (2) that it's human caused, and (3) that it will be a
> very bad thing for humanity, then that's great -- I for one admit that
> I could use a better understanding of it.

OK. I have started above. If you give me a list of points that trouble
you, I can tailor my presentation to your difficulties. Here is a good
summary:

http://www.summitdaily.com/article/20091129/LETTER/911289999/1078&ParentProfile=1055
Politics aside, what is the evidence that humans are largely
responsible for global warming? The argument is very simple actually.
Since 1750, CO2 levels in the Earth's atmosphere have risen from 280
ppm to 394 ppm, methane levels have risen from 715 ppb to 1775 ppb,
and nitrous oxide levels have risen from 270 ppb to 319 ppb. CO2
measurements since 1955 have come from atmospheric monitoring stations
around the world, while measurements before 1955 come from ice cores
in Antarctica and deep sea cores around the world. According to Woods
Hole Oceanographic Institute, there has been a direct correlation
between CO2 concentration and global temperatures. (Global
temperatures are partially inferred by examining the percentage
changes in tropical, subtropical, and cold water species of plankton
in deep sea cores). At 394 ppm, CO2 concentration is the highest it
has been in the last 400,000 years. Measurements of human-caused
(anthropogenic) greenhouse gases show even greater increases than the
atmospheric increases. Excess CO2 is absorbed by plants during
photosynthesis, but with deforestation, the plants cannot remove all
the anthropogenic CO2. According to the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, 13 of the warmest 14 years since 1880
occurred in the 14 years between 1994 and 2009.

But there is much, much more.

> But to repeatedly use such
> a term in a transparent attempt to morally equate climate change
> skeptics with holocaust deniers is hateful and divisive.  Please stop
> it.

No. It is equivalent, and could lead to even more deaths of people
whom most Americans consider not to matter much until they are
actually dying. You stop it.

Let me give you a historical example. Henry Ford was taken in by the
Protocols of the Elders of Zion, an obvious forgery. But as one of my
math professors used to say, it may well be that something is obvious,
but it is not obvious that it is obvious. Henry Ford was anti-Semitic
in what you call good faith, until he had the forgery process and
motives explained to him. How would he know? you might ask. Well, he
could have asked. Lots of people would have told him. It was no
secret. And neither is this. So thanks for asking.

Normally, I would not want to carry on a conversation so seemingly
irrelevant to this list's purpose. But I maintain that epistemology is
fundamental to everything we do, and this is an excellent test case.
Every child growing up has to decide what to believe because others
say so, and what to check up on. Also, how to check. Who is reliable
on a particular subject? Should I check even on those people?

> Sincerely,
>
> -=Steve=-
>
> --
> Stephen H. Foerster
> http://wikieducator.org/steve
>
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-- 
Edward Mokurai (默雷/धर्ममेघशब्दगर्ज/دھرممیگھشبدگر ج) Cherlin
Silent Thunder is my name, and Children are my nation.
The Cosmos is my dwelling place, the Truth my destination.
http://www.earthtreasury.org/

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