Nice question, James. Head over to Meta and ask. They'll be able to tell
you their sources, and if you have better sources, they'll update it.

Warmly,
/a

On Fri, Mar 3, 2017 at 7:19 PM, James Salsman <jsals...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Hi Katherine,
>
> Where did the projections on the "Internet penetration by 2030"
> slide[1] on the process briefing[2] come from? They look very low. The
> file summary description says they came from the UN Department of
> Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division[3] but they aren't
> anywhere in that document which doesn't mention the internet at all.
> There don't seem to be any reasons to doubt that everyone who has
> cellular phone service today (over 98% of the world population[4] and
> about 83% of Bangladeshis) won't have mobile broadband in thirteen
> years. London-based IBIS Capital says that the developed world will
> have about 90% mobile broadband penetration in just three years.[5]
>
> [1] https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=File:The_
> World_in_2030_-_Presentation_for_movement_strategy_discussions.pdf&page=30
>
> [2] https://meta.wikimedia.org/?curid=10184031
>
> [3] http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/
> publications/pdf/trends/Population2030.pdf
>
> [4] http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IT.CEL.SETS.P2
>
> [5] http://wildfirecomms-images.co.uk/img/broadband-1450108646.jpg
>
> On Fri, Mar 3, 2017 at 5:10 PM, Katherine Maher <kma...@wikimedia.org>
> wrote:
> > Hi all!
> >
> > Happy March! This week I was in Barcelona at the Mobile World Congress
> > conference to support the efforts of the Iraqi Wikimedians User Group.
> The
> > community, led by Sarmad Saeed Yaseen and Ravan Jafaar al-Taie, led the
> > development of a partnership with a local mobile network operator to
> bring
> > Wikipedia to 12 million people for free. This is significant for a nation
> > where mobile penetration is near-universal, but internet penetration is
> > around 17%. [0] Congratulations to our Iraq Wikimedians for their
> efforts!
> >
> > *Feedback requested*
> > There are two items in particular on Meta-Wiki ready for your feedback:
> >
> >    - The briefing document has been expanded; it contains an overview of
> >    the information that every participant in the strategy discussion
> should
> >    know. Please help us improve it or share your thoughts on the talk
> page.
> >       - https://meta.wikimedia.org/?curid=10184031
> >    - Please also review the basic premises that should be mutually agreed
> >    upon by all participants and used as the basis of arguments. Once the
> >    discussions start, the premises will be fixed.
> >       - https://meta.wikimedia.org/?curid=10191140
> >
> > *Track A (Organized groups) and Track B (Individual contributors)*
> >
> >    - The Core Team and Track Leads have posted the draft of the toolkit
> for
> >    coordinating community discussions on Meta-Wiki.[1] They will be
> finalizing
> >    it with the Community Process Steering Committee this week.
> >    - The Core Team is developing some basic terminology and simple
> examples
> >    for a shared understanding of our intended outcome from the first
> phase of
> >    the strategy process. This will be shared with the Community Process
> >    Steering Committee before posting to Meta-Wiki for feedback.
> >    - Zack McCune and Blanca Flores from the Communications Department are
> >    working with  the Core Team on a final graphic image of the process
> model
> >    that will be posted on Meta-Wiki next week.
> >    - Victor Grigas from Communications Department created a short video
> to
> >    inspire participants to get engaged and contribute; the final version
> >    should be available next week and utilized in subsequent
> announcements.
> >    - The Core Team researched movement strategy terminology, components,
> >    examples, and theories, and they continue to work with experts in and
> >    outside the Foundation to further develop content for the briefing
> >    document.[2] We expect this work to be complete by the end of this
> week.
> >    - The Core Team and Track Leads reviewed the initial plan for
> Wikimedia
> >    Conference Strategy track with the facilitators. They are working on a
> >    detailed agenda, which will be posted on Meta-Wiki in the next two
> weeks.[3]
> >    - Nicole and the Core Team are finalizing the materials which will be
> >    used to facilitate the first Track A discussions being held 10 March
> to 10
> >    April.
> >    - The Core Team and Track Leads are reviewing options for collecting
> >    research for Tracks A & B.
> >    - Community Engagement is completing the hiring of language
> >    liaisons/specialists, and will begin training and onboarding next
> week.
> >
> >
> > *Track C (Partners and readers in high-reach markets) and Track D
> (Partners
> > and readers in low reach markets)*
> >
> >    - The Core Team met with John Holcombe (Wellspring Insights) and
> >    discussed the objectives and best methodologies for quick,
> inexpensive,
> >    generative research in high-reach markets. His recommendation is an
> online
> >    survey that explores awareness, attitudes and usage.
> >    - The Core Team and Track C Leads spoke with Celinda Lake (President,
> >    Lake Research Partners) to get her insights on the proposed market
> research
> >    and recommendations on firms or contractors (including Lake) who could
> >    conduct desk and/or generative research.
> >    - The Core Team and Track C Leads spoke with Wikimedia Deutschland
> about
> >    a Track C strategy salon around Wikimedia Conference in Berlin. We
> will be
> >    working with them to find local contacts to invite. The date will be
> >    Wednesday, March 29.
> >    - Track C Leads are starting a job description and recruiting for a
> >    project assistant.
> >    - Track C Leads are working with Nick Wilson of the Technical
> >    Collaboration team to publish the Track C proposal on Meta-Wiki by
> mid-next
> >    week.
> >    - The Core Team and Track D Leads reviewed a preliminary list of
> experts
> >    and brainstormed additional types of people and organizations we
> should
> >    consult. They also began reaching back out to our networks to help
> fill
> >    some of the identified gaps.
> >
> >
> > *Next steps*
> >
> >    - Develop training sessions for newly hired language
> >    liaisons/specialists and discussion coordinators.
> >    - Send launch email to Track A organized groups, so that they can
> >    prepare for and schedule their in-person and virtual discussions,
> which
> >    will begin 10 March.
> >    - Prepare for Track B discussions, which will start by 14 March.
> >    - Develop content for discussion prompts, facilitator guides, and
> >       summary templates for reporting back results from discussions.
> >       - Finalize content for Meta-Wiki and local project wikis to help
> >       promote discussions.
> >    - Finalize Tracks C & D budget and identify research
> firms/consultants.
> >    - Build out list of experts and develop expert interview guide for
> >    Tracks C & D.
> >
> > Thanks for reading through, and happy weekend!
> >
> > Cheers,
> > Katherine
> >
> > PS. A version of this message is available for translation on
> Meta-Wiki.[4]
> >
> > [0] http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IT.NET.USER.P2
> > [1] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Strategy/Wikimedia_
> movement/2017/Toolkit
> > [2]
> > https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Strategy/Wikimedia_
> movement/2017/Process/Framing
> > [3]
> > https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Conference_
> 2017/Program_Design_Process/Movement_Strategy
> > [4]
> > https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Strategy/Wikimedia_
> movement/2017/Updates/2_March_2017_-_Update_9_on_Wikimedia_
> movement_strategy_process
> > --
> > Katherine Maher
> >
> > Wikimedia Foundation
> > 149 New Montgomery Street
> > San Francisco, CA 94105
> >
> > +1 (415) 839-6885 ext. 6635
> > +1 (415) 712 4873
> > kma...@wikimedia.org
> > _______________________________________________
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