I am not sure if agent-based modelling offers better insight
than the knowledge of history combined with common sense,
but it is probably much better than Game Theory and pure
mathematical analysis. One problem is the myriad ways in which
actors in societies can interact with each other: if
Good idea, but a lot of others had it, too. There is already a large number
of social networking sites with web interfaces that are building and
organizing themselves. For example, to name a few,
http://groups.yahoo.com/
http://groups.msn.com/
http://www.myspace.com/
** today / non-standard time of 2p **
TITLE: Attention Allocation in Organizational Decision-Making
SPEAKER: Douglas A. Samuelson
AFFILIATION: Homeland Security Institute
LOCATION: 624 Agua Fria Conference Room
TIME: Wed August 9, ** 2:00p ** (non-standard time)
ABSTRACT: Consider how
Speaking of books on complex adaptive systems...
- Martin
Original Message
Subject: [alife] Call for chapter: Intelligent Complex Adaptive Systems
Date: Wed, 9 Aug 2006 10:37:04 +1000
From: Ang Yang [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
APOLOGIES FOR MULTIPLE POSTINGS
On 8/9/06, McNamara, Laura A [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Computational social science doesn't lend itself to VV the way that physics-based mod-sim does, so creativity in VV is required...I agree, and I think the approach that RAND take is as good as any. My concern though is that any social science
As a followup to an on-line discussion, the face-to-face FRIAM group last week spoke some more about kinds of complexity. I mentioned a paper of Seth Lloyd's, which is called "Measures of Complexity: A non-exhaustive list." I have a hard copy, undated, and retrieved from Joe Traub's files,. I
Quoting Robert Holmes [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
You want a simulation that shows it's a good idea to
invade Iraq? No problem, I'll interview a bunch of experts, code up
realistic micro-rules and give you a simulation that shows yes, that's a
sensible policy. You want a simulation that shows it's not
What results when the people with power poke their noses into the process, any
time, anywhere is second guessing, distrust, fear, and resistance. Those with
power need to allocate decision making authority and then stick by that
allocation, even when it comes to restricting their own behavior.
On 8/9/06, Pamela McCorduck [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
snip...In fact, asking for the true mathematical definition of complexity today is like asking for the true mathematical definition of electricity in 1800: to understand electricity, it turned out to be much more productive to define several
Seth Lloyd's paper about measures of complexity is on the web, and here's the link:http://web.mit.edu/esd.83/www/notebook/Complexity.PDF I sit in one of the dives On Fifty-second Street Uncertain and afraid As the clever hopes expire Of a low dishonest decadeW. H. Auden
Phil,Not quite, unfortunately. EpiSims, and other similar ABMs can all too easily be used to identify weaknesses and potential exploits of social infrastructures. We did studies for the US DHS that demonstrated exactly this a couple of years ago when I still worked at LANL. One example was when we
Well that curve is the clearest kind of complex systems inforation we
ever get. This is one beautiful and dramatic bullet of information,
and I think if we ask a hundred systems scientists what it means we'll
get a lot of opinion, much of it not based on systems theory.
I think what's
Hi,
Has anybody any thoughts to share about Gintis's new book? I have like some of Gintis's work as presented at conferences. But I am struggling with this book because, despite an aura of userfriendliness, the book seems to leave huge steps out. It seems to be a compilation of dozens and
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