With integration of LLMs (and other ML) into AR and personal assistant
tech riding around on early adopters "shoulders", I would expect these
percieve-reason-act structures to be "in training" essentially learning
how to emulate (and extrapolate) their user's/wearer's/familiar's
decision
>Though these were all experienced and confident men, the average year to year correlation
in their results was 0.01. The highly rewarded experts of finance
have no real idea what they're doing, they are highly rewarded for an
"illusion of skill"<
One of my father-in-law's best friends was
I saw this article mentioned by Eliot Jacobson on his X/Twitter profile which
argues that our actions will most likely not be enough until there is a big
shock which motivates real change. It also uses the Covid pandemic to
illustrate that people are able to change if they are convinced their
I like your arc, here. But it's missing one thing that I think is important (for whatever
that's worth). The freewill and choice tokens seem to point at the space containing both
the outcome of the resolution process and, more importantly, all the many counterfactuals
that "could have"
Sorry, Jochen, just about everything you recommend will make things worse.
I also wrote about the failure of the climate models almost ten years ago.
You nailed one of the biggest problems, though: even really smart guys
don't know shit about global warming.
On Sat, Jan 27, 2024 at 3:11 PM
I feel like individual actions (like sorting recycling, buying/using EVs, etc.)
are a tiny drop in the bucket compared to institutional actions. For example,
the NIH recently held a meeting in Maryland explicitly stating a *preference*
for in person attendance. This seemed egregious to me. I
At some point we'll have SAF at scale.
https://www.energy.gov/eere/bioenergy/sustainable-aviation-fuels
Leigh
On 29 Jan 2024 at 03:26 PM, glen related
> I feel like individual actions (like sorting recycling, buying/using EVs,
> etc.) are a tiny drop in the bucket compared to institutional
Hi:
Generating electricity via power plants causes 25% of the GHGs and uses 45%
of the water in the US. In less populated countries it is closer to
70/80%. More EV will cause more need for electricity, so removing fossil
fuels from power plants is the key. Solar and wind are helping. But the
She is correct. The IPCC reports are also very conservative.
An informal poll of the IPCC representatives gave 2.5C as the likeliest
final temp rise. That is a huge amount, however probably not enough to
eliminate humanity.
We are turning the corner: carbon emissions have plateaued.
However