She is correct. The IPCC reports are also very conservative. An informal poll of the IPCC representatives gave 2.5C as the likeliest final temp rise. That is a huge amount, however probably not enough to eliminate humanity.
We are turning the corner: carbon emissions have plateaued. However passing through a tipping point seems still quite likely to me. Pearce's With Speed and Violence gives a great overview of the science and what the evidence of past climate transitions looks like. https://books.google.com/books?id=rimrkFlTHn4C&pg=PT1&source=kp_read_button&hl=en&newbks=1&newbks_redir=0&gboemv=1#v=onepage&q&f=false Curt On Sat, Jan 27, 2024, 3:00 PM Russ Abbott <russ.abb...@gmail.com> wrote: > I apologize for this relatively mass email. It was prompted by a video > <https://youtu.be/4S9sDyooxf4?si=_A767WzYTxriYGdl> by Sabine > Hossenfelder, Sabine is a theoretical physicist who has spent much of her > recent life as a popular science writer and video maker. See her Wikipedia > page <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabine_Hossenfelder>. > > The video linked to above talks about climate models. The bottom line is > that it appears that most of the current models have underestimated how > quickly earth will warm. The consequences are frightening. > > -- Russ Abbott > Professor Emeritus, Computer Science > California State University, Los Angeles > -. --- - / ...- .- .-.. .. -.. / -- --- .-. ... . / -.-. --- -.. . > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Fridays 9a-12p Friday St. Johns Cafe / Thursdays 9a-12p Zoom > https://bit.ly/virtualfriam > to (un)subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > archives: 5/2017 thru present > https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/ > 1/2003 thru 6/2021 http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/ >
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