It's true, Ben is really like an angel investor,
since he has a high profile AGI project,
and invests some time in interacting,
with our low-profile AGI projects,
or even AGI ideas for some.


On Fri, Apr 19, 2013 at 9:35 PM, Ben Goertzel <[email protected]> wrote:

>
> Andrew...
>
> [changed the thread name]
>
> On Fri, Apr 19, 2013 at 10:37 PM, Andrew G. Babian <[email protected]>wrote:
>
>>
>> So to throw something somewhat more positive out there,  I just looked at
>> the website of the people working at Google Research.  They've got
>> literally tons of people in areas like machine perception, AI, machine
>> learning, machine translation.  It does give me the feeling that there are
>> people, and with enough plugging, they will eventually get AGI as just a
>> natural progression.  Of, course, I think they field and the stuff they use
>> has some missing bits, but that's just me.  You all can tilt at all the
>> windmills y'all want, but they have money and talent at a level we can't
>> approach.
>>
>
> I have visited Google Research in Mountain View a number of times, and I
> know a bunch of researchers there fairly well...
>
> Of course their staff are intelligent and talented and so forth....  And
> they are well paid and have a lot of data and computing resources.
>
> I don't think their staff are supernaturally talented or anything like
> that....  Some of the folks I am working with on AI, in Hong Kong and Addis
> Ababa, are every bit as talented and clever as the Google Research
> staff....  Silicon Valley does not have a monopoly on brilliant tech
> talent, though they may well have the world's best publicists ;-) ...
>
> In the end, only a very miniscule portion of the resources of Google -- or
> any other current large tech company -- is oriented toward AGI in any
> direct or semi-direct way.  When AGI is pursued within these firms, it's
> currently in teeny-tiny skunkworks projects....  And these skunkworks
> projects tend to get quasi-randomly dissolved when corporate priorities
> change (e.g. Sam Adam's now-dormant Joshua Blue AGI project at IBM; some
> previous Google AGI skunkworks projects I know about via personal
> commmunications...)
>
> So, consider the two possibilities:
>
> A)
> A large company with a teeny skunkworks AGI team, plus a lot of smart guys
> working on other projects peripherally related to AGI
>
> B)
> A small team working outside any large company or institution, with
> uncertain but non-zero funding, but focused directly on AGI
>
> ... Is it really so obvious that A is going to get to the end goal before
> B?  I don't think so....  Based on general common sense, it seems either
> one is possible....
>
> There is, of course, a scientific question here: Whether AGI can be
> achieved by basically integrating a bunch of components created for non-AGI
> purposes, with some sort of relatively simple "AGI controller" layered on
> top of it....  I personally don't think this can work.   I think that even
> if the **ideas** underlying a bunch of narrow-AI components are sufficient
> to guide the creation of modules of an AGI system, in actual practice, the
> way narrow-AI systems are written generally precludes their integration
> into an AGI framework....   Integrating components into an AGI framework
> generally requires allowing each component to infuse knowledge and guidance
> into the others at a deep level, and generally narrow-AI software is not
> designed or coded to allow this; and redesigning a piece of narrow-AI
> software in such a way requires a lot of deep thinking as well as hard
> engineering....   I have been involved with this sort of work a lot...
>
> Finally, and hopefully without being insulting to anyone, I would like to
> point out that the folks who post on this list are not remotely
> representative of the community of "AGI researchers unaffiliated with large
> corporations." ....  The folks who choose to spend a lot of time reading
> and writing on AGI e-mail lists form a quite particular sub-population.  On
> average, they tend to have fewer professional qualifications and less
> funding for their work, than plenty of other AGI researchers out there...
>
> For instance, I think Kris Thorisson at Reykjavik University is making a
> real stab at AGI, as are the guys at Deep Mind in the UK (Demis Hassabis,
> Shane Legg etc., with funding from Founders Fund)....  Dileep George is
> making his own effort, and will be keynoting at AGI-13 in Beijing....   So
> is Itamar Arel at U. Tennessee Knoxville (currently working on adding
> action & reinforcement to his deep learning perception system).   There are
> plenty of others.   These guys (like me) are not working for Google or M$
> or IBM for a reason....  We have probably all been recruited by these firms
> repeatedly (I know I have), but prefer to pursue our own visions rather
> than being directed by corporate bosses, even though this means we will
> have a lot less funding and a lot more hassles....   Note that none of
> these other guys are on this email list...
>
> I myself find I have little time to pay attention to this list lately,
> because I'm spending half my time working on AGI, and half my time working
> on income-generating (and hopefully eventually wealth-generating) narrow-AI
> stuff (principally the application of machine learning and NLP to financial
> prediction).
>
> I think this list serves a useful purpose, in that someone who is utterly
> new to the AGI field can sign up and quickly find others with a common
> interest....  But please don't assume that it reflects the state of the art
> in non-big-corporate AGI projects !!
>
> --
> Ben Goertzel
> (list founder, and former list administrator...)
>
>
>
>
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