I think Ray Kurzweil is up to something AGI-ish at google, or so I
gather from skimming the news.  Maybe this was mentioned in the other
thread which I haven't read yet.  It sounded like one of a number of
"10 years and it will work" projects that have surfaced in the news
lately.  Mike A

On 4/20/13, Logan Streondj <[email protected]> wrote:
> It's true, Ben is really like an angel investor,
> since he has a high profile AGI project,
> and invests some time in interacting,
> with our low-profile AGI projects,
> or even AGI ideas for some.
>
>
> On Fri, Apr 19, 2013 at 9:35 PM, Ben Goertzel <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>>
>> Andrew...
>>
>> [changed the thread name]
>>
>> On Fri, Apr 19, 2013 at 10:37 PM, Andrew G. Babian
>> <[email protected]>wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> So to throw something somewhat more positive out there,  I just looked
>>> at
>>> the website of the people working at Google Research.  They've got
>>> literally tons of people in areas like machine perception, AI, machine
>>> learning, machine translation.  It does give me the feeling that there
>>> are
>>> people, and with enough plugging, they will eventually get AGI as just a
>>> natural progression.  Of, course, I think they field and the stuff they
>>> use
>>> has some missing bits, but that's just me.  You all can tilt at all the
>>> windmills y'all want, but they have money and talent at a level we can't
>>> approach.
>>>
>>
>> I have visited Google Research in Mountain View a number of times, and I
>> know a bunch of researchers there fairly well...
>>
>> Of course their staff are intelligent and talented and so forth....  And
>> they are well paid and have a lot of data and computing resources.
>>
>> I don't think their staff are supernaturally talented or anything like
>> that....  Some of the folks I am working with on AI, in Hong Kong and
>> Addis
>> Ababa, are every bit as talented and clever as the Google Research
>> staff....  Silicon Valley does not have a monopoly on brilliant tech
>> talent, though they may well have the world's best publicists ;-) ...
>>
>> In the end, only a very miniscule portion of the resources of Google --
>> or
>> any other current large tech company -- is oriented toward AGI in any
>> direct or semi-direct way.  When AGI is pursued within these firms, it's
>> currently in teeny-tiny skunkworks projects....  And these skunkworks
>> projects tend to get quasi-randomly dissolved when corporate priorities
>> change (e.g. Sam Adam's now-dormant Joshua Blue AGI project at IBM; some
>> previous Google AGI skunkworks projects I know about via personal
>> commmunications...)
>>
>> So, consider the two possibilities:
>>
>> A)
>> A large company with a teeny skunkworks AGI team, plus a lot of smart
>> guys
>> working on other projects peripherally related to AGI
>>
>> B)
>> A small team working outside any large company or institution, with
>> uncertain but non-zero funding, but focused directly on AGI
>>
>> ... Is it really so obvious that A is going to get to the end goal before
>> B?  I don't think so....  Based on general common sense, it seems either
>> one is possible....
>>
>> There is, of course, a scientific question here: Whether AGI can be
>> achieved by basically integrating a bunch of components created for
>> non-AGI
>> purposes, with some sort of relatively simple "AGI controller" layered on
>> top of it....  I personally don't think this can work.   I think that
>> even
>> if the **ideas** underlying a bunch of narrow-AI components are
>> sufficient
>> to guide the creation of modules of an AGI system, in actual practice,
>> the
>> way narrow-AI systems are written generally precludes their integration
>> into an AGI framework....   Integrating components into an AGI framework
>> generally requires allowing each component to infuse knowledge and
>> guidance
>> into the others at a deep level, and generally narrow-AI software is not
>> designed or coded to allow this; and redesigning a piece of narrow-AI
>> software in such a way requires a lot of deep thinking as well as hard
>> engineering....   I have been involved with this sort of work a lot...
>>
>> Finally, and hopefully without being insulting to anyone, I would like to
>> point out that the folks who post on this list are not remotely
>> representative of the community of "AGI researchers unaffiliated with
>> large
>> corporations." ....  The folks who choose to spend a lot of time reading
>> and writing on AGI e-mail lists form a quite particular sub-population.
>> On
>> average, they tend to have fewer professional qualifications and less
>> funding for their work, than plenty of other AGI researchers out there...
>>
>> For instance, I think Kris Thorisson at Reykjavik University is making a
>> real stab at AGI, as are the guys at Deep Mind in the UK (Demis Hassabis,
>> Shane Legg etc., with funding from Founders Fund)....  Dileep George is
>> making his own effort, and will be keynoting at AGI-13 in Beijing....
>> So
>> is Itamar Arel at U. Tennessee Knoxville (currently working on adding
>> action & reinforcement to his deep learning perception system).   There
>> are
>> plenty of others.   These guys (like me) are not working for Google or M$
>> or IBM for a reason....  We have probably all been recruited by these
>> firms
>> repeatedly (I know I have), but prefer to pursue our own visions rather
>> than being directed by corporate bosses, even though this means we will
>> have a lot less funding and a lot more hassles....   Note that none of
>> these other guys are on this email list...
>>
>> I myself find I have little time to pay attention to this list lately,
>> because I'm spending half my time working on AGI, and half my time
>> working
>> on income-generating (and hopefully eventually wealth-generating)
>> narrow-AI
>> stuff (principally the application of machine learning and NLP to
>> financial
>> prediction).
>>
>> I think this list serves a useful purpose, in that someone who is utterly
>> new to the AGI field can sign up and quickly find others with a common
>> interest....  But please don't assume that it reflects the state of the
>> art
>> in non-big-corporate AGI projects !!
>>
>> --
>> Ben Goertzel
>> (list founder, and former list administrator...)
>>
>>
>>
>>
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