is there anything relevant in this thread or is it the good old "Ben you don't understand this" "Yes I do, you don't understand that" "Yes I do, you..."
AT On Fri, May 3, 2013 at 10:43 PM, Matt Mahoney <[email protected]>wrote: > On Fri, May 3, 2013 at 4:16 PM, Leonardo Stern <[email protected]> > wrote: > >> The other cost is the 10^17 bits of global human knowledge needed to > >> automate the economy, which has to be collected through speech and > >> writing from everyone on the planet at a cost of about $0.001 to $0.01 > >> per bit, or $100 trillion to $1 quadrillion. Moore's Law won't help > >> you here. > > > > > > We don't need the global human knowledge for an AGI, just human-level > knowledge: 10^9 bits, $ 1 million to $10 millions (using your data). > > Actually $10K to $100K per worker replaced, because 99% of the 10^9 > bits you need are shared with other people and can be copied. There is > 10^7 bits that makes you unique. In order for an AGI to serve you > properly, it needs to learn these personal preferences. > > I assume 99% sharing based on a U.S. Labor Dept. estimate that it > costs $15K (1% of lifetime earnings) to replace an employee on > average. Notice that in the first case I am describing how much other > people know (or should know) about you, and in the second case, how > much you uniquely know about other people. Summing over the > population, it's the same knowledge. > > Of course, building a single AGI is much more expensive per worker > replaced. What we are actually doing is building lots of systems that > each automate small tasks done by millions of people until everything > is automated. We aren't building artificial people, just machines that > have the same skills. > > I know some people *want* to build artificial people. Eventually that > will be easy, but probably pointless and possibly illegal. > > -- > -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected] > > > ------------------------------------------- > AGI > Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now > RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/14050631-7d925eb1 > Modify Your Subscription: > https://www.listbox.com/member/?&; > Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com > ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
