I meant this was what I said was: My conclusion suggests, that the use of
Solmonoff Induction as an ideal for compression or something like MDL is not
only unsubstantiated but based on a massive inability to comprehend the idea
of a program that runs every possible program.
What Matt said was: It is sufficient to find the shortest program consistent
with past results, not all programs. The difference is no more than the
language-dependent constant...
This is an equivocation based on the line you were responding to.  You are
presenting a related comment as if it were a valid response to what I
actually said.  That is one reason why I am starting to ignore you.
Jim Bromer



On Wed, Jul 21, 2010 at 2:36 PM, Jim Bromer <[email protected]> wrote:

> Matt,
> I never said that I did not accept the application of the method of
> probability, it is just that is has to be applied using logic.  Solomonoff
> Induction does not meet this standard.  From this conclusion, and from other
> sources of information, including the acknowledgement of incomputability and
> the lack of acceptance in the general mathematical community I feel
> comfortable with rejecting the theory of Kolomogrov Complexity as well.
>
> What I said was: My conclusion suggests, that the use of Solmonoff
> Induction as an ideal for compression or something like MDL...
> What you said was: It is sufficient to find the shortest program consistent
> with past results, not all programs. The difference is no more than the
> language-dependent constant...
> This is an equivocation based on the line you were responding to.  You are
> presenting a related comment as if it were a valid response to what I
> actually said.  That is one reason why I am starting to ignore you.
>
> Jim Bromer
>
> On Wed, Jul 21, 2010 at 1:15 PM, Matt Mahoney <[email protected]>wrote:
>
>>   Jim Bromer wrote:
>> > The question was asked whether, given infinite resources could Solmonoff
>> Induction work.  I made the assumption that it was computable and found that
>> it wouldn't work.
>>
>> On what infinitely powerful computer did you do your experiment?
>>
>> > My conclusion suggests, that the use of Solmonoff Induction as an ideal
>> for compression or something like MDL is not only unsubstantiated but based
>> on a massive inability to comprehend the idea of a program that runs every
>> possible program.
>>
>> It is sufficient to find the shortest program consistent with past
>> results, not all programs. The difference is no more than the
>> language-dependent constant. Legg proved this in the paper that Ben and I
>> both pointed you to. Do you dispute his proof? I guess you don't, because
>> you didn't respond the last 3 times this was pointed out to you.
>>
>> > I am comfortable with the conclusion that the claim that Solomonoff
>> Induction is an "ideal" for compression or induction or anything else is
>> pretty shallow and not based on careful consideration.
>>
>> I am comfortable with the conclusion that the world is flat because I have
>> a gut feeling about it and I ignore overwhelming evidence to the contrary.
>>
>> > There is a chance that I am wrong
>>
>> So why don't you drop it?
>>
>>
>> -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected]
>>
>>
>>  ------------------------------
>> *From:* Jim Bromer <[email protected]>
>> *To:* agi <[email protected]>
>> *Sent:* Tue, July 20, 2010 3:10:40 PM
>>
>> *Subject:* Re: [agi] Comments On My Skepticism of Solomonoff Induction
>>
>> The question was asked whether, given infinite resources could Solmonoff
>> Induction work.  I made the assumption that it was computable and found that
>> it wouldn't work.  It is not computable, even with infinite resources, for
>> the kind of thing that was claimed it would do. (I believe that with a
>> governance program it might actually be programmable) but it could not be
>> used to "predict" (or compute the probability of) a subsequent string
>> given some prefix string.  Not only is the method impractical it is
>> theoretically inane.  My conclusion suggests, that the use of Solmonoff
>> Induction as an ideal for compression or something like MDL is not only
>> unsubstantiated but based on a massive inability to comprehend the idea of a
>> program that runs every possible program.
>>
>> I am comfortable with the conclusion that the claim that Solomonoff
>> Induction is an "ideal" for compression or induction or anything else is
>> pretty shallow and not based on careful consideration.
>>
>> There is a chance that I am wrong, but I am confident that there is
>> nothing in the definition of Solmonoff Induction that could be used to prove
>> it.
>> Jim Bromer
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